NBA · resolved market
Nuggets vs. Timberwolves: O/U 233.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfb5aee4addf1d0704f793bb84a8ff3404a28fd3f89487720193d3d31720f7bea
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $114,730
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $133,565
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $114,730 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 113 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Under | 56c | 33,419$18,594 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,825.88 | 844 | 43%363 W · 481 L | -40.5wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Over | 46c | 16,077$7,374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,373.92 | 698 | 48.6%339 W · 359 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Under | 50c | 13,145$6,573 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,572.73 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Over | 47c | 7,261$3,388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,388 | 1,915 | 49.3%944 W · 971 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85f0…3f67backed Under | 53c | 7,195$3,788 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,407.56 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1543…a222backed Over | 50c | 6,194$3,097 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,097 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Under | 54c | 6,142$3,294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,847.67 | 662 | 50.8%336 W · 326 L | +15.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaca2…b9a1backed Under | 50c | 5,820$2,910 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,910 | 328 | 46.6%153 W · 175 L | -7.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe169…4653backed Over | 49c | 4,947$2,424 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,424.1 | 124 | 50.8%63 W · 61 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Over | 48c | 4,543$2,177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,177.16 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Over | 49c | 4,467$2,209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,208.52 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb85…152fbacked Under | 55c | 4,435$2,432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,002.97 | 99 | 45.5%45 W · 54 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70d8…a237backed Over | 50c | 4,000$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.17per pick | 47cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc249…8a61backed Over | 43c | 2,500$1,075 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,075 | 796 | 50.9%405 W · 391 L | +63.2wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Over | 49c | 2,172$1,064 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,063.97 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Over | 45c | 1,702$770 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$770.28 | 2,753 | 50.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L | +47.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cd1…285dbacked Over | 47c | 1,583$744 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$744.12 | 53 | 47.2%25 W · 28 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 47c | 1,540$728 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$728.25 | 1,633 | 41.2%672 W · 961 L | +26.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b66…336abacked Over | 47c | 1,236$581 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$580.92 | 277 | 46.6%129 W · 148 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7793…33a6backed Over | 47c | 1,138$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$539.54 | 293 | 44.4%130 W · 163 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Over | 46c | 1,005$465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$465.04 | 320 | 45.3%145 W · 175 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb946…2671backed Over | 47c | 1,004$472 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$472.19 | 650 | 45.1%293 W · 357 L | -11.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…f282backed Over | 49c | 999.96$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$489.98 | 227 | 52%118 W · 109 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc8f…d0e4backed Over | 15c | 950.14$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.38 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | +3.6wins | +0.15per pick | 17cpaid | +95.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x23f9…3c2dbacked Under | 52c | 757.54$394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$363.62 | 186 | 43.5%81 W · 105 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Over | 47c | 689.06$323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$323.2 | 170 | 43.5%74 W · 96 L | -8.5wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Over | 46c | 645.66$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297 | 620 | 51.1%317 W · 303 L | +14.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30a0…a458backed Over | 27c | 640$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.4 | 96 | 27.1%26 W · 70 L | -4.3wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Over | 47c | 615.06$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.08 | 1,752 | 40.6%712 W · 1,040 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2aae…16e6backed Under | 53c | 585.17$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275.03 | 124 | 58.9%73 W · 51 L | +10.3wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfddc…931abacked Over | 50c | 538.35$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.18 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -1.9wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Over | 48c | 500$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 841 | 50.3%423 W · 418 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9956…44e0backed Under | 53c | 456.75$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.67 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +1.9wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Over | 49c | 423.53$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.03 | 1,150 | 49.5%569 W · 581 