MLB · resolved market
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 7.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1e09f927ce488fb52c189c246283d6829c84e4e36566deb7fbfe007625899bdd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $206,000
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $202,407
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $206,000 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 124 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked Under | 51c | 100,000$51,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50,999.97 | 411 | 49.1%202 W · 209 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 49c | 70,742$34,325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36,417.2 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…23c4backed Over | 48c | 33,529$16,075 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,454.36 | 550 | 53.1%292 W · 258 L | +20.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 50c | 22,486$11,311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,175.19 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x39d3…9ef0backed Under | 53c | 15,184$8,048 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,047.51 | 235 | 38.3%90 W · 145 L | -8.5wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 47c | 11,787$5,501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,285.27 | 1,355 | 49.8%675 W · 680 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Under | 51c | 10,458$5,334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,333.81 | 1,041 | 50.1%522 W · 519 L | +17.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Under | 55c | 10,251$5,638 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,638.05 | 1,660 | 50.1%832 W · 828 L | -22.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6498…8910backed Under | 58c | 6,333$3,666 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,665.88 | 517 | 56.5%292 W · 225 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Under | 52c | 5,115$2,660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,660 | 1,572 | 48.3%759 W · 813 L | -6.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d7a…b22fbacked Over | 48c | 4,037$1,938 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,099.07 | 125 | 51.2%64 W · 61 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Under | 48c | 3,028$1,445 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,445.31 | 2,389 | 43.4%1,037 W · 1,352 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Under | 54c | 2,982$1,610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,610.07 | 550 | 53.6%295 W · 255 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa676…a4c5backed Under | 46c | 2,186$1,009 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,008.62 | 69 | 36.2%25 W · 44 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +41.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7245…f1c3backed Over | 46c | 2,180$1,003 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,177.19 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6fb…ee11backed Under | 56c | 2,146$1,202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,202.44 | 655 | 49.3%323 W · 332 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 45c | 2,022$905 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$905.31 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 46c | 2,002$914 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,087.68 | 5,400 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,674 L | +17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6815…9edbbacked Over | 49c | 1,980$969 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,010.38 | 447 | 44.1%197 W · 250 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Under | 51c | 1,500$765 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$765 | 1,292 | 50.2%648 W · 644 L | +18.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3df…82fabacked Over | 49c | 1,267$619 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$647.23 | 488 | 50.2%245 W · 243 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9e7…0febbacked Over | 44c | 1,172$517 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$654.35 | 78 | 51.3%40 W · 38 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 41c | 1,021$414 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$414.13 | 1,722 | 50.3%867 W · 855 L | +55.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7096…7f78backed Over | 48c | 1,012$484 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$527.39 | 70 | 50%35 W · 35 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33c4…8ba3backed Under | 54c | 1,000$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30a0…a458backed Under | 37c | 999.97$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$369.99 | 74 | 44.6%33 W · 41 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8314…0f1ebacked Under | 52c | 979.61$509 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$509.4 | 96 | 55.2%53 W · 43 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x68bf…3e67backed Under | 58c | 979.15$564 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$563.57 | 78 | 52.6%41 W · 37 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x992b…5053backed Under | 54c | 900.37$486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$486.2 | 227 | 53.3%121 W · 106 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12b4…a662backed Over | 49c | 791.35$388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$403.59 | 1,133 | 57.2%648 W · 485 L | +35.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Under | 50c | 774$387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$387.26 | 295 | 47.1%139 W · 156 L | +9.3wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Under | 53c | 759$402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$402.27 | 750 | 49.7%373 W · 377 L | +7.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5966…af5dbacked Under | 54c | 649$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350.46 | 272 | 49.3%134 W · 138 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6001…0457backed Over | 47c | 636.04$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$334.94 | 185 | 53.5%99 W · 86 L | +6.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0520…3efdbacked Over | 45c | 631.47$287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$344.22 | 532 | 61.8%329 W · 203 L | +20.6wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Under | 53c | 621.02$329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329.14 | 1,352 | 50.8%687 W · 665 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4856…c0c5backed Over | 47c | 591.43$278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$313.46 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa704…30d5backed Under | 54c | 579.91$313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$313.15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked Over | 48c | 403.67$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.91 | 418 | 47.6%199 W · 219 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa804…bdc1backed Over | 51c | 363$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.87 | 84 | 46.4%39 W · 45 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Under | 44c | 339.36$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.32 | 1,345 | 47.7%642 W · 703 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Under | 38c | 321.49$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.79 | 781 | 46.4%362 W · 419 L | +11.8wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90df…a209backed Over | 48c | 302.75$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.43 | 73 | 46.6%34 W · 39 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Under | 51c | 258.69$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.93 | 1,521 | 48.6%739 W · 782 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc978…706bbacked Over | 48c | 253.06$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.59 | 310 | 46.5%144 W · 166 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Under | 48c | 240.26$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.34 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8482…3f7abacked Over | 55c | 228.06$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.56 | 1,062 | 49.2%523 W · 539 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Over | 47c | 226.3$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.21 | 1,725 | 50.1%864 W · 861 L | -4.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x783b…dc4cbacked Under | 61c | 223.55$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.96 | 609 | 41.4%252 W · 357 L | -22.4wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd8…eecabacked Over | 46c | 220.87$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.27 | 222 | 48.6%108 W · 114 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c69…e671backed Over | 51c | 211.98$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.67 | 58 | 65.5%38 W · 20 L | +6.3wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Under | 51c | 197.43$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.38 | 6,302 | 48.3%3,041 W · 3,261 L | +181.