MLB · resolved market
San Francisco Giants vs. Washington Nationals
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2c51375d5ee9cc6fcdd145d571807886da1f1847a9708944ada5d6d71a2860b7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Washington Nationalsof San Francisco Giants, Washington Nationals
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $711,210
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $749,902
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $711,210 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 364 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xad2b…f091backed San Francisco Giants | 18c | 188,884$34,723 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34,723.35 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.6wins | +0.13per pick | 41cpaid | +60.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc807…c12bbacked Washington Nationals | 44c | 100,143$44,063 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56,079.84 | 501 | 53.5%268 W · 233 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99a7…fc82backed San Francisco Giants | 56c | 88,888$49,777 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49,777.28 | 142 | 48.6%69 W · 73 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf152…64aabacked San Francisco Giants | 58c | 59,177$34,223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34,222.53 | 770 | 53.9%415 W · 355 L | +8.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Washington Nationals | 42c | 26,458$11,154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,304.08 | 1,029 | 51.2%527 W · 502 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38f0…2768backed Washington Nationals | 43c | 22,350$9,610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,740.04 | 149 | 43.6%65 W · 84 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed Washington Nationals | 45c | 19,340$8,703 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,637 | 981 | 49.9%490 W · 491 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Washington Nationals | 42c | 18,810$7,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,909.69 | 920 | 54%497 W · 423 L | +23.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdcbf…d37fbacked Washington Nationals | 54c | 18,633$10,088 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,544.52 | 91 | 53.8%49 W · 42 L | +7.9wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Washington Nationals | 47c | 17,186$8,074 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,112.26 | 1,106 | 48.7%539 W · 567 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1e6…1dc1backed San Francisco Giants | 57c | 16,592$9,457 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,457.24 | 82 | 47.6%39 W · 43 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed San Francisco Giants | 56c | 15,195$8,460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,459.88 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfa…324ebacked San Francisco Giants | 55c | 15,000$8,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,250 | 151 | 48.3%73 W · 78 L | -5.4wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a88…41ccbacked Washington Nationals | 43c | 11,529$4,957 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,571.49 | 381 | 48.6%185 W · 196 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Washington Nationals | 45c | 10,330$4,660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,670.12 | 1,215 | 47.6%578 W · 637 L | -19.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea79…a9ccbacked San Francisco Giants | 59c | 9,847$5,810 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,809.53 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed San Francisco Giants | 59c | 9,612$5,671 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,670.98 | 1,660 | 50.1%832 W · 828 L | -22.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed San Francisco Giants | 26c | 9,071$2,397 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,397.19 | 2,021 | 39.5%798 W · 1,223 L | -25.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked San Francisco Giants | 51c | 8,960$4,559 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,559.44 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf52b…905bbacked Washington Nationals | 51c | 8,628$4,389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,239.6 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Washington Nationals | 50c | 7,074$3,567 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,507.57 | 1,041 | 50.1%522 W · 519 L | +17.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Washington Nationals | 78c | 6,138$4,780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,357.34 | 1,456 | 42.7%622 W · 834 L | -39.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed San Francisco Giants | 57c | 4,826$2,751 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,750.87 | 321 | 52%167 W · 154 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd21…a494backed Washington Nationals | 42c | 4,413$1,851 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,562.18 | 111 | 46.8%52 W · 59 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf11…c679backed Washington Nationals | 43c | 4,062$1,738 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,324.25 | 289 | 44.3%128 W · 161 L | -12.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff81…44c9backed San Francisco Giants | 57c | 3,418$1,948 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,948.4 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed San Francisco Giants | 39c | 3,271$1,290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,289.63 | 2,389 | 43.4%1,037 W · 1,352 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a67…e403backed San Francisco Giants | 52c | 2,914$1,515 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,515.07 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c8…d8a4backed Washington Nationals | 42c | 2,758$1,158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,599.47 | 192 | 50%96 W · 96 L | +12.7wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed San Francisco Giants | 56c | 2,745$1,530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,530.18 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc4…0c92backed Washington Nationals | 47c | 2,594$1,218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,376.54 | 206 | 47.1%97 W · 109 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44a1…bd21backed Washington Nationals | 44c | 2,294$1,009 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,284.74 | 280 | 42.1%118 W · 162 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b49…0397backed San Francisco Giants | 55c | 2,000$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100 | 274 | 51.8%142 W · 132 