La Liga · resolved market
Real Valladolid CF vs. Burgos CF: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x93872af95f00c63704f4f95d87d8e9109864bf44d3458c95bdbb62f365afcc45
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $449,656
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $463,770
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $449,656 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 79 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3333…15bdbacked Over | 26c | 399,991$102,478 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102,477.64 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Under | 69c | 222,300$154,028 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68,271.95 | 109 | 48.6%53 W · 56 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 79c | 74,406$58,508 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,898.65 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f09…9312backed Over | 36c | 5,598$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 25 | 24%6 W · 19 L | -4.8wins | -0.19per pick | 43cpaid | -52.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Under | 79c | 5,139$4,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,099.05 | 283 | 57.2%162 W · 121 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Under | 78c | 3,615$2,834 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$780.47 | 357 | 59.4%212 W · 145 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde05…1ababacked Over | 66c | 3,106$2,047 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,046.91 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 69cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cc7…43e5backed Over | 14c | 2,471$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$339.86 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 20cpaid | -42.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05e3…4b87backed Over | 64c | 1,804$1,155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,154.5 | 200 | 54%108 W · 92 L | +9.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5157…942bbacked Over | 32c | 1,538$492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$492.26 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.4wins | +0.30per pick | 45cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc58a…b8f8backed Under | 79c | 1,395$1,099 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$296.44 | 53 | 64.2%34 W · 19 L | +3.5wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed Over | 27c | 1,232$329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$328.52 | 117 | 36.8%43 W · 74 L | +6.7wins | +0.06per pick | 31cpaid | +7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 34c | 1,163$397 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$765.87 | 2,343 | 48.5%1,137 W · 1,206 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Under | 79c | 1,123$888 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.43 | 411 | 47.9%197 W · 214 L | -9.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa2dc…b624backed Over | 30c | 1,000$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd91a…211cbacked Over | 35c | 714.29$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 74 | 40.5%30 W · 44 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6c…e09cbacked Under | 52c | 656.54$338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318.21 | 192 | 60.9%117 W · 75 L | +14.6wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xff79…a52abacked Over | 56c | 591.56$329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329.3 | 161 | 49.7%80 W · 81 L | +6.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed Under | 50c | 571.63$286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285.69 | 227 | 58.1%132 W · 95 L | +9.3wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6394…9749backed Over | 14c | 557.14$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 51 | 43.1%22 W · 29 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 35c | 552.83$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$361.8 | 501 | 49.5%248 W · 253 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…a1f3backed Under | 51c | 526.77$271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256.11 | 176 | 59.7%105 W · 71 L | +8.2wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 63c | 335.34$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.42 | 1,655 | 43.8%725 W · 930 L | -22.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd8c…f75abacked Under | 77c | 324.68$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.68 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…e5a5backed Over | 32c | 300$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 154 | 51.3%79 W · 75 L | +14.2wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +24%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd871…6bbabacked Over | 33c | 300$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 53 | 41.5%22 W · 31 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c2e…a948backed Over | 33c | 285.27$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.52 | 175 | 41.1%72 W · 103 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe48c…163abacked Over | 60c | 266.67$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 225 | 53.8%121 W · 104 L | +12.8wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 34c | 249.99$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.99 | 1,081 | 50.6%547 W · 534 L | +11.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc86…7e77backed Under | 76c | 208.39$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.66 | 136 | 48.5%66 W · 70 L | -4.8wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd51e…ac0cbacked Under | 41c | 207.2$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.55 | 178 | 56.7%101 W · 77 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under | 34c | 189.38$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.84 | 890 | 50%445 W · 445 L | +24.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe02…5fb3backed Under | 76c | 187.84$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.38 | 86 | 70.9%61 W · 25 L | +11.2wins | +0.13per pick | 58cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed Under | 33c | 180$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.6 | 342 | 52%178 W · 164 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 67c | 174.41$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.86 | 1,018 | 53.1%541 W · 477 L | -24.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26dd…0249backed Under | 36c | 159.15$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.31 | 164 | 56.7%93 W · 71 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b8c…31c3backed Under | 36c | 131.18$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.75 | 71 | 50.7%36 W · 35 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 35c | 124.54$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.95 | 1,038 | 48.1%499 W · 539 L | +17.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 35c | 115.06$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.73 | 1,566 | 51.6%808 W · 758 L | -8.