NHL · resolved market
Panthers vs. Maple Leafs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa0656c62ccde538532e64e1a3c6541cfe9e05da8b743d58ca1a368a9e9d3c059
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Panthersof Panthers, Maple Leafs
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $628,835
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $664,167
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $628,835 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 373 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x03e8…1697backed Panthers | 41c | 162,980$66,822 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96,158.19 | 670 | 51%342 W · 328 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d92…8676backed Maple Leafs | 59c | 120,000$70,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70,800 | 82 | 52.4%43 W · 39 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…23c4backed Maple Leafs | 58c | 75,363$43,710 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43,710.42 | 150 | 54.7%82 W · 68 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc807…c12bbacked Maple Leafs | 57c | 71,478$40,671 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40,671.34 | 63 | 52.4%33 W · 30 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Panthers | 43c | 62,212$26,785 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35,427.52 | 1,434 | 50.8%728 W · 706 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f28…266ebacked Maple Leafs | 59c | 50,000$29,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29,500 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -2.6wins | -0.13per pick | 61cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3625…1187backed Maple Leafs | 58c | 19,611$11,332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,332 | 89 | 46.1%41 W · 48 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x412f…30fabacked Panthers | 42c | 17,600$7,392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,208 | 77 | 37.7%29 W · 48 L | -4.5wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa048…dd23backed Panthers | 42c | 16,055$6,743 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,311.9 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed Maple Leafs | 5c | 15,003$755 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$754.5 | 418 | 50%209 W · 209 L | +7.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc08…a137backed Maple Leafs | 15c | 13,329$2,002 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,002.08 | 302 | 59.6%180 W · 122 L | +31.0wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc94a…9401backed Panthers | 42c | 11,857$4,980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,877.24 | 145 | 53.1%77 W · 68 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5116…58c4backed Panthers | 73c | 10,478$7,649 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,828.97 | 752 | 51.7%389 W · 363 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Panthers | 42c | 10,270$4,313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,956.6 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42b5…b5b6backed Panthers | 41c | 9,768$4,021 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,746.48 | 1,377 | 49.1%676 W · 701 L | +39.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed Maple Leafs | 58c | 9,000$5,220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,220 | 260 | 58.8%153 W · 107 L | +17.7wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +15%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x95de…c9b2backed Panthers | 42c | 8,750$3,675 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,075 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -2.4wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Maple Leafs | 20c | 7,624$1,523 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,522.8 | 2,112 | 42.9%907 W · 1,205 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe790…eadcbacked Panthers | 54c | 6,840$3,715 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,124.86 | 274 | 48.9%134 W · 140 L | -6.4wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Maple Leafs | 54c | 6,329$3,417 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,417.48 | 566 | 49.5%280 W · 286 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Maple Leafs | 21c | 6,179$1,317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,316.54 | 403 | 51.9%209 W · 194 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc92…2e78backed Panthers | 41c | 6,000$2,460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,539.96 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb2a4…cf8abacked Panthers | 42c | 5,902$2,479 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,423.31 | 49 | 57.1%28 W · 21 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93ef…468bbacked Panthers | 43c | 5,600$2,417 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,183 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x88f9…325dbacked Panthers | 42c | 5,041$2,136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,904.59 | 40 | 55%22 W · 18 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +13%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc4…0c92backed Panthers | 44c | 5,033$2,215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,818.5 | 413 | 54.5%225 W · 188 L | +17.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x99e4…e4c4backed Panthers | 46c | 4,926$2,266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,659.99 | 109 | 38.5%42 W · 67 L | -9.2wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4012…a72dbacked Panthers | 73c | 4,772$3,485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,286.23 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.33per pick | 66cpaid | -54.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Maple Leafs | 23c | 4,218$970 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$970.14 | 1,202 | 60.1%722 W · 480 L | +51.9wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +15%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e4c…28ddbacked Panthers | 46c | 4,000$1,840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,160 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d6e…5cfdbacked Maple Leafs | 58c | 3,937$2,283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,283.49 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf11…c679backed Panthers | 46c | 3,899$1,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,098.54 | 54 | 46.3%25 W · 29 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed Maple Leafs | 10c | 3,524$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345 | 318 | 28.3%90 W · 228 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0844…f46abacked Panthers | 42c | 3,520$1,478 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,041.6 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +127.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8bb6…cb97backed Panthers | 42c | 3,500$1,470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,030 | 53 | 50.9%27 W · 26 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Panthers | 73c | 3,358$2,454 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$903.77 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Panthers | 46c | 3,215$1,479 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,736.22 | 852 | 50.2%428 W · 424 L | -26.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e2f…ec47backed Maple Leafs | 58c | 3,104$1,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,800.5 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Maple Leafs | 15c | 2,740$418 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$418.08 | 149 | 46.3%69 W · 80 L | -6.8wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Maple Leafs | 55c | 2,693$1,481 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,481.31 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Panthers | 44c | 2,283$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,283.09 | 429 | 48.7%209 W · 220 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x773c…cf18backed Maple Leafs | 55c | 2,200$1,210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,210 | 70 | 54.3%38 W · 32 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8d3…0e0fbacked Panthers | 42c | 2,187$919 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,268.7 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Panthers | 42c | 2,152$912 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,239.59 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Maple Leafs | 20c | 2,136$419 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$418.96 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b35…5da2backed Maple Leafs | 25c | 2,092$516 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$516.27 | 220 | 43.2%95 W · 125 L | +8.8wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef23…5b60backed Panthers | 46c | 2,085$959 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,125.89 | 642 | 42.2%271 W · 371 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce39…04d6backed Panthers | 42c | 2,033$854 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,179.02 | 170 | 42.4%72 W · 98 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b49…0397backed Panthers | 45c | 2,000$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,100 | 204 | 50%102 W · 102 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8188…b171backed Panthers | 42c | 2,000$840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,160 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1e2…8a9bbacked Panthers | 46c | 1,957$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,056.52 | 54 | 55.6%30 W · 24 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Panthers | 42c | 1,914$804 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,110.19 | 619 | 50.1%310 W · 309 L | -7.