Tennis · resolved market
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters, Qualification: Matteo Arnaldi vs Alexandre Muller
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7b17f2c32904bb4ec4534944f869ef06b2c5f7c688d33db6280d1c83e8eab284
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Alexandre Mullerof Matteo Arnaldi, Alexandre Muller
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $363,916
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $400,598
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $363,916 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 243 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Matteo Arnaldi | 60c | 23,788$14,342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,341.52 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Alexandre Muller | 69c | 12,931$8,935 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,995.9 | 1,106 | 41%454 W · 652 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb31…7b95backed Matteo Arnaldi | 42c | 10,589$4,442 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,441.56 | 680 | 26.2%178 W · 502 L | -24.5wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x73a0…3a8abacked Alexandre Muller | 46c | 10,204$4,653 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,551.42 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Alexandre Muller | 45c | 9,256$4,147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,109.38 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Matteo Arnaldi | 40c | 7,718$3,112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,111.51 | 7,018 | 43.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L | +124.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa82a…a759backed Alexandre Muller | 54c | 6,980$3,766 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,214.74 | 339 | 55.2%187 W · 152 L | +18.2wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Matteo Arnaldi | 19c | 6,698$1,261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,261.15 | 1,678 | 50.8%852 W · 826 L | +30.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb272…ee5abacked Matteo Arnaldi | 30c | 6,485$1,924 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,923.54 | 148 | 22.3%33 W · 115 L | -14.8wins | -0.10per pick | 32cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Matteo Arnaldi | 29c | 6,390$1,875 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,875.26 | 2,865 | 44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Matteo Arnaldi | 5c | 5,367$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.91 | 853 | 48.7%415 W · 438 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Matteo Arnaldi | 5c | 5,326$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.53 | 484 | 53.7%260 W · 224 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Matteo Arnaldi | 5c | 4,743$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.58 | 1,132 | 50.3%569 W · 563 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Alexandre Muller | 54c | 4,332$2,343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,988.51 | 3,072 | 44.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L | -30.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -23%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85aa…2e88backed Matteo Arnaldi | 35c | 4,131$1,446 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,445.51 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.20per pick | 37cpaid | -77.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5540…0b5fbacked Matteo Arnaldi | 50c | 3,876$1,940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,940.06 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Matteo Arnaldi | 44c | 3,757$1,645 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,645.1 | 2,523 | 39.6%1,000 W · 1,523 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x92b5…fec6backed Alexandre Muller | 53c | 3,640$1,944 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,696.27 | 43 | 39.5%17 W · 26 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Alexandre Muller | 63c | 3,090$1,946 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,143.64 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb5bd…b891backed Matteo Arnaldi | 8c | 2,964$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.16 | 191 | 53.4%102 W · 89 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -13%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cc0…b7e9backed Alexandre Muller | 57c | 2,302$1,311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$991.57 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc3…9d67backed Matteo Arnaldi | 14c | 2,248$311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$311.04 | 394 | 31%122 W · 272 L | -11.0wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x081e…f76ebacked Alexandre Muller | 50c | 2,156$1,068 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,087.86 | 1,446 | 48.8%706 W · 740 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22a6…8fb7backed Matteo Arnaldi | 57c | 1,872$1,067 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,066.79 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.13per pick | 40cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Alexandre Muller | 61c | 1,798$1,095 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$703.03 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56fc…733ebacked Matteo Arnaldi | 56c | 1,740$973 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$973.22 | 110 | 53.6%59 W · 51 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3010…a27cbacked Matteo Arnaldi | 33c | 1,638$545 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$545.43 | 107 | 29%31 W · 76 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Matteo Arnaldi | 48c | 1,263$608 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$608.11 | 1,421 | 55%782 W · 639 L | +23.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55d9…832cbacked Alexandre Muller | 49c | 1,200$588 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$612 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +4.8wins | +0.17per pick | 42cpaid | +48.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf927…2663backed Matteo Arnaldi | 38c | 1,150$433 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$433.47 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed Alexandre Muller | 45c | 1,124$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$623.78 | 757 | 48.6%368 W · 389 L | +16.