TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

La Liga · resolved market

Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-04-23?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$2,255,561
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$2,314,343

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,255,561 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 409 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2eb1…4ea4backed No58c1,274,287$737,141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$737,140.9450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-17%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x9495…9a27backed Yes43c848,261$364,208 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$484,052.8614146.8%66 W · 75 L-7.0wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-10.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Yes44c143,586$62,471 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81,115.171,79851.4%924 W · 874 L+6.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes40c85,140$33,734 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51,406.054,74047%2,230 W · 2,510 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd604…cb5fbacked Yes38c76,609$29,112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47,497.82171.4%15 W · 6 L+2.2wins+0.10per pick61cpaid+17.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe542…0a37backed Yes38c72,978$27,732 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45,246.168143.2%35 W · 46 L+7.5wins+0.09per pick34cpaid+48.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No25c69,184$17,003 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,002.923,44943%1,484 W · 1,965 L+32.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x44c5…8d45backed Yes43c62,285$26,652 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35,632.9212553.6%67 W · 58 L+10.2wins+0.08per pick45cpaid+14.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xea2b…1fc6backed Yes43c50,000$21,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28,5009743.3%42 W · 55 L-7.5wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-20.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2a2c…9bc1backed No49c43,693$21,207 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21,206.6310948.6%53 W · 56 L+3.1wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-2.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x73c5…2f80backed No9c39,423$3,526 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,526.396235.5%22 W · 40 L+0.2wins0.00per pick35cpaid-37.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x709e…66f5backed Yes37c36,832$13,688 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23,144.292437.5%9 W · 15 L-1.8wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-19.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed No55c32,474$17,704 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,703.9315459.7%92 W · 62 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick59cpaid-0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes43c23,699$10,279 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,420.32,34348.5%1,137 W · 1,206 L+1.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x12b9…3ec2backed Yes44c17,678$7,777 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,900.399851%50 W · 48 L+12.8wins+0.13per pick38cpaid+43.2%equal weight62+0.10 edge/pick
0x198f…c419backed Yes44c17,045$7,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,545.4613645.6%62 W · 74 L-4.3wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Yes41c14,054$5,760 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,294.4457139.2%224 W · 347 L+1.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid-11.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed No25c13,433$3,370 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,369.821,41945.6%647 W · 772 L-9.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-18.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf6c…7e66backed Yes37c12,839$4,750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,088.613366.7%22 W · 11 L+3.9wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+19.6%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Yes38c12,461$4,789 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,671.3783444.6%372 W · 462 L+14.9wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+7.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Yes43c9,099$3,876 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,222.947653.9%41 W · 35 L+4.4wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+28.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x629c…6c01backed Yes45c9,000$4,070 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,929.977553.3%40 W · 35 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+8.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Yes44c8,082$3,518 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,563.691,17651.9%610 W · 566 L+18.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed No54c7,423$4,009 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,008.5850449.8%251 W · 253 L+7.5wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-0.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked No16c6,866$1,113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,113.0221322.1%47 W · 166 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick23cpaid-32.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x256b…cd5dbacked No58c6,524$3,763 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,762.587653.9%41 W · 35 L+2.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x26d6…caccbacked No53c6,285$3,305 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,305.4918956.6%107 W · 82 L+8.1wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-15.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes39c6,092$2,350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,742.499933.4%334 W · 665 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-21.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed No56c5,973$3,363 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,362.6640357.1%230 W · 173 L+7.6wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfb51…082dbacked No56c5,973$3,363 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,362.6623456.4%132 W · 102 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8c81…dcd3backed Yes38c5,900$2,240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,6606538.5%25 W · 40 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-19.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes45c5,400$2,450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,949.9550243.4%218 W · 284 L+2.0wins0.00per pick43cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdf07…e601backed Yes35c4,997$1,769 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,228.122040%8 W · 12 L+1.7wins+0.09per pick31cpaid+30.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9b1e…82c9backed Yes39c4,941$1,927 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,013.711947.4%9 W · 10 L+1.8wins+0.09per pick38cpaid+27.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed No10c4,823$479 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$478.9840033.5%134 W · 266 L-27.0wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-2.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe4fc…8af7backed No53c4,500$2,385 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,384.915749.1%28 W · 29 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes46c4,459$2,051 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,407.6949447%232 W · 262 L+8.3wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1467…4372backed No55c4,423$2,433 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,432.56555.4%36 W · 29 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1b47…d814backed No9c4,415$397 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$397.3815051.3%77 W · 73 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x97f9…0aebbacked Yes45c4,272$1,922 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,349.595440.7%22 W · 32 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-32.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed No8c4,013$333 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$332.5924344.4%108 W · 135 L-4.4wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-1.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2974…95d6backed Yes25c3,828$955 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,873.081030%3 W · 7 L-0.9wins-0.09per pick39cpaid-4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9f7b…7f37backed Yes47c3,656$1,719 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,937.93666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+49.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Yes44c3,636$1,617 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,018.44537.8%17 W · 28 L-0.2wins0.00per pick38cpaid-27.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed Yes44c3,427$1,499 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,927.798251.2%42 W · 40 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb85…152fbacked Yes44c3,295$1,450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,844.953525.7%9 W · 26 L-6.8wins-0.19per pick45cpaid-47.3%equal weight37-0.11 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Yes39c3,259$1,278 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,981.451,50838.7%583 W · 925 L+12.4wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x83d9…651bbacked No66c3,021$1,988 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,988.4960147.9%288 W · 313 L+50.5wins+0.08per pick40cpaid+13.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Yes44c2,600$1,139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,461.0364457%367 W · 277 L+27.8wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+8.