Serie A · resolved market
Will US Sassuolo Calcio vs. AC Milan end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x98de932a14d15e8a81849763227aadda406607c187d85e8831c1fe914503b6ea
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $79,468
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $79,437
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $79,468 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 81 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Yes | 0c | 25,000$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 460 | 47.4%218 W · 242 L | +10.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes | 0c | 25,000$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 423 | 47.8%202 W · 221 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a6c…0b3fbacked Yes | 24c | 5,749$1,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,400 | 54 | 38.9%21 W · 33 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 22c | 2,688$597 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$596.99 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 22c | 2,558$559 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$559.08 | 411 | 44.3%182 W · 229 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed No | 75c | 2,487$1,870 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$616.93 | 419 | 54.7%229 W · 190 L | +7.7wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd43…cd41backed No | 76c | 2,000$1,520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480 | 28 | 67.9%19 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 68cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked No | 79c | 1,540$1,215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324.94 | 110 | 53.6%59 W · 51 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed No | 76c | 1,040$792 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.85 | 120 | 44.2%53 W · 67 L | -6.2wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd121…50c8backed Yes | 25c | 1,006$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -17%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd096…2f6fbacked Yes | 6c | 833.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | +44.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c69…51cabacked Yes | 8c | 687.5$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked No | 76c | 560$426 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.4 | 364 | 56.3%205 W · 159 L | +19.7wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0b94…c347backed Yes | 24c | 500$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -2.5wins | -0.18per pick | 40cpaid | -54.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…2e16backed No | 76c | 459.79$349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.35 | 46 | 63%29 W · 17 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed No | 76c | 449$341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.76 | 142 | 58.5%83 W · 59 L | +10.1wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc0…e57dbacked Yes | 5c | 438.29$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.6 | 86 | 17.4%15 W · 71 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c06…db24backed Yes | 24c | 417$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.08 | 33 | 30.3%10 W · 23 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 73c | 395.22$289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.36 | 227 | 43.2%98 W · 129 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Yes | 20c | 346.43$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.96 | 150 | 50.7%76 W · 74 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 75c | 293.2$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.3 | 932 | 52%485 W · 447 L | +11.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95a4…8a24backed Yes | 7c | 271.43$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93ff…84d1backed Yes | 26c | 250$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -3.1wins | -0.39per pick | 51cpaid | -82.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0be6…3b7fbacked Yes | 4c | 250$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -4.4wins | -0.29per pick | 42cpaid | -73.1%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked No | 75c | 233.34$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.33 | 215 | 48.4%104 W · 111 L | +11.4wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9006…385abacked Yes | 24c | 212.5$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 56 | 42.9%24 W · 32 L | -9.1wins | -0.16per pick | 59cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x36cf…d3aebacked Yes | 7c | 200$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.14per pick | 34cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f34…7684backed Yes | 24c | 200$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f3…999fbacked Yes | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 158 | 44.9%71 W · 87 L | +6.0wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Yes | 26c | 192.31$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 397 | 40.6%161 W · 236 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 75c | 192$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 393 | 54.2%213 W · 180 L | +17.3wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ddc…e874backed No | 80c | 162.89$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.21 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | +4.5wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +17%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0dca…a234backed Yes | 6c | 162.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 26 | 15.4%4 W · 22 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 20cpaid | -52.