NBA · resolved market
Nuggets vs. Timberwolves: O/U 232.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4ba3528009f2a085bb4c20a69851554c29a312ff45a1148e31791c57377d17ba
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $300,880
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $293,050
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $300,880 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 164 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Over | 50c | 149,969$74,992 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74,992.18 | 1,556 | 52.8%822 W · 734 L | +40.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Under | 50c | 42,186$21,093 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,093.14 | 373 | 55%205 W · 168 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f28…266ebacked Over | 50c | 40,000$20,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,000 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -4.6wins | -0.15per pick | 60cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1b4d…e246backed Under | 50c | 29,100$14,550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,550 | 296 | 50.3%149 W · 147 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x558f…1a56backed Under | 50c | 20,333$10,167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,166.66 | 108 | 60.2%65 W · 43 L | +8.6wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +109.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Over | 51c | 18,401$9,317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,317.07 | 1,194 | 48.8%583 W · 611 L | -22.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Under | 50c | 15,496$7,737 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,758.4 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6204…0b06backed Over | 49c | 15,000$7,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,350 | 41 | 34.1%14 W · 27 L | -5.1wins | -0.12per pick | 47cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe0a2…40d5backed Under | 50c | 13,534$6,763 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,770.9 | 219 | 43.4%95 W · 124 L | -12.7wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under | 51c | 13,315$6,791 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,524.45 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x639c…31e2backed Under | 50c | 11,359$5,679 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,679.35 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | -3.3wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3a6c…236dbacked Under | 50c | 8,950$4,434 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,515.97 | 170 | 55.3%94 W · 76 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb2fe…7558backed Under | 50c | 8,614$4,307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,306.8 | 149 | 46.3%69 W · 80 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Under | 50c | 7,760$3,880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,880 | 662 | 50.8%336 W · 326 L | +15.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc308…7b09backed Over | 0c | 7,672$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.53 | 312 | 22.1%69 W · 243 L | +14.9wins | +0.05per pick | 17cpaid | +79.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Under | 49c | 7,669$3,758 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,911.31 | 698 | 48.6%339 W · 359 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0767…36b0backed Under | 50c | 7,533$3,767 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,766.75 | 81 | 54.3%44 W · 37 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 12c | 6,779$816 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$815.65 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 73c | 6,280$4,599 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,680.44 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd111…db0ebacked Under | 50c | 5,997$2,998 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,998.42 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Under | 50c | 5,044$2,522 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,522 | 2,753 | 50.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L | +47.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb177…1914backed Under | 50c | 4,249$2,124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,124.3 | 248 | 47.6%118 W · 130 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0ff…9953backed Under | 61c | 4,025$2,449 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,575.51 | 118 | 64.4%76 W · 42 L | +15.6wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Over | 51c | 3,882$1,980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,980.02 | 795 | 49.7%395 W · 400 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Under | 50c | 3,492$1,746 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,746 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Under | 49c | 3,000$1,470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,529.98 | 1,332 | 51.2%682 W · 650 L | +7.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d7a…b22fbacked Over | 51c | 2,718$1,386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,386.02 | 123 | 41.5%51 W · 72 L | -8.6wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd6bd…3096backed Under | 50c | 2,549$1,275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,274.73 | 78 | 52.6%41 W · 37 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdaef…54e9backed Over | 40c | 2,507$997 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$996.64 | 199 | 37.2%74 W · 125 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafb1…f5f1backed Over | 12c | 2,366$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.22 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc61d…3933backed Over | 17c | 2,295$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$379.97 | 170 | 47.6%81 W · 89 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Under | 50c | 2,051$1,025 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,025.29 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabce…2f87backed Over | 18c | 2,001$351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$351.13 | 188 | 44.7%84 W · 104 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92eb…9668backed Over | 10c | 2,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.24per pick | 36cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x61e8…b283backed Under | 49c | 1,980$970 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,009.79 | 149 | 40.9%61 W · 88 L | -11.6wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4d35…96afbacked Over | 50c | 1,400$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | -3.3wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2d53…eb1abacked Under | 50c | 1,358$679 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$679 | 43 | 62.8%27 W · 16 L | +5.5wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0d13…92f3backed Under | 50c | 1,315$658 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$657.66 | 702 | 46.4%326 W · 376 L | -20.