TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

La Liga · resolved market

Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-04-23?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,157,251
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,173,577

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,157,251 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 816 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x50b1…f076backed Yes67c311,267$208,383 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208,382.511030%3 W · 7 L-2.2wins-0.22per pick52cpaid-50.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xfea3…d227backed No33c167,046$55,125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111,920.883354.5%18 W · 15 L+2.7wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+14%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked No58c125,686$73,331 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52,354.8650243.4%218 W · 284 L+2.0wins0.00per pick43cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb904…c255backed Yes67c59,689$39,992 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39,991.742161.9%13 W · 8 L+2.8wins+0.13per pick49cpaid+29.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No42c50,996$21,176 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29,819.454,74047%2,230 W · 2,510 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9495…9a27backed Yes41c34,212$14,027 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,02714146.8%66 W · 75 L-7.0wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-10.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes42c31,150$13,020 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,019.832,34348.5%1,137 W · 1,206 L+1.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf519…906bbacked No33c30,000$9,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20,10024147.7%115 W · 126 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed No35c28,150$9,870 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18,280.4683444.6%372 W · 462 L+14.9wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+7.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdd51…1041backed No55c25,981$14,289 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,691.392475%18 W · 6 L+6.0wins+0.25per pick50cpaid+63.4%equal weight64+0.12 edge/pick
0xbe87…6fc0backed No33c21,850$7,211 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,639.544856.3%27 W · 21 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick59cpaid-8.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5351…9b3cbacked No54c21,000$11,340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,659.853452.9%18 W · 16 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed No34c18,628$6,343 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,284.599933.4%334 W · 665 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-21.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No54c18,171$9,823 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,348.081,17651.9%610 W · 566 L+18.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed Yes48c16,974$8,196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,195.5115459.7%92 W · 62 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick59cpaid-0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x52ed…8db7backed No51c16,903$8,703 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,199.93647.2%17 W · 19 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe542…0a37backed No33c16,876$5,569 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,306.888143.2%35 W · 46 L+7.5wins+0.09per pick34cpaid+48.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2a2c…9bc1backed No55c15,773$8,618 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,155.5210948.6%53 W · 56 L+3.1wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-2.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9007…2421backed Yes0c15,699$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.71625%4 W · 12 L+1.2wins+0.07per pick18cpaid+27.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed No34c15,264$5,212 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,052.631,41945.6%647 W · 772 L-9.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-18.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xadfa…324ebacked Yes41c14,773$6,057 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,056.856746.3%31 W · 36 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-15%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0ebb…cb1abacked Yes44c13,966$6,111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,110.672962.1%18 W · 11 L+2.2wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+12.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Yes42c11,841$4,973 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,973.1740357.1%230 W · 173 L+7.6wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfb51…082dbacked Yes42c11,841$4,973 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,973.1723456.4%132 W · 102 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xede0…ff11backed No33c10,211$3,359 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,851.43757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+29.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked No33c10,000$3,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,70024145.2%109 W · 132 L-5.5wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7cbe…c4b7backed No33c9,034$2,986 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,048.127936.7%29 W · 50 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-21.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0ddd…bea6backed Yes45c8,596$3,868 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,8681457.1%8 W · 6 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick54cpaid-4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7236…ea53backed No56c7,789$4,362 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,427.0711054.5%60 W · 50 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x62fb…4d60backed No54c7,321$3,953 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,367.522544%11 W · 14 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc253…7cf5backed No54c6,979$3,749 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,230.282429.2%7 W · 17 L-4.3wins-0.18per pick47cpaid-53%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x7d2f…ef1abacked No54c6,789$3,666 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,122.95754.4%31 W · 26 L+0.2wins0.00per pick54cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x75bd…0288backed No49c6,535$3,205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,330.1915150.3%76 W · 75 L+9.5wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+15.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No47c6,521$3,044 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,477.043,44943%1,484 W · 1,965 L+32.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x374a…03edbacked No56c5,842$3,271 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,570.39457.4%54 W · 40 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x12b9…3ec2backed Yes43c5,437$2,317 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,316.869851%50 W · 48 L+12.8wins+0.13per pick38cpaid+43.2%equal weight62+0.10 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes30c5,284$1,564 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,564.492345.5%420 W · 503 L-30.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-18.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1bc8…2f68backed No57c5,051$2,879 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,172.064938.8%19 W · 30 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick41cpaid+0.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1b47…d814backed No33c4,642$1,534 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,107.6215051.3%77 W · 73 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd3b5…a2a7backed Yes46c4,628$2,129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,128.728343.4%36 W · 47 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes45c4,558$2,051 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,050.9849447%232 W · 262 L+8.3wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf57e…bbd6backed No55c4,423$2,433 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,990.232166.7%14 W · 7 L+3.2wins+0.15per pick51cpaid+29.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x198f…c419backed Yes67c4,192$2,809 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,808.6413645.6%62 W · 74 L-4.3wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6638…0b09backed Yes65c4,082$2,643 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,642.891145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-7.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x40b9…b002backed No54c4,000$2,160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,839.936640.9%27 W · 39 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+10.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc463…9a2fbacked No54c3,998$2,159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,838.97667.1%51 W · 25 L+4.7wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+5.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf472…a262backed Yes8c3,961$303 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303.2780%0 W · 8 L-0.8wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x44c5…8d45backed Yes44c3,949$1,730 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,730.2412553.6%67 W · 58 L+10.2wins+0.08per pick45cpaid+14.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Yes48c3,939$1,871 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,871.314537.8%17 W · 28 L-0.2wins0.00per pick38cpaid-27.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x180a…54a6backed No55c3,690$2,029 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,660.47728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.5wins-0.21per pick49cpaid-29.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4658…4131backed Yes41c3,659$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5002846.4%13 W · 15 L-1.8wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-11.