TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Spread: Atlanta Braves (-1.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Miami Marlinsof Atlanta Braves, Miami Marlins
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$71,433
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$70,502

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $71,433 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 80 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc807…c12bbacked Miami Marlins60c61,585$36,932 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24,652.7850153.5%268 W · 233 L+8.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8cdc…b83fbacked Atlanta Braves40c21,533$8,613 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,613.341921.1%4 W · 15 L-3.9wins-0.21per pick42cpaid-53.9%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x39d3…9ef0backed Atlanta Braves40c12,095$4,838 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,838.1223538.3%90 W · 145 L-8.5wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-11.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Atlanta Braves40c10,391$4,151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,151.2365050.3%327 W · 323 L+0.9wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb2a4…cf8abacked Atlanta Braves40c5,685$2,274 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,274.09333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-14.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc974…b33bbacked Atlanta Braves40c3,912$1,565 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,564.978633.7%29 W · 57 L-5.6wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-17.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Atlanta Braves40c2,894$1,147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,146.75,40050.5%2,726 W · 2,674 L+17.9wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbe80…0784backed Atlanta Braves40c1,673$669 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$669.02560%3 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.14per pick46cpaid+28.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Atlanta Braves41c1,476$606 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$605.791,02951.2%527 W · 502 L-6.2wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed Miami Marlins60c1,352$811 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$540.8659549.7%296 W · 299 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Miami Marlins59c1,219$723 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$495.836,89950.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L-7.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x047c…3ce4backed Miami Marlins61c1,208$732 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$475.825160.8%31 W · 20 L+2.9wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+11.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6bb5…a518backed Atlanta Braves40c1,025$410 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$409.8611451.8%59 W · 55 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Atlanta Braves41c1,016$418 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$418.0867849.3%334 W · 344 L+7.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed Atlanta Braves41c945$387 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$387.451,01048.1%486 W · 524 L-13.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e77…8c33backed Miami Marlins58c835.32$484 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$350.8428350.9%144 W · 139 L-0.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Miami Marlins58c452.9$263 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$190.221,76951.6%912 W · 857 L+16.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Miami Marlins75c270.58$203 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.646,11655.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L+344.6wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+8.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x8351…9bebbacked Atlanta Braves40c241$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.465248.3%315 W · 337 L+1.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa804…bdc1backed Atlanta Braves40c241$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.48446.4%39 W · 45 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-7.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe649…4e37backed Atlanta Braves42c229.81$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.5256946.9%267 W · 302 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0273…1867backed Atlanta Braves42c229.81$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.5229344.7%131 W · 162 L+13.0wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+15.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9b97…6084backed Atlanta Braves23c218.42$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.2459150.3%297 W · 294 L+9.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5ba9…4fa1backed Miami Marlins75c210.84$159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.669250%46 W · 46 L-5.8wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-10.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Atlanta Braves29c201.87$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.1148339.8%192 W · 291 L+2.2wins0.00per pick39cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x90c5…534cbacked Atlanta Braves37c199.99$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7434145.2%154 W · 187 L+5.2wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe624…2928backed Atlanta Braves42c158.26$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.4749649.8%247 W · 249 L+11.5wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7760…21f0backed Atlanta Braves41c154.33$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.232,36947.4%1,122 W · 1,247 L-11.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x5b20…99e9backed Atlanta Braves40c144.6$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.8444348.5%215 W · 228 L-7.8wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x09da…56ffbacked Atlanta Braves40c139.78$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.915747.4%27 W · 30 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1b9b…bc4abacked Atlanta Braves39c134.88$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.656440.4%228 W · 336 L-16.5wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Atlanta Braves38c129.87$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.072,38943.4%1,037 W · 1,352 L-25.4wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-11.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7b47…d615backed Miami Marlins60c125$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5020350.7%103 W · 100 L+3.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5b1c…2a3ebacked Atlanta Braves40c120.5$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.21752.9%9 W · 8 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeb51…733cbacked Atlanta Braves41c117.63$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.2326148.3%126 W · 135 L-0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf898…e720backed Miami Marlins63c116.85$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.726,30248.3%3,041 W · 3,261 L+181.9wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+0.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa9a0…c52bbacked Atlanta Braves42c114.9$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.2623145.5%105 W · 126 L-8.8wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-9.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Atlanta Braves24c107.15$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.735,23456.