MLB · resolved market
Houston Astros vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 8.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x59f4cb9cc4941902ef5edfc5d27072c741b56cb6ff2e5ff577a21819770a4aab
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $36,629
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $43,237
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $36,629 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 89 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdcfe…44b5backed Under | 47c | 3,462$1,627 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,627.36 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.13per pick | 58cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b4d…e246backed Over | 53c | 3,372$1,787 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,584.91 | 58 | 62.1%36 W · 22 L | +7.0wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Over | 53c | 2,986$1,583 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,403.62 | 1,063 | 48.2%512 W · 551 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x085e…9aeabacked Over | 54c | 2,625$1,418 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,207.72 | 83 | 53%44 W · 39 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Under | 46c | 2,500$1,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,150 | 750 | 49.7%373 W · 377 L | +7.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3df…82fabacked Under | 52c | 1,838$951 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$951.45 | 488 | 50.2%245 W · 243 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x055a…12ddbacked Over | 54c | 1,224$661 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$562.34 | 45 | 48.9%22 W · 23 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09af…9728backed Under | 47c | 1,030$484 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$484.1 | 891 | 53.5%477 W · 414 L | +24.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0520…3efdbacked Over | 53c | 1,004$527 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$476.68 | 532 | 61.8%329 W · 203 L | +20.6wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6bc0…af1abacked Over | 47c | 1,002$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$531.36 | 91 | 47.3%43 W · 48 L | +7.8wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 46c | 868.22$402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$466.22 | 2,389 | 43.4%1,037 W · 1,352 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 46c | 754.92$347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$347 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 51c | 754.05$384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$384.05 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 34c | 712.62$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470.85 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Under | 55c | 583.89$323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322.92 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 56c | 554.07$309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309.02 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Under | 52c | 491$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.43 | 753 | 44.1%332 W · 421 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f2e…9d0bbacked Under | 52c | 474.39$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.68 | 66 | 62.1%41 W · 25 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Over | 41c | 470.23$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.41 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x357b…0b65backed Over | 54c | 450.19$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.09 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | -2.5wins | -0.06per pick | 62cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8811…627cbacked Over | 47c | 446.6$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.15 | 554 | 64.1%355 W · 199 L | +63.1wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xe235…aba2backed Under | 70c | 412.18$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.53 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +1.6wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4dea…5e23backed Under | 46c | 404.26$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.96 | 425 | 50.1%213 W · 212 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Over | 53c | 364.72$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.33 | 940 | 34.3%322 W · 618 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Under | 60c | 327.37$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.27 | 1,843 | 43.6%804 W · 1,039 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Under | 47c | 325.01$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.57 | 1,769 | 51.6%912 W · 857 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1a…42d8backed Over | 36c | 300$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192 | 100 | 33%33 W · 67 L | -4.7wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x02ea…220cbacked Under | 41c | 290.65$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.76 | 64 | 34.4%22 W · 42 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ac4…a601backed Under | 52c | 280.15$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.68 | 53 | 41.5%22 W · 31 L | -4.3wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf429…969ebacked Over | 54c | 252.5$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.15 | 198 | 42.9%85 W · 113 L | -10.1wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x30d5…36bfbacked Under | 63c | 239.99$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.19 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Over | 56c | 236.58$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.11 | 147 | 24.5%36 W · 111 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Under | 49c | 236.28$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.35 | 191 | 53.9%103 W · 88 L | -6.6wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ebc…01c6backed Under | 42c | 230.49$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.51 | 92 | 43.5%40 W · 52 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Under | 48c | 224.15$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.13 | 781 | 46.4%362 W · 419 L | +11.8wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb378…490bbacked Over | 55c | 187.13$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.21 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Under | 48c | 180.35$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.17 | 1,029 | 51.2%527 W · 502 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked Over | 51c | 141.46$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.87 | 825 | 51.6%426 W · 399 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9ea…b781backed Under | 46c | 107.41$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.41 | 568 | 51.4%292 W · 276 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 50c | 101.49$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.05 | 2,296 | 49.7%1,141 W · 1,155 L | +37.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70fc…ab12backed Under | 57c | 100.93$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.57 | 1,367 | 54.3%742 W · 625 L | +16.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6f7…c7a2backed Under | 48c | 100.92$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.44 | 47 | 40.4%19 W · 28 L | -3.3wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb0b…62cdbacked Under | 47c | 92.25$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.36 | 795 | 43%342 W · 453 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa923…8a4ebacked Under | 42c | 89.78$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.79 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed Under | 28c | 85.16$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.84 | 1,173 | 29%340 W · 833 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0011…4cbabacked Under | 49c | 79.13$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.78 | 309 | 63.1%195 W · 114 L | -9.1wins | -0.03per pick | 66cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdded…13a2backed Over | 49c | 74.37$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.64 | 202 | 58.4%118 W · 84 L | +7.