MLB · resolved market
Houston Astros vs. Cleveland Guardians
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcafd388f3169aaa0aeb5af07eb43547bfab29ef01edb42501b7bc9f8db4f17b3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Houston Astrosof Houston Astros, Cleveland Guardians
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $749,900
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $753,242
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $749,900 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 331 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc807…c12bbacked Cleveland Guardians | 59c | 272,680$160,881 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160,881.3 | 501 | 53.5%268 W · 233 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Houston Astros | 41c | 202,536$83,072 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119,463.78 | 1,029 | 51.2%527 W · 502 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99a7…fc82backed Houston Astros | 41c | 69,716$28,584 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41,132.51 | 142 | 48.6%69 W · 73 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa5ea…d96abacked Houston Astros | 41c | 67,189$27,547 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39,641.4 | 210 | 40%84 W · 126 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Cleveland Guardians | 59c | 39,083$23,059 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,059 | 1,041 | 50.1%522 W · 519 L | +17.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9019…64c3backed Cleveland Guardians | 0c | 38,533$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.53 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 12cpaid | -29%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Cleveland Guardians | 32c | 31,446$9,929 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,928.67 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e2f…ec47backed Cleveland Guardians | 59c | 25,000$14,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,750 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | +2.3wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf519…906bbacked Houston Astros | 42c | 16,846$7,075 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,770.74 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +2.9wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Houston Astros | 64c | 14,535$9,237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,298.55 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb7…1f17backed Cleveland Guardians | 58c | 13,472$7,798 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,798.18 | 347 | 56.5%196 W · 151 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbddf…c684backed Houston Astros | 40c | 11,471$4,588 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,882.52 | 239 | 48.5%116 W · 123 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Houston Astros | 41c | 10,639$4,378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,261.25 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x255a…3435backed Cleveland Guardians | 20c | 10,209$2,037 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,037.25 | 1,522 | 34.7%528 W · 994 L | +27.1wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Cleveland Guardians | 31c | 10,050$3,074 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,074.45 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Cleveland Guardians | 58c | 9,780$5,648 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,647.65 | 1,660 | 50.1%832 W · 828 L | -22.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Cleveland Guardians | 59c | 9,366$5,526 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,525.97 | 595 | 49.7%296 W · 299 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Houston Astros | 65c | 9,212$5,964 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,248.06 | 2,389 | 43.4%1,037 W · 1,352 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Houston Astros | 41c | 9,000$3,694 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,305.5 | 5,400 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,674 L | +17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3df…82fabacked Cleveland Guardians | 39c | 8,918$3,435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,434.73 | 488 | 50.2%245 W · 243 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3625…1187backed Cleveland Guardians | 57c | 8,546$4,871 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,871 | 379 | 53.6%203 W · 176 L | +18.4wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x685d…22d6backed Houston Astros | 76c | 8,459$6,405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,053.54 | 115 | 47%54 W · 61 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Cleveland Guardians | 34c | 7,041$2,398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,398.03 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18a6…c8d3backed Houston Astros | 50c | 6,300$3,130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,169.77 | 93 | 50.5%47 W · 46 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x339a…1eaebacked Cleveland Guardians | 58c | 5,361$3,110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,109.61 | 172 | 48.8%84 W · 88 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38c2…d3a7backed Cleveland Guardians | 40c | 4,847$1,928 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,927.73 | 360 | 47.5%171 W · 189 L | -13.5wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x44b6…672abacked Houston Astros | 44c | 4,393$1,933 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,459.93 | 39 | 35.9%14 W · 25 L | -4.6wins | -0.12per pick | 48cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xabf5…cfebbacked Cleveland Guardians | 60c | 3,929$2,348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,347.51 | 444 | 51.1%227 W · 217 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b49…0397backed Houston Astros | 43c | 3,595$1,546 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,049.07 | 274 | 51.8%142 W · 132 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca4e…f97ebacked Houston Astros | 41c | 3,371$1,382 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,989.05 | 113 | 47.8%54 W · 59 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Houston Astros | 72c | 3,139$2,248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$890.85 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Cleveland Guardians | 5c | 3,052$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.63 | 1,113 | 49%545 W · 568 L | +22.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb3…758ebacked Houston Astros | 72c | 3,034$2,185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$849.56 | 306 | 47.4%145 W · 161 L | -10.