MLB · resolved market
Baltimore Orioles vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 7.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x72d23cc08a4a8543d03cc194a48bedce0c020ff944bc1c48f33487e2baca7833
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $186,355
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $183,626
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $186,355 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 108 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc807…c12bbacked Under | 53c | 122,066$64,724 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57,342.77 | 501 | 53.5%268 W · 233 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked Over | 47c | 100,000$47,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47,000 | 411 | 49.1%202 W · 209 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Under | 54c | 13,506$7,293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,212.56 | 1,106 | 48.7%539 W · 567 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 46c | 12,667$5,890 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,890.29 | 650 | 50.3%327 W · 323 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6498…8910backed Over | 49c | 11,632$5,695 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,694.55 | 517 | 56.5%292 W · 225 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Under | 53c | 10,489$5,556 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,933.18 | 1,660 | 50.1%832 W · 828 L | -22.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 47c | 9,932$4,637 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,636.75 | 1,355 | 49.8%675 W · 680 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39d3…9ef0backed Over | 44c | 7,392$3,224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,223.91 | 235 | 38.3%90 W · 145 L | -8.5wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16bb…8492backed Over | 48c | 3,384$1,624 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,624.24 | 865 | 48.7%421 W · 444 L | -8.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 47c | 3,001$1,403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,402.98 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 57c | 2,210$1,263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$947.01 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7245…f1c3backed Under | 52c | 1,500$780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$719.99 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Over | 46c | 1,481$681 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$681.22 | 2,369 | 47.4%1,122 W · 1,247 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6001…0457backed Over | 47c | 1,459$684 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$684.24 | 185 | 53.5%99 W · 86 L | +6.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 57c | 1,319$752 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$567.02 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3df…82fabacked Over | 47c | 1,053$495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$494.94 | 488 | 50.2%245 W · 243 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8314…0f1ebacked Under | 54c | 972.4$525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$447.3 | 96 | 55.2%53 W · 43 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 46c | 966.91$448 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$447.78 | 2,389 | 43.4%1,037 W · 1,352 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 46c | 811.64$376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375.96 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6fb…ee11backed Over | 46c | 758$349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$348.68 | 655 | 49.3%323 W · 332 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Over | 38c | 717$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.65 | 1,041 | 50.1%522 W · 519 L | +17.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Under | 62c | 700.64$434 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.42 | 4,035 | 57.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L | +72.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x047c…3ce4backed Under | 54c | 540.22$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.5 | 51 | 60.8%31 W · 20 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Over | 49c | 529.62$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.4 | 1,010 | 48.1%486 W · 524 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf429…969ebacked Over | 46c | 525.87$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.9 | 198 | 42.9%85 W · 113 L | -10.1wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xebe6…9278backed Over | 46c | 499.97$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.98 | 2,104 | 51.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28e8…6080backed Under | 51c | 497.28$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.67 | 473 | 50.7%240 W · 233 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Under | 53c | 439.9$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.31 | 1,769 | 51.6%912 W · 857 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5782…8ce5backed Over | 46c | 420.7$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.52 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc42c…42a1backed Under | 52c | 406.93$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.33 | 243 | 50.2%122 W · 121 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee0b…e9f4backed Under | 55c | 389.2$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.14 | 47 | 57.4%27 W · 20 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x992b…5053backed Under | 51c | 380.63$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.51 | 227 | 53.3%121 W · 106 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa947…1859backed Over | 46c | 294.49$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.46 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Over | 48c | 267.39$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.35 | 920 | 54%497 W · 423 L | +23.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4e4…4a19backed Under | 71c | 264.01$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.18 | 66 | 84.8%56 W · 10 L | +15.1wins | +0.23per pick | 62cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 68+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Over | 46c | 240.94$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.91 | 1,053 | 47.3%498 W · 555 L | -14.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72f3…92d6backed Over | 46c | 221.08$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.69 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.9wins | -0.32per pick | 54cpaid | -61.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa938…3bc3backed Under | 53c | 220.03$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.41 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83ce…835cbacked Under | 54c | 206.31$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.9 | 507 | 48.7%247 W · 260 L | -17.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 26c | 201.63$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.9 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Under | 66c | 200.01$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.63 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked Over | 48c | 193.72$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.39 | 1,630 | 55.2%899 W · 731 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5de7…5417backed Over | 45c | 193.4$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.03 | 109 | 45.9%50 W · 59 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5aa…4464backed Under | 53c | 188.51$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.6 | 288 | 50.3%145 W · 143 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Over | 46c | 177.07$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.45 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x428d…8cb6backed Under | 55c | 176.91$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.61 | 97 | 53.6%52 W · 45 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7192…7000backed Under | 55c | 176.91$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.61 | 57 | 56.1%32 W · 25 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Under | 58c | 175$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.5 | 1,435 | 50%717 W · 718 L | +25.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked Under | 55c | 168.33$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.75 | 1,119 | 45.5%509 W · 610 L | +16.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 52c | 160.16$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.48 | 2,296 | 49.7%1,141 W · 1,155 L | +37.