NBA · resolved market

Spread: Nuggets (-1.5)

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc31c794c248a759fd07934b6ff65bba5ee775e511d6887c44ef72de1a0638bb3

Rebuilt 4 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Timberwolvesof Nuggets, Timberwolves
Resolved: Apr 24, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $1,154,539
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $1,232,143

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,154,539 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 308 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in NBA
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x4924…3782backed Nuggets	46c	349,429$160,737 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$160,737.23	874	51.5%450 W · 424 L	+15.8wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+3.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2a2c…9bc1backed Timberwolves	54c	233,061$125,853 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$107,208	662	48.5%321 W · 341 L	-0.6wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-8.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9495…9a27backed Timberwolves	54c	163,451$87,581 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$75,870	698	48.6%339 W · 359 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Timberwolves	54c	107,111$57,594 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$49,516.65	1,286	50.8%653 W · 633 L	+11.2wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	-1.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xac25…433fbacked Nuggets	51c	100,000$51,500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$51,499.98	80	38.8%31 W · 49 L	-1.0wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	-6.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb45a…192cbacked Nuggets	45c	97,630$43,934 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43,933.68	545	39.6%216 W · 329 L	-28.2wins	-0.05per pick	45cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8a6c…0b3fbacked Timberwolves	55c	88,455$48,650 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$39,804.55	365	49.6%181 W · 184 L	-1.8wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-3%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xc660…bd28backed Nuggets	46c	61,709$28,429 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28,428.93	593	47%279 W · 314 L	-7.3wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-4.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc807…c12bbacked Timberwolves	49c	49,164$24,108 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25,055.42	205	45.9%94 W · 111 L	-12.8wins	-0.06per pick	52cpaid	-12%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Nuggets	46c	31,440$14,516 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14,515.51	637	46.6%297 W · 340 L	-16.1wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-7.8%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5c3a…020bbacked Timberwolves	53c	30,310$16,064 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14,245.74	290	55.5%161 W · 129 L	+15.8wins	+0.05per pick	50cpaid	+8.3%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9770…0ff5backed Timberwolves	54c	21,387$11,452 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9,935.11	35	45.7%16 W · 19 L	-2.1wins	-0.06per pick	52cpaid	-13%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x12af…ff78backed Nuggets	47c	21,300$10,011 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10,011.19	34	47.1%16 W · 18 L	-1.1wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-7.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Nuggets	46c	21,035$9,676 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$9,675.99	906	50.2%455 W · 451 L	-0.6wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Timberwolves	50c	20,325$10,168 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10,157.62	6,213	50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L	+53.8wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Nuggets	37c	19,319$7,095 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$7,095.06	3,668	41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L	-70.7wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-15.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd100…853dbacked Nuggets	46c	15,776$7,257 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$7,256.98	323	51.1%165 W · 158 L	+2.9wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x339a…1eaebacked Timberwolves	55c	15,112$8,312 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,800.37	1,759	61.7%1,085 W · 674 L	+127.5wins	+0.07per pick	54cpaid	+12.7%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed Timberwolves	48c	11,626$5,580 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,045.31	1,194	48.8%583 W · 611 L	-22.7wins	-0.02per pick	51cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa080…234fbacked Timberwolves	54c	11,308$6,107 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,201.89	148	42.6%63 W · 85 L	-7.8wins	-0.05per pick	48cpaid	-12.7%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6815…9edbbacked Nuggets	46c	11,007$5,068 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,067.6	209	46.9%98 W · 111 L	-2.0wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-5.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Nuggets	46c	10,471$4,839 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,838.62	1,084	50%542 W · 542 L	+2.7wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-2.