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fbd…3d15backed Over | 43c | 194.71$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.98 | 186 | 48.4%90 W · 96 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5de7…5417backed Under | 50c | 194$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97 | 109 | 45.9%50 W · 59 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36f9…5445backed Over | 52c | 186.85$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.71 | 158 | 58.2%92 W · 66 L | +8.2wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 47c | 184.61$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.82 | 2,296 | 49.7%1,141 W · 1,155 L | +37.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a59…a57ebacked Under | 31c | 174.02$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.42 | 677 | 42.2%286 W · 391 L | -36.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -18%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed Under | 49c | 165.79$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.1 | 199 | 34.2%68 W · 131 L | -9.1wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x09ee…90a4backed Under | 53c | 156$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.68 | 1,569 | 51.1%801 W · 768 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14e4…eabbbacked Over | 56c | 150.9$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.4 | 509 | 49.5%252 W · 257 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5782…8ce5backed Over | 71c | 138.96$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.72 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked Over | 47c | 128.3$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.82 | 1,630 | 55.2%899 W · 731 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ba9…4fa1backed Over | 59c | 120.1$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.24 | 92 | 50%46 W · 46 L | -5.8wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Over | 46c | 119.99$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.51 | 1,769 | 51.6%912 W · 857 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebe6…9278backed Under | 52c | 98.27$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.1 | 2,104 | 51.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93ac…2761backed Over | 49c | 95.2$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.55 | 2,583 | 61.4%1,587 W · 996 L | +70.9wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4259…77c1backed Over | 49c | 95.2$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.55 | 2,243 | 57.6%1,293 W · 950 L | +37.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82b8…8924backed Under | 53c | 91.68$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.59 | 72 | 51.4%37 W · 35 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa21b…9e94backed Under | 54c | 90.04$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.62 | 486 | 51%248 W · 238 L | -18.0wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x938e…9b66backed Under | 54c | 90.04$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.62 | 481 | 50.7%244 W · 237 L | -19.3wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Over | 47c | 85.22$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.94 | 1,435 | 50%717 W · 718 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54a6…7401backed Under | 51c | 85.21$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.51 | 48 | 64.6%31 W · 17 L | +7.3wins | +0.15per pick | 49cpaid | +35.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Over | 52c | 81.13$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.8 | 1,843 | 43.6%804 W · 1,039 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 52c | 78.06$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.59 | 678 | 49.3%334 W · 344 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed Over | 45c | 75$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.25 | 1,753 | 50.8%890 W · 863 L | +29.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0f4…6fa9backed Under | 51c | 72.81$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.39 | 1,777 | 58.4%1,037 W · 740 L | +91.8wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc8f…d0e4backed Under | 25c | 70.63$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.66 | 36 | 27.8%10 W · 26 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 23cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ac9…f5ddbacked Over | 34c | 70.52$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.51 | 89 | 49.4%44 W · 45 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf30a…61fbbacked Over | 48c | 68.91$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.83 | 558 | 47.7%266 W · 292 L | -11.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 48c | 67.88$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.76 | 1,911 | 53.1%1,014 W · 897 L | +43.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Under | 52c | 65.33$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.28 | 515 | 55%283 W · 232 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Over | 53c | 63.75$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.05 | 3,208 | 51.2%1,642 W · 1,566 L | +146.6wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 50c | 59.31$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.76 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x882a…cde2backed Over | 54c | 57.89$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.77 | 113 | 47.8%54 W · 59 L | +4.4wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Over | 52c | 57.35$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.28 | 1,269 | 47.4%602 W · 667 L | -31.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ba6…cd3ebacked Over | 51c | 54.65$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.73 | 273 | 54.6%149 W · 124 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d05…f729backed Under | 54c | 54.45$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.41 | 200 | 44.5%89 W · 111 L | -8.6wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bb…0fe1backed Over | 48c | 50.46$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.24 | 155 | 52.3%81 W · 74 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcefd…be00backed Over | 48c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10cf…1cfbbacked Over | 47c | 48.83$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.88 | 335 | 47.5%159 W · 176 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 51c | 47.37$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.34 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf14…5d95backed Under | 26c | 46.03$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.84 | 28 | 25%7 W · 21 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -15%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe4e4…2e35backed Over | 53c | 45.8$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.51 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcce5…7eb2backed Over | 56c | 43.46$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.12 | 53 | 45.3%24 W · 29 L | -3.2wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1a4d…4c76backed Over | 47c | 42.13$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.28 | 135 | 52.6%71 W · 64 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fe5…7936backed Over | 46c | 42.07$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.72 | 192 | 48.4%93 W · 99 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdba8…5d91backed Over | 47c | 41.63$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.07 | 226 | 50.4%114 W · 112 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0915…d08abacked Over | 48c | 40$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.8 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | -4.5wins | -0.17per pick | 48cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x70fc…ab12backed Over | 49c | 39.91$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.54 | 1,367 | 54.3%742 W · 625 L | +16.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…4f88backed Under | 43c | 39.36$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.86 | 422 | 41%173 W · 249 L | -15.9wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Tampa Bay Rays vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 7.5this page
- Spread: Pittsburgh Pirates (-1.5)Tampa Bay Rays won
- Tampa Bay Rays vs. Pittsburgh PiratesTampa Bay Rays won
- Tampa Bay Rays vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 10.5Over won
- Tampa Bay Rays vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 11.5Over won
- Tampa Bay Rays vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 12.5Over won
- Tampa Bay Rays vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 6.5Over won
- Tampa Bay Rays vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 9.5Over won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Tampa Bay Rays vs. Pittsburgh PiratesYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.