TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Australian A League · resolved market

Will Macarthur FC win on 2026-04-24?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Australian A Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$137,921
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$149,651

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $137,921 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 164 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Australian A League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Australian A League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xf5f9…87b0backed Yes40c62,588$25,033 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37,555.681464.3%9 W · 5 L+2.1wins+0.15per pick49cpaid+32.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No57c29,141$16,584 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,584.0298844.4%439 W · 549 L-11.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-10.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed No5c13,451$662 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$662.2324732.4%80 W · 167 L-0.4wins0.00per pick33cpaid-15.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No60c10,345$6,207 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,206.634450%22 W · 22 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No60c4,765$2,857 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,856.7443748.3%211 W · 226 L+5.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+7.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7236…ea53backed No60c4,000$2,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,4001968.4%13 W · 6 L+3.1wins+0.16per pick52cpaid+31.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed No22c3,544$774 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$773.88747.1%41 W · 46 L+3.0wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+8.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8fe7…4f20backed No53c3,114$1,648 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,648.192763%17 W · 10 L+2.8wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+23.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x374a…03edbacked No60c3,000$1,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,8001758.8%10 W · 7 L+1.6wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+15.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed No11c2,991$325 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$325.246435.9%23 W · 41 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-15.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3de4…b032backed No61c2,006$1,223 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,222.91040%4 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-9.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed No60c1,890$1,135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,134.854452.3%23 W · 21 L+0.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid+2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfb51…082dbacked No60c1,890$1,135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,134.855257.7%30 W · 22 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe1a6…d584backed No60c1,750$1,050 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0502568%17 W · 8 L+2.9wins+0.11per pick57cpaid+24.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xd3b5…a2a7backed Yes59c1,653$975 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$677.82933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfabc…2134backed Yes45c1,538$685 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$852.9214060.7%85 W · 55 L+19.7wins+0.14per pick47cpaid+31%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x38f1…9ff1backed No56c1,528$852 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$852.151464.3%9 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick61cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfb13…5946backed No60c1,500$900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9001855.6%10 W · 8 L+1.2wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+13.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes44c1,171$520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$650.6913551.1%69 W · 66 L+0.7wins0.00per pick51cpaid+5.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf5d1…cdc9backed No56c1,085$608 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$607.593043.3%13 W · 17 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+31.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa623…a4febacked No60c1,084$651 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$650.62240.9%9 W · 13 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-10.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x664a…fc5fbacked No20c1,052$214 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$213.631822.2%4 W · 14 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick28cpaid-49.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x28dc…a1f2backed No60c976$586 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$585.6850%4 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+37.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfb85…8464backed No61c960.59$586 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$585.96333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.21per pick55cpaid-48.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes73c955.5$695 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$260.1215140.4%61 W · 90 L-5.5wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-22.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2dc4…0c92backed Yes47c933.08$438 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$495.137549.3%37 W · 38 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid+3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbd14…76b4backed Yes47c890.25$418 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$471.831546.7%7 W · 8 L-1.3wins-0.09per pick55cpaid-23.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6945…729cbacked No2c866.34$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.721838.9%7 W · 11 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-21.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x09d3…3128backed Yes49c754.43$369 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$385.11100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked No21c744.34$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156.413941%16 W · 23 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-32.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Yes59c736.85$434 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$302.4313049.2%64 W · 66 L+0.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Yes78c660.44$515 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$145.771533.3%5 W · 10 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-15.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Yes56c574.94$320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$255.3347850.8%243 W · 235 L+4.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc775…6b22backed No7c570.99$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.9750%0 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf40a…ea0abacked Yes60c524.07$312 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$212.01450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-25.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe75e…4b67backed No60c500$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3001764.7%11 W · 6 L+2.0wins+0.12per pick53cpaid+27.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3388…61d7backed No60c500$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3002070%14 W · 6 L+3.1wins+0.16per pick54cpaid+34.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x288a…0048backed No60c500$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3001770.6%12 W · 5 L+2.8wins+0.16per pick54cpaid+31.5%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x85d8…3cbebacked Yes38c499.48$190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$309.682650%13 W · 13 L+1.8wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+2.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3f6a…a7bfbacked No60c450$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2702157.1%12 W · 9 L+1.3wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+13.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbb9f…557bbacked No9c445.6$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.831216.7%2 W · 10 L-1.4wins-0.12per pick28cpaid-68.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe18a…fd87backed No45c433.87$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.354928.6%14 W · 35 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick27cpaid+47.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6785…98c3backed Yes40c426.57$171 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$255.94475%3 W · 1 L+1.9wins+0.48per pick27cpaid+306.4%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x7511…582ebacked Yes78c414.96$324 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.295352.8%28 W · 25 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x85c3…700cbacked No45c407.47$183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$183.361526.7%4 W · 11 L-3.1wins-0.21per pick47cpaid-45.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x60ab…e297backed No60c400$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2402263.6%14 W · 8 L+2.1wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+20.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x606f…b043backed No60c400$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2401776.5%13 W · 4 L+3.7wins+0.22per pick54cpaid+42.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x8f8b…9e2dbacked No60c400$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2401675%12 W · 4 L+3.6wins+0.23per pick52cpaid+45.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x587b…2622backed Yes78c394.79$309 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.7711063.6%70 W · 40 L+9.2wins+0.08per pick55cpaid+25.