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 76c | 151$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.24 | 418 | 54.8%229 W · 189 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04a0…18e4backed Yes | 21c | 142.86$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74e0…af4bbacked Yes | 21c | 142.86$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8056…9507backed No | 73c | 136.99$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.99 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaffe…7140backed Yes | 24c | 121.88$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.25 | 34 | 26.5%9 W · 25 L | -4.0wins | -0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe8b6…a412backed Yes | 13c | 119.05$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.9wins | +0.16per pick | 42cpaid | +74%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4060…e63cbacked Yes | 27c | 111.11$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -2.0wins | -0.10per pick | 42cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked No | 78c | 111$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.59 | 144 | 42.4%61 W · 83 L | -7.5wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4512…5d41backed Yes | 24c | 104.17$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 66 | 28.8%19 W · 47 L | -5.4wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3fcb…f5ebbacked Yes | 24c | 104.17$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 86 | 44.2%38 W · 48 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked No | 78c | 102.99$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.65 | 217 | 48.8%106 W · 111 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Yes | 23c | 100$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 204 | 52%106 W · 98 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed No | 75c | 100$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 153 | 54.2%83 W · 70 L | +11.3wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe497…2b89backed Yes | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -3.3wins | -0.15per pick | 51cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked No | 76c | 100$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 123 | 57.7%71 W · 52 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Yes | 11c | 96.73$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.18 | 262 | 41.2%108 W · 154 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x59b4…73e0backed Yes | 21c | 95.24$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.4wins | -0.30per pick | 42cpaid | -56.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3f46…0bcbbacked Yes | 21c | 95.24$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x166e…3303backed Yes | 21c | 94.43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 33cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 73c | 89.97$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.59 | 207 | 49.3%102 W · 105 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed No | 76c | 87.5$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 158 | 44.3%70 W · 88 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08f0…b809backed No | 75c | 81.5$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.37 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3696…69cebacked Yes | 24c | 80.96$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.43 | 85 | 52.9%45 W · 40 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe18a…fd87backed Yes | 25c | 80$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 222 | 37.4%83 W · 139 L | -7.2wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4433…6b28backed Yes | 25c | 76$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 76c | 66.58$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.98 | 687 | 50.8%349 W · 338 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ce8…fc49backed No | 76c | 62.51$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +42.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e5b…bb9abacked Yes | 24c | 62.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 60 | 50%30 W · 30 L | +3.9wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x41b1…b470backed Yes | 24c | 62.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +3.2wins | +0.27per pick | 31cpaid | +105.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 80c | 54.07$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.88 | 181 | 25.4%46 W · 135 L | -18.7wins | -0.10per pick | 36cpaid | -45.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf8…cb04backed Yes | 25c | 52$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed No | 77c | 50$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.5 | 210 | 54.3%114 W · 96 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 148 | 45.3%67 W · 81 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Yes | 27c | 44.18$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.93 | 47 | 25.5%12 W · 35 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +58.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Yes | 24c | 41.67$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 162 | 19.1%31 W · 131 L | -10.6wins | -0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8205…5067backed Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 32 | 21.9%7 W · 25 L | -5.7wins | -0.18per pick | 40cpaid | -54.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb821…5cddbacked No | 76c | 37.96$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.11 | 41 | 63.4%26 W · 15 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 73c | 33.79$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.12 | 430 | 58.6%252 W · 178 L | +15.8wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x668d…e471backed No | 73c | 33$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.91 | 9 | 100%9 W · 0 L | +2.9wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +48.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc20c…fdb5backed No | 76c | 28.35$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.76 | 46 | 60.9%28 W · 18 L | +2.6wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f93…3e9fbacked No | 77c | 26.3$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.05 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.16per pick | 73cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d27…c38cbacked No | 75c | 26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.5 | 21 | 76.2%16 W · 5 L | +5.1wins | +0.24per pick | 52cpaid | +63.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2d21…92e5backed No | 74c | 21.78$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.74 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed No | 80c | 20.43$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.1 | 78 | 46.2%36 W · 42 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e7f…a844backed No | 76c | 19.99$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.88 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0633…cfdebacked No | 76c | 19.85$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.76 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9dfd…aadebacked No | 80c | 19$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.8 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.5wins | -0.25per pick | 55cpaid | -54.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed No | 76c | 16$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.84 | 233 | 53.6%125 W · 108 L | -7.3wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will US Sassuolo Calcio vs. AC Milan end in a draw?this page
- Will AC Milan win on 2026-05-03?No won
- Will US Sassuolo Calcio win on 2026-05-03?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.