Asian League · resolved market
Will Shanghai Haigang FC win on 2026-04-11?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa9e7d3088b2ecd6f9f8eca3634fe2e6c8096888902db74eca01246605f9eb4db
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,040
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,126
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,040 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 37 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 75c | 1,120$838 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.5 | 623 | 49.1%306 W · 317 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 6c | 1,020$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.27 | 1,098 | 43.8%481 W · 617 L | -14.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42ef…1576backed No | 79c | 891$704 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.11 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27ee…b517backed Yes | 24c | 833.33$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.1wins | -0.19per pick | 46cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 21c | 785.99$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.75 | 1,764 | 50.2%886 W · 878 L | +31.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 25c | 546.2$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.87 | 794 | 35.1%279 W · 515 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc367…a0b4backed Yes | 23c | 481.26$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.69 | 95 | 42.1%40 W · 55 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x981c…306fbacked Yes | 24c | 417.45$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8640…0e7dbacked Yes | 24c | 379.25$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.02 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -46.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 15c | 304.28$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.83 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a54…4e11backed Yes | 19c | 260$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.4 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0206…bf76backed Yes | 25c | 201.92$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…ebbfbacked Yes | 25c | 164$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 235 | 46.8%110 W · 125 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed Yes | 19c | 145$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.55 | 79 | 26.6%21 W · 58 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 21c | 125$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.25 | 531 | 48.8%259 W · 272 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 18c | 107.51$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.53 | 2,522 | 42.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c31…8616backed Yes | 12c | 104.58$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.2 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +29%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked No | 76c | 100$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 237 | 55.3%131 W · 106 L | +4.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Yes | 25c | 91$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.75 | 471 | 55.8%263 W · 208 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 76c | 90.87$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.78 | 1,254 | 51.4%644 W · 610 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked Yes | 25c | 90$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.16 | 299 | 17.4%52 W · 247 L | -13.0wins | -0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c15…9667backed No | 75c | 86$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.5 | 219 | 41.6%91 W · 128 L | -17.3wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Yes | 20c | 85.03$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.59 | 490 | 44.3%217 W · 273 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed5d…2668backed Yes | 24c | 83.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 54 | 46.3%25 W · 29 L | +4.4wins | +0.08per pick | 38cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa6d7…d801backed Yes | 26c | 57.69$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 25c | 54.7$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.7 | 2,424 | 38%920 W · 1,504 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf37…8b49backed Yes | 22c | 50.79$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.17 | 40 | 35%14 W · 26 L | -5.0wins | -0.13per pick | 48cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4f87…4d9dbacked Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8941…83d7backed No | 78c | 49$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.78 | 88 | 64.8%57 W · 31 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa85b…eb0ebacked Yes | 25c | 43.4$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.85 | 198 | 56.1%111 W · 87 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed No | 76c | 40$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 139 | 51.1%71 W · 68 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f57…f8c5backed Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | +3.6wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +15%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x76f1…f655backed No | 79c | 31$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.51 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed No | 79c | 27.96$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.96 | 73 | 39.7%29 W · 44 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 1,970 | 54.4%1,071 W · 899 L | +32.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 73c | 18.52$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 1,651 | 50.9%840 W · 811 L | +5.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f0c…a98fbacked No | 78c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.3 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Shanghai Haigang FC win on 2026-04-11?this page
- Will Shanghai Shenhua FC vs. Shanghai Haigang FC end in a draw?No won
- Will Shanghai Shenhua FC win on 2026-04-11?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.