TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Asian League · resolved market

Will Shanghai Shenhua FC win on 2026-04-11?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$180,478
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$183,499

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $180,478 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 119 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Asian League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xfd29…77aebacked Yes52c144,889$75,172 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69,717.32934.5%10 W · 19 L-4.8wins-0.17per pick51cpaid-33.8%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No48c44,046$21,128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21,127.65,94646.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L+50.5wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-6.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked No50c25,500$12,715 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,7153946.2%18 W · 21 L-1.5wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-7.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed No47c23,345$10,899 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,899.1840156.4%226 W · 175 L+6.5wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No53c6,574$3,452 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,452.221,09843.8%481 W · 617 L-14.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-11.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd27d…a84fbacked No44c6,518$2,887 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,887.187356.2%41 W · 32 L+2.7wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed No44c6,432$2,844 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,844.4522656.6%128 W · 98 L+8.0wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+7.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfb51…082dbacked No44c6,431$2,844 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,844.4519055.3%105 W · 85 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No45c6,338$2,863 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,863.352,52242.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L+54.6wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed No44c4,897$2,135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,134.5939058.2%227 W · 163 L+6.3wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No42c1,963$830 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$830.11,25451.4%644 W · 610 L+9.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-5.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked No42c1,468$616 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$616.481,30956.8%743 W · 566 L+66.1wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+14.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x82de…1337backed No45c1,378$616 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$616.3614557.2%83 W · 62 L+6.3wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7511…582ebacked No47c1,360$645 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$644.8916759.9%100 W · 67 L+8.0wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+12.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd809…6542backed No43c1,222$527 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$527.2316356.4%92 W · 71 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick57cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3982…2befbacked No43c1,209$524 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$524.334558.6%202 W · 143 L+0.1wins0.00per pick59cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xade2…8757backed No43c1,209$524 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$524.36847.1%32 W · 36 L-6.9wins-0.10per pick57cpaid-21.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa623…a4febacked No45c1,111$497 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$496.814247.2%67 W · 75 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-10.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x36d8…c7c7backed No53c950$504 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503.52748.1%13 W · 14 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed No44c948.27$413 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$412.8784347.7%402 W · 441 L+15.0wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x033b…5e3fbacked No49c868.19$422 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$422.191850%9 W · 9 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-16.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes68c769.92$521 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$249.051,52254.9%835 W · 687 L+5.9wins0.00per pick54cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No44c738.87$329 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$328.561,76450.2%886 W · 878 L+31.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb61f…976abacked No59c680.89$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4004161%25 W · 16 L-1.7wins-0.04per pick65cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Yes65c656.64$425 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$231.2249044.3%217 W · 273 L-9.8wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-10.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x05c5…8181backed Yes56c535.71$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$235.711100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+78.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x04ec…8ac9backed No46c505.99$233 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$232.7510846.3%50 W · 58 L+8.2wins+0.08per pick39cpaid+17.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x57a4…f0c0backed Yes48c416.67$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$216.674463.6%28 W · 16 L+4.7wins+0.11per pick53cpaid+24.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x8098…5646backed No49c406.96$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.810160.4%61 W · 40 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x370e…5df3backed Yes44c360$158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$201.623347.6%111 W · 122 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa44a…88ecbacked No43c320$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.61154.5%6 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick58cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd790…a24ebacked Yes44c312.52$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$175.012334.8%8 W · 15 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick32cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa912…297fbacked No33c273.99$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.511457.1%8 W · 6 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick54cpaid-4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed No51c257.56$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.361,11746.2%516 W · 601 L-7.8wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3dfb…ebbfbacked No66c250$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$164.8423546.8%110 W · 125 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked No50c250$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12593446.1%431 W · 503 L+6.7wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x948b…a188backed No45c217.3$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.7847860.3%288 W · 190 L+15.2wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9744…cab4backed No48c206.34$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.55450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3341…d7e4backed Yes46c200$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1084555.6%25 W · 20 L+2.0wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed No50c196$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.81,65150.9%840 W · 811 L+5.8wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb6fc…b24ebacked No42c190.48$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$807844.9%35 W · 43 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-5.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1aa2…30ccbacked Yes52c184.82$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.712653.8%14 W · 12 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe6a3…04bebacked No53c184.32$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.699859.2%58 W · 40 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick61cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x26dd…0249backed No45c182.46$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.119552.6%50 W · 45 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-1.4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xb8fb…28dabacked Yes56c178.57$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.573043.3%13 W · 17 L-3.0wins-0.10per pick53cpaid-25.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xc6df…e2aabacked Yes56c178.36$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.48837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.10per pick48cpaid-30.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfdf4…40fabacked Yes57c175.44$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.443548.6%17 W · 18 L-2.0wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-5.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdf37…8b49backed No49c162.44$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.844035%14 W · 26 L-5.0wins-0.13per pick48cpaid-26.