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f76…aea6backed Over | 15c | 1,265$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.8 | 87 | 52.9%46 W · 41 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac0a…f89ebacked Under | 49c | 1,242$609 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$633.54 | 382 | 51%195 W · 187 L | +8.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3673…2d13backed Under | 50c | 1,232$616 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$615.95 | 71 | 43.7%31 W · 40 L | -4.0wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 65c | 1,144$740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$404.23 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x09f4…dac0backed Under | 49c | 1,086$532 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$553.86 | 169 | 46.7%79 W · 90 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4ac…5e19backed Over | 51c | 1,047$534 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$533.83 | 384 | 53.4%205 W · 179 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92d8…0924backed Under | 49c | 1,044$512 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$532.46 | 240 | 45.4%109 W · 131 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2430…4527backed Over | 51c | 1,041$531 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$531.11 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Over | 51c | 1,021$521 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$521.11 | 906 | 50.2%455 W · 451 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33a7…e607backed Under | 49c | 1,020$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520.2 | 529 | 51.2%271 W · 258 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09ee…90a4backed Over | 51c | 1,015$513 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$513.09 | 348 | 50.9%177 W · 171 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 51c | 1,011$515 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$495.16 | 1,200 | 51.6%619 W · 581 L | +66.5wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x21db…2a42backed Over | 7c | 1,006$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.66 | 188 | 50.5%95 W · 93 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7bec…07a8backed Over | 5c | 1,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 207 | 44%91 W · 116 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Over | 33c | 999.99$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 560 | 43.9%246 W · 314 L | -31.2wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x72be…c534backed Over | 27c | 980.34$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.38 | 384 | 32.6%125 W · 259 L | -15.3wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -13%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x768b…bf0fbacked Under | 50c | 971.28$486 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$485.64 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc5b…5443backed Under | 50c | 970$485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$485 | 125 | 42.4%53 W · 72 L | -11.1wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Under | 50c | 894.51$446 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$448.55 | 663 | 52.6%349 W · 314 L | +30.1wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb0e5…9d7cbacked Over | 11c | 824.94$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.69 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 49c | 822$403 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$419.22 | 1,633 | 41.2%672 W · 961 L | +26.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5966…af5dbacked Under | 54c | 779$423 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$356.5 | 313 | 54.3%170 W · 143 L | +4.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce9e…3a2fbacked Over | 9c | 730.64$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.33 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked Under | 50c | 704.22$352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352.11 | 452 | 51.1%231 W · 221 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Over | 51c | 646.08$329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329.5 | 1,084 | 50%542 W · 542 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4574…f61ebacked Under | 49c | 643.08$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$327.97 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.17per pick | 41cpaid | +486.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x76e4…febcbacked Over | 51c | 609.08$311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310.63 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 50c | 600.09$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.05 | 1,901 | 48.7%925 W · 976 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x53e9…5ef8backed Over | 29c | 599.97$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.99 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | +7.3wins | +0.16per pick | 33cpaid | +82%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1a66…ae5ebacked Under | 50c | 582$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291 | 142 | 51.4%73 W · 69 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Under | 78c | 571.63$444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.24 | 454 | 45.2%205 W · 249 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbf7…06acbacked Over | 30c | 537$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.1 | 146 | 40.4%59 W · 87 L | -7.3wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x59b1…8396backed Over | 51c | 536.97$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.85 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95b7…d633backed Under | 49c | 522.31$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.38 | 451 | 46.1%208 W · 243 L | -10.