MLB · resolved market
Spread: Pittsburgh Pirates (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf034ec6ad33eee254dd676f8b4ad507786737535d4e1c1ae5be6b21782384793
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Tampa Bay Raysof Pittsburgh Pirates, Tampa Bay Rays
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $225,116
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $223,292
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $225,116 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 104 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc807…c12bbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 62c | 171,650$106,423 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65,226.88 | 501 | 53.5%268 W · 233 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 38c | 149,664$56,872 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56,872.16 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Tampa Bay Rays | 62c | 23,909$14,885 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,024.36 | 595 | 49.7%296 W · 299 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8cdc…b83fbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 38c | 22,446$8,529 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,529.45 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -3.9wins | -0.21per pick | 42cpaid | -53.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 37c | 8,810$3,255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,254.95 | 650 | 50.3%327 W · 323 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 38c | 6,057$2,302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,301.6 | 1,355 | 49.8%675 W · 680 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Tampa Bay Rays | 28c | 4,143$1,167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,975.74 | 2,389 | 43.4%1,037 W · 1,352 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 38c | 3,895$1,480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,480.01 | 321 | 52%167 W · 154 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b46…684dbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 75c | 3,515$2,641 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,641.32 | 191 | 43.5%83 W · 108 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Tampa Bay Rays | 61c | 2,539$1,557 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$982.46 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Tampa Bay Rays | 62c | 2,500$1,550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$950 | 750 | 49.7%373 W · 377 L | +7.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4285…cfb5backed Tampa Bay Rays | 60c | 2,480$1,491 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$989.16 | 165 | 47.3%78 W · 87 L | -10.3wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd3df…82fabacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 47c | 2,333$1,090 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,090.46 | 488 | 50.2%245 W · 243 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9ea…b781backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 48c | 1,604$768 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$768.18 | 568 | 51.4%292 W · 276 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9e7…0febbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 57c | 1,505$862 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$643.39 | 78 | 51.3%40 W · 38 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7462…3ac3backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 77c | 1,407$1,082 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,082.24 | 57 | 54.4%31 W · 26 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 41c | 766.17$314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$314.13 | 1,010 | 48.1%486 W · 524 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 49c | 762.8$377 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$376.68 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Tampa Bay Rays | 59c | 694.07$409 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.57 | 5,400 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,674 L | +17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 50c | 623.57$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$311.74 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x30a0…a458backed Tampa Bay Rays | 46c | 599.98$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$323.99 | 74 | 44.6%33 W · 41 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x047c…3ce4backed Tampa Bay Rays | 63c | 465.62$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.28 | 51 | 60.8%31 W · 20 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb5…a518backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 38c | 432.8$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.46 | 114 | 51.8%59 W · 55 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 20c | 422.57$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$339.71 | 1,843 | 43.6%804 W · 1,039 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…4f88backed Tampa Bay Rays | 30c | 412.41$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$286.79 | 422 | 41%173 W · 249 L | -15.9wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 38c | 398.6$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.47 | 310 | 38.4%119 W · 191 L | +9.7wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed Tampa Bay Rays | 48c | 340.82$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.92 | 199 | 34.2%68 W · 131 L | -9.1wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 59c | 339.99$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.39 | 1,769 | 51.6%912 W · 857 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x389d…a58fbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 42c | 289.56$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.62 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +1.5wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x83ce…835cbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 62c | 286.08$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.71 | 507 | 48.7%247 W · 260 L | -17.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14e4…eabbbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 38c | 228.03$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.65 | 509 | 49.5%252 W · 257 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 47c | 224.79$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.05 | 6,302 | 48.3%3,041 W · 3,261 L | +181.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5ba9…4fa1backed Tampa Bay Rays | 61c | 219.74$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.7 | 92 | 50%46 W · 46 L | -5.8wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb882…fcabbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 68c | 197.86$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.3 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 62cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x551c…fe91backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 41c | 190.19$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.98 | 1,218 | 55.6%677 W · 541 L | +94.9wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 39c | 188.27$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.43 | 1,725 | 50.1%864 W · 861 L | -4.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 53c | 176.85$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.67 | 1,435 | 50%717 W · 718 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2116…eb8fbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 11c | 166.78$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.08 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.22per pick | 16cpaid | +180.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x80aa…e8eabacked Tampa Bay Rays | 11c | 165.63$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.2 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.18per pick | 11cpaid | +93.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 41c | 164$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.24 | 2,296 | 49.7%1,141 W · 1,155 L | +37.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 33c | 152.95$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.9 | 2,545 | 45.9%1,168 W · 1,377 L | -73.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe33d…9512backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 41c | 148.92$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.06 | 172 | 44.2%76 W · 96 L | -7.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x16ea…9400backed Tampa Bay Rays | 62c | 139.5$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.12 | 252 | 49.6%125 W · 127 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 39c | 128.14$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.97 | 1,630 | 55.2%899 W · 731 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7192…7000backed Tampa Bay Rays | 62c | 125.63$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.44 | 57 | 56.1%32 W · 25 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfa8…6e47backed Tampa Bay Rays | 44c | 125.25$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.14 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36f9…5445backed Tampa Bay Rays | 19c | 125.18$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.4 | 158 | 58.2%92 W · 66 L | +8.2wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Tampa Bay Rays | 49c | 119.58$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.28 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0764…41d1backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 68c | 114.38$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.53 | 38 | 65.8%25 W · 13 L | +2.5wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcd1f…2bd0backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 40c | 110.39$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.16 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Tampa Bay Rays | 65c | 106.89$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.3 | 752 | 44%331 W · 421 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb3d…58f5backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 75c | 105.94$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.5 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -3.9wins | -0.25per pick | 56cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7d84…a7bdbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 56c | 97.36$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.52 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -3.6wins | -0.13per pick | 59cpaid | -24%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa21b…9e94backed Tampa Bay Rays | 61c | 80.05$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.22 | 486 | 51%248 W · 238 L | -18.0wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x938e…9b66backed Tampa Bay Rays | 61c | 80.05$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.22 | 481 | 50.7%244 W · 237 L | -19.3wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6762…a9a5backed Tampa Bay Rays | 27c | 78.45$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.27 | 268 | 53.4%143 W · 125 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 40c | 76.36$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.72 | 515 | 55%283 W · 232 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6001…0457backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 41c | 76.33$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.29 | 185 | 53.5%99 W · 86 L | +6.