La Liga · resolved market
Real Valladolid CF vs. Burgos CF: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x11f0794e745ccfa18b271f98ceae9bcb5c2f9455565b98fd119401434f470336
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,026
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,049
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,026 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x19ee…446cbacked Yes | 18c | 588.63$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.16 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 71c | 586.86$415 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.73 | 4,753 | 47.1%2,238 W · 2,515 L | -21.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed Yes | 8c | 558.77$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.88 | 117 | 36.8%43 W · 74 L | +6.7wins | +0.06per pick | 31cpaid | +7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc7fa…f6dfbacked Yes | 22c | 500$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 38 | 31.6%12 W · 26 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c2e…a948backed Yes | 43c | 316.28$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136 | 175 | 41.1%72 W · 103 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe35b…d8d0backed Yes | 43c | 300$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 4c | 267.25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.38 | 1,529 | 38.5%588 W · 941 L | +8.9wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f22…2935backed No | 59c | 254.24$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.24 | 44 | 54.5%24 W · 20 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 41c | 250.82$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.74 | 1,421 | 45.7%649 W · 772 L | -9.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc905…850bbacked Yes | 46c | 240.13$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.46 | 161 | 60.9%98 W · 63 L | +10.4wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed No | 79c | 129.06$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.4 | 227 | 58.1%132 W · 95 L | +9.3wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed No | 79c | 127.85$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.32 | 357 | 59.4%212 W · 145 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26dd…0249backed No | 79c | 127.85$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.32 | 164 | 56.7%93 W · 71 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed No | 79c | 127.85$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.32 | 283 | 57.2%162 W · 121 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6c…e09cbacked No | 79c | 127.85$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.32 | 192 | 60.9%117 W · 75 L | +14.6wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd51e…ac0cbacked No | 79c | 127.85$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.32 | 178 | 56.7%101 W · 77 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…a1f3backed No | 79c | 127.85$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.32 | 176 | 59.7%105 W · 71 L | +8.2wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 54c | 71.24$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.77 | 2,347 | 48.5%1,138 W · 1,209 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbefe…2d45backed Yes | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 66 | 43.9%29 W · 37 L | -5.9wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x810d…6080backed No | 78c | 59.8$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.03 | 79 | 55.7%44 W · 35 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 54c | 47.99$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.07 | 1,081 | 50.6%547 W · 534 L | +11.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked No | 79c | 44.66$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.2 | 1,662 | 43.7%727 W · 935 L | -23.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16fe…9496backed Yes | 46c | 32.61$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 209 | 47.4%99 W · 110 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8482…3f7abacked No | 74c | 29.92$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.87 | 100 | 60%60 W · 40 L | +9.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc119…7d4dbacked Yes | 46c | 26.09$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 324 | 44.8%145 W · 179 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 54c | 26.09$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 890 | 50%445 W · 445 L | +24.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 55c | 21$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.45 | 1,045 | 47.8%500 W · 545 L | +15.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Real Valladolid CF vs. Burgos CF: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Real Valladolid CF vs. Burgos CF: O/U 1.5Under won
- Real Valladolid CF vs. Burgos CF: O/U 2.5Under won
- Real Valladolid CF vs. Burgos CF: O/U 3.5Under won
- Real Valladolid CF vs. Burgos CF: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Burgos CF (-1.5)Real Valladolid CF won
- Spread: Real Valladolid CF (-1.5)Burgos CF won
- Spread: Real Valladolid CF (-2.5)Burgos CF won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.