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd27c…c081backed Houston Astros | 78c | 2,962$2,308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$653.66 | 45 | 73.3%33 W · 12 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 68cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Cleveland Guardians | 59c | 2,926$1,726 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,726.46 | 619 | 47.7%295 W · 324 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbf7…06acbacked Cleveland Guardians | 58c | 2,843$1,649 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,649.03 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Houston Astros | 59c | 2,707$1,609 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,098.11 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed Houston Astros | 73c | 2,684$1,959 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$724.67 | 981 | 49.9%490 W · 491 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31ac…2a39backed Cleveland Guardians | 37c | 2,631$964 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$963.84 | 47 | 25.5%12 W · 35 L | -6.9wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -44%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xadfa…324ebacked Cleveland Guardians | 59c | 2,258$1,332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,332.07 | 151 | 48.3%73 W · 78 L | -5.4wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d0a…e29dbacked Houston Astros | 60c | 2,106$1,269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$837.07 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa969…1a84backed Houston Astros | 40c | 1,843$737 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,105.8 | 174 | 52.9%92 W · 82 L | +8.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked Cleveland Guardians | 25c | 1,773$438 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$437.93 | 1,140 | 43%490 W · 650 L | -37.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Houston Astros | 42c | 1,681$708 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$973.34 | 2,407 | 48.5%1,167 W · 1,240 L | -62.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a7c…4a95backed Cleveland Guardians | 6c | 1,629$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.74 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.36per pick | 30cpaid | +77.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f8d…8b2cbacked Cleveland Guardians | 21c | 1,561$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330.38 | 138 | 18.8%26 W · 112 L | -17.2wins | -0.12per pick | 31cpaid | -46.1%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Cleveland Guardians | 59c | 1,555$917 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$917.45 | 1,352 | 50.8%687 W · 665 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x013d…0574backed Cleveland Guardians | 1c | 1,500$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 75 | 6.7%5 W · 70 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 4cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xceb1…bd4fbacked Cleveland Guardians | 1c | 1,500$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 49 | 8.2%4 W · 45 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 4cpaid | +173.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f7b…440fbacked Cleveland Guardians | 1c | 1,500$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 39 | 5.1%2 W · 37 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 3cpaid | +33.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f2d…318bbacked Cleveland Guardians | 1c | 1,500$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 83 | 4.8%4 W · 79 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa58f…ee1abacked Cleveland Guardians | 55c | 1,480$814 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$813.78 | 19 | 78.9%15 W · 4 L | +4.3wins | +0.23per pick | 56cpaid | +40.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Houston Astros | 58c | 1,435$826 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$609.28 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x630e…3a86backed Houston Astros | 66c | 1,375$908 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$467.65 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55d7…e99cbacked Cleveland Guardians | 7c | 1,358$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.42 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 19cpaid | -70.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Houston Astros | 77c | 1,341$1,033 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$308.43 | 2,147 | 50.2%1,078 W · 1,069 L | +27.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf984…5098backed Cleveland Guardians | 37c | 1,302$481 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$481.08 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7cb…bc54backed Houston Astros | 41c | 1,176$482 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$694.04 | 149 | 53%79 W · 70 L | +10.3wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9534…1fe8backed Houston Astros | 40c | 1,149$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$689.55 | 45 | 60%27 W · 18 L | +6.2wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked Cleveland Guardians | 60c | 1,087$648 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$647.77 | 1,119 | 45.5%509 W · 610 L | +16.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c6…d14dbacked Cleveland Guardians | 58c | 1,059$614 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$614.01 | 84 | 41.7%35 W · 49 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0656…4d9bbacked Cleveland Guardians | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 136 | 5.9%8 W · 128 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 5cpaid | -64.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2430…4527backed Houston Astros | 41c | 941.07$386 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$555.23 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Houston Astros | 41c | 929.47$381 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$548.39 | 1,515 | 51.1%774 W · 741 L | +7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff87…f5f7backed Houston Astros | 71c | 910.17$643 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.25 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d04…022bbacked Cleveland Guardians | 31c | 897.21$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.99 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6dd9…bfe8backed Cleveland Guardians | 59c | 878.1$522 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$521.98 | 40 | 55%22 W · 18 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Cleveland Guardians | 26c | 819.99$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.7 | 1,456 | 42.7%622 W · 834 L | -39.