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Nuggets	55c	10,272$5,666 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,666.07	844	43%363 W · 481 L	-40.5wins	-0.05per pick	48cpaid	-17.8%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe7a2…ae70backed Timberwolves	51c	10,030$5,165 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,865.53	215	49.8%107 W · 108 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xcf6c…7e66backed Nuggets	53c	9,718$5,151 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,150.54	596	46.1%275 W · 321 L	-16.2wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-10.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3a6c…236dbacked Timberwolves	54c	9,043$4,864 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,179.47	170	55.3%94 W · 76 L	+4.7wins	+0.03per pick	53cpaid	+5.9%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Timberwolves	48c	8,936$4,304 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,632.47	4,781	50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L	+20.7wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x661f…098abacked Timberwolves	54c	8,889$4,800 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,088.88	56	55.4%31 W · 25 L	+4.0wins	+0.07per pick	48cpaid	+14%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb08f…4ea1backed Timberwolves	58c	8,396$4,849 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,547.24	9	55.6%5 W · 4 L	-0.9wins	-0.10per pick	65cpaid	-5.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x93ab…9723backed Timberwolves	52c	7,897$4,106 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,790.39	603	51.4%310 W · 293 L	+16.3wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+2.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd1e6…1dc1backed Nuggets	52c	7,800$4,056 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,055.96	13	61.5%8 W · 5 L	+1.7wins	+0.13per pick	48cpaid	+22.8%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed Timberwolves	53c	7,027$3,724 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,302.73	373	55%205 W · 168 L	+8.4wins	+0.02per pick	53cpaid	+5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe0a2…40d5backed Nuggets	47c	6,724$3,166 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,166.37	219	43.4%95 W · 124 L	-12.7wins	-0.06per pick	49cpaid	-11.7%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc0ff…9953backed Nuggets	46c	6,534$3,005 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,005.46	118	64.4%76 W · 42 L	+15.6wins	+0.13per pick	51cpaid	+25.2%equal weight	62+0.11 edge/pick
0x1aa2…30ccbacked Nuggets	47c	6,246$2,936 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,935.58	389	46%179 W · 210 L	-13.6wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-7.2%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1a66…ae5ebacked Nuggets	47c	6,180$2,905 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,904.6	142	51.4%73 W · 69 L	+2.8wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+4.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x882a…cde2backed Timberwolves	55c	5,481$3,015 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,466.21	229	48.5%111 W · 118 L	+0.7wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	+5.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2734…6d9ebacked Timberwolves	55c	5,307$2,919 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,388.27	61	44.3%27 W · 34 L	-2.2wins	-0.04per pick	48cpaid	-7.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe49d…ff91backed Nuggets	48c	5,003$2,402 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,401.64	56	55.4%31 W · 25 L	+2.6wins	+0.05per pick	51cpaid	+8%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Timberwolves	54c	5,000$2,700 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,300	1,752	40.6%712 W · 1,040 L	-3.3wins	0.00per pick	41cpaid	-5.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1117…3532backed Nuggets	52c	5,000$2,600 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,600	1,024	50.8%520 W · 504 L	+18.6wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+5.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7e7c…4d13backed Timberwolves	45c	4,444$2,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,444.44	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.7wins	+0.24per pick	42cpaid	+46.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Timberwolves	54c	3,889$2,100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,788.89	2,507	48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L	+19.8wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+0.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9a54…7191backed Nuggets	47c	3,810$1,791 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,790.67	53	45.3%24 W · 29 L	-2.5wins	-0.05per pick	50cpaid	-8.5%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8228…b2fbbacked Nuggets	48c	3,714$1,783 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,782.59	49	51%25 W · 24 L	+0.8wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x198f…c419backed Nuggets	45c	3,333$1,500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,499.99	172	49.4%85 W · 87 L	+2.9wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+5.5%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Nuggets	19c	3,299$614 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$613.77	8,988	47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L	+96.4wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Timberwolves	54c	3,020$1,629 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,391.07	4,325	47%2,031 W · 2,294 L	-69.5wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa2c6…d14dbacked Timberwolves	55c	2,983$1,633 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,349.77	106	45.3%48 W · 58 L	-8.1wins	-0.08per pick	53cpaid	-17.1%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9870…b9d3backed Timberwolves	48c	2,906$1,395 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,511.33	564	53.9%304 W · 260 L	+6.7wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1adb…2798backed Nuggets	33c	2,872$947 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$947.41	4	75%3 W · 1 L	+1.3wins	+0.32per pick	43cpaid	+62.3%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5f08…5afbbacked Nuggets	46c	2,790$1,283 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,283.41	167	43.7%73 W · 94 L	-3.9wins	-0.02per pick	46cpaid	-5.