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd100…853dbacked Over | 51c | 517$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265.76 | 323 | 51.1%165 W · 158 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b46…684dbacked Over | 30c | 514.45$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.33 | 1,645 | 47.5%782 W · 863 L | +40.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Under | 70c | 506.68$354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.53 | 313 | 45%141 W · 172 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4483…c565backed Under | 62c | 488.58$303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.95 | 232 | 51.7%120 W · 112 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8532…738bbacked Over | 51c | 485.26$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.79 | 324 | 50.3%163 W · 161 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ae7…1eebbacked Over | 13c | 475.65$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.83 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Under | 50c | 429.8$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.51 | 320 | 45.3%145 W · 175 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1aa2…30ccbacked Under | 49c | 408.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.16 | 389 | 46%179 W · 210 L | -13.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Over | 50c | 400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 620 | 51.1%317 W · 303 L | +14.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0204…0e31backed Over | 51c | 380.63$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.12 | 289 | 49.1%142 W · 147 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd239…2083backed Over | 51c | 380.63$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.12 | 155 | 43.2%67 W · 88 L | -7.8wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 48c | 275.23$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.12 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddc4…0270backed Under | 78c | 247.13$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.63 | 277 | 45.8%127 W · 150 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed Over | 11c | 247$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.21 | 228 | 36.4%83 W · 145 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x050d…d5b0backed Over | 51c | 235.51$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.11 | 75 | 50.7%38 W · 37 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Under | 50c | 222.13$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.07 | 1,150 | 49.5%569 W · 581 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Under | 50c | 201.47$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.73 | 1,562 | 47.4%741 W · 821 L | -6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 493 | 45.2%223 W · 270 L | -14.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…5a75backed Under | 49c | 200$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 155 | 43.9%68 W · 87 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Under | 50c | 194$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97 | 1,157 | 47.9%554 W · 603 L | -19.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x664f…d100backed Under | 50c | 194$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97 | 42 | 31%13 W · 29 L | -5.1wins | -0.12per pick | 43cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd121…50c8backed Under | 50c | 194$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97 | 185 | 52.4%97 W · 88 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb503…7552backed Under | 50c | 194$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97 | 141 | 55.3%78 W · 63 L | +9.4wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ea…7f8dbacked Under | 52c | 187.13$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.02 | 51 | 45.1%23 W · 28 L | +4.4wins | +0.09per pick | 37cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x088a…9ee7backed Under | 79c | 184.41$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.73 | 50 | 56%28 W · 22 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f5a…669bbacked Over | 8c | 162.48$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.54 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.5wins | -0.12per pick | 43cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ee5…9ac2backed Under | 79c | 158.68$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.32 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Under | 49c | 158.4$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.29 | 170 | 43.5%74 W · 96 L | -8.5wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 26 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Nuggets vs. Timberwolves: O/U 232.5this page
- 1H Spread: Nuggets (-0.5)Timberwolves won
- Aaron Gordon: Assists O/U 2.5No won
- Aaron Gordon: Points O/U 15.5No won
- Aaron Gordon: Rebounds O/U 6.5No won
- Anthony Edwards: Assists O/U 4.5No won
- Anthony Edwards: Points O/U 28.5No won
- Anthony Edwards: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
- Cameron Johnson: Points O/U 2.5Yes won
- Christian Braun: Assists O/U 0.5No won
- Donte DiVincenzo: Assists O/U 0.5Yes won
- Jaden McDaniels: Assists O/U 2.5Yes won
- Jamal Murray: Points O/U 25.5No won
- Jamal Murray: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
- Julius Randle: Points O/U 19.5No won
- Nikola Jokić: Assists O/U 9.5No won
- Nikola Jokić: Points O/U 27.5No won
- Nikola Jokić: Rebounds O/U 13.5Yes won
- Nuggets vs. TimberwolvesTimberwolves won
- Nuggets vs. Timberwolves: 1H O/U 112.5Under won
- Nuggets vs. Timberwolves: 1H O/U 113.5Under won
- Nuggets vs. Timberwolves: O/U 233.5Under won
- Nuggets vs. Timberwolves: O/U 234.5Under won
- Rudy Gobert: Rebounds O/U 2.5Yes won
- Spread: Nuggets (-1.5)Timberwolves won
- Spread: Nuggets (-2.5)Timberwolves won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.