TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Serie A · resolved market

Will US Sassuolo Calcio win on 2026-05-03?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$234,697
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$270,509

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $234,697 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 139 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Serie A
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xd01c…7f9dbacked No0c25,000$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2538547.8%184 W · 201 L+7.0wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed No0c25,000$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2546047.4%218 W · 242 L+10.6wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed No0c25,000$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2542347.8%202 W · 221 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No33c12,295$4,032 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,032.21,98139.8%788 W · 1,193 L-7.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid-23.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed No12c6,192$715 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$714.9132650.6%165 W · 161 L+12.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+15.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa645…0be6backed Yes19c5,517$1,048 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,468.818334.9%29 W · 54 L-0.4wins0.00per pick35cpaid-5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed No13c5,473$723 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$722.6449850.6%252 W · 246 L+10.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-12.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes77c4,965$3,801 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,163.792,53845.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L+13.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-12.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa1e4…4f8abacked No31c4,775$1,480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,480.171127.3%3 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick27cpaid+16.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa7c2…73bfbacked Yes72c3,600$2,592 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,008850%4 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.07per pick43cpaid-7.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Yes20c3,150$630 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,52013517%23 W · 112 L-5.0wins-0.04per pick21cpaid-13.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Yes69c3,003$2,072 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$930.9393252%485 W · 447 L+11.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb456…4347backed Yes72c3,000$2,160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8401100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x48de…95babacked Yes38c1,842$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,142.111250%6 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x986c…3180backed Yes18c1,815$327 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,488.33167.7%21 W · 10 L+5.2wins+0.17per pick51cpaid+32.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x0b94…c347backed Yes30c1,740$522 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,218.51421.4%3 W · 11 L-2.5wins-0.18per pick40cpaid-54.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2f0b…5577backed Yes20c1,538$308 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,230742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+33.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed No37c1,454$533 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$533.0341144.3%182 W · 229 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-18.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x26d6…caccbacked Yes59c1,111$657 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$454.0211053.6%59 W · 51 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-19.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x7cbe…c4b7backed No29c1,001$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$290.284845.8%22 W · 26 L+4.1wins+0.08per pick37cpaid+85%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x180a…54a6backed No10c1,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10040%0 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed No11c921.96$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.5522743.2%98 W · 129 L-4.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-20.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No80c714.72$572 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$571.7868750.8%349 W · 338 L+3.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x7418…251fbacked Yes71c698.81$498 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$200.985076%38 W · 12 L+7.3wins+0.15per pick61cpaid+35.1%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x2779…239abacked No62c600$372 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$372425%1 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.19per pick44cpaid-63.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe94c…1edebacked No30c584.3$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$175.292347.8%11 W · 12 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1fd6…95e3backed Yes20c524.75$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$419.753348.5%16 W · 17 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+10%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x38a1…ad5ebacked Yes57c513$291 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$222.18728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.10per pick39cpaid-47.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9950…1432backed Yes20c500$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$400683.3%5 W · 1 L+2.8wins+0.47per pick36cpaid+145.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x3b5c…126ebacked Yes18c491.99$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$403.4321548.4%104 W · 111 L+11.4wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+18.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6e46…60d6backed Yes71c440$312 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.63857.9%22 W · 16 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-7.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8e00…c1f2backed Yes71c422.54$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.541100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf277…9a5fbacked Yes72c416.67$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.671384.6%11 W · 2 L+2.0wins+0.16per pick69cpaid+27.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6b67…829fbacked No13c407.39$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.336349.2%31 W · 32 L+0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid-14%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x141a…95a9backed Yes19c399.97$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$323.98955.6%5 W · 4 L+2.2wins+0.24per pick31cpaid+94.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc02a…b43fbacked No58c344.96$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.082161.9%13 W · 8 L+2.4wins+0.11per pick51cpaid+24%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8056…9507backed Yes61c327.87$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.874148.8%20 W · 21 L+2.3wins+0.06per pick43cpaid+18.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb1a0…e45ebacked No31c300$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$931723.5%4 W · 13 L-3.7wins-0.21per pick45cpaid-65.4%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x2a51…f305backed Yes20c287.05$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$229.64633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.08per pick25cpaid+23%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeb77…ef9ebacked No62c282.26$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1753464.7%22 W · 12 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick65cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Yes39c276.87$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$168.8939740.6%161 W · 236 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-6.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb30d…5cf1backed No28c267.86$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+7.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No80c266.75$213 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$213.441854.8%229 W · 189 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfa92…15f4backed Yes19c263.16$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$213.166735.8%24 W · 43 L-2.5wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-24.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xaa2b…5dfebacked Yes19c214.38$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$173.641457.1%8 W · 6 L+2.1wins+0.15per pick42cpaid+42.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xbd3c…fc78backed Yes44c211.57$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.521250%6 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-15.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7edb…7993backed No48c204.69$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.2412044.2%53 W · 67 L-6.2wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-35.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb4f3…999fbacked Yes19c200$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16215844.9%71 W · 87 L+6.0wins+0.04per pick41cpaid-6.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7418…ab9fbacked No30c200$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8d87…8dbbbacked Yes38c198.73$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.871546.7%7 W · 8 L-1.0wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-19%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x13a1…d9bcbacked Yes50c194.88$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.8811964.7%77 W · 42 L+15.1wins+0.13per pick52cpaid+35.9%equal weight62+0.10 edge/pick