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2e01…0875backed Nuggets	48c	2,771$1,330 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,330.16	39	43.6%17 W · 22 L	-2.3wins	-0.06per pick	50cpaid	-11.4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc463…9a2fbacked Timberwolves	52c	2,584$1,355 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,229.56	310	46.8%145 W · 165 L	+1.5wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed Timberwolves	54c	2,500$1,350 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,150	568	43.8%249 W · 319 L	-25.1wins	-0.04per pick	48cpaid	-8.4%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8393…f0aebacked Timberwolves	45c	2,381$1,072 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,309.65	19	26.3%5 W · 14 L	+1.7wins	+0.09per pick	18cpaid	-27.6%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe9ac…8de4backed Nuggets	46c	2,375$1,094 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,094.2	148	54.1%80 W · 68 L	+3.7wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	+6.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x09f4…dac0backed Nuggets	46c	2,256$1,049 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,048.63	169	46.7%79 W · 90 L	-3.9wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0fde…abcebacked Nuggets	48c	2,200$1,056 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,055.99	36	41.7%15 W · 21 L	-2.9wins	-0.08per pick	50cpaid	-16.1%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Timberwolves	53c	2,105$1,114 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$990.85	2,753	50.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L	+47.0wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+3.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed Nuggets	47c	2,104$989 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$988.83	1,139	48.3%550 W · 589 L	+3.5wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x22a4…63ebbacked Timberwolves	56c	2,086$1,166 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$920.27	920	58%534 W · 386 L	+10.4wins	+0.01per pick	57cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Timberwolves	52c	2,015$1,052 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$963	620	51.1%317 W · 303 L	+14.7wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+6.8%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x708a…a0d8backed Nuggets	47c	1,973$927 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$927.3	45	35.6%16 W · 29 L	-6.1wins	-0.13per pick	49cpaid	-27.7%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0xd04d…bfc2backed Nuggets	47c	1,916$901 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$900.52	2,435	49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L	+30.3wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+2.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Timberwolves	60c	1,624$979 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$645.05	2,949	51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L	+119.4wins	+0.04per pick	47cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x61e8…b283backed Nuggets	46c	1,567$721 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$720.7	149	40.9%61 W · 88 L	-11.6wins	-0.08per pick	49cpaid	-16.1%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0x2c17…3844backed Timberwolves	55c	1,287$708 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$579.37	49	53.1%26 W · 23 L	+2.6wins	+0.05per pick	48cpaid	+7.2%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd70b…dcb1backed Timberwolves	55c	1,265$696 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$569.21	83	33.7%28 W · 55 L	-12.7wins	-0.15per pick	49cpaid	-30%equal weight	37-0.12 edge/pick
0x1966…da9ebacked Nuggets	44c	1,187$527 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$526.81	358	49.7%178 W · 180 L	+4.7wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+4.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x889c…e375backed Nuggets	46c	1,024$476 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$475.94	509	54.8%279 W · 230 L	+14.8wins	+0.03per pick	52cpaid	+5.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x23ef…1d4cbacked Timberwolves	54c	1,005$543 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$462.19	53	37.7%20 W · 33 L	-5.5wins	-0.10per pick	48cpaid	-29%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x7bec…07a8backed Nuggets	41c	1,000$410 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$410	207	44%91 W · 116 L	+3.4wins	+0.02per pick	42cpaid	+1.2%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc602…7fc1backed Timberwolves	46c	1,000$460 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$540	105	39%41 W · 64 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	39cpaid	+14.