MLB · resolved market
Spread: Cleveland Guardians (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9dcd3d66f1971bf26b828c7f19fdd565290ea6c8b3c2a8b260479c264547cda3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Cleveland Guardiansof Cleveland Guardians, Houston Astros
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $36,942
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $37,685
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $36,942 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 98 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6498…8910backed Cleveland Guardians | 65c | 11,863$7,769 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,094.05 | 517 | 56.5%292 W · 225 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Cleveland Guardians | 41c | 6,451$2,664 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,786.24 | 1,029 | 51.2%527 W · 502 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Houston Astros | 36c | 4,972$1,790 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,790.08 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b10…acabbacked Houston Astros | 33c | 3,812$1,258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,257.8 | 84 | 46.4%39 W · 45 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb27…c56ebacked Houston Astros | 58c | 2,973$1,724 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,724.26 | 54 | 50%27 W · 27 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc463…9a2fbacked Houston Astros | 60c | 2,500$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,499.92 | 338 | 52.7%178 W · 160 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa048…dd23backed Houston Astros | 59c | 2,225$1,313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,312.62 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | -3.9wins | -0.12per pick | 53cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Houston Astros | 60c | 2,000$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 1,909 | 53.5%1,021 W · 888 L | +29.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Houston Astros | 47c | 1,218$572 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$572.3 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7462…3ac3backed Houston Astros | 36c | 1,015$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370.02 | 57 | 54.4%31 W · 26 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Houston Astros | 58c | 1,000$584 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$584 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Cleveland Guardians | 40c | 999.99$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600 | 1,063 | 48.2%512 W · 551 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7851…d471backed Cleveland Guardians | 42c | 868.68$365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$503.83 | 166 | 44.6%74 W · 92 L | -6.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Cleveland Guardians | 40c | 806.87$323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$484.12 | 920 | 54%497 W · 423 L | +23.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Houston Astros | 24c | 672.16$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.93 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xebe6…9278backed Houston Astros | 60c | 500$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 2,104 | 51.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa877…2e20backed Houston Astros | 61c | 491.23$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.65 | 726 | 48.1%349 W · 377 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ba5…aaf1backed Cleveland Guardians | 41c | 480$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.2 | 540 | 48.3%261 W · 279 L | -12.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56e0…1a3bbacked Cleveland Guardians | 42c | 459.62$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.58 | 119 | 42.9%51 W · 68 L | +9.3wins | +0.08per pick | 35cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Houston Astros | 54c | 428.92$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.15 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xce39…04d6backed Cleveland Guardians | 36c | 400.01$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256 | 60 | 48.3%29 W · 31 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd3a…91fdbacked Houston Astros | 33c | 390.44$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.84 | 54 | 50%27 W · 27 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d3d…33e9backed Houston Astros | 64c | 383.91$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.7 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x775e…6541backed Cleveland Guardians | 40c | 379.65$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.79 | 64 | 42.2%27 W · 37 L | -3.6wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1a93…c3eabacked Cleveland Guardians | 40c | 378.37$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.02 | 265 | 45.7%121 W · 144 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf984…5098backed Cleveland Guardians | 53c | 367.23$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.88 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Cleveland Guardians | 55c | 357.25$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.49 | 515 | 55%283 W · 232 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Houston Astros | 60c | 341.6$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.96 | 1,521 | 48.6%739 W · 782 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Houston Astros | 16c | 339.96$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.39 | 3,208 | 51.2%1,642 W · 1,566 L | +146.6wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1a…42d8backed Cleveland Guardians | 46c | 300$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162 | 100 | 33%33 W · 67 L | -4.7wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe649…4e37backed Cleveland Guardians | 40c | 241$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.6 | 569 | 46.9%267 W · 302 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed Cleveland Guardians | 41c | 235.27$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.81 | 1,195 | 50%597 W · 598 L | +5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8811…627cbacked Houston Astros | 73c | 205.1$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.74 | 554 | 64.1%355 W · 199 L | +63.1wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Cleveland Guardians | 39c | 202.46$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.7 | 1,769 | 51.6%912 W · 857 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad88…3c1ebacked Cleveland Guardians | 40c | 202.44$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.46 | 483 | 54.7%264 W · 219 L | +20.