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Under | 47c | 70.8$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.4 | 2,407 | 48.5%1,167 W · 1,240 L | -62.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed Over | 42c | 70.58$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.28 | 430 | 43%185 W · 245 L | -13.6wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2baf…8023backed Over | 49c | 68.91$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.15 | 85 | 50.6%43 W · 42 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84cc…3132backed Under | 46c | 67.72$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.15 | 117 | 53%62 W · 55 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Under | 54c | 67.7$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.37 | 1,269 | 47.4%602 W · 667 L | -31.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ac9…f5ddbacked Over | 39c | 61.76$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.67 | 89 | 49.4%44 W · 45 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Under | 48c | 60.04$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.82 | 1,435 | 50%717 W · 718 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7048…282dbacked Over | 49c | 59.35$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.27 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8702…6304backed Over | 49c | 59.35$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.27 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Under | 49c | 59.02$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.92 | 737 | 48.4%357 W · 380 L | -7.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Over | 39c | 56.21$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.04 | 515 | 55%283 W · 232 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Over | 54c | 54.02$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.85 | 704 | 55%387 W · 317 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36f9…5445backed Under | 47c | 51.5$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.21 | 158 | 58.2%92 W · 66 L | +8.2wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1df6…cba0backed Over | 52c | 50.1$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.88 | 1,445 | 50.3%727 W · 718 L | -27.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50e9…5efebacked Over | 54c | 48.62$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.37 | 225 | 54.7%123 W · 102 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa516…235cbacked Under | 51c | 48.53$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.75 | 54 | 42.6%23 W · 31 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0eca…c56abacked Under | 49c | 48$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.52 | 499 | 42.9%214 W · 285 L | -31.5wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf30a…61fbbacked Under | 55c | 48$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.56 | 558 | 47.7%266 W · 292 L | -11.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1787…c311backed Over | 53c | 47.67$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.41 | 361 | 57.9%209 W · 152 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd2d…d7f8backed Over | 53c | 46.24$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.73 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | -5.8wins | -0.18per pick | 53cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5821…7c51backed Under | 55c | 44.6$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.53 | 2,995 | 50.8%1,521 W · 1,474 L | -36.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed Under | 48c | 43.61$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.13 | 625 | 54.2%339 W · 286 L | +23.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2551…217cbacked Over | 51c | 41.87$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.52 | 50 | 54%27 W · 23 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa20d…eadebacked Under | 47c | 41.2$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.36 | 204 | 46.6%95 W · 109 L | -10.2wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x348f…a206backed Under | 48c | 40.37$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.38 | 62 | 54.8%34 W · 28 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fe5…7936backed Over | 48c | 40.37$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.99 | 192 | 48.4%93 W · 99 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe720…0f1cbacked Under | 49c | 39.18$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.39 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | -2.8wins | -0.08per pick | 60cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x50c3…ace1backed Over | 49c | 38.78$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.78 | 866 | 53%459 W · 407 L | +16.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b5f…2f5ebacked Under | 49c | 37.85$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.7 | 268 | 54.1%145 W · 123 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0954…012abacked Under | 52c | 37.35$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.42 | 1,197 | 53.9%645 W · 552 L | +42.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe33d…9512backed Over | 38c | 34.03$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.04 | 172 | 44.2%76 W · 96 L | -7.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd281…d824backed Over | 48c | 33.09$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.1 | 104 | 49%51 W · 53 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a59…a57ebacked Under | 48c | 33.06$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.98 | 677 | 42.2%286 W · 391 L | -36.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -18%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b45…db25backed Under | 61c | 30$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.38 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -2.9wins | -0.18per pick | 50cpaid | -49.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Under | 48c | 29.73$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.35 | 2,947 | 51.9%1,529 W · 1,418 L | -34.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 41c | 29.04$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.91 | 1,723 | 50.3%867 W · 856 L | +55.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cd…1e2bbacked Under | 47c | 27.86$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.1 | 1,057 | 50.2%531 W · 526 L | +23.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36aa…a683backed Over | 54c | 27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.42 | 443 | 47.9%212 W · 231 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12b4…a662backed Over | 41c | 25.3$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.02 | 1,133 | 57.2%648 W · 485 L | +35.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe54d…fea1backed Under | 52c | 20.83$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.83 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x913f…837abacked Over | 53c | 20.41$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.59 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x523c…2c05backed Under | 54c | 19.98$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.79 | 130 | 53.1%69 W · 61 L | -11.0wins | -0.08per pick | 62cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Houston Astros vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 8.5this page
- Houston Astros vs. Cleveland GuardiansCleveland Guardians won
- Houston Astros vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 12.5Over won
- Houston Astros vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 6.5Over won
- Houston Astros vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 7.5Over won
- Houston Astros vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 9.5Over won
- Spread: Cleveland Guardians (-1.5)Cleveland Guardians won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Houston Astros vs. Cleveland GuardiansYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.