Serie A · resolved market
Will AC Milan win on 2026-05-03?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3f544b936a187310951b7220fc7a6f3694da0070cc843ecd9ccbc3b4379615c6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,794,405
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,375,538
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,794,405 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 410 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbee5…a636backed Yes | 58c | 2,407,488$1,400,183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,400,183.34 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.7wins | -0.39per pick | 53cpaid | -68.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed No | 41c | 417,442$173,148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244,293.31 | 57 | 52.6%30 W · 27 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb652…2db4backed No | 42c | 261,000$109,620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151,379.99 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +19%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe72b…b0a0backed No | 43c | 243,761$103,613 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140,148.17 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +13%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 42c | 189,970$78,976 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110,993.21 | 932 | 52%485 W · 447 L | +11.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Yes | 57c | 170,412$97,179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97,178.91 | 138 | 39.9%55 W · 83 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39d3…9ef0backed No | 42c | 165,425$69,578 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95,846.49 | 89 | 41.6%37 W · 52 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 55c | 137,316$74,958 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62,357.73 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb904…c255backed Yes | 58c | 135,831$78,627 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78,627.13 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -3.0wins | -0.27per pick | 45cpaid | -62%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc41d…74fdbacked No | 42c | 129,900$54,270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75,630 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +4.0wins | +0.33per pick | 42cpaid | +120.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x23c8…f293backed No | 42c | 109,130$46,380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62,749.8 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc96e…f1f9backed No | 42c | 98,351$41,328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57,022.18 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +3.2wins | +0.35per pick | 42cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfea3…d227backed No | 41c | 84,746$34,746 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50,000.14 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +2.7wins | +0.17per pick | 46cpaid | +64.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 42c | 77,714$32,401 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45,312.63 | 985 | 44.9%442 W · 543 L | -17.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc974…b33bbacked No | 42c | 76,315$32,052 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44,262.7 | 53 | 47.2%25 W · 28 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x440a…035abacked Yes | 12c | 69,897$8,268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,268.14 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c3a…020bbacked No | 42c | 57,500$23,990 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33,509.96 | 35 | 62.9%22 W · 13 L | +4.3wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +43%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xefdd…017fbacked No | 42c | 56,000$23,520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32,480 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 45cpaid | +51.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee0b…e6d4backed No | 42c | 53,232$22,327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30,904.56 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +2.6wins | +0.19per pick | 46cpaid | +57.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xad94…85b1backed No | 42c | 45,000$18,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26,099.99 | 69 | 40.6%28 W · 41 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 74c | 43,695$32,382 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,313.2 | 1,981 | 39.8%788 W · 1,193 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b1e…82c9backed No | 43c | 34,884$15,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,883.72 | 10 | 100%10 W · 0 L | +6.2wins | +0.62per pick | 38cpaid | +172.1%equal weight | 70+0.18 edge/pick |
| 0x412f…30fabacked No | 42c | 34,286$14,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,885.96 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd5a…63f9backed No | 42c | 31,000$12,920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,080 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +139.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1350…0841backed No | 43c | 25,620$10,936 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,683.59 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +1.5wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +23%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5351…9b3cbacked No | 43c | 25,006$10,753 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,253.42 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes | 0c | 24,394$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.39 | 423 | 47.8%202 W · 221 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes | 0c | 24,391$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.39 | 385 | 47.8%184 W · 201 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Yes | 0c | 24,391$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.39 | 460 | 47.4%218 W · 242 L | +10.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf344…9a04backed No | 43c | 23,530$10,118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,412.28 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.17per pick | 46cpaid | +40.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c1c…7980backed No | 42c | 23,495$9,790 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,704.95 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0fd…a0a9backed No | 42c | 22,332$9,362 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,969.86 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +4.2wins | +0.30per pick | 49cpaid | +87.5%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xec8d…dd71backed No | 42c | 20,474$8,574 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,899.46 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b47…d814backed No | 42c | 19,393$8,236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,157.25 | 99 | 50.5%50 W · 49 L | +4.8wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd776…ffebbacked No | 42c | 19,200$8,064 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,135.98 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed No | 42c | 18,888$7,933 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,955.03 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | +3.7wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9ee0…9c9abacked No | 43c | 15,120$6,491 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,628.8 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9828…0f7ebacked No | 42c | 14,790$6,212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,578.2 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +2.4wins | +0.34per pick | 37cpaid | +78.8%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa1e4…4f8abacked Yes | 10c | 14,772$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc6ad…1b86backed No | 42c | 14,509$6,054 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,455.21 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +70.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2128…da98backed No | 43c | 14,179$6,097 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,082.03 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4da7…7abdbacked No | 43c | 14,080$6,019 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,060.8 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +3.0wins | +0.27per pick | 46cpaid | +68.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked No | 42c | 13,133$5,512 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,620.17 | 215 | 48.4%104 W · 111 L | +11.4wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6203…6280backed No | 43c | 12,854$5,519 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,335.17 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56c9…0d9ebacked No | 64c | 12,763$8,169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,594.85 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a0…e45ebacked Yes | 5c | 12,552$648 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$648.48 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -3.7wins | -0.21per pick | 45cpaid | -65.