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 60c | 74.56$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.1 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26d0…566ebacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 65c | 70.91$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.21 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2551…217cbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 63c | 68.29$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.27 | 50 | 54%27 W · 23 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a59…a57ebacked Tampa Bay Rays | 21c | 67.3$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.87 | 677 | 42.2%286 W · 391 L | -36.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -18%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1c39…442dbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 33c | 64.26$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.88 | 235 | 22.6%53 W · 182 L | -20.7wins | -0.09per pick | 31cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5cc8…a0e4backed Tampa Bay Rays | 50c | 61.34$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.81 | 130 | 54.6%71 W · 59 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf30a…61fbbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 23c | 61.18$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.31 | 558 | 47.7%266 W · 292 L | -11.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1dd…a098backed Tampa Bay Rays | 21c | 57.12$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.12 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.79per pick | 21cpaid | +376.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0905…e5c0backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 41c | 55$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.55 | 1,661 | 43.5%722 W · 939 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 43c | 54.05$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.82 | 1,269 | 47.4%602 W · 667 L | -31.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Tampa Bay Rays | 60c | 53.31$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.37 | 2,947 | 51.9%1,529 W · 1,418 L | -34.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf438…9901backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 40c | 53.28$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.31 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.16per pick | 43cpaid | -45.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd2c8…d506backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 38c | 50.67$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.26 | 54 | 42.6%23 W · 31 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9825…9ffcbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 38c | 50.67$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.26 | 184 | 44%81 W · 103 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf88b…0ed2backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 60c | 48.8$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.28 | 82 | 52.4%43 W · 39 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96c1…2c59backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 40c | 48.2$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.28 | 1,498 | 45.3%678 W · 820 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0f4…6fa9backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 38c | 48.14$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.29 | 1,777 | 58.4%1,037 W · 740 L | +91.8wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8482…3f7abacked Tampa Bay Rays | 33c | 45.1$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.18 | 1,062 | 49.2%523 W · 539 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fbd…3d15backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 57c | 42.81$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.46 | 186 | 48.4%90 W · 96 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8050…a265backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 65c | 42.32$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.51 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.9wins | -0.48per pick | 65cpaid | -71.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x39dd…7af9backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 76c | 42.06$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.14 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.7wins | -0.46per pick | 62cpaid | -74.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc84f…c9ecbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 75c | 39.4$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.55 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.9wins | -0.32per pick | 65cpaid | -48.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x648d…0ebdbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 63c | 38.8$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.36 | 128 | 64.1%82 W · 46 L | +11.8wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +18%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0c69…2b8dbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 38c | 38.43$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.6 | 307 | 50.2%154 W · 153 L | -7.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8811…627cbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 78c | 37.4$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.23 | 554 | 64.1%355 W · 199 L | +63.1wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Tampa Bay Rays | 38c | 36.11$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.35 | 841 | 22.7%191 W · 650 L | -81.4wins | -0.10per pick | 32cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe397…60b6backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 76c | 32.89$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.76per pick | 76cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb17…32b2backed Tampa Bay Rays | 63c | 32.27$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.94 | 169 | 46.2%78 W · 91 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f98…ec35backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 44c | 31.52$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.87 | 131 | 44.3%58 W · 73 L | -5.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6cac…7c50backed Tampa Bay Rays | 63c | 31.04$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.49 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x927f…b921backed Tampa Bay Rays | 63c | 31.04$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.49 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a14…cab1backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 55c | 30.66$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.86 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -1.6wins | -0.11per pick | 37cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x12b4…a662backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 58c | 29.37$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.94 | 1,133 | 57.2%648 W · 485 L | +35.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 40c | 28.09$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.29 | 777 | 52.1%405 W · 372 L | +36.0wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cd…1e2bbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 42c | 28.06$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.78 | 1,057 | 50.2%531 W · 526 L | +23.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6804…29e2backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 67c | 25.94$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.46 | 1,379 | 50.6%698 W · 681 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b25…10aabacked Tampa Bay Rays | 62c | 20.91$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.87 | 156 | 50%78 W · 78 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8760…d904backed Tampa Bay Rays | 62c | 20.55$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.85 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -46.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50c3…ace1backed Tampa Bay Rays | 61c | 19.53$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.62 | 866 | 53%459 W · 407 L | +16.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadb0…0f62backed Tampa Bay Rays | 60c | 19.32$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.73 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.3wins | +0.21per pick | 52cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb1…cddbbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 63c | 18.62$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.89 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3080…ab1fbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 63c | 18.62$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.89 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +1.8wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Pittsburgh Pirates (-1.5)this page
- Tampa Bay Rays vs. Pittsburgh PiratesTampa Bay Rays won
- Tampa Bay Rays vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 10.5Over won
- Tampa Bay Rays vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 11.5Over won
- Tampa Bay Rays vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 12.5Over won
- Tampa Bay Rays vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 6.5Over won
- Tampa Bay Rays vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 7.5Over won
- Tampa Bay Rays vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 9.5Over won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Tampa Bay Rays vs. Pittsburgh PiratesYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.