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xccd9…e5fcbacked Timberwolves	53c	1,000$530 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$470	10	70%7 W · 3 L	+2.1wins	+0.21per pick	49cpaid	+48.6%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed Nuggets	53c	1,000$530 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$530	447	40.7%182 W · 265 L	-27.5wins	-0.06per pick	47cpaid	-9.6%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Nuggets	4c	997.14$41 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40.54	2,630	36.7%966 W · 1,664 L	-119.1wins	-0.05per pick	41cpaid	-25.5%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Nuggets	46c	974.43$444 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$444.41	320	45.3%145 W · 175 L	-7.9wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Nuggets	47c	943.71$443 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$442.81	1,901	48.7%925 W · 976 L	+6.5wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Nuggets	46c	882.19$406 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$405.81	2,045	48.4%990 W · 1,055 L	-30.3wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb946…2671backed Nuggets	48c	873.57$417 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$416.6	650	45.1%293 W · 357 L	-11.8wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4031…92c8backed Nuggets	34c	859.72$289 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$288.54	128	51.6%66 W · 62 L	+5.7wins	+0.04per pick	47cpaid	+13.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Nuggets	45c	800$360 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$360	5,844	46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L	+32.7wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Timberwolves	53c	752.2$397 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$355.46	663	52.6%349 W · 314 L	+30.1wins	+0.05per pick	48cpaid	+9.7%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4093…5749backed Timberwolves	56c	739.85$412 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$327.42	85	56.5%48 W · 37 L	+2.8wins	+0.03per pick	53cpaid	+8.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9438…3d6abacked Nuggets	45c	679.77$306 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$305.9	389	47.6%185 W · 204 L	-6.9wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7e0b…4dd5backed Nuggets	42c	595.07$251 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$251.34	112	32.1%36 W · 76 L	-17.3wins	-0.15per pick	48cpaid	-33.4%equal weight	36-0.13 edge/pick
0xaf29…834cbacked Nuggets	48c	557.06$267 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$267.39	126	46%58 W · 68 L	-6.7wins	-0.05per pick	51cpaid	-10.5%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x054b…afd5backed Nuggets	54c	540.22$292 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$291.72	205	52.2%107 W · 98 L	+4.0wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+5.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa6df…dda7backed Timberwolves	54c	506.22$273 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$232.86	242	47.1%114 W · 128 L	+3.4wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4bb0…e845backed Nuggets	50c	499.98$251 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$250.99	84	51.2%43 W · 41 L	-1.4wins	-0.02per pick	53cpaid	-4.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2c1b…7768backed Nuggets	54c	493.11$266 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$266.28	276	45.3%125 W · 151 L	-8.0wins	-0.03per pick	48cpaid	-7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x64e7…50d1backed Nuggets	28c	478.43$134 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$134.48	25	48%12 W · 13 L	+2.8wins	+0.11per pick	37cpaid	+19.1%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5303…83e6backed Nuggets	54c	453.4$243 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$243.04	66	47%31 W · 35 L	-2.0wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x52f9…ad24backed Timberwolves	54c	447.72$242 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$205.95	44	52.3%23 W · 21 L	+1.0wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+3.3%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x16c6…c9b8backed Nuggets	4c	439.95$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.41	39	30.8%12 W · 27 L	-3.0wins	-0.08per pick	39cpaid	-31.7%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x16bd…ed47backed Nuggets	46c	439.88$202 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$202.02	76	52.6%40 W · 36 L	+1.4wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1fa8…0b19backed Nuggets	46c	417.89$194 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$193.55	213	54%115 W · 98 L	+8.5wins	+0.04per pick	50cpaid	+7.2%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5f61…f488backed Nuggets	48c	403.67$194 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$193.76	96	42.7%41 W · 55 L	-0.8wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	+14.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0204…0e31backed Nuggets	48c	403.67$194 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$193.76	289	49.1%142 W · 147 L	-3.5wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 26 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Spread: Nuggets (-1.5)this page
1H Spread: Nuggets (-0.5)Timberwolves won
Aaron Gordon: Assists O/U 2.5No won
Aaron Gordon: Points O/U 15.5No won
Aaron Gordon: Rebounds O/U 6.5No won
Anthony Edwards: Assists O/U 4.5No won
Anthony Edwards: Points O/U 28.5No won
Anthony Edwards: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
Cameron Johnson: Points O/U 2.5Yes won
Christian Braun: Assists O/U 0.5No won
Donte DiVincenzo: Assists O/U 0.5Yes won
Jaden McDaniels: Assists O/U 2.5Yes won
Jamal Murray: Points O/U 25.5No won
Jamal Murray: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
Julius Randle: Points O/U 19.5No won
Nikola Jokić: Assists O/U 9.5No won
Nikola Jokić: Points O/U 27.5No won
Nikola Jokić: Rebounds O/U 13.5Yes won
Nuggets vs. TimberwolvesTimberwolves won
Nuggets vs. Timberwolves: 1H O/U 112.5Under won
Nuggets vs. Timberwolves: 1H O/U 113.5Under won
Nuggets vs. Timberwolves: O/U 232.5Under won
Nuggets vs. Timberwolves: O/U 233.5Under won
Nuggets vs. Timberwolves: O/U 234.5Under won
Rudy Gobert: Rebounds O/U 2.5Yes won
Spread: Nuggets (-2.5)Timberwolves won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Spread: Nuggets (-1.5)

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event