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd17a…0373backed Under | 55c | 145.95$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.68 | 770 | 50.5%389 W · 381 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a77…4fcfbacked Over | 44c | 131.78$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.98 | 54 | 48.1%26 W · 28 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Over | 47c | 128.77$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.78 | 1,435 | 50%717 W · 718 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c04…a593backed Over | 46c | 114.64$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.73 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x783b…dc4cbacked Under | 70c | 113.89$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.73 | 609 | 41.4%252 W · 357 L | -22.4wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda75…bbf9backed Under | 53c | 106.9$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.24 | 114 | 50.9%58 W · 56 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84ca…0d75backed Over | 27c | 102.42$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.3 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe624…2928backed Under | 51c | 95.11$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.39 | 496 | 49.8%247 W · 249 L | +11.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a4d…4c76backed Over | 48c | 91.91$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.82 | 135 | 52.6%71 W · 64 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a80…2dadbacked Under | 54c | 91.74$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.2 | 76 | 52.6%40 W · 36 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf472…fd6ebacked Under | 53c | 91.14$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.53 | 123 | 49.6%61 W · 62 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8db2…f8a2backed Over | 13c | 89.92$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.41 | 46 | 47.8%22 W · 24 L | +4.5wins | +0.10per pick | 38cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Over | 48c | 87.32$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.83 | 1,725 | 50.1%864 W · 861 L | -4.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca0…d153backed Under | 55c | 79.61$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.82 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2551…217cbacked Under | 54c | 79.23$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.45 | 50 | 54%27 W · 23 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Under | 66c | 76.63$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.78 | 1,269 | 47.4%602 W · 667 L | -31.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0148…b61cbacked Under | 54c | 68.64$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.58 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | -3.6wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Over | 47c | 66.72$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.36 | 678 | 49.3%334 W · 344 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Over | 46c | 65.48$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.06 | 515 | 55%283 W · 232 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c69…2b8dbacked Over | 47c | 61.96$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.12 | 307 | 50.2%154 W · 153 L | -7.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5c9…a4fcbacked Over | 47c | 57.37$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.96 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8482…3f7abacked Over | 22c | 57.34$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.57 | 1,062 | 49.2%523 W · 539 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8811…627cbacked Over | 20c | 57.11$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.25 | 554 | 64.1%355 W · 199 L | +63.1wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…8f79backed Over | 46c | 54.33$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.99 | 399 | 48.1%192 W · 207 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f98…ec35backed Over | 48c | 50.8$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.38 | 131 | 44.3%58 W · 73 L | -5.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x96c1…2c59backed Under | 52c | 48.56$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.31 | 1,498 | 45.3%678 W · 820 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bb…0fe1backed Under | 57c | 45.54$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.79 | 155 | 52.3%81 W · 74 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36f9…5445backed Under | 55c | 44.23$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.9 | 158 | 58.2%92 W · 66 L | +8.2wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea8d…89b1backed Under | 56c | 43.12$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.78 | 122 | 50.8%62 W · 60 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca20…7b68backed Over | 48c | 42.15$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.15 | 371 | 43.9%163 W · 208 L | -21.4wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3d28…87b5backed Over | 46c | 42.07$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.35 | 64 | 65.6%42 W · 22 L | +3.6wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x14e4…eabbbacked Over | 46c | 42.07$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.35 | 509 | 49.5%252 W · 257 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87c1…bd98backed Over | 46c | 39.97$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.38 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb17…32b2backed Under | 54c | 37.92$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.44 | 169 | 46.2%78 W · 91 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fe5…7936backed Under | 53c | 36.77$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.34 | 192 | 48.4%93 W · 99 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x927f…b921backed Under | 54c | 36.01$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.57 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6cac…7c50backed Under | 55c | 35.41$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.95 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe67…dd7ebacked Under | 55c | 35.38$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.92 | 127 | 42.5%54 W · 73 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -11%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc119…7d4dbacked Under | 55c | 35.38$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.92 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecdb…c4c7backed Over | 47c | 35.15$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.58 | 291 | 41.6%121 W · 170 L | -13.6wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked Under | 59c | 29.3$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.14 | 418 | 47.6%199 W · 219 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbaff…eaf6backed Over | 47c | 27.79$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.06 | 140 | 47.1%66 W · 74 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadb0…0f62backed Under | 54c | 27.71$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.75 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.3wins | +0.21per pick | 52cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 51c | 27$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.23 | 283 | 52.3%148 W · 135 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2804…d9c6backed Under | 54c | 26.16$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.03 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -2.8wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbbee…30b9backed Over | 45c | 25.79$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.61 | 74 | 51.4%38 W · 36 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Over | 47c | 25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.75 | 2,947 | 51.9%1,529 W · 1,418 L | -34.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51d8…7536backed Over | 48c | 24.35$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.62 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.23per pick | 52cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf657…a354backed Under | 54c | 24.21$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.14 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1343…8773backed Under | 54c | 23.73$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.91 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -2.3wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Baltimore Orioles vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 7.5this page
- Baltimore Orioles vs. Cleveland GuardiansCleveland Guardians won
- Baltimore Orioles vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 4.5Over won
- Baltimore Orioles vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 5.5Over won
- Baltimore Orioles vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 6.5Under won
- Spread: Cleveland Guardians (-1.5)Cleveland Guardians won
- Spread: Cleveland Guardians (-2.5)Baltimore Orioles won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Baltimore Orioles vs. Cleveland GuardiansNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.