MLB · resolved market
New York Mets vs. San Francisco Giants
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7c9a6d50f9df59159eda3c44fa8237e3ef7191dbeef3a5bf7c2c90b0ec87c1e7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- New York Metsof New York Mets, San Francisco Giants
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $147,127
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $152,751
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $147,127 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 163 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked New York Mets | 48c | 28,134$13,504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,629.76 | 411 | 49.1%202 W · 209 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…23c4backed San Francisco Giants | 52c | 27,194$14,141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,140.67 | 550 | 53.1%292 W · 258 L | +20.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce2e…1519backed New York Mets | 59c | 20,761$12,195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,566.88 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed San Francisco Giants | 1c | 9,782$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.98 | 1,180 | 7.2%85 W · 1,095 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x226b…cad6backed New York Mets | 49c | 8,403$4,081 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,321.37 | 110 | 40.9%45 W · 65 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked San Francisco Giants | 40c | 8,047$3,245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,245.34 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked New York Mets | 49c | 8,000$3,920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,079.99 | 550 | 53.6%295 W · 255 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed San Francisco Giants | 50c | 7,900$3,949 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,948.83 | 1,660 | 50.1%832 W · 828 L | -22.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked New York Mets | 61c | 6,799$4,147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,651.36 | 650 | 50.3%327 W · 323 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed New York Mets | 79c | 5,302$4,198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,104.07 | 2,389 | 43.4%1,037 W · 1,352 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa877…2e20backed San Francisco Giants | 52c | 4,482$2,331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,330.82 | 726 | 48.1%349 W · 377 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6498…8910backed San Francisco Giants | 56c | 3,979$2,228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,228.09 | 517 | 56.5%292 W · 225 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe790…eadcbacked San Francisco Giants | 48c | 3,848$1,858 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,858.41 | 216 | 56.5%122 W · 94 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbce9…03e9backed San Francisco Giants | 0c | 3,255$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.05 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 3cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked San Francisco Giants | 51c | 3,029$1,548 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,547.59 | 1,515 | 51.1%774 W · 741 L | +7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f85…7e17backed New York Mets | 49c | 2,968$1,454 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,513.45 | 56 | 48.2%27 W · 29 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked San Francisco Giants | 48c | 2,514$1,213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,213.38 | 1,029 | 51.2%527 W · 502 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed San Francisco Giants | 50c | 2,135$1,067 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,067.33 | 678 | 49.3%334 W · 344 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4285…cfb5backed San Francisco Giants | 52c | 2,036$1,059 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,058.53 | 165 | 47.3%78 W · 87 L | -10.3wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed San Francisco Giants | 50c | 1,940$970 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$970 | 1,063 | 48.2%512 W · 551 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6832…831fbacked San Francisco Giants | 24c | 1,805$433 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$433.15 | 158 | 40.5%64 W · 94 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa1e2…8a9bbacked San Francisco Giants | 50c | 1,746$873 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$873 | 141 | 56%79 W · 62 L | +6.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed New York Mets | 52c | 1,646$856 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$789.97 | 1,289 | 47.2%609 W · 680 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…abbebacked San Francisco Giants | 22c | 1,505$329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329.15 | 92 | 19.6%18 W · 74 L | -7.6wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed San Francisco Giants | 16c | 1,307$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.06 | 781 | 46.4%362 W · 419 L | +11.8wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed New York Mets | 56c | 1,229$683 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$545.54 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked San Francisco Giants | 50c | 1,170$583 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$582.83 | 1,456 | 42.7%622 W · 834 L | -39.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x181f…6800backed New York Mets | 49c | 1,028$503 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$524.03 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.20per pick | 55cpaid | +40.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked San Francisco Giants | 50c | 1,011$505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$505.29 | 1,355 | 49.8%675 W · 680 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed New York Mets | 49c | 1,000$491 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$509 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed San Francisco Giants | 41c | 962.8$395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$394.75 | 961 | 33.9%326 W · 635 L | -38.9wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked New York Mets | 75c | 853.51$640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.8 | 341 | 64.2%219 W · 122 L | +22.2wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1c83…6f40backed New York Mets | 48c | 766.58$368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$398.62 | 240 | 40.8%98 W · 142 L | -13.6wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed New York Mets | 57c | 761.55$431 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330.35 | 4,035 | 57.