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe363…c894backed Under | 36c | 112.53$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.02 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | +3.0wins | +0.11per pick | 54cpaid | +22%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 40c | 111.46$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.56 | 1,508 | 38.7%583 W · 925 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc32…00bfbacked Over | 54c | 111.11$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 101 | 55.4%56 W · 45 L | +4.9wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x810d…6080backed Under | 47c | 106.76$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.76 | 79 | 55.7%44 W · 35 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd155…8250backed Under | 68c | 100.72$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.08 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 65c | 100$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 627 | 44.3%278 W · 349 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2502…87e5backed Under | 53c | 96.39$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.42 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x62ff…ec56backed Under | 67c | 92.98$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.68 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3248…8ba9backed Over | 33c | 75.76$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.21per pick | 55cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc2b0…e756backed Over | 25c | 73.58$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.25 | 48 | 43.8%21 W · 27 L | +6.6wins | +0.14per pick | 30cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb6c5…20d0backed Under | 63c | 72.63$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.18 | 49 | 59.2%29 W · 20 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe9c…1700backed Under | 36c | 70.25$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.96 | 75 | 50.7%38 W · 37 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Over | 37c | 65.24$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.93 | 490 | 57.1%280 W · 210 L | +26.6wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8dec…60c2backed Under | 72c | 63.43$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.84 | 60 | 56.7%34 W · 26 L | +4.4wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4f2c…9d16backed Over | 32c | 62.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 45 | 42.2%19 W · 26 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2287…3054backed Over | 32c | 62.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x380c…1099backed Over | 42c | 59.62$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 223 | 66.8%149 W · 74 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd77…ef21backed Over | 47c | 58.94$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.51 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc418…ec2bbacked Under | 68c | 58.82$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.82 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…99e2backed Under | 36c | 43.39$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.77 | 307 | 49.2%151 W · 156 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbefe…2d45backed Over | 24c | 42.79$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.27 | 66 | 43.9%29 W · 37 L | -5.9wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8941…83d7backed Under | 35c | 40$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 71 | 70.4%50 W · 21 L | +6.9wins | +0.10per pick | 61cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0e4a…fcd8backed Under | 76c | 39.85$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.44 | 28 | 67.9%19 W · 9 L | +2.9wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9f9e…4c57backed Over | 35c | 35.8$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.53 | 47 | 19.1%9 W · 38 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 19cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7044…2eb6backed Under | 36c | 34.87$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.32 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb7f…0abbbacked Over | 45c | 33.33$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 46 | 65.2%30 W · 16 L | +3.6wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6723…a540backed Over | 65c | 32.54$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.15 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26a6…ff11backed Over | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.11per pick | 64cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9bf2…9959backed Over | 64c | 31.25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaacb…03b7backed Under | 75c | 30.14$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.57 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6da7…762abacked Under | 37c | 28.17$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.75 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e73…3f4ebacked Under | 63c | 26.59$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.81 | 227 | 60.4%137 W · 90 L | +4.8wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d26…6f74backed Under | 67c | 23.6$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.79 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +90.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9a67…0b8abacked Under | 68c | 23.34$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.47 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -23%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16fe…9496backed Over | 65c | 23.08$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 209 | 47.4%99 W · 110 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4954…ac42backed Under | 68c | 22.29$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.13 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x142d…bf73backed Under | 68c | 22.06$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.06 | 7 | 100%7 W · 0 L | +3.1wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +93%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd815…1cdebacked Under | 68c | 22.06$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.06 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6855…ba24backed Under | 68c | 16.18$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.18 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadb0…0f62backed Under | 75c | 14$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.5 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +3.1wins | +0.28per pick | 54cpaid | +69.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Real Valladolid CF vs. Burgos CF: O/U 1.5this page
- Real Valladolid CF vs. Burgos CF: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Real Valladolid CF vs. Burgos CF: O/U 2.5Under won
- Real Valladolid CF vs. Burgos CF: O/U 3.5Under won
- Real Valladolid CF vs. Burgos CF: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Burgos CF (-1.5)Real Valladolid CF won
- Spread: Real Valladolid CF (-1.5)Burgos CF won
- Spread: Real Valladolid CF (-2.5)Burgos CF won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.