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x3982…2befbacked No59c328.82$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195.126352.4%33 W · 30 L-2.4wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-8.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xeaac…d71dbacked No60c325.32$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195.19650%3 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+38.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1237…06afbacked No51c323.71$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$165.0910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x780f…5f16backed No61c320.2$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195.32650%3 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+13%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5eeb…01b2backed No5c304.26$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.1812532.8%41 W · 84 L-5.1wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-32.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfe11…18cfbacked No60c300$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1803063.3%19 W · 11 L+2.5wins+0.08per pick55cpaid+14.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6e05…2ebcbacked No60c300$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1802766.7%18 W · 9 L+2.8wins+0.10per pick56cpaid+17.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x47fb…0c7bbacked No60c300$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1802864.3%18 W · 10 L+2.4wins+0.09per pick56cpaid+14.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked No18c295.87$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.485846.6%27 W · 31 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick44cpaid-11.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x45dd…7b56backed Yes44c266.2$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$148.121030%3 W · 7 L-1.3wins-0.13per pick43cpaid-36.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x840d…3708backed No42c264.78$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.94933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.2wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-26%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x533d…ceeebacked No10c250$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2530%0 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf1e0…041bbacked No60c250$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1502065%13 W · 7 L+2.8wins+0.14per pick51cpaid+22.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6fa1…6edbbacked No60c250$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1501872.2%13 W · 5 L+3.9wins+0.22per pick51cpaid+42.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x05d8…31cfbacked Yes78c229.14$178 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.41258.3%7 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick63cpaid-14.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x198f…c419backed No53c228$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.842445.8%11 W · 13 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+56.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x234b…f36dbacked No60c205.14$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.082740.7%11 W · 16 L-2.9wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-22.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc602…7fc1backed Yes45c204.18$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.66922.2%2 W · 7 L-2.4wins-0.26per pick49cpaid-25%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xdc0d…8bcabacked Yes45c199.03$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.97757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.3wins+0.18per pick39cpaid+74%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked No19c180.82$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.2423551.5%121 W · 114 L+13.4wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+15.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x39f6…abe1backed Yes56c177.22$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.631181.8%9 W · 2 L+2.1wins+0.19per pick62cpaid+33%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa774…005fbacked No63c175$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.25333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.23per pick56cpaid-40.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x948b…a188backed No59c166.16$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.526549.2%32 W · 33 L-5.1wins-0.08per pick57cpaid-15.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xc75b…3ea7backed No59c166.16$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.523946.2%18 W · 21 L-2.4wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-13.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x25c5…0031backed Yes59c165.32$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.78450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick44cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9d3e…986cbacked No60c162.67$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.6540%2 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.13per pick53cpaid-9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3bcd…ac63backed No60c156.26$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.75837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.7wins-0.21per pick58cpaid-36.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Yes58c153.86$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.623641.7%15 W · 21 L-4.9wins-0.14per pick55cpaid-33.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x4411…20bfbacked Yes38c150.43$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.651752.9%9 W · 8 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+15.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ed3…0a22backed No60c150$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$901758.8%10 W · 7 L+0.9wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+16.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x04a5…d093backed No60c150$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$901560%9 W · 6 L+1.3wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+20.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7edb…7993backed No34c147.66$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.335853.4%31 W · 27 L+2.2wins+0.04per pick50cpaid-9.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked No59c146.54$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.4611752.1%61 W · 56 L+0.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid+2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed No54c142.08$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.3811050%55 W · 55 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed No59c138.56$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.8911057.3%63 W · 47 L+7.8wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+18.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x876d…1327backed No59c131.63$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.04944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd7f9…29a9backed No49c119.14$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.932470.8%17 W · 7 L+3.3wins+0.14per pick57cpaid+26.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6e02…5ddabacked No43c115.9$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.8410%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2062…6be2backed No43c112.41$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.291844.4%8 W · 10 L0.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Yes47c105$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.6513243.2%57 W · 75 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-7.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x639f…6b8dbacked No10c102.33$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.664626.1%12 W · 34 L-5.1wins-0.11per pick37cpaid-27.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf11a…d3e3backed No60c100$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60450%2 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-29.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6f81…2bb7backed No60c100$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$601566.7%10 W · 5 L+2.6wins+0.17per pick49cpaid+33.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xdd59…2e2fbacked No60c100$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$601566.7%10 W · 5 L+2.2wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+33.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x0373…4057backed No55c99.84$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.91250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-13.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x5f8d…8b2cbacked Yes42c98.98$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.25333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.07per pick27cpaid-20.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5628…abbcbacked No59c98.27$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.93053.3%16 W · 14 L0.0wins0.00per pick53cpaid+4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0362…449ebacked No53c97.18$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.514866.7%32 W · 16 L+3.7wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+13.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3e6b…8a98backed Yes47c96.33$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.382441.7%10 W · 14 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-7.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed No60c91.31$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.732250%11 W · 11 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-13.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5f43…3a74backed No60c90$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-42.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Australian A League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.