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Cleveland Guardians | 40c | 201.19$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.71 | 1,355 | 49.8%675 W · 680 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fbd…3d15backed Houston Astros | 58c | 191.3$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.95 | 186 | 48.4%90 W · 96 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa315…cabbbacked Cleveland Guardians | 41c | 185.17$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.25 | 114 | 56.1%64 W · 50 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Cleveland Guardians | 61c | 176.74$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.84 | 2,389 | 43.4%1,037 W · 1,352 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Houston Astros | 22c | 156.74$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.32 | 1,723 | 50.3%867 W · 856 L | +55.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbaea…4bbfbacked Houston Astros | 40c | 143.11$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.24 | 86 | 52.3%45 W · 41 L | +7.7wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7511…582ebacked Houston Astros | 15c | 130.95$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.64 | 701 | 54.2%380 W · 321 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14e4…eabbbacked Houston Astros | 59c | 126.95$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.39 | 509 | 49.5%252 W · 257 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36f9…5445backed Cleveland Guardians | 48c | 126.44$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.81 | 158 | 58.2%92 W · 66 L | +8.2wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Houston Astros | 59c | 125.12$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.82 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f43…3a74backed Houston Astros | 60c | 120$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 232 | 55.2%128 W · 104 L | +13.2wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked Cleveland Guardians | 41c | 117.63$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.4 | 524 | 49%257 W · 267 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2494…17b3backed Houston Astros | 33c | 116.34$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.39 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | -2.9wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -14%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0eca…c56abacked Houston Astros | 17c | 114$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.38 | 499 | 42.9%214 W · 285 L | -31.5wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce5…a07fbacked Houston Astros | 33c | 107.61$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.51 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -4.0wins | -0.14per pick | 52cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked Cleveland Guardians | 51c | 94.57$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.41 | 825 | 51.6%426 W · 399 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x636a…18fdbacked Houston Astros | 64c | 88.99$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b87…9414backed Houston Astros | 60c | 83.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 94 | 44.7%42 W · 52 L | -4.3wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Houston Astros | 59c | 82.2$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.87 | 1,435 | 50%717 W · 718 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Cleveland Guardians | 51c | 81.82$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.32 | 1,269 | 47.4%602 W · 667 L | -31.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66df…7ea5backed Houston Astros | 60c | 81.33$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.8 | 68 | 57.4%39 W · 29 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3492…969abacked Houston Astros | 33c | 72.71$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -3.0wins | -0.18per pick | 53cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7770…f99bbacked Cleveland Guardians | 42c | 69.33$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.21 | 64 | 46.9%30 W · 34 L | -5.8wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe697…708fbacked Houston Astros | 59c | 66.13$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.02 | 229 | 49.8%114 W · 115 L | -8.7wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…8f79backed Houston Astros | 59c | 65.86$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.86 | 399 | 48.1%192 W · 207 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x938e…9b66backed Houston Astros | 61c | 64.04$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.06 | 481 | 50.7%244 W · 237 L | -19.3wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0764…41d1backed Houston Astros | 57c | 63.32$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.09 | 38 | 65.8%25 W · 13 L | +2.5wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Cleveland Guardians | 35c | 61.18$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.84 | 1,843 | 43.6%804 W · 1,039 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Houston Astros | 38c | 59.43$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.65 | 841 | 22.7%191 W · 650 L | -81.4wins | -0.10per pick | 32cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0905…e5c0backed Cleveland Guardians | 39c | 50$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.5 | 1,661 | 43.5%722 W · 939 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae51…0d08backed Cleveland Guardians | 55c | 45.95$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.68 | 364 | 40.1%146 W · 218 L | +9.4wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb39b…14c9backed Cleveland Guardians | 41c | 41$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.19 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f08…5afbbacked Cleveland Guardians | 37c | 40.95$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.9 | 143 | 40.6%58 W · 85 L | -6.6wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2fb5…b009backed Cleveland Guardians | 53c | 40$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.8 | 64 | 45.3%29 W · 35 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe624…2928backed Cleveland Guardians | 40c | 40$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 496 | 49.8%247 W · 249 L | +11.