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Washington Nationals | 72c | 1,995$1,431 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$564.51 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b15…fa73backed Washington Nationals | 60c | 1,975$1,184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$790.5 | 338 | 64.2%217 W · 121 L | +23.1wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ce…7ec8backed San Francisco Giants | 56c | 1,974$1,115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,115.28 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0828…d60abacked San Francisco Giants | 50c | 1,926$970 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$970.23 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.19per pick | 36cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e3e…7857backed Washington Nationals | 79c | 1,908$1,508 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$399.45 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | -4.5wins | -0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc463…9a2fbacked Washington Nationals | 41c | 1,890$775 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,115.07 | 338 | 52.7%178 W · 160 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc510…629abacked San Francisco Giants | 45c | 1,886$840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$839.99 | 57 | 54.4%31 W · 26 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5aa…4464backed Washington Nationals | 43c | 1,721$740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$981 | 288 | 50.3%145 W · 143 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Washington Nationals | 52c | 1,698$883 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$815.03 | 1,909 | 53.5%1,021 W · 888 L | +29.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1e4…4f8abacked Washington Nationals | 45c | 1,693$757 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$936 | 122 | 27.9%34 W · 88 L | +7.4wins | +0.06per pick | 22cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3625…1187backed San Francisco Giants | 58c | 1,668$975 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$975.08 | 379 | 53.6%203 W · 176 L | +18.4wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x896d…cd2cbacked San Francisco Giants | 56c | 1,665$932 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$932.32 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -2.6wins | -0.12per pick | 57cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Washington Nationals | 52c | 1,517$792 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$724.92 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed San Francisco Giants | 58c | 1,516$879 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$879.17 | 1,352 | 50.8%687 W · 665 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed San Francisco Giants | 57c | 1,500$855 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$854.99 | 1,292 | 50.2%648 W · 644 L | +18.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0767…36b0backed San Francisco Giants | 54c | 1,443$779 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$779.07 | 77 | 50.6%39 W · 38 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf984…5098backed San Francisco Giants | 7c | 1,351$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.42 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Washington Nationals | 44c | 1,241$543 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$697.85 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed San Francisco Giants | 57c | 1,200$681 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$681.13 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09af…9728backed San Francisco Giants | 57c | 1,123$640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$640 | 891 | 53.5%477 W · 414 L | +24.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Washington Nationals | 42c | 1,100$462 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$638 | 1,010 | 48.1%486 W · 524 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc978…706bbacked San Francisco Giants | 4c | 1,048$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.92 | 310 | 46.5%144 W · 166 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36d8…c7c7backed San Francisco Giants | 50c | 1,015$508 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$507.69 | 707 | 35.1%248 W · 459 L | -31.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc602…7fc1backed San Francisco Giants | 58c | 1,000$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$580 | 126 | 40.5%51 W · 75 L | -12.2wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -22%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Washington Nationals | 44c | 1,000$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$560 | 707 | 44.7%316 W · 391 L | -22.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed San Francisco Giants | 52c | 985.39$512 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$512.4 | 1,510 | 39%589 W · 921 L | -16.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Washington Nationals | 42c | 980.59$416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$564.22 | 2,407 | 48.5%1,167 W · 1,240 L | -62.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7681…ac03backed San Francisco Giants | 11c | 946.6$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.13 | 90 | 21.1%19 W · 71 L | -4.3wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Washington Nationals | 46c | 936.08$431 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$505.48 | 1,865 | 52%970 W · 895 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Washington Nationals | 52c | 933.03$488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$445.5 | 1,043 | 49%511 W · 532 L | +3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37c4…3e8fbacked San Francisco Giants | 56c | 921.44$516 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$516.01 | 52 | 36.5%19 W · 33 L | -6.9wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked San Francisco Giants | 42c | 906.69$382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$381.7 | 1,141 | 42.9%490 W · 651 L | -37.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8811…627cbacked Washington Nationals | 63c | 876.67$555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$321.19 | 554 | 64.1%355 W · 199 L | +63.1wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x7ec7…2b6bbacked San Francisco Giants | 56c | 869.29$487 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$486.8 | 64 | 56.3%36 W · 28 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Washington Nationals | 42c | 839.35$352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$487.14 | 678 | 49.3%334 W · 344 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Washington Nationals | 41c | 806.09$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$475.6 | 1,572 | 48.3%759 W · 813 L | -6.