TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

La Liga · resolved market

Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. RCD Espanyol de Barcelona end in a draw?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$281,624
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$303,966

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $281,624 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 227 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xead1…c76abacked Yes31c65,586$20,321 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20,321.4650243.4%218 W · 284 L+2.0wins0.00per pick43cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x19e2…ce3cbacked Yes49c25,654$12,477 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,477.1815034.7%52 W · 98 L+0.6wins0.00per pick34cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1d63…2e49backed No71c25,430$18,055 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,374.686350.8%32 W · 31 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick54cpaid+3.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2a2c…9bc1backed No50c22,471$11,139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,331.2910948.6%53 W · 56 L+3.1wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-2.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9cb9…32f2backed No69c22,320$15,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,919.059028.9%26 W · 64 L-7.0wins-0.08per pick37cpaid-30.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No69c17,535$12,186 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,349.641,16951.8%606 W · 563 L+18.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcf6c…7e66backed Yes44c12,809$5,685 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,685.363366.7%22 W · 11 L+3.9wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+19.6%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x2128…da98backed No71c12,166$8,654 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,511.852853.6%15 W · 13 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-14.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbf1…86b5backed No69c10,801$7,453 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,348.454100%4 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.39per pick62cpaid+66.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No70c10,192$7,090 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,102.842,33948.5%1,135 W · 1,204 L+1.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf519…906bbacked No69c9,794$6,758 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,036.0524147.7%115 W · 126 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x44c5…8d45backed No52c9,620$5,002 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,617.612553.6%67 W · 58 L+10.2wins+0.08per pick45cpaid+14.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No69c8,013$5,529 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,483.81,79851.4%924 W · 874 L+6.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes41c7,617$3,098 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,097.714,72947.1%2,225 W · 2,504 L-24.0wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x83d9…651bbacked No51c5,514$2,806 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,707.3760147.9%288 W · 313 L+50.5wins+0.08per pick40cpaid+13.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed No70c5,271$3,685 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,586.8350249.6%249 W · 253 L+6.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes28c4,692$1,328 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,328.0292345.5%420 W · 503 L-30.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-18.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No63c3,801$2,391 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,410.833,44443%1,482 W · 1,962 L+31.8wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-10.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x180a…54a6backed Yes30c3,577$1,073 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,072.96728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.5wins-0.21per pick49cpaid-29.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8987…02f3backed No70c3,402$2,381 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,020.64959.2%29 W · 20 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick63cpaid-0.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x769b…2ea9backed Yes30c2,894$868 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$868.151315.4%2 W · 11 L-1.5wins-0.12per pick27cpaid-54%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x198f…c419backed Yes29c2,476$718 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$718.0513645.6%62 W · 74 L-4.3wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7edb…7993backed No79c2,374$1,873 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$501.3821950.2%110 W · 109 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-22.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed No70c2,300$1,610 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$689.9140357.1%230 W · 173 L+7.6wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Yes33c2,080$687 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$686.7756439.2%221 W · 343 L+0.4wins0.00per pick39cpaid-11.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x287a…02d2backed No67c2,055$1,377 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$678.143476.5%26 W · 8 L+2.7wins+0.08per pick68cpaid+12.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc463…9a2fbacked No69c2,000$1,380 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6207667.1%51 W · 25 L+4.7wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+5.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4b49…0397backed No69c2,000$1,380 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6207561.3%46 W · 29 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+6.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8136…772cbacked No70c1,964$1,375 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$589.2825%2 W · 6 L-2.9wins-0.37per pick62cpaid-65.5%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x6340…1bd0backed Yes25c1,937$483 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$482.9411120.7%23 W · 88 L-10.9wins-0.10per pick31cpaid-40.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xefa5…b417backed No70c1,894$1,326 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$568.283658.3%21 W · 15 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x26d6…caccbacked No74c1,845$1,370 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$474.5718956.6%107 W · 82 L+8.1wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-15.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8f19…549ebacked No49c1,470$714 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$755.451100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+105.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9dba…70babacked No48c1,443$692 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$750.121100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3625…1187backed Yes30c1,414$425 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$425.371747.1%8 W · 9 L+0.8wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaaf0…35c9backed No50c1,253$622 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$630.821100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+101.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcabe…2e9dbacked No51c1,240$632 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$607.681100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcef7…e7d7backed No57c1,236$705 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$531.4812251.6%63 W · 59 L+10.8wins+0.09per pick43cpaid+21.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5fef…d941backed No48c1,218$585 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$633.451100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4180…3f85backed Yes31c1,206$374 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$373.85333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.24per pick58cpaid-48.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x95b7…d633backed No69c1,100$759 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3417851.3%40 W · 38 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x78f9…046abacked No48c1,071$514 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$556.711100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4498…35e6backed Yes17c1,044$182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$182.461435.7%5 W · 9 L-1.1wins-0.08per pick44cpaid-30.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5b56…5bdebacked No48c1,024$492 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$532.621100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Yes29c1,005$291 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$291.3582844.8%371 W · 457 L+15.4wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+7.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbe3c…a835backed No35c999.97$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$649.9823255.6%129 W · 103 L+18.5wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+17.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x7bec…07a8backed Yes30c999.97$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$299.993743.2%16 W · 21 L+2.8wins+0.08per pick36cpaid+24.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed No71c991.22$704 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$287.459944.4%44 W · 55 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x28dc…a1f2backed No70c982$687 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$294.611566.1%76 W · 39 L+13.9wins+0.12per pick54cpaid+36.9%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xfd1b…e3b3backed Yes31c927.68$288 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$287.5810%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb442…bed7backed Yes38c912.13$347 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$346.615248.1%25 W · 27 L-2.0wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-15.