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L | +72.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd51b…9606backed San Francisco Giants | 46c | 748.95$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$344.52 | 225 | 48.4%109 W · 116 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed San Francisco Giants | 8c | 744.4$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.76 | 1,113 | 49%545 W · 568 L | +22.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c8a…8723backed New York Mets | 68c | 628.29$427 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.18 | 41 | 63.4%26 W · 15 L | +3.0wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9902…34b3backed San Francisco Giants | 22c | 600.26$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.2 | 65 | 13.8%9 W · 56 L | -7.2wins | -0.11per pick | 25cpaid | -53.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed San Francisco Giants | 42c | 593.65$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.62 | 253 | 49.4%125 W · 128 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45e8…5169backed New York Mets | 49c | 590.99$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301.41 | 72 | 62.5%45 W · 27 L | +10.2wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed San Francisco Giants | 42c | 582.86$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.98 | 393 | 51.9%204 W · 189 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb7f…824bbacked New York Mets | 50c | 500$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 67 | 64.2%43 W · 24 L | +10.6wins | +0.16per pick | 48cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x783b…dc4cbacked San Francisco Giants | 24c | 499.83$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.89 | 609 | 41.4%252 W · 357 L | -22.4wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3c9b…a556backed San Francisco Giants | 51c | 475.78$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.65 | 53 | 45.3%24 W · 29 L | -3.5wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x69c2…40cfbacked San Francisco Giants | 22c | 433.27$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.32 | 182 | 39.6%72 W · 110 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked New York Mets | 65c | 405$262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.98 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4650…f3f0backed San Francisco Giants | 41c | 399.42$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.76 | 70 | 51.4%36 W · 34 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf879…820ebacked New York Mets | 51c | 380.63$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.51 | 63 | 47.6%30 W · 33 L | +4.7wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed New York Mets | 50c | 362.5$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183 | 2,947 | 51.9%1,529 W · 1,418 L | -34.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9b7…93ebbacked New York Mets | 78c | 360.52$283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.99 | 92 | 54.3%50 W · 42 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed San Francisco Giants | 23c | 321.91$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.43 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd51e…ac0cbacked San Francisco Giants | 42c | 321.41$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.49 | 243 | 48.1%117 W · 126 L | -8.5wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef5c…6ababacked San Francisco Giants | 38c | 311.63$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.01 | 44 | 63.6%28 W · 16 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83a3…6292backed San Francisco Giants | 51c | 304.5$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.3 | 665 | 51.1%340 W · 325 L | -17.0wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed New York Mets | 48c | 300$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156 | 1,483 | 50.2%745 W · 738 L | +5.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed New York Mets | 47c | 295.48$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.57 | 1,053 | 47.3%498 W · 555 L | -14.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed San Francisco Giants | 25c | 282.01$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.45 | 555 | 41.4%230 W · 325 L | -26.7wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc463…9a2fbacked New York Mets | 49c | 234.66$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.67 | 338 | 52.7%178 W · 160 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e4a…fcd8backed San Francisco Giants | 42c | 231.6$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.51 | 79 | 50.6%40 W · 39 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed San Francisco Giants | 29c | 222.93$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.05 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x864a…7cacbacked New York Mets | 50c | 206.61$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.31 | 181 | 57.5%104 W · 77 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfaf3…1e0cbacked New York Mets | 77c | 205.04$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.2 | 17 | 76.5%13 W · 4 L | +2.9wins | +0.17per pick | 60cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdb1a…5cddbacked San Francisco Giants | 40c | 203.45$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.12 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked New York Mets | 50c | 203.05$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.01 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed San Francisco Giants | 50c | 202.77$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.38 | 920 | 46%423 W · 497 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85a7…d9f3backed San Francisco Giants | 49c | 197.84$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.94 | 88 | 47.7%42 W · 46 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2942…a018backed San Francisco Giants | 51c | 194.12$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 133 | 51.9%69 W · 64 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked New York Mets | 44c | 193.28$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.24 | 1,723 | 50.3%867 W · 856 L | +55.