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x52d8…99aebacked Yes44c3,584$1,583 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,582.66764.2%43 W · 24 L+4.6wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+6.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x26d6…caccbacked Yes50c3,515$1,767 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,767.2718956.6%107 W · 82 L+8.1wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-15.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x64e9…eb4cbacked Yes42c3,499$1,469 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,469.422035%7 W · 13 L-2.1wins-0.10per pick45cpaid-36.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8a92…6941backed Yes33c3,489$1,153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,152.715538.2%21 W · 34 L+3.1wins+0.06per pick32cpaid+1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1a7b…0d1cbacked Yes46c3,465$1,594 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,594.122326.1%6 W · 17 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick28cpaid-15%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed No53c3,452$1,827 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,624.7158548%281 W · 304 L+10.6wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-13.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9b1e…82c9backed Yes42c3,447$1,448 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,447.81947.4%9 W · 10 L+1.8wins+0.09per pick38cpaid+27.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4064…f741backed No57c3,420$1,949 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,470.66837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.10per pick48cpaid-28.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe1a6…d584backed No55c3,406$1,873 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,532.4810760.7%65 W · 42 L+3.9wins+0.04per pick57cpaid+3.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8fe7…4f20backed Yes46c3,387$1,558 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,557.8414244.4%63 W · 79 L-6.6wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-13.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf5d1…cdc9backed No38c3,305$1,256 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,049.333138.7%12 W · 19 L-1.2wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-20.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed Yes41c3,090$1,267 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,267.068251.2%42 W · 40 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes43c3,042$1,312 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,311.9483939.8%334 W · 505 L-21.0wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-15.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed No34c3,011$1,016 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,994.6424344.4%108 W · 135 L-4.4wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-1.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xec59…bb35backed Yes45c3,000$1,350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,3505050%25 W · 25 L-4.0wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-18.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x95ac…3f7cbacked No54c3,000$1,620 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,379.991369.2%9 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick68cpaid+2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc922…2618backed No54c3,000$1,620 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,379.9514348.3%69 W · 74 L-3.3wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-8.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1e33…afb3backed Yes66c2,938$1,936 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,936.057553.3%40 W · 35 L+2.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9e5c…d8e6backed No41c2,928$1,188 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,739.829545.4%134 W · 161 L-0.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-15%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x63fa…7ea4backed Yes46c2,905$1,336 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,336.26540%2 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-32.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x13a1…d9bcbacked No35c2,875$1,005 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,870.8119662.8%123 W · 73 L+20.5wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+32.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xbed3…2811backed Yes46c2,733$1,257 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,257.251070%7 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.07per pick63cpaid+10.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8bc2…4c80backed Yes67c2,572$1,727 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,726.652060%12 W · 8 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick65cpaid-8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xccb6…0fb1backed Yes47c2,565$1,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,199.8410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbbaa…cbeabacked Yes46c2,524$1,161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,161.121338.5%5 W · 8 L-1.5wins-0.12per pick50cpaid-29.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfb13…5946backed No56c2,451$1,373 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,078.410558.1%61 W · 44 L+3.5wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbe7e…6d00backed Yes20c2,343$476 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$476.16437.5%24 W · 40 L+2.4wins+0.04per pick34cpaid+9.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked No56c2,340$1,317 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,022.7448251.2%247 W · 235 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed No40c2,334$922 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,411.981,50838.7%583 W · 925 L+12.4wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0f34…7684backed Yes46c2,308$1,062 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,061.555230.8%16 W · 36 L-0.3wins0.00per pick31cpaid-7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x92d8…9762backed No28c2,245$628 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,616.144845.8%22 W · 26 L+7.1wins+0.15per pick31cpaid+249.2%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x7053…25e4backed Yes43c2,239$966 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$965.894942.9%21 W · 28 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+5.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes75c2,189$1,642 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,641.5325872.9%188 W · 70 L+23.2wins+0.09per pick64cpaid+12.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x9602…4d02backed No34c2,136$726 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,409.7612050%60 W · 60 L+6.3wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0d6a…4adabacked Yes37c2,123$786 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$785.557750.6%39 W · 38 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-13.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5f4d…0d5ebacked No64c2,105$1,351 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$753.751100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+55.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb416…4588backed Yes65c2,056$1,339 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,339.41666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+24.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Yes41c2,000$820 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82040033.5%134 W · 266 L-27.0wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-2.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa569…08dfbacked Yes45c2,000$900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9001338.5%5 W · 8 L-0.8wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-23.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4b49…0397backed No54c2,000$1,080 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$919.967561.3%46 W · 29 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+6.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9f7b…7f37backed Yes45c1,999$899 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$899.33666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+49.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed No54c1,850$999 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$850.9850449.8%251 W · 253 L+7.5wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-0.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3188…870bbacked Yes57c1,766$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$999.6425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.24per pick49cpaid-64.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xcb87…a786backed Yes46c1,751$806 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$805.5820%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked No34c1,721$579 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,142.5641751.8%216 W · 201 L+18.2wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-0.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1467…4372backed No59c1,673$987 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$685.926555.4%36 W · 29 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x46e6…d4cdbacked No73c1,645$1,193 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$452.0622753.3%121 W · 106 L+9.7wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+19.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf629…38d5backed No56c1,599$896 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$703.77757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.10per pick47cpaid+43.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x54ea…f74abacked No37c1,576$583 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$992.831662.5%10 W · 6 L+1.4wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+20.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.