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f3f…5878backed Maple Leafs | 23c | 1,740$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400.2 | 104 | 38.5%40 W · 64 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbce9…03e9backed Maple Leafs | 1c | 1,700$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 250 | 4.8%12 W · 238 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 2cpaid | +159.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7988…a57ebacked Maple Leafs | 9c | 1,667$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.55 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -1.6wins | -0.10per pick | 33cpaid | -55.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc3fc…5176backed Panthers | 42c | 1,400$588 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$812 | 112 | 43.8%49 W · 63 L | -8.6wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x39eb…0e4cbacked Maple Leafs | 59c | 1,356$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba9c…d2c1backed Maple Leafs | 54c | 1,200$648 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$648 | 98 | 53.1%52 W · 46 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f5b…e747backed Maple Leafs | 54c | 1,121$605 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$605.33 | 435 | 48.5%211 W · 224 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf429…969ebacked Maple Leafs | 34c | 1,119$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380.36 | 340 | 40.3%137 W · 203 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdaef…54e9backed Panthers | 45c | 1,100$495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$604.95 | 111 | 53.2%59 W · 52 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Maple Leafs | 46c | 1,083$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.25 | 1,345 | 54.8%737 W · 608 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd63…cf21backed Maple Leafs | 60c | 1,003$599 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$598.6 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +2.3wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x255a…3435backed Maple Leafs | 7c | 1,000$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 295 | 33.6%99 W · 196 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc249…8a61backed Panthers | 42c | 1,000$415 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$585 | 165 | 46.7%77 W · 88 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xabf5…cfebbacked Maple Leafs | 58c | 1,000$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$580 | 270 | 48.1%130 W · 140 L | -8.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x17e5…f205backed Maple Leafs | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 242 | 0.8%2 W · 240 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 2cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8aa6…83f9backed Maple Leafs | 30c | 999.97$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.99 | 39 | 69.2%27 W · 12 L | +6.6wins | +0.17per pick | 52cpaid | +41%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c1…cba5backed Maple Leafs | 54c | 999.89$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$539.94 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -3.1wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x36d8…c7c7backed Maple Leafs | 16c | 949.99$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152 | 164 | 46.3%76 W · 88 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf512…5198backed Panthers | 78c | 944.19$738 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.67 | 112 | 58.9%66 W · 46 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4eb7…af33backed Panthers | 46c | 900$414 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$486 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb34…a390backed Maple Leafs | 36c | 899.99$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324.06 | 37 | 32.4%12 W · 25 L | -4.0wins | -0.11per pick | 43cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x047c…3ce4backed Maple Leafs | 57c | 872.66$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Maple Leafs | 25c | 815.91$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.19 | 184 | 52.7%97 W · 87 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb602…1991backed Panthers | 76c | 763.4$578 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.4 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13a1…d9bcbacked Panthers | 76c | 687$523 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.9 | 571 | 57.8%330 W · 241 L | +12.7wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked Panthers | 75c | 625.63$466 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.43 | 110 | 47.3%52 W · 58 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec18…89ebbacked Maple Leafs | 20c | 601.14$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.76 | 50 | 24%12 W · 38 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcaeb…a226backed Panthers | 70c | 600.61$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.55 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa382…d301backed Panthers | 44c | 597.73$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$334.73 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.14per pick | 43cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ad…6979backed Maple Leafs | 5c | 596.65$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.14 | 294 | 48.6%143 W · 151 L | -8.2wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x627e…f59fbacked Panthers | 42c | 582$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$337.56 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xacb2…b989backed Maple Leafs | 53c | 566.1$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.03 | 129 | 50.4%65 W · 64 L | +10.7wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Maple Leafs | 54c | 550$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297 | 211 | 47.4%100 W · 111 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6c…e09cbacked Maple Leafs | 23c | 547.39$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.45 | 228 | 53.9%123 W · 105 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7cb…bc54backed Panthers | 46c | 543.48$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.48 | 299 | 46.8%140 W · 159 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc70d…a6f9backed Panthers | 70c | 500$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 69cpaid | -13%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe301…9bd9backed Maple Leafs | 56c | 500$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 63 | 54%34 W · 29 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x00cf…d102backed Panthers | 45c | 499.96$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$274.98 | 492 | 49.6%244 W · 248 L | +9.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Panthers | 45c | 493$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271.15 | 318 | 48.7%155 W · 163 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf90…8e17backed Panthers | 43c | 459.96$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.18 | 339 | 41.3%140 W · 199 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64da…2292backed Panthers | 67c | 447.58$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.7 | 191 | 54.5%104 W · 87 L | +7.7wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad88…3c1ebacked Panthers | 46c | 434.78$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.78 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4c6…75adbacked Panthers | 70c | 428.57$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.57 | 401 | 52.4%210 W · 191 L | +21.2wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed Maple Leafs | 17c | 416.81$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.31 | 270 | 37.4%101 W · 169 L | -11.6wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb234…5b9ebacked Maple Leafs | 24c | 416.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbad2…5296backed Panthers | 45c | 400.11$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.06 | 892 | 49.9%445 W · 447 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40d2…312fbacked Panthers | 77c | 400$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92 | 156 | 50%78 W · 78 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a74…d192backed Panthers | 80c | 400$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 72cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Panthers vs. Maple Leafsthis page
- Panthers vs. Maple Leafs: O/U 6.5Over won
- Panthers vs. Maple Leafs: O/U 7.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.