Asian League · resolved market
Will Shanghai Shenhua FC vs. Shanghai Haigang FC end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xba9c34b9630d821a7bf57bdcfb9acbedb6fa05d295e6438cc79d162aabd7b08b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $45,256
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $60,012
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $45,256 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 62 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1e29…9e66backed No | 76c | 15,098$11,471 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,626.74 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | -2.6wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -14%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 23c | 4,127$936 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$936.44 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 25c | 3,570$902 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$901.89 | 1,522 | 54.9%835 W · 687 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 79c | 2,035$1,618 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$417.45 | 1,098 | 43.8%481 W · 617 L | -14.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Yes | 24c | 1,962$463 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$462.88 | 401 | 56.4%226 W · 175 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 21c | 1,817$381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380.63 | 2,522 | 42.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 76c | 1,510$1,147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$362.87 | 490 | 44.3%217 W · 273 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 74c | 943.28$694 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.02 | 1,764 | 50.2%886 W · 878 L | +31.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 28c | 894.96$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.04 | 623 | 49.1%306 W · 317 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 23c | 849.94$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.49 | 1,254 | 51.4%644 W · 610 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Yes | 24c | 736.13$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.47 | 226 | 56.6%128 W · 98 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Yes | 23c | 661.45$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.32 | 190 | 55.3%105 W · 85 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…a1f3backed Yes | 24c | 660.32$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.48 | 116 | 54.3%63 W · 53 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Yes | 24c | 649.45$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.2 | 163 | 56.4%92 W · 71 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd27d…a84fbacked Yes | 24c | 621.34$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.57 | 73 | 56.2%41 W · 32 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xade2…8757backed Yes | 24c | 621.34$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.57 | 68 | 47.1%32 W · 36 L | -6.9wins | -0.10per pick | 57cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6c…e09cbacked Yes | 24c | 589.77$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.54 | 153 | 58.8%90 W · 63 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbe8…1141backed No | 71c | 565.21$401 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.91 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +2.1wins | +0.21per pick | 59cpaid | +41.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked Yes | 24c | 555$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.2 | 142 | 47.2%67 W · 75 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed Yes | 24c | 554.75$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.14 | 145 | 57.2%83 W · 62 L | +6.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 76c | 537.57$409 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.02 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +2.0wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdf37…8b49backed Yes | 25c | 499.97$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.99 | 40 | 35%14 W · 26 L | -5.0wins | -0.13per pick | 48cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Yes | 28c | 426.61$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.6 | 186 | 44.6%83 W · 103 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4bba…cf14backed No | 73c | 385.18$281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.03 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +39.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…4ebbbacked Yes | 14c | 286.07$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 218 | 30.7%67 W · 151 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes | 28c | 249.99$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 1,651 | 50.9%840 W · 811 L | +5.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Yes | 27c | 249.56$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.28 | 1,117 | 46.2%516 W · 601 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes | 28c | 249.01$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.61 | 934 | 46.1%431 W · 503 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 36c | 247.78$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.15 | 843 | 47.7%402 W · 441 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa912…297fbacked No | 78c | 235.88$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.6 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7511…582ebacked Yes | 22c | 195.61$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.5 | 167 | 59.9%100 W · 67 L | +8.0wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe824…65b4backed Yes | 24c | 169.1$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.59 | 56 | 35.7%20 W · 36 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed No | 76c | 139.92$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.2 | 79 | 26.6%21 W · 58 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked No | 71c | 120.68$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 43 | 41.9%18 W · 25 L | -3.3wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5fb4…90f3backed No | 72c | 111.11$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.11 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | -2.6wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a3…04bebacked No | 75c | 103.84$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.97 | 98 | 59.2%58 W · 40 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Yes | 24c | 101.93$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.46 | 478 | 60.3%288 W · 190 L | +15.2wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Yes | 35c | 100$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 297 | 45.1%134 W · 163 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd851…4616backed Yes | 24c | 100$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 28 | 25%7 W · 21 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe697…708fbacked Yes | 24c | 83.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 241 | 62.2%150 W · 91 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 75c | 79.99$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.16 | 738 | 50.3%371 W · 367 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6569…7600backed No | 76c | 75.73$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.38 | 74 | 66.2%49 W · 25 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbac4…86dbbacked No | 75c | 74.87$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.78 | 54 | 64.8%35 W · 19 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked No | 76c | 73.02$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.65 | 345 | 58.6%202 W · 143 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x659f…04e4backed No | 76c | 68.83$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.52 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked No | 76c | 66.06$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.06 | 325 | 60.3%196 W · 129 L | +20.0wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x452f…b277backed Yes | 26c | 65.38$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa0b…90fdbacked Yes | 24c | 63.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed No | 75c | 53.18$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.39 | 390 | 58.2%227 W · 163 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x033b…5e3fbacked Yes | 24c | 49.88$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.97 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f22…0fb4backed Yes | 31c | 43.21$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.39 | 27 | 66.7%18 W · 9 L | +2.4wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb17…32b2backed No | 76c | 39.51$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.48 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | +3.4wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed No | 71c | 35$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.15 | 117 | 42.7%50 W · 67 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea8d…89b1backed No | 75c | 33.17$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.17 | 71 | 56.3%40 W · 31 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd77…ef21backed No | 65c | 31$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.85 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8dc…8d7ebacked No | 76c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.1 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dda…8799backed No | 70c | 28.57$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.57 | 27 | 70.4%19 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 71cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33eb…b07ebacked No | 77c | 25.97$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.97 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64a4…5bc2backed No | 74c | 25.68$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.68 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2598…17dfbacked No | 73c | 22.97$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.15 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +107.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa85b…eb0ebacked No | 75c | 20.19$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.08 | 198 | 56.1%111 W · 87 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06e7…3acabacked No | 75c | 20.01$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.01 | 106 | 53.8%57 W · 49 L | -6.1wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Shanghai Shenhua FC vs. Shanghai Haigang FC end in a draw?this page
- Will Shanghai Haigang FC win on 2026-04-11?No won
- Will Shanghai Shenhua FC win on 2026-04-11?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.