TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Nikola Jokić: Assists O/U 9.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,693
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,637

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,693 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 16 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x73e8…cd6fbacked No49c760.94$374 inWon+$386.6939265.1%255 W · 137 L+31.0wins+0.08per pick57cpaid+12.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2ff8…8a76backed Yes50c500$250 inLost-$25013751.1%70 W · 67 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb581…0308backed No43c171.04$74 inWon+$97.4956050.4%282 W · 278 L+10.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x40a4…c6a9backed Yes57c150.46$86 inLost-$85.6210246.1%47 W · 55 L-5.3wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-3.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Yes52c115.48$60 inLost-$59.963,66841.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L-70.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x03ba…bebabacked Yes29c102.85$30 inLost-$30.223741.4%98 W · 139 L-12.0wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-18.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xbd38…99d4backed Yes57c97.42$56 inLost-$55.5325657%146 W · 110 L+9.3wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+5.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8afa…28f0backed No48c92.21$44 inWon+$48.2440750.6%206 W · 201 L+10.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9fbd…3d15backed No43c86.76$37 inWon+$49.4576247.1%359 W · 403 L+2.4wins0.00per pick47cpaid+1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x49a8…b182backed Yes57c85.7$49 inLost-$48.76152.5%32 W · 29 L-0.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5df5…c44cbacked Yes27c49.99$13 inLost-$13.562047.3%293 W · 327 L-7.2wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x067e…625bbacked Yes47c31.12$15 inLost-$14.522937.9%11 W · 18 L+2.3wins+0.08per pick30cpaid-2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x64f7…5bd7backed Yes51c30$15 inLost-$15.36540%26 W · 39 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-13.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…ba2cbacked No44c29.99$13 inWon+$16.9526957.2%154 W · 115 L+11.2wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+8.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x07cf…7436backed Yes52c25$13 inLost-$133246.9%15 W · 17 L+1.5wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x110d…cd01backed Yes53c20$11 inLost-$10.634556.2%194 W · 151 L+17.1wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+10.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 26 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.