TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Jamal Murray: Points O/U 25.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$2,993
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$2,959

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,993 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2ff8…8a76backed No43c1,000$425 inWon+$57513751.1%70 W · 67 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xedf7…8f79backed No42c959.39$401 inWon+$558.841,39348.3%673 W · 720 L+19.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6dd9…bfe8backed Yes57c779.68$442 inLost-$442.4865762.3%409 W · 248 L+27.9wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+5.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8cc2…eaefbacked Yes59c561.65$331 inLost-$331.3711056.4%62 W · 48 L+6.9wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+11.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xeea8…0412backed Yes58c487.4$283 inLost-$282.6916251.9%84 W · 78 L+0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb581…0308backed No42c300$126 inWon+$17456050.4%282 W · 278 L+10.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6239…c24fbacked No45c253.78$115 inWon+$138.3395049.4%469 W · 481 L+10.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x183b…7ebebacked Yes55c142.44$78 inLost-$77.821154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+6.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8137…ccadbacked Yes56c86.34$49 inLost-$48.698452.4%44 W · 40 L+2.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+6.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbaf9…3a59backed Yes59c85.96$51 inLost-$50.728651.2%44 W · 42 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4df2…d357backed Yes58c82.81$48 inLost-$48.037659.2%45 W · 31 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x03ba…bebabacked Yes38c57.4$22 inLost-$21.7223741.4%98 W · 139 L-12.0wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-18.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6e9b…888fbacked Yes58c50.42$29 inLost-$29.242152.4%11 W · 10 L+0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xde74…77abbacked No44c50$22 inWon+$2812642.9%54 W · 72 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1969…a09cbacked Yes59c49.6$29 inLost-$29.269658.3%56 W · 40 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4388…9ce4backed No59c48.76$29 inWon+$20.0919952.3%104 W · 95 L+8.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+22.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5b20…99e9backed Yes58c42.02$24 inLost-$24.3766046.8%309 W · 351 L-16.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-5.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x63a4…ef1abacked No60c32.69$20 inWon+$13.171172.7%8 W · 3 L+1.8wins+0.16per pick56cpaid+28.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9698…de01backed Yes54c27.01$15 inLost-$14.5926757.3%153 W · 114 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe76f…39fcbacked Yes54c27.01$15 inLost-$14.5912050%60 W · 60 L-5.2wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-8.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4480…8c0ebacked Yes56c24.34$14 inLost-$13.6310351.5%53 W · 50 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x72a9…44d3backed Yes53c22$12 inLost-$11.6628455.3%157 W · 127 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 26 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.