MLB · resolved market
Houston Astros vs. Cleveland Guardians
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xee64fbf357d404c0ad0f44c6c4eaf976035dad7aee615e656aeeb80dc5d7dfd3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Cleveland Guardiansof Houston Astros, Cleveland Guardians
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $777,317
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $817,841
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $777,317 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 469 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc807…c12bbacked Cleveland Guardians | 58c | 94,746$54,952 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39,793.18 | 501 | 53.5%268 W · 233 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Houston Astros | 51c | 82,344$42,164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42,164.22 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5ea…d96abacked Houston Astros | 42c | 70,000$29,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29,399.93 | 210 | 40%84 W · 126 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Houston Astros | 5c | 46,285$2,158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,158.19 | 2,389 | 43.4%1,037 W · 1,352 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd36…a8acbacked Cleveland Guardians | 66c | 36,841$24,276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,565.24 | 127 | 54.3%69 W · 58 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Cleveland Guardians | 57c | 36,122$20,680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,441.18 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba81…dc35backed Cleveland Guardians | 45c | 28,637$12,775 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,861.73 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +23%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Cleveland Guardians | 58c | 18,001$10,528 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,472.43 | 595 | 49.7%296 W · 299 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac39…95c7backed Houston Astros | 23c | 17,921$4,119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,119.17 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x081c…f010backed Cleveland Guardians | 57c | 15,857$9,038 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,818.44 | 76 | 59.2%45 W · 31 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbde3…4a49backed Houston Astros | 37c | 15,400$5,676 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,675.9 | 146 | 48.6%71 W · 75 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Houston Astros | 41c | 14,394$5,901 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,901.47 | 1,041 | 50.1%522 W · 519 L | +17.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Houston Astros | 43c | 13,028$5,665 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,665.28 | 1,660 | 50.1%832 W · 828 L | -22.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Houston Astros | 41c | 12,119$4,969 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,968.66 | 321 | 52%167 W · 154 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Cleveland Guardians | 43c | 10,018$4,351 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,666.66 | 310 | 39%121 W · 189 L | -10.5wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x234b…972fbacked Cleveland Guardians | 59c | 9,876$5,827 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,049.13 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b90…f361backed Cleveland Guardians | 51c | 8,975$4,576 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,398.66 | 29 | 72.4%21 W · 8 L | +4.6wins | +0.16per pick | 56cpaid | +32.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Cleveland Guardians | 41c | 8,753$3,583 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,169.87 | 479 | 53.2%255 W · 224 L | +18.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x99a7…fc82backed Houston Astros | 42c | 7,998$3,359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,359.12 | 142 | 48.6%69 W · 73 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Cleveland Guardians | 79c | 7,822$6,142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,680.38 | 4,381 | 44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L | +77.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Houston Astros | 0c | 7,816$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.56 | 1,269 | 51.1%648 W · 621 L | +23.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc1…b33cbacked Cleveland Guardians | 58c | 7,581$4,397 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,184.03 | 260 | 56.9%148 W · 112 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38c2…d3a7backed Cleveland Guardians | 58c | 7,563$4,387 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,176.5 | 360 | 47.5%171 W · 189 L | -13.5wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf49f…98c8backed Houston Astros | 0c | 6,597$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.33 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -54%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fba…d08abacked Houston Astros | 41c | 6,402$2,625 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,624.92 | 531 | 50.5%268 W · 263 L | +19.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Houston Astros | 42c | 6,227$2,636 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,636.39 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3df…82fabacked Houston Astros | 36c | 5,876$2,142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,141.88 | 488 | 50.2%245 W · 243 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Houston Astros | 45c | 5,808$2,615 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,615.46 | 1,499 | 58.9%883 W · 616 L | +75.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Houston Astros | 42c | 5,760$2,419 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,419 | 1,355 | 49.8%675 W · 680 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Houston Astros | 41c | 5,753$2,358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,357.51 | 2,147 | 50.2%1,078 W · 1,069 L | +27.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Houston Astros | 42c | 5,638$2,349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,349.22 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x255a…3435backed Houston Astros | 7c | 4,924$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330.06 | 1,522 | 34.7%528 W · 994 L | +27.1wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Houston Astros | 42c | 4,881$2,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,050.22 | 1,402 | 48.8%684 W · 718 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked Cleveland Guardians | 48c | 4,773$2,289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,483.91 | 1,141 | 42.9%490 W · 651 L | -37.