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L+130.4wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Atlanta Braves23c92.25$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.5884122.7%191 W · 650 L-81.4wins-0.10per pick32cpaid-29.1%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x723d…05d7backed Miami Marlins60c83.35$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.972568%17 W · 8 L+2.6wins+0.10per pick58cpaid+18%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7634…600dbacked Atlanta Braves41c80$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.860350.1%302 W · 301 L-10.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2551…217cbacked Miami Marlins60c71.57$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.635054%27 W · 23 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Atlanta Braves40c66.9$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.092,29649.7%1,141 W · 1,155 L+37.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1c39…442dbacked Atlanta Braves26c59.84$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.6123522.6%53 W · 182 L-20.7wins-0.09per pick31cpaid-30.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x36f9…5445backed Atlanta Braves41c58.82$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.1215858.2%92 W · 66 L+8.2wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+14.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0905…e5c0backed Atlanta Braves42c58$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.361,66143.5%722 W · 939 L-0.5wins0.00per pick43cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x533d…b579backed Atlanta Braves24c56.06$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.543729.7%11 W · 26 L-3.9wins-0.10per pick40cpaid-36.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Miami Marlins59c50$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.52,94751.9%1,529 W · 1,418 L-34.0wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5bda…17a8backed Atlanta Braves39c50$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.51,75350.8%890 W · 863 L+29.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0c69…2b8dbacked Atlanta Braves40c49.98$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.9930750.2%154 W · 153 L-7.5wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-5.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x96c1…2c59backed Atlanta Braves42c49.41$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.751,49845.3%678 W · 820 L-8.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7192…7000backed Miami Marlins61c48.03$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.735756.1%32 W · 25 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6733…acb9backed Miami Marlins61c46.45$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.118450%42 W · 42 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf593…9553backed Atlanta Braves40c46.32$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.532,94447.6%1,401 W · 1,543 L+4.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Miami Marlins65c46.08$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.2587352.7%460 W · 413 L+9.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Atlanta Braves37c45$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.6512,24746.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L-68.6wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe722…57c5backed Atlanta Braves42c44.89$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.8594549%463 W · 482 L-38.2wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x33eb…b07ebacked Miami Marlins63c44$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.284148.8%20 W · 21 L-3.8wins-0.09per pick58cpaid-16.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x1434…d63bbacked Miami Marlins61c40.34$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.732245.5%10 W · 12 L-2.1wins-0.10per pick55cpaid-18.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xbc42…b12cbacked Miami Marlins60c40$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$165442.6%23 W · 31 L-4.0wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-15.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Miami Marlins63c37$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.691,86552%970 W · 895 L+50.8wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+9.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Atlanta Braves40c33$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.228352.3%148 W · 135 L+6.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xebe6…9278backed Atlanta Braves41c30.67$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.572,10451.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L+11.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb1ee…0f22backed Atlanta Braves41c29.9$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.265052%26 W · 24 L+0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8c9e…8e90backed Miami Marlins61c29.3$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.4314146.1%65 W · 76 L-5.8wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-8.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x209e…8bb4backed Miami Marlins59c27.44$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.2112850%64 W · 64 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x904e…0becbacked Miami Marlins63c27.32$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.1151555%283 W · 232 L+6.5wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf102…1348backed Atlanta Braves39c25.99$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.141,13746.3%526 W · 611 L+36.1wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+7.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc405…4affbacked Miami Marlins59c25$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.251060%6 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+19.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9fdd…a037backed Miami Marlins61c24.42$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.522568%17 W · 8 L+3.2wins+0.13per pick55cpaid+25.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa6d7…d801backed Miami Marlins60c24.4$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.769749.5%48 W · 49 L-3.4wins-0.03per pick53cpaid0%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd4d5…a8dabacked Miami Marlins61c24.01$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.3720955.5%116 W · 93 L+10.6wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+10.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7b25…10aabacked Miami Marlins61c22.09$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.6215650%78 W · 78 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1477…29b6backed Miami Marlins60c21.48$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.593154.8%17 W · 14 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x50c3…ace1backed Miami Marlins59c19.51$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$886653%459 W · 407 L+16.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x299d…e85fbacked Miami Marlins61c19.36$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.552450%12 W · 12 L-0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3080…ab1fbacked Miami Marlins61c19.2$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.492263.6%14 W · 8 L+1.8wins+0.08per pick55cpaid+14.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x234b…348ebacked Miami Marlins59c17.03$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.981435.7%5 W · 9 L-2.4wins-0.17per pick53cpaid-30.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0a06…921abacked Miami Marlins75c15.45$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.86862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.3wins+0.16per pick46cpaid+8.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Miami Marlins77c14.59$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.379,72846.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L+32.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.