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3a13…db82backed No69c854$589 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$264.741553.3%8 W · 7 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed No55c830.25$457 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$373.5358548%281 W · 304 L+10.6wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-13.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed No70c814.08$570 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$244.2215459.7%92 W · 62 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick59cpaid-0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfd43…cd41backed No62c806.99$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$306.662365.2%15 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick65cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbe7e…6d00backed Yes12c789.33$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.726437.5%24 W · 40 L+2.4wins+0.04per pick34cpaid+9.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0040…9eb8backed No49c787.52$382 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$405.5118656.5%105 W · 81 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf9f7…05debacked No71c755.62$536 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$219.13757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-16%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x09a5…0306backed No70c746.38$523 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$222.931758.8%10 W · 7 L+1.2wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+3.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xda2e…8904backed Yes30c685.29$206 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205.59520%1 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick21cpaid+33.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3982…2befbacked Yes29c660.28$191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191.4823957.7%138 W · 101 L+4.6wins+0.02per pick56cpaid-1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc7e5…2d3abacked No36c658.93$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$418.457024.3%17 W · 53 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick23cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6dbc…4632backed No70c652.2$457 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$195.661457.1%8 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed Yes30c620.27$186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$186.0822448.2%108 W · 116 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Yes45c611.42$273 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$273.381,41845.6%646 W · 772 L-10.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-18.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf11a…d3e3backed No71c492.98$348 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.952259.1%13 W · 9 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick63cpaid-8.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x17e2…d472backed Yes38c485.25$186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$186.222828.6%8 W · 20 L-2.3wins-0.08per pick37cpaid-0.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7106…1caabacked Yes42c471.11$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$197.872729.6%8 W · 19 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-20.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc775…6b22backed Yes9c444$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.961010%1 W · 9 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick11cpaid-16.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8e8c…65ddbacked Yes47c424.33$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.482853.6%15 W · 13 L+1.5wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+21.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd208…29e6backed No70c420.86$295 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.266660.6%40 W · 26 L+5.8wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+17.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3f6a…a7bfbacked No69c413.2$285 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.0910759.8%64 W · 43 L+5.5wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+10.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf142…57e7backed No69c400$276 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12425648.4%124 W · 132 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x81a8…9c69backed No70c393.47$275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.043351.5%17 W · 16 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-12.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed No69c387.99$270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.351,49738.6%578 W · 919 L+12.4wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked No48c387.77$188 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$200.1483640%334 W · 502 L-19.9wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-15.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf342…a5e9backed Yes10c378.28$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.942326.1%6 W · 17 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick30cpaid-27.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Yes48c362.09$173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$173.134537.8%17 W · 28 L-0.2wins0.00per pick38cpaid-27.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa93e…0a8cbacked No71c321.77$228 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.318353%44 W · 39 L-2.2wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x02bc…1fd2backed Yes29c299.97$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.9915344.4%68 W · 85 L+0.5wins0.00per pick44cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2dc4…0c92backed No69c293.94$203 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.1231952.4%167 W · 152 L+8.3wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+6.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x84d7…298fbacked No58c289.13$168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.1313230.3%40 W · 92 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbca…ca8dbacked Yes30c287.4$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.223046.7%14 W · 16 L+0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid+1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x02d4…d26cbacked Yes11c279.19$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.2417326.6%46 W · 127 L+7.4wins+0.04per pick22cpaid+5.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xaa7a…b823backed Yes30c257.29$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.19944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.06per pick39cpaid-5.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Yes45c255.23$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.141351.8%214 W · 199 L+17.9wins+0.04per pick47cpaid0%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3092…c9a8backed Yes32c230.64$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.33441.2%14 W · 20 L-3.0wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-28.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3322…7dc2backed Yes31c223.72$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.312934.5%10 W · 19 L-1.7wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-25.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xda00…5c4dbacked Yes72c213.65$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153.83250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.24per pick74cpaid-34.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xde80…d8b9backed Yes10c208.12$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.812313%3 W · 20 L-5.1wins-0.22per pick35cpaid-55.8%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xb0d7…0df5backed Yes29c207.99$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.322821.4%6 W · 22 L-3.6wins-0.13per pick34cpaid-44.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x7a68…98aebacked Yes48c202.28$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.871471.4%10 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick68cpaid+9.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed No69c200.01$139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.3463757.1%364 W · 273 L+28.5wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+9.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf8d9…d7f5backed Yes8c200$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153831.6%12 W · 26 L+1.5wins+0.04per pick28cpaid+29.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x948b…a188backed Yes66c198.59$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.0733161.3%203 W · 128 L+12.1wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5c69…51cabacked Yes30c195.75$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.732821.4%6 W · 22 L-2.1wins-0.07per pick29cpaid-37.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xef20…c46abacked No63c195.56$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.31861.1%11 W · 7 L+2.0wins+0.11per pick50cpaid+55.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa24d…38b2backed Yes30c193.92$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.5720630.6%63 W · 143 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick30cpaid-2.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xc93c…95cabacked No71c186.11$131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.885158.8%30 W · 21 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick60cpaid-7.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6398…0485backed Yes30c184.89$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.47633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-39.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.