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c31…ebdbbacked New York Mets | 50c | 193.17$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.34 | 174 | 48.9%85 W · 89 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e4a…eee7backed San Francisco Giants | 18c | 190.16$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.17 | 308 | 44.2%136 W · 172 L | -10.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb03c…b352backed New York Mets | 54c | 180.07$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.83 | 39 | 35.9%14 W · 25 L | -5.0wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x29b0…3f3cbacked New York Mets | 51c | 178$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.22 | 192 | 48.4%93 W · 99 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x89c9…9534backed San Francisco Giants | 52c | 171.9$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.39 | 917 | 49.9%458 W · 459 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed New York Mets | 54c | 156.77$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.11 | 1,510 | 39%589 W · 921 L | -16.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64e8…7819backed San Francisco Giants | 49c | 150$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.24 | 170 | 50%85 W · 85 L | +8.0wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4706…286ebacked New York Mets | 50c | 150$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 354 | 46%163 W · 191 L | -9.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…a1f3backed New York Mets | 58c | 137.61$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.17 | 286 | 46.2%132 W · 154 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b45…ac9fbacked San Francisco Giants | 28c | 133.15$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.79 | 152 | 43.4%66 W · 86 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed San Francisco Giants | 22c | 132.8$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.66 | 1,345 | 47.7%642 W · 703 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5471…a236backed San Francisco Giants | 32c | 126.83$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.04 | 108 | 47.2%51 W · 57 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b3c…ffc7backed New York Mets | 50c | 119.41$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.51 | 885 | 49.7%440 W · 445 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11bf…770dbacked San Francisco Giants | 52c | 104.59$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.39 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | +3.1wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +52.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x36d8…c7c7backed New York Mets | 70c | 103.61$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.08 | 707 | 35.1%248 W · 459 L | -31.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x61af…aa01backed New York Mets | 49c | 100$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa5dc…ec43backed New York Mets | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 407 | 53.6%218 W · 189 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ae1…92f2backed San Francisco Giants | 19c | 99.72$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.74 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b5d…adc4backed New York Mets | 49c | 98.44$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.21 | 40 | 60%24 W · 16 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa7fb…5623backed San Francisco Giants | 50c | 96.92$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.46 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x04eb…f50dbacked New York Mets | 51c | 95.8$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.94 | 187 | 54%101 W · 86 L | -8.0wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x72a1…1950backed New York Mets | 53c | 91.68$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.09 | 113 | 52.2%59 W · 54 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc04…f726backed San Francisco Giants | 52c | 87.41$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.45 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6569…7600backed New York Mets | 62c | 87.29$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.46 | 133 | 43.6%58 W · 75 L | -7.5wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xffae…adaebacked San Francisco Giants | 51c | 81.83$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.74 | 589 | 43.1%254 W · 335 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x141d…7ea0backed New York Mets | 48c | 81.37$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.31 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.5wins | +0.25per pick | 45cpaid | +58.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed San Francisco Giants | 52c | 80.03$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.62 | 2,021 | 39.5%798 W · 1,223 L | -25.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13ce…35f0backed New York Mets | 50c | 80$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 157 | 57.3%90 W · 67 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed San Francisco Giants | 43c | 77.08$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.15 | 780 | 52.2%407 W · 373 L | +22.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc18a…b3dbbacked San Francisco Giants | 21c | 76.78$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.98 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x782b…ff64backed New York Mets | 44c | 72.48$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.59 | 508 | 60.2%306 W · 202 L | +29.7wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe292…84b8backed New York Mets | 50c | 72.33$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.9 | 1,402 | 43.1%604 W · 798 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- New York Mets vs. San Francisco Giantsthis page
- New York Mets vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 10.5Under won
- New York Mets vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 7.5Over won
- New York Mets vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 9.5Under won
- Spread: New York Mets (-2.5)New York Mets won
- Spread: San Francisco Giants (-1.5)New York Mets won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.