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50e9…5efebacked Cleveland Guardians | 41c | 38.58$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.76 | 225 | 54.7%123 W · 102 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb7d…7862backed Houston Astros | 59c | 38.02$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.43 | 395 | 53.7%212 W · 183 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6fb…ee11backed Houston Astros | 59c | 37.75$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.27 | 655 | 49.3%323 W · 332 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1df6…cba0backed Houston Astros | 46c | 37.71$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.2 | 1,445 | 50.3%727 W · 718 L | -27.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Houston Astros | 59c | 37.56$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.16 | 737 | 48.4%357 W · 380 L | -7.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Houston Astros | 43c | 36.69$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.64 | 4,035 | 57.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L | +72.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d49…e00abacked Cleveland Guardians | 46c | 36.59$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.73 | 667 | 49.3%329 W · 338 L | -22.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36aa…a683backed Cleveland Guardians | 40c | 36.15$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.69 | 443 | 47.9%212 W · 231 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Cleveland Guardians | 49c | 35.88$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.16 | 290 | 47.6%138 W · 152 L | -11.4wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x362d…0c58backed Cleveland Guardians | 80c | 35.71$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.3 | 57 | 56.1%32 W · 25 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9825…9ffcbacked Houston Astros | 55c | 35.38$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.46 | 184 | 44%81 W · 103 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Cleveland Guardians | 41c | 35.3$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.83 | 2,296 | 49.7%1,141 W · 1,155 L | +37.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe727…f6e1backed Houston Astros | 59c | 34.13$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.99 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c5e…8950backed Houston Astros | 63c | 32.57$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a0e…b0babacked Houston Astros | 60c | 32.53$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.52 | 62 | 40.3%25 W · 37 L | -6.1wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x60d8…85f8backed Houston Astros | 60c | 32.01$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.21 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Cleveland Guardians | 64c | 28.75$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.35 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2c8…d506backed Houston Astros | 55c | 28.31$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.57 | 54 | 42.6%23 W · 31 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcac9…47a9backed Cleveland Guardians | 40c | 27.54$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.52 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 34cpaid | +22%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Cleveland Guardians | 39c | 26.56$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.2 | 753 | 44.1%332 W · 421 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1fc…5da8backed Cleveland Guardians | 43c | 25.62$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.72 | 53 | 41.5%22 W · 31 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ee6…f017backed Houston Astros | 61c | 23.93$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.6 | 54 | 42.6%23 W · 31 L | -5.1wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdded…13a2backed Houston Astros | 80c | 22$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.55 | 202 | 58.4%118 W · 84 L | +7.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12b4…a662backed Houston Astros | 61c | 20.99$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.78 | 1,133 | 57.2%648 W · 485 L | +35.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8941…83d7backed Houston Astros | 61c | 19.53$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.91 | 153 | 51.6%79 W · 74 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd78e…6421backed Houston Astros | 60c | 19.52$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.71 | 237 | 50.6%120 W · 117 L | -11.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Houston Astros | 60c | 18.58$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.15 | 2,407 | 48.5%1,167 W · 1,240 L | -62.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5821…7c51backed Houston Astros | 67c | 15.8$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.59 | 2,995 | 50.8%1,521 W · 1,474 L | -36.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Cleveland Guardians (-1.5)this page
- Houston Astros vs. Cleveland GuardiansCleveland Guardians won
- Houston Astros vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 12.5Over won
- Houston Astros vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 6.5Over won
- Houston Astros vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 7.5Over won
- Houston Astros vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 8.5Over won
- Houston Astros vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 9.5Over won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Houston Astros vs. Cleveland GuardiansYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.