TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xadb0…0f62

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
88
Categories scored
17
Categories below 50
11

Best Category: La Liga, grading 60 out of 100 (+0.09 per pick).

Best Category La Liga at 60 out of 100; worst NHL at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 5, 2026, EDT2157.1%12 W · 9 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NBA — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Timberwolves vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.09
Spurs vs. Trail Blazersbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.36
Spread: Rockets (-8.5)backed Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.67
Celtics vs. 76ersbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$7.68
Spread: Nuggets (-1.5)backed Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+100%+$10.39
Magic vs. Pistons: O/U 218.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.38
Spread: Celtics (-14.5)backed 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$11.39
Raptors vs. Cavaliers: O/U 222.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$12.33
Trail Blazers vs. Spurs: O/U 222.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.69
Hornets vs. Magic: O/U 218.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$9.07
Warriors vs. Clippersbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$24.97
Warriors vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+89.5%+$11
Spread: Heat (-15.5)backed Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$12.28
Spurs vs. Nuggetsbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.4
Pelicans vs. Kingsbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.82
Timberwolves vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+52.3%+$7.6
Spurs vs. Clippersbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+32.7%+$3.85
Pelicans vs. Trail Blazersbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+37.9%+$4.02
Warriors vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT+32.3%+$3.37
Bulls vs. Grizzliesbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.42
Thunder vs. Celtics: O/U 218.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.28
All 21 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 2, 2026, EDT1181.8%9 W · 2 L+3.1wins+0.28per pick54cpaid+69.6%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
La Liga — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-05-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+84.5%+$9.78
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-04-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.67
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+284.6%+$28.64
Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-04-23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+174.6%+$21.49
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-04-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+139.3%+$15.97
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-04-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+104.4%+$20.11
Real Madrid CF vs. Girona FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.85
Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-04-06?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$6.27
Will RCD Mallorca vs. Real Madrid CF end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+40.9%+$4.25
Will Real Racing Club win on 2026-03-29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+53.1%+$6.59
Real Valladolid CF vs. Burgos CF: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$3.5
All 11 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Apr 24, 2026, EDT1172.7%8 W · 3 L+2.3wins+0.21per pick52cpaid+31.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
MLB — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Washington Nationals vs. Chicago White Soxbacked Chicago White Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$9.01
Houston Astros vs. Cleveland Guardiansbacked Cleveland Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.86
Houston Astros vs. Cleveland Guardiansbacked Cleveland Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$7.2
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Colorado Rockiesbacked Colorado Rockies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.73
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Miami Marlinsbacked Miami Marlins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$18.74
San Francisco Giants vs. Washington Nationalsbacked Washington Nationals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$10.44
Spread: Pittsburgh Pirates (-1.5)backed Tampa Bay Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$7.73
Baltimore Orioles vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 7.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$12.75
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Baltimore Oriolesbacked Baltimore Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$10.62
Miami Marlins vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 7.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$8.31
New York Mets vs. San Francisco Giantsbacked San Francisco Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.02
All 11 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Apr 10, 2026, EDT850%4 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-16%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Upper Austria Ladies Linz: Mirra Andreeva vs Sorana Cirsteabacked Mirra Andreeva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+41.8%+$6.56
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters, Qualification: Matteo Arnaldi vs Alexandre Mullerbacked Matteo Arnaldi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.2
Credit One Charleston Open: Jessica Pegula vs Iva Jovicbacked Jessica Pegula · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$11.89
Bucharest Open: Fabian Marozsan vs Daniel Merida Aguilarbacked Fabian Marozsan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.05
Credit One Charleston Open: Ajla Tomljanovic vs Donna Vekicbacked Ajla Tomljanovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.51
Dubrovnik: Andrea Lazaro Garcia vs Anhelina Kalininabacked Anhelina Kalinina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.24
Miami Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Coco Gauffbacked Aryna Sabalenka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+25.3%+$3.64
Credit One Charleston Open, Qualification: Aliona Bolsova vs Ekaterine Gorgodzebacked Ekaterine Gorgodze · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$15.93
All 8 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Apr 5, 2026, EDT714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.7wins-0.24per pick38cpaid-76.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT650%3 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid+5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Serie A — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 4, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+19%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 23, 2026, EDT50%0 W · 5 L-2.2wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
NHL — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Stars vs. Wildbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.87
Senators vs. Hurricanesbacked Senators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$43.76
Rangers vs. Panthersbacked Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.23
Panthers vs. Maple Leafsbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.37
Capitals vs. Golden Knightsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.11
All 5 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 6, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick33cpaid-15.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Champions League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Apr 6, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.25per pick59cpaid-43.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
CS2 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Asian League Inactivelast resolved Apr 11, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Asian League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Shanghai Shenhua FC win on 2026-04-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.62
Will Al Ittihad Saudi Club win on 2026-04-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$5.76
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Apr 4, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Racing Club de Lens win on 2026-04-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$11.09
All 1 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Apr 3, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.6
All 1 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Apr 5, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US forces enter Iran by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Mar 29, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Georgia win on 2026-03-29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.06
All 1 picks, newest first.
Australian A League Inactivelast resolved Apr 24, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.62per pick62cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Macarthur FC win on 2026-04-24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.1
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Apr 4, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.67per pick67cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.2
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.