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Cleveland Guardians | 72c | 4,452$3,205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,246.85 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Cleveland Guardians | 32c | 4,447$1,416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,030.65 | 1,113 | 49%545 W · 568 L | +22.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b1e…65c1backed Cleveland Guardians | 75c | 4,100$3,062 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,038 | 299 | 48.8%146 W · 153 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Cleveland Guardians | 62c | 3,839$2,379 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,460.19 | 1,456 | 42.7%622 W · 834 L | -39.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf472…a262backed Houston Astros | 3c | 3,560$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.81 | 85 | 15.3%13 W · 72 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3265…d5b8backed Cleveland Guardians | 51c | 3,160$1,615 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,544.99 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +2.8wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc50f…3ad3backed Houston Astros | 43c | 3,051$1,312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,311.91 | 132 | 54.5%72 W · 60 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa048…dd23backed Houston Astros | 42c | 3,011$1,265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,264.8 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | -3.9wins | -0.12per pick | 53cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9870…b9d3backed Cleveland Guardians | 59c | 2,926$1,726 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,199.74 | 190 | 53.7%102 W · 88 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Cleveland Guardians | 57c | 2,779$1,594 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,185.38 | 1,029 | 51.2%527 W · 502 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Cleveland Guardians | 57c | 2,779$1,597 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,181.79 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…64bbbacked Cleveland Guardians | 51c | 2,750$1,409 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,340.87 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.3wins | +0.21per pick | 52cpaid | +45.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Houston Astros | 43c | 2,513$1,070 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,070.38 | 1,769 | 51.6%912 W · 857 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa38a…821dbacked Cleveland Guardians | 61c | 2,448$1,497 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$950.93 | 180 | 56.1%101 W · 79 L | +11.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Houston Astros | 37c | 2,393$885 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$885.22 | 3,208 | 51.2%1,642 W · 1,566 L | +146.6wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…1d79backed Houston Astros | 42c | 2,298$965 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$965.2 | 262 | 45.8%120 W · 142 L | -17.7wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdf00…133fbacked Houston Astros | 43c | 2,185$940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$939.54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58b6…c324backed Houston Astros | 59c | 2,145$1,265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,265.31 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e26…e4d1backed Cleveland Guardians | 58c | 2,063$1,192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$871.03 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3354…5042backed Cleveland Guardians | 55c | 2,052$1,137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$915.15 | 203 | 50.2%102 W · 101 L | -8.8wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf209…15b9backed Houston Astros | 42c | 1,930$811 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$810.77 | 54 | 55.6%30 W · 24 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Houston Astros | 42c | 1,900$798 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$798 | 1,909 | 53.5%1,021 W · 888 L | +29.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…1635backed Cleveland Guardians | 57c | 1,864$1,068 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$795.95 | 529 | 55.6%294 W · 235 L | +13.1wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -10%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Houston Astros | 43c | 1,838$784 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$783.68 | 2,407 | 48.5%1,167 W · 1,240 L | -62.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Houston Astros | 3c | 1,810$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.7 | 876 | 2.9%25 W · 851 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b49…0397backed Houston Astros | 42c | 1,799$756 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$755.63 | 274 | 51.8%142 W · 132 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Cleveland Guardians | 57c | 1,740$998 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$741.09 | 1,515 | 51.1%774 W · 741 L | +7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3625…1187backed Cleveland Guardians | 56c | 1,739$974 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$764.97 | 379 | 53.6%203 W · 176 L | +18.4wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdcad…df78backed Houston Astros | 29c | 1,730$502 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$501.7 | 109 | 30.3%33 W · 76 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5c8…84a6backed Houston Astros | 42c | 1,724$724 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$723.9 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x691a…d113backed Houston Astros | 40c | 1,567$619 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$619.27 | 280 | 49.6%139 W · 141 L | +8.