0x9ddc…e874backed No17c176.11$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.324156.1%23 W · 18 L+4.5wins+0.11per pick45cpaid+17%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x13ad…241bbacked Yes18c163.98$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.462240.9%9 W · 13 L+1.2wins+0.06per pick35cpaid+49%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6277…eda7backed No63c158.73$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001668.8%11 W · 5 L+2.6wins+0.16per pick53cpaid+34.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5628…abbcbacked Yes18c156$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.4215050.7%76 W · 74 L+5.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+20.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xeaa4…3409backed Yes39c153.85$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.851546.7%7 W · 8 L+2.2wins+0.14per pick32cpaid+52.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes20c152.45$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.9619042.6%81 W · 109 L-5.5wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-9.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6bad…4d53backed Yes20c150$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1201637.5%6 W · 10 L+2.5wins+0.16per pick22cpaid+144.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed No27c150$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.8620749.3%102 W · 105 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-12.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9e4d…1a1fbacked Yes71c149.3$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.31947.4%9 W · 10 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+25.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x03ba…bebabacked No80c145.68$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.5414442.4%61 W · 83 L-7.5wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-20.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5f22…2935backed Yes70c142.86$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.864973.5%36 W · 13 L+9.4wins+0.19per pick54cpaid+39.8%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x9d17…9054backed Yes71c141$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.891100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0004…a4d7backed Yes71c140.85$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.85580%4 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.17per pick63cpaid+16.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3535…75b2backed Yes73c136.99$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.99875%6 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.14per pick61cpaid+0.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x84fc…b4dabacked No68c134.65$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.9560%3 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick64cpaid-10.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Yes35c129.63$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.2631051.6%160 W · 150 L+4.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+28.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1b3e…ae5bbacked Yes40c125$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.13per pick37cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x35e7…8331backed No80c120$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$963455.9%19 W · 15 L+2.6wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+17.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc20c…fdb5backed Yes19c119.99$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.194660.9%28 W · 18 L+2.6wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+17.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x95c8…3469backed Yes42c119.05$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.058453.6%45 W · 39 L+2.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+2.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5fb6…f7b3backed Yes72c111.58$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.58250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-30.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9c13…99b7backed Yes21c106.95$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.955427.8%15 W · 39 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick31cpaid-13%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed No28c103.23$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.3119154.5%104 W · 87 L+0.7wins0.00per pick54cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe461…c526backed No60c100.56$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60425%1 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.32per pick57cpaid-66.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xfed7…e405backed No32c100$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3210038%38 W · 62 L-5.4wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-28.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Yes30c100$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7031738.8%123 W · 194 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-25.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked No44c87.45$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.367042.9%30 W · 40 L0.0wins0.00per pick43cpaid-17.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x26c8…dc53backed Yes40c85$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.14per pick36cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb06c…6961backed No59c84.75$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$506960.9%42 W · 27 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick60cpaid+10.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe18a…fd87backed Yes20c80$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6422237.4%83 W · 139 L-7.2wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-7.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x14c2…7d55backed No31c79.11$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.522630.8%8 W · 18 L+1.3wins+0.05per pick26cpaid-18.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc75b…3ea7backed No32c77.51$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.87846.2%36 W · 42 L-3.8wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-17.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x45cf…0f46backed No38c77.47$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.592955.2%16 W · 13 L+1.4wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+2.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6e5b…bb9abacked Yes20c75$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$606050%30 W · 30 L+3.9wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+5.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x58be…2517backed Yes20c75$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$602934.5%10 W · 19 L+2.2wins+0.07per pick27cpaid+19.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1cb0…c615backed Yes70c72$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.61553.3%8 W · 7 L-1.7wins-0.11per pick65cpaid-8.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5df5…c44cbacked Yes50c70.21$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.8721748.8%106 W · 111 L-3.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-16.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5968…96f0backed Yes73c68.49$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.491353.8%7 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick58cpaid-7.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xed5a…9102backed Yes71c66.2$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.21100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x90c8…4573backed Yes70c64.29$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.29683.3%5 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.11per pick72cpaid+14.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x16ea…9400backed Yes19c64$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.8413447.8%64 W · 70 L-3.7wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-0.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xea03…2df3backed Yes40c62.78$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.78862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.08per pick55cpaid+19.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3fe3…d88cbacked Yes42c62.2$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.21100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.58per pick42cpaid+139.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf5a4…d8b4backed No32c61.55$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20825%2 W · 6 L-1.7wins-0.21per pick46cpaid-37.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x31c8…9487backed No44c60$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.42259.1%13 W · 9 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick60cpaid-8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x89b9…118ebacked Yes41c60$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.45552.7%29 W · 26 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8450…02f1backed Yes71c59.15$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.151100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7b41…23d9backed Yes26c57.04$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.04250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.22per pick28cpaid+90.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4350…4bbabacked No60c55.55$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.331872.2%13 W · 5 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick68cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.