TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x3080…ab1f

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
79
Categories scored
6
Categories below 50
2

Best Category: Ncaa Basketball, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category Ncaa Basketball at 57 out of 100; worst NHL at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 21, 2026, EDT3647.2%17 W · 19 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-8.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 36 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Trail Blazers vs. Spurs: O/U 220.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.47
Spread: Celtics (-14.5)backed 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$9.94
76ers vs. Celtics: O/U 217.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.65
Hornets vs. Magic: O/U 218.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$10.34
Warriors vs. Clippers: O/U 221.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.66
Spread: Suns (-3.5)backed Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.63
Heat vs. Hornets: O/U 228.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+100%+$11.64
Heat vs. Hornets: O/U 230.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.66
Spread: Celtics (-4.5)backed Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.42
Spread: Bulls (-6.5)backed Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+106.2%+$20.58
Lakers vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$6.57
Timberwolves vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$28.23
Celtics vs. Heatbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.1
Hawks vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.1
Spread: 76ers (-14.5)backed Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.11
Trail Blazers vs. Clippersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.56
Spread: Thunder (-11.5)backed Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$11.17
Spread: Cavaliers (-16.5)backed Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$18.92
76ers vs. Heatbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$25.07
Spread: Trail Blazers (-16.5)backed Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.12
Magic vs. Raptorsbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.98
Kings vs. Netsbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+100%+$25
Bulls vs. Grizzliesbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$23.46
Spread: Hornets (-6.5)backed Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Spread: Timberwolves (-2.5)backed Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$13.84
Showing 25 of 36 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Apr 21, 2026, EDT2263.6%14 W · 8 L+1.8wins+0.08per pick55cpaid+14.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
MLB — the 22 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Baltimore Orioles vs. Kansas City Royalsbacked Baltimore Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.61
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Chicago Cubsbacked Chicago Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$9.55
New York Yankees vs. Boston Red Soxbacked Boston Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.67
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Miami Marlinsbacked Miami Marlins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+100%+$11.64
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Arizona Diamondbacksbacked Arizona Diamondbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+75.5%+$8.82
Spread: Pittsburgh Pirates (-1.5)backed Tampa Bay Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$6.89
Baltimore Orioles vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 7.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+83.5%+$9.74
San Francisco Giants vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 9.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.65
San Diego Padres vs. Los Angeles Angelsbacked Los Angeles Angels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$9.55
Seattle Mariners vs. San Diego Padresbacked Seattle Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.66
Washington Nationals vs. Pittsburgh Piratesbacked Pittsburgh Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.71
New York Mets vs. Los Angeles Dodgersbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$6.06
Miami Marlins vs. Atlanta Bravesbacked Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$7.49
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Baltimore Oriolesbacked Arizona Diamondbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+129.9%+$15.06
Boston Red Sox vs. Minnesota Twinsbacked Boston Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.68
Cleveland Guardians vs. St. Louis Cardinals: O/U 8.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+83.5%+$9.74
Spread: Pittsburgh Pirates (-1.5)backed Washington Nationals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$9.18
Spread: Atlanta Braves (-1.5)backed Miami Marlins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$7.49
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Baltimore Oriolesbacked Baltimore Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.71
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Baltimore Oriolesbacked Baltimore Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$9.55
Los Angeles Angels vs. New York Yankees: O/U 9.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.66
Washington Nationals vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 7.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$10.34
All 22 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2026, EDT1546.7%7 W · 8 L-2.6wins-0.17per pick64cpaid-31.8%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
NHL — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanesbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.99
Canadiens vs. Hurricanesbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+26.3%+$3.95
Hurricanes vs. Canadiensbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+61.6%+$9.24
Golden Knights vs. Avalanchebacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.91
Kraken vs. Avalanchebacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+34.6%+$4.15
Kings vs. Flamesbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.99
Ducks vs. Predatorsbacked Predators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.99
Kraken vs. Golden Knightsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$4.67
Maple Leafs vs. Senatorsbacked Senators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$3.79
Ducks vs. Wildbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Capitals vs. Blue Jacketsbacked Blue Jackets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.99
Wild vs. Bluesbacked Blues · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+62.6%+$7.51
Hurricanes vs. Flyersbacked Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+68.1%+$8.17
Rangers vs. Panthersbacked Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Lightning vs. Senators: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
All 15 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 29, 2026, EDT4100%4 W · 0 L+1.7wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+80.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Purdue Boilermakers vs. Arizona Wildcatsbacked Arizona Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+40.1%+$9.94
Spread: Iowa State Cyclones (-3.5)backed Tennessee Volunteers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$17.57
Spread: Connecticut Huskies (-1.5)backed Connecticut Huskies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+89.9%+$26.72
Spread: Arizona Wildcats (-8.5)backed Arizona Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$20.63
All 4 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Apr 19, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+78.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC Fight Night: Kyler Phillips vs. Charles Jourdain (Bantamweight, Main Card)backed Charles Jourdain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$9.18
All 1 picks, newest first.
CS2last resolved Aug 15, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: BIG vs Spirit - Map 2 Winnerbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+25%+$2.5
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.