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xad41…2bb4backed Yes56c151.07$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.47875%6 W · 2 L+1.5wins+0.19per pick56cpaid+33.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe363…c894backed No48c149.81$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.911442.9%6 W · 8 L-1.6wins-0.11per pick54cpaid-23.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4ec3…34a7backed No43c149.41$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.998166.7%54 W · 27 L+8.8wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+27.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xe727…f6e1backed No53c149.06$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$791060%6 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick59cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8875…26e7backed Yes75c139.2$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.81100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf2d7…3a55backed Yes56c136.88$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.22560%3 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Yes53c133.57$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.5653148.8%259 W · 272 L+2.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid-4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8482…3f7abacked Yes65c130.1$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.76837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-36.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa4ba…c5d8backed No49c121.98$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.7713951.1%71 W · 68 L-4.2wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-7.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa25b…caa0backed Yes50c118$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59540%2 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-23.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked No53c114.98$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.1262349.1%306 W · 317 L-6.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-5.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7c15…9667backed No56c110$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.621941.6%91 W · 128 L-17.3wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-14.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xc8dc…8d7ebacked Yes54c110$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.11050%5 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-18.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x43d7…1c75backed No44c100$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4410245.1%46 W · 56 L+0.3wins0.00per pick45cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7e34…63f7backed Yes80c100$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$204072.5%29 W · 11 L+3.7wins+0.09per pick63cpaid+18.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x9058…a2c2backed No50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501729.4%5 W · 12 L-1.6wins-0.10per pick39cpaid-12%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed No47c97$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.471,97054.4%1,071 W · 899 L+32.9wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed Yes57c93.89$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.8373850.3%371 W · 367 L-2.7wins0.00per pick51cpaid-8.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc95…d13bbacked Yes56c89.29$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.293100%3 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+104.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe253…b9c7backed No48c88.88$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.666038.3%23 W · 37 L-0.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid+8.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1b8f…f31bbacked No45c71.6$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.052763%17 W · 10 L+2.1wins+0.08per pick55cpaid+15.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1c39…442dbacked No25c71.36$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.8111023.6%26 W · 84 L-3.9wins-0.04per pick27cpaid-8.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed No53c71$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.6311742.7%50 W · 67 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xccb3…2eadbacked Yes57c70.18$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.18475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.26per pick49cpaid+34.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0844…f46abacked No43c70$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.12958.6%17 W · 12 L+2.8wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+28%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Yes45c69.56$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.0147155.8%263 W · 208 L+12.3wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x452f…b277backed Yes51c64.71$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.711844.4%8 W · 10 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x97a8…078dbacked No47c63.82$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.17966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.10per pick56cpaid+68.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x981b…b8eabacked No48c62.5$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3018445.7%84 W · 100 L+4.7wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0c88…5463backed Yes48c62.5$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.51353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed No29c60.6$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.8246422.6%105 W · 359 L-22.6wins-0.05per pick28cpaid-23%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8941…83d7backed Yes51c60$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.48864.8%57 W · 31 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick63cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb468…0cbabacked Yes44c54$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.241250%6 W · 6 L+1.0wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+18%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x94a5…4eb8backed Yes56c50$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$227557.3%43 W · 32 L+3.0wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+12.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc57f…cfffbacked No20c50$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103568.6%24 W · 11 L+5.2wins+0.15per pick54cpaid+34.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x0cc5…ee5abacked Yes57c44.21$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.216440.6%26 W · 38 L+3.0wins+0.05per pick36cpaid+29.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb6d2…d67bbacked No42c43.43$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.0437559.2%222 W · 153 L+12.0wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+0.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xce3f…67c9backed No35c42.92$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153132.3%10 W · 21 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-16%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2458…bd24backed No47c42.55$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203844.7%17 W · 21 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf512…5198backed Yes56c42$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.485461.1%33 W · 21 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick64cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x76f1…f655backed No43c41$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.633542.9%15 W · 20 L-1.6wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-23.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x10a1…c3bebacked No25c40$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick62cpaid-16.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd4d5…a8dabacked No25c40$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xadb0…0f62backed No50c39.11$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.62250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe697…708fbacked Yes52c38.5$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.524162.2%150 W · 91 L+6.4wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+1.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbac4…86dbbacked Yes48c38.25$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.895464.8%35 W · 19 L+2.4wins+0.04per pick60cpaid+8.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd51e…ac0cbacked Yes48c38.25$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.899056.7%51 W · 39 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe1cc…28a0backed Yes53c37.74$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.7419268.2%131 W · 61 L+8.0wins+0.04per pick64cpaid+11.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2373…a1f3backed No45c37.7$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.8411654.3%63 W · 53 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x24c3…0058backed Yes46c36.04$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.56475%3 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.19per pick56cpaid+32.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc8ea…8300backed Yes57c35.09$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.09650%3 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8943…6c65backed No49c34.06$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.661070%7 W · 3 L+1.8wins+0.18per pick52cpaid+39.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.