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7479…e171backed Yes39c2,343$907 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,4367950.6%40 W · 39 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8228…b2fbbacked Yes44c2,196$966 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,229.961957.9%11 W · 8 L+1.4wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+13.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x72d7…1b97backed Yes31c2,130$656 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,473.7123727%64 W · 173 L+8.5wins+0.04per pick23cpaid+6.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x39d3…9ef0backed No54c2,091$1,129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,128.9610539%41 W · 64 L-4.5wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-7.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc294…570ebacked Yes38c2,002$761 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,2413240.6%13 W · 19 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick37cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x60ba…3c6cbacked No53c2,000$1,060 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,059.975853.4%31 W · 27 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc463…9a2fbacked No53c2,000$1,060 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,059.937667.1%51 W · 25 L+4.7wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+5.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc61d…3933backed Yes44c1,849$814 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,035.638432.1%27 W · 57 L-2.8wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-13.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7434…2ff4backed Yes44c1,808$795 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,012.2612236.1%44 W · 78 L+0.2wins0.00per pick36cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed No31c1,765$548 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$547.7958548%281 W · 304 L+10.6wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-13.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x54a6…7401backed Yes43c1,691$733 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$958.038254.9%45 W · 37 L+4.0wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+8.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked No10c1,688$169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$168.8461657.8%356 W · 260 L+42.1wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+17.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x0b3f…5a9fbacked Yes47c1,648$775 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$873.444358.1%25 W · 18 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick61cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaac8…b6f1backed Yes40c1,636$660 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$975.9914549.7%72 W · 73 L+0.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid+4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6bb5…a518backed Yes45c1,632$727 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$905.411758.8%10 W · 7 L+1.7wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+11%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7bd8…aeabbacked Yes43c1,627$703 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$923.233565.7%23 W · 12 L+2.9wins+0.08per pick57cpaid+23.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd3e7…bf64backed Yes41c1,589$648 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$941.0413551.1%69 W · 66 L-4.0wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-4.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes46c1,554$715 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$838.831,08150.6%547 W · 534 L+11.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Yes44c1,517$661 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$856.1574457.5%428 W · 316 L+22.4wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+1.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf5d1…cdc9backed Yes31c1,409$437 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$972.53138.7%12 W · 19 L-1.2wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-20.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x578e…c3c0backed Yes35c1,373$481 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$892.36250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x441d…544dbacked No55c1,327$730 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$729.751010%1 W · 9 L-3.6wins-0.36per pick46cpaid-81.1%equal weight38-0.10 edge/pick
0x1418…6fefbacked No53c1,292$685 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$684.985750.9%29 W · 28 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Yes43c1,235$536 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$698.9783650.7%424 W · 412 L+0.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid-4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3c80…93b5backed Yes40c1,205$482 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7236848.5%33 W · 35 L+4.0wins+0.06per pick43cpaid+15.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc443…359bbacked Yes34c1,130$384 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$745.7221641.7%90 W · 126 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x95b7…d633backed Yes44c1,100$484 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6167851.3%40 W · 38 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ca1…aea0backed Yes46c1,100$506 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59411333.6%38 W · 75 L-4.8wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-9.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa623…a4febacked Yes41c1,066$433 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$633.7922446%103 W · 121 L-8.0wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-15.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5cb4…4576backed Yes43c1,052$456 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$595.5422658.4%132 W · 94 L+10.9wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+10.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed No57c1,051$595 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$594.928357.2%162 W · 121 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7cbe…c4b7backed Yes42c1,001$420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$580.587936.7%29 W · 50 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-21.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc95b…f819backed Yes43c1,000$430 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5702250%11 W · 11 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d46…3e2dbacked No10c1,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001926.3%5 W · 14 L+1.1wins+0.06per pick21cpaid+12.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb9b4…3111backed Yes45c1,000$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5501330.8%4 W · 9 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick36cpaid-10.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa3d3…f2bcbacked Yes43c1,000$430 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57012845.3%58 W · 70 L-5.7wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-10.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x97fd…3313backed Yes43c1,000$430 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5701442.9%6 W · 8 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Yes44c1,000$440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5601,03848.1%499 W · 539 L+17.4wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2f5b…e747backed No53c1,000$530 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5306051.7%31 W · 29 L-0.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee19…555ebacked Yes46c999.99$460 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54014250.7%72 W · 70 L-0.5wins0.00per pick51cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x923c…6d03backed Yes45c999.99$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5506225.8%16 W · 46 L-3.4wins-0.06per pick31cpaid-9.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0f01…0d90backed Yes44c999.99$440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$559.99977.8%7 W · 2 L+2.2wins+0.24per pick54cpaid+49.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x76b4…ca9bbacked Yes45c999.96$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$549.982070%14 W · 6 L+2.2wins+0.11per pick59cpaid+21.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6945…729cbacked No7c993.09$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.453740.5%15 W · 22 L+2.8wins+0.08per pick33cpaid-11.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes44c986.87$434 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$552.6589050%445 W · 445 L+24.8wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+3.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x28dc…a1f2backed Yes44c966.4$425 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$541.1811566.1%76 W · 39 L+13.9wins+0.12per pick54cpaid+36.9%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed No32c919.1$293 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$293.4992345.5%420 W · 503 L-30.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-18.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9086…4d46backed Yes21c907.24$191 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$716.724240.5%17 W · 25 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick37cpaid+13.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8098…5646backed No56c869.29$487 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$486.89660.4%58 W · 38 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf342…a5e9backed Yes46c818.76$379 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$439.352326.1%6 W · 17 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick30cpaid-27.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Yes38c807.53$309 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$498.1341751.8%216 W · 201 L+18.2wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-0.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.