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xadfa…324ebacked No | 41c | 12,000$4,950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,050 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff6e…18ecbacked Yes | 58c | 10,954$6,353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,353.36 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x20d6…3856backed No | 42c | 10,810$4,540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,269.9 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe9…5e52backed No | 42c | 10,400$4,368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,032 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 42c | 10,038$4,215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,823.44 | 687 | 50.8%349 W · 338 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x08f0…b809backed No | 42c | 10,000$4,158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,842.13 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b3…501cbacked No | 43c | 10,000$4,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,699.99 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3625…1187backed Yes | 58c | 8,605$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x536a…d21dbacked No | 43c | 8,448$3,619 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,829.44 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee19…555ebacked Yes | 57c | 8,357$4,764 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,763.7 | 60 | 48.3%29 W · 31 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22ed…002bbacked No | 43c | 8,096$3,481 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,614.72 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +1.7wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +34.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7236…ea53backed No | 42c | 8,000$3,360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,640 | 61 | 65.6%40 W · 21 L | +7.9wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4fad…fdc0backed Yes | 1c | 6,300$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.4 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 19cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3a…e8fdbacked No | 42c | 6,115$2,584 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,531.02 | 54 | 59.3%32 W · 22 L | +3.8wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7cee…b72abacked No | 42c | 6,075$2,552 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,523.5 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x374a…03edbacked No | 42c | 6,000$2,520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,480 | 49 | 71.4%35 W · 14 L | +9.6wins | +0.20per pick | 52cpaid | +45.1%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 42c | 5,472$2,305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,166.54 | 356 | 46.6%166 W · 190 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c6…d14dbacked No | 43c | 5,469$2,352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,117.33 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +86%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 42c | 5,224$2,202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,022.53 | 274 | 53.3%146 W · 128 L | +18.0wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x88f9…325dbacked No | 42c | 5,015$2,106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,908.7 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +3.9wins | +0.30per pick | 39cpaid | +86.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb9…bb3cbacked Yes | 2c | 5,001$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 21cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb0b…3790backed No | 54c | 5,000$2,675 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,325 | 31 | 29%9 W · 22 L | +4.8wins | +0.15per pick | 14cpaid | +275.7%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8d5d…191dbacked No | 43c | 4,898$2,106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,792.02 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb10d…4ba0backed No | 42c | 3,570$1,499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,070.6 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.29per pick | 38cpaid | +56.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x627e…f59fbacked No | 42c | 3,528$1,482 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,045.95 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.20per pick | 37cpaid | -60.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Yes | 57c | 3,513$2,002 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,002.39 | 106 | 50%53 W · 53 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a6…d584backed No | 42c | 3,500$1,470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,030 | 63 | 65.1%41 W · 22 L | +7.3wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4823…117fbacked Yes | 1c | 3,500$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked No | 41c | 3,414$1,416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,997.59 | 96 | 52.1%50 W · 46 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaca0…9b86backed Yes | 32c | 3,125$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4310…cd60backed No | 42c | 3,000$1,260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,740 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +138.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e39…3e17backed No | 41c | 3,000$1,230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,770 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.60per pick | 41cpaid | +147%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb13…5946backed No | 42c | 3,000$1,260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,740 | 58 | 62.1%36 W · 22 L | +6.0wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked No | 70c | 2,931$2,041 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$889.66 | 110 | 53.6%59 W · 51 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1947…94bcbacked No | 42c | 2,864$1,211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,652.92 | 52 | 59.6%31 W · 21 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed No | 64c | 2,864$1,827 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,036.44 | 120 | 44.2%53 W · 67 L | -6.2wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc3fc…5176backed No | 43c | 2,861$1,219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,641.99 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +3.9wins | +0.11per pick | 41cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaaef…b6abbacked No | 43c | 2,816$1,211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,605.12 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +3.8wins | +0.54per pick | 32cpaid | +173.6%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x4a23…8ef9backed Yes | 57c | 2,632$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.22per pick | 62cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes | 57c | 2,547$1,452 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,452 | 339 | 51.6%175 W · 164 L | +8.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed No | 42c | 2,380$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,380.4 | 134 | 45.5%61 W · 73 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21f5…c161backed Yes | 34c | 2,353$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69d5…7767backed No | 42c | 2,288$961 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,327.04 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe988…cf23backed No | 42c | 2,262$950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,311.96 | 11 | 90.9%10 W · 1 L | +6.1wins | +0.56per pick | 35cpaid | +161.8%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed No | 42c | 2,200$922 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,278.5 | 153 | 54.2%83 W · 70 L | +11.3wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8604…fd3abacked Yes | 57c | 2,135$1,217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,216.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Yes | 57c | 2,118$1,207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,207.14 | 249 | 39.4%98 W · 151 L | -12.9wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xca89…7bc4backed No | 42c | 2,000$840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,160 | 41 | 70.7%29 W · 12 L | +7.4wins | +0.18per pick | 53cpaid | +41.4%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xf6de…95e8backed No | 44c | 2,000$880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,119.99 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed No | 42c | 2,000$841 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,159.28 | 419 | 54.7%229 W · 190 L | +7.7wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa645…0be6backed Yes | 10c | 1,949$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.93 | 83 | 34.9%29 W · 54 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x986c…3180backed No | 42c | 1,906$792 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,113.85 | 31 | 67.7%21 W · 10 L | +5.2wins | +0.17per pick | 51cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x81e4…6f22backed No | 42c | 1,840$773 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,067.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +138.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2b8…b908backed No | 42c | 1,760$739 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,020.8 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.23per pick | 40cpaid | +58.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will AC Milan win on 2026-05-03?this page
- Will US Sassuolo Calcio vs. AC Milan end in a draw?No won
- Will US Sassuolo Calcio win on 2026-05-03?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.