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8811…627cbacked Houston Astros | 58c | 1,555$902 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$902.16 | 554 | 64.1%355 W · 199 L | +63.1wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x44aa…d1d5backed Houston Astros | 41c | 1,500$615 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$615 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.13per pick | 52cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9916…bcb2backed Houston Astros | 47c | 1,499$704 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$703.73 | 57 | 56.1%32 W · 25 L | +4.2wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Cleveland Guardians | 48c | 1,478$714 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$763.37 | 555 | 41.4%230 W · 325 L | -26.7wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4738…4687backed Cleveland Guardians | 56c | 1,395$779 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$616.05 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdcc9…4534backed Cleveland Guardians | 56c | 1,387$777 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$610.45 | 71 | 64.8%46 W · 25 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2fb5…b009backed Cleveland Guardians | 42c | 1,340$569 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$771.06 | 64 | 45.3%29 W · 35 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6560…b6ddbacked Cleveland Guardians | 80c | 1,274$1,019 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.73 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.17per pick | 65cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Cleveland Guardians | 18c | 1,197$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$975.99 | 462 | 39.6%183 W · 279 L | -17.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbc7d…305ebacked Cleveland Guardians | 71c | 1,148$817 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$331.08 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 70cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x949e…20afbacked Cleveland Guardians | 33c | 1,091$365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$726.52 | 228 | 31.6%72 W · 156 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | +9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Cleveland Guardians | 65c | 1,091$709 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$381.71 | 1,723 | 50.3%867 W · 856 L | +55.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Cleveland Guardians | 73c | 1,061$780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.64 | 2,021 | 39.5%798 W · 1,223 L | -25.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0576…6232backed Houston Astros | 42c | 1,053$442 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$442.39 | 350 | 47.4%166 W · 184 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36d8…c7c7backed Houston Astros | 41c | 1,047$432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$432.07 | 707 | 35.1%248 W · 459 L | -31.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7c…357dbacked Houston Astros | 2c | 1,026$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.31 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +3.7wins | +0.22per pick | 31cpaid | +80.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2c55…97d4backed Cleveland Guardians | 59c | 1,002$591 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410.76 | 136 | 55.1%75 W · 61 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc602…7fc1backed Houston Astros | 43c | 1,000$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430 | 126 | 40.5%51 W · 75 L | -12.2wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -22%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Houston Astros | 42c | 1,000$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420 | 1,010 | 48.1%486 W · 524 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabf5…cfebbacked Houston Astros | 44c | 999.99$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$439.99 | 444 | 51.1%227 W · 217 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64b1…f556backed Houston Astros | 1c | 973.28$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.65 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4699…5051backed Cleveland Guardians | 13c | 965.88$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$843.64 | 168 | 14.3%24 W · 144 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 11cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Houston Astros | 38c | 949.54$359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$359.03 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Cleveland Guardians | 36c | 940.25$336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$604.74 | 4,035 | 57.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L | +72.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd63…a39abacked Houston Astros | 24c | 925.5$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.64 | 137 | 27.7%38 W · 99 L | -8.4wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc118…54c2backed Houston Astros | 8c | 875.9$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.97 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x357b…0b65backed Cleveland Guardians | 58c | 840.34$487 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352.94 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | -2.5wins | -0.06per pick | 62cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6001…0457backed Houston Astros | 42c | 691.13$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.27 | 185 | 53.5%99 W · 86 L | +6.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Houston Astros | 36c | 667.33$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.39 | 1,345 | 47.7%642 W · 703 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x986c…3180backed Houston Astros | 42c | 654.82$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276.51 | 515 | 47%242 W · 273 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Houston Astros | 42c | 617.95$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.12 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…d8debacked Cleveland Guardians | 63c | 595.81$376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.49 | 374 | 44.4%166 W · 208 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12fd…90c0backed Houston Astros | 42c | 584.77$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.6 | 282 | 44.7%126 W · 156 L | -7.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Cleveland Guardians | 59c | 578.63$341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.24 | 1,708 | 49.9%852 W · 856 L | -17.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Cleveland Guardians | 57c | 561.52$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.35 | 449 | 53.7%241 W · 208 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Houston Astros vs. Cleveland Guardiansthis page
- Houston Astros vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 12.5Over won
- Houston Astros vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 6.5Over won
- Houston Astros vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 7.5Over won
- Houston Astros vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 8.5Over won
- Houston Astros vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 9.5Over won
- Spread: Cleveland Guardians (-1.5)Cleveland Guardians won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Houston Astros vs. Cleveland GuardiansYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.