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22a4…63ebbacked Cleveland Guardians | 58c | 790.57$459 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$458.53 | 1,205 | 58.8%708 W · 497 L | +31.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Houston Astros | 42c | 743.83$309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$434.82 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Cleveland Guardians | 42c | 708.01$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.02 | 1,499 | 58.9%883 W · 616 L | +75.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed Houston Astros | 59c | 676.68$399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.44 | 218 | 42.7%93 W · 125 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b0f…b7aebacked Cleveland Guardians | 35c | 651.94$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.82 | 526 | 38.4%202 W · 324 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed Cleveland Guardians | 7c | 613.42$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.75 | 1,173 | 29%340 W · 833 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Cleveland Guardians | 59c | 601.77$353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$352.99 | 1,769 | 51.6%912 W · 857 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Cleveland Guardians | 59c | 578.63$341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$341.39 | 1,708 | 49.9%852 W · 856 L | -17.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Cleveland Guardians | 7c | 576.71$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.55 | 1,180 | 7.2%85 W · 1,095 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87af…c990backed Houston Astros | 42c | 574.52$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.22 | 327 | 42.2%138 W · 189 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Cleveland Guardians | 25c | 565.55$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.14 | 1,911 | 53.1%1,014 W · 897 L | +43.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12fd…90c0backed Houston Astros | 41c | 556.88$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$328.56 | 282 | 44.7%126 W · 156 L | -7.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad88…3c1ebacked Cleveland Guardians | 44c | 552.62$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.46 | 483 | 54.7%264 W · 219 L | +20.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x768f…8a9bbacked Cleveland Guardians | 60c | 504.27$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.56 | 122 | 53.3%65 W · 57 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70db…f73fbacked Houston Astros | 40c | 500$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 108 | 42.6%46 W · 62 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x54d0…8e20backed Cleveland Guardians | 60c | 488$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.8 | 321 | 57%183 W · 138 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12b4…a662backed Cleveland Guardians | 32c | 484.12$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.42 | 1,133 | 57.2%648 W · 485 L | +35.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d0a…dda0backed Cleveland Guardians | 51c | 481.8$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.5 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fea…8f74backed Cleveland Guardians | 24c | 481.67$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.06 | 880 | 46.4%408 W · 472 L | -22.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc070…203abacked Houston Astros | 41c | 470.54$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.62 | 119 | 41.2%49 W · 70 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x98ce…8296backed Cleveland Guardians | 41c | 470.54$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31db…c25fbacked Houston Astros | 60c | 466.28$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.15 | 75 | 68%51 W · 24 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 64cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x76f1…f655backed Cleveland Guardians | 22c | 461.92$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.52 | 229 | 48.5%111 W · 118 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…0f9abacked Cleveland Guardians | 57c | 458.85$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.54 | 507 | 51.7%262 W · 245 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83ce…835cbacked Cleveland Guardians | 57c | 456.01$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.06 | 507 | 48.7%247 W · 260 L | -17.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x889c…e375backed Cleveland Guardians | 58c | 420.17$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.7 | 403 | 48.4%195 W · 208 L | -18.3wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Cleveland Guardians | 60c | 390.4$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.24 | 859 | 52.6%452 W · 407 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c69…e671backed Cleveland Guardians | 37c | 388.59$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.78 | 58 | 65.5%38 W · 20 L | +6.3wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Houston Astros | 43c | 373.79$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.26 | 2,296 | 49.7%1,141 W · 1,155 L | +37.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ac…c9f4backed Cleveland Guardians | 15c | 373.25$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.99 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +2.2wins | +0.20per pick | 44cpaid | +39.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x17af…2a45backed Cleveland Guardians | 60c | 369.25$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.55 | 110 | 51.8%57 W · 53 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…1635backed Cleveland Guardians | 37c | 364.35$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.81 | 529 | 55.6%294 W · 235 L | +13.1wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -10%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Houston Astros vs. Cleveland Guardiansthis page
- Houston Astros vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 2.5Under won
- Houston Astros vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 8.5Under won
- Spread: Cleveland Guardians (-1.5)Houston Astros won
- Spread: Houston Astros (-1.5)Houston Astros won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Houston Astros vs. Cleveland GuardiansYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.