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Washington Nationals | 55c | 805.37$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$365.57 | 4,035 | 57.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L | +72.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked San Francisco Giants | 6c | 786.33$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.18 | 940 | 34.3%322 W · 618 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6832…831fbacked San Francisco Giants | 23c | 766.66$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.55 | 158 | 40.5%64 W · 94 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed San Francisco Giants | 50c | 751.43$377 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$377.23 | 555 | 41.4%230 W · 325 L | -26.7wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked San Francisco Giants | 41c | 725.78$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.49 | 1,355 | 49.8%675 W · 680 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked Washington Nationals | 56c | 722.1$406 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315.64 | 143 | 28.7%41 W · 102 L | -11.9wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed San Francisco Giants | 56c | 673.98$377 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$377.43 | 604 | 51%308 W · 296 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a9…e22ebacked Washington Nationals | 43c | 619.54$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$354.22 | 373 | 48.3%180 W · 193 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Washington Nationals | 74c | 608.76$447 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.32 | 852 | 35.8%305 W · 547 L | -23.9wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa917…4e8dbacked San Francisco Giants | 57c | 604$344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$344.28 | 283 | 47.3%134 W · 149 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44f0…432cbacked San Francisco Giants | 55c | 570.57$314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$313.81 | 410 | 51.7%212 W · 198 L | +14.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe292…84b8backed Washington Nationals | 43c | 569.99$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$322.09 | 1,402 | 43.1%604 W · 798 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf429…969ebacked San Francisco Giants | 57c | 568.28$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$323.92 | 198 | 42.9%85 W · 113 L | -10.1wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb2b…e828backed Washington Nationals | 43c | 539.19$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$307.4 | 168 | 44%74 W · 94 L | -7.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfed7…e405backed Washington Nationals | 50c | 526.86$261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.75 | 801 | 59.2%474 W · 327 L | +7.2wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Washington Nationals | 42c | 491.38$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.62 | 1,515 | 51.1%774 W · 741 L | +7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1489…9924backed San Francisco Giants | 57c | 453$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.21 | 185 | 53%98 W · 87 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9bd…3947backed Washington Nationals | 44c | 450.25$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.14 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd72…01c4backed San Francisco Giants | 57c | 444.37$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.29 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbc1…8a4cbacked San Francisco Giants | 56c | 441.6$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.29 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb46…3692backed San Francisco Giants | 57c | 430.4$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.33 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -2.8wins | -0.20per pick | 49cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6001…0457backed San Francisco Giants | 55c | 412.85$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.07 | 185 | 53.5%99 W · 86 L | +6.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ba5…aaf1backed San Francisco Giants | 56c | 405.61$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.14 | 540 | 48.3%261 W · 279 L | -12.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5d0…5909backed Washington Nationals | 44c | 395.35$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.39 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b97…6084backed San Francisco Giants | 57c | 389.68$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.12 | 591 | 50.3%297 W · 294 L | +9.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc494…543cbacked San Francisco Giants | 56c | 382.49$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.19 | 73 | 47.9%35 W · 38 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…1635backed Washington Nationals | 64c | 376.93$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.87 | 529 | 55.6%294 W · 235 L | +13.1wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -10%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6196…1a64backed Washington Nationals | 44c | 373.38$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.09 | 175 | 58.3%102 W · 73 L | +6.7wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked Washington Nationals | 45c | 350.08$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.08 | 1,119 | 45.5%509 W · 610 L | +16.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69dd…1964backed San Francisco Giants | 56c | 348.84$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.7 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55a6…eeb0backed San Francisco Giants | 56c | 347.71$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.72 | 49 | 51%25 W · 24 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- San Francisco Giants vs. Washington Nationalsthis page
- San Francisco Giants vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 3.5Under won
- San Francisco Giants vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 4.5Under won
- San Francisco Giants vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 5.5Under won
- San Francisco Giants vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 6.5Under won
- San Francisco Giants vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 8.5Under won
- Spread: San Francisco Giants (-1.5)Washington Nationals won
- Spread: Washington Nationals (-1.5)Washington Nationals won
- Spread: Washington Nationals (-2.5)Washington Nationals won
- Spread: Washington Nationals (-3.5)San Francisco Giants won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.