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c94…f9f4backed Under | 54c | 360.15$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.67 | 80 | 43.8%35 W · 45 L | -9.9wins | -0.12per pick | 56cpaid | -23%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x54a2…1d43backed Over | 4c | 338.04$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.84 | 188 | 35.1%66 W · 122 L | +24.5wins | +0.13per pick | 22cpaid | +116.5%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Over | 47c | 326.16$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.65 | 870 | 49.3%429 W · 441 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdff8…3c8bbacked Over | 51c | 309.53$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.86 | 57 | 40.4%23 W · 34 L | -5.0wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed Over | 48c | 300$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144 | 228 | 36.4%83 W · 145 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 47c | 296.63$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.32 | 1,901 | 48.7%925 W · 976 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb002…103dbacked Over | 49c | 271.43$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133 | 68 | 45.6%31 W · 37 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed Under | 76c | 262.49$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63 | 203 | 53.7%109 W · 94 L | +21.5wins | +0.11per pick | 43cpaid | +32%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Over | 49c | 240$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.4 | 560 | 43.9%246 W · 314 L | -31.2wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7987…884abacked Under | 53c | 229.2$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.72 | 258 | 50%129 W · 129 L | +8.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0bf8…03b2backed Under | 52c | 222.32$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.75 | 275 | 49.5%136 W · 139 L | -6.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd17a…0373backed Under | 53c | 220$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.4 | 428 | 53%227 W · 201 L | +7.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Over | 50c | 217.28$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.64 | 373 | 55%205 W · 168 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Under | 52c | 210.64$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.8 | 1,277 | 47.2%603 W · 674 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cbb…5503backed Under | 49c | 205.75$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.93 | 96 | 53.1%51 W · 45 L | +5.8wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x50e9…5efebacked Under | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 596 | 50.3%300 W · 296 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf332…3c89backed Over | 50c | 194$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97 | 656 | 49.2%323 W · 333 L | +9.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb2e…cc6bbacked Under | 53c | 183.36$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.18 | 52 | 53.8%28 W · 24 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 14c | 180.07$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.96 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6932…6878backed Over | 46c | 150$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 224 | 53.1%119 W · 105 L | +29.4wins | +0.13per pick | 40cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x90d4…2deebacked Over | 16c | 146.09$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.37 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +4.2wins | +0.26per pick | 18cpaid | +168.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0043…a525backed Over | 50c | 145.88$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.74 | 70 | 47.1%33 W · 37 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4658…4131backed Over | 48c | 145.83$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 211 | 47.4%100 W · 111 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bfe…9408backed Over | 50c | 145.5$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.75 | 56 | 37.5%21 W · 35 L | -6.8wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3f2f…0f51backed Over | 50c | 117.12$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x351c…8cb0backed Under | 51c | 116.36$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.02 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb20…bea0backed Over | 40c | 110.38$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.15 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -1.8wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1bf7…6f57backed Over | 46c | 110$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.6 | 302 | 56.6%171 W · 131 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc09…3079backed Under | 53c | 102.04$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.96 | 68 | 39.7%27 W · 41 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Over | 50c | 102$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 762 | 49.5%377 W · 385 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe299…761bbacked Under | 48c | 101.72$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.9 | 315 | 40.3%127 W · 188 L | -15.4wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…1c75backed Over | 47c | 100$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 410 | 50.7%208 W · 202 L | +9.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c13…99b7backed Under | 51c | 98.96$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.49 | 477 | 38.2%182 W · 295 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb390…642bbacked Under | 50c | 98.94$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.47 | 1,661 | 50.3%836 W · 825 L | -14.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55e7…4fb9backed Under | 49c | 97.94$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.46 | 62 | 61.3%38 W · 24 L | +6.9wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5690…7a58backed Over | 17c | 89.21$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.44 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 45c | 79.82$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.92 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked Over | 49c | 75$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.38 | 661 | 43.4%287 W · 374 L | -32.6wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Over | 33c | 74.99$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.5 | 620 | 47.3%293 W · 327 L | -7.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d05…f729backed Over | 50c | 68.81$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.41 | 130 | 47.7%62 W · 68 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Over | 25c | 65.89$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.42 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xccb7…0477backed Over | 47c | 64.72$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.42 | 54 | 55.6%30 W · 24 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x503a…1e89backed Over | 50c | 62.32$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.16 | 61 | 55.7%34 W · 27 L | +6.4wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +27%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked Over | 50c | 61.11$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.55 | 452 | 51.1%231 W · 221 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc81a…c368backed Over | 46c | 55$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.3 | 177 | 47.5%84 W · 93 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Over | 49c | 53.48$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.94 | 1,634 | 48.1%786 W · 848 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7c…8964backed Over | 50c | 52.7$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.35 | 806 | 53.6%432 W · 374 L | +16.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked Over | 39c | 49.99$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 237 | 41.4%98 W · 139 L | -12.0wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcde4…aa62backed Under | 68c | 49.41$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.61 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -2.7wins | -0.12per pick | 44cpaid | -46%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5961…56dbbacked Under | 51c | 48.53$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.78 | 378 | 48.9%185 W · 193 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96c1…2c59backed Over | 50c | 48.5$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.25 | 279 | 45.9%128 W · 151 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4d5…a8dabacked Over | 50c | 48.5$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.25 | 141 | 44.7%63 W · 78 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x239d…daebbacked Under | 51c | 45.49$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.29 | 112 | 42.9%48 W · 64 L | -7.0wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Over | 46c | 44.1$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.29 | 688 | 38.5%265 W · 423 L | -26.5wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -14%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d72…c356backed Under | 51c | 38.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.02 | 412 | 51%210 W · 202 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed5a…9102backed Over | 50c | 38.8$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.4 | 68 | 58.8%40 W · 28 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5f…3222backed Over | 50c | 38.8$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.4 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7df…7f82backed Over | 50c | 38.8$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.4 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | -6.5wins | -0.29per pick | 52cpaid | -57.8%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x7239…4389backed Over | 49c | 38.46$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.68 | 437 | 50.1%219 W · 218 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x71b6…4e91backed Under | 52c | 37.35$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.93 | 363 | 50.1%182 W · 181 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c97…c20bbacked Under | 54c | 36.01$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.57 | 679 | 49.8%338 W · 341 L | +9.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x902f…fb2dbacked Over | 47c | 34.95$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.43 | 138 | 57.2%79 W · 59 L | +13.2wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xecda…6f0abacked Over | 50c | 34$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.4wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3c87…1075backed Over | 49c | 30.61$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb1e6…a613backed Over | 47c | 29.07$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.66 | 61 | 63.9%39 W · 22 L | +8.2wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6b…8a98backed Under | 51c | 29$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.08 | 346 | 41%142 W · 204 L | -9.5wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 26 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Nuggets vs. Timberwolves: O/U 233.5this page
- 1H Spread: Nuggets (-0.5)Timberwolves won
- Aaron Gordon: Assists O/U 2.5No won
- Aaron Gordon: Points O/U 15.5No won
- Aaron Gordon: Rebounds O/U 6.5No won
- Anthony Edwards: Assists O/U 4.5No won
- Anthony Edwards: Points O/U 28.5No won
- Anthony Edwards: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
- Cameron Johnson: Points O/U 2.5Yes won
- Christian Braun: Assists O/U 0.5No won
- Donte DiVincenzo: Assists O/U 0.5Yes won
- Jaden McDaniels: Assists O/U 2.5Yes won
- Jamal Murray: Points O/U 25.5No won
- Jamal Murray: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
- Julius Randle: Points O/U 19.5No won
- Nikola Jokić: Assists O/U 9.5No won
- Nikola Jokić: Points O/U 27.5No won
- Nikola Jokić: Rebounds O/U 13.5Yes won
- Nuggets vs. TimberwolvesTimberwolves won
- Nuggets vs. Timberwolves: 1H O/U 112.5Under won
- Nuggets vs. Timberwolves: 1H O/U 113.5Under won
- Nuggets vs. Timberwolves: O/U 232.5Under won
- Nuggets vs. Timberwolves: O/U 234.5Under won
- Rudy Gobert: Rebounds O/U 2.5Yes won
- Spread: Nuggets (-1.5)Timberwolves won
- Spread: Nuggets (-2.5)Timberwolves won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.