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c32…d322backed Matteo Arnaldi | 50c | 1,122$556 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$555.64 | 120 | 66.7%80 W · 40 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c83…6f40backed Matteo Arnaldi | 44c | 1,098$483 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$483.2 | 1,258 | 50%629 W · 629 L | -4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca1…aea0backed Matteo Arnaldi | 46c | 1,067$495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$494.8 | 1,161 | 37.6%437 W · 724 L | -27.8wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74c0…62fabacked Matteo Arnaldi | 39c | 1,055$413 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$412.73 | 71 | 42.3%30 W · 41 L | +4.5wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf512…5198backed Matteo Arnaldi | 22c | 1,014$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.06 | 572 | 67.3%385 W · 187 L | +33.5wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x48ee…0db4backed Alexandre Muller | 52c | 927.83$486 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$441.57 | 545 | 47.9%261 W · 284 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79ac…9c87backed Matteo Arnaldi | 41c | 894.98$367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$366.94 | 69 | 42%29 W · 40 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Matteo Arnaldi | 34c | 852.42$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.46 | 1,615 | 50.6%817 W · 798 L | -17.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Matteo Arnaldi | 33c | 782.66$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.2 | 2,426 | 47.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa991…62c7backed Matteo Arnaldi | 76c | 781.13$594 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$593.66 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x00ce…3f01backed Alexandre Muller | 52c | 775.9$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$376.02 | 73 | 57.5%42 W · 31 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Matteo Arnaldi | 48c | 702.43$337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$337.17 | 951 | 40.1%381 W · 570 L | +29.7wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +12%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7775…9a4ebacked Matteo Arnaldi | 57c | 683.65$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$389.68 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf00…353fbacked Matteo Arnaldi | 47c | 675.13$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$314.57 | 242 | 29.8%72 W · 170 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Alexandre Muller | 71c | 619.8$443 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.07 | 501 | 56.1%281 W · 220 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7335…dd65backed Alexandre Muller | 71c | 619.8$443 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.07 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9958…b9acbacked Matteo Arnaldi | 56c | 601.8$337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336.81 | 102 | 54.9%56 W · 46 L | -5.7wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a80…b808backed Alexandre Muller | 54c | 583.44$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268.38 | 96 | 43.8%42 W · 54 L | -10.2wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6ece…068abacked Matteo Arnaldi | 54c | 564.49$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.18 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed99…2677backed Alexandre Muller | 52c | 560.4$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.04 | 147 | 48.3%71 W · 76 L | -9.1wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0960…5adcbacked Matteo Arnaldi | 35c | 552.35$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.18 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +44.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Matteo Arnaldi | 43c | 540.63$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.14 | 4,288 | 40.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L | -139.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e59…1520backed Matteo Arnaldi | 12c | 540.61$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.87 | 307 | 44.6%137 W · 170 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf93d…fc9bbacked Alexandre Muller | 52c | 532.47$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256.76 | 223 | 52%116 W · 107 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecae…b906backed Matteo Arnaldi | 44c | 500$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219 | 1,026 | 46.8%480 W · 546 L | +14.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Alexandre Muller | 58c | 499.15$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.49 | 2,982 | 39.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfaf3…1e0cbacked Matteo Arnaldi | 12c | 484.97$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.2 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51ad…5e56backed Alexandre Muller | 42c | 458.41$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.8 | 1,671 | 53%885 W · 786 L | +44.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc480…937abacked Alexandre Muller | 47c | 424.36$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.91 | 519 | 33.1%172 W · 347 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa42c…b22ebacked Alexandre Muller | 70c | 420.86$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.26 | 131 | 51.1%67 W · 64 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -16%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Alexandre Muller | 67c | 392.04$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.1 | 1,218 | 41.1%500 W · 718 L | -30.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Alexandre Muller | 72c | 391.22$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.85 | 2,489 | 45.2%1,126 W · 1,363 L | -27.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d87…8dbbbacked Alexandre Muller | 62c | 375.87$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.09 | 369 | 44.4%164 W · 205 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Matteo Arnaldi | 47c | 369.92$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.48 | 3,901 | 50.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a8f…5259backed Alexandre Muller | 51c | 365.28$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.99 | 189 | 57.1%108 W · 81 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6be…b977backed Matteo Arnaldi | 49c | 363.31$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.02 | 1,768 | 43.2%764 W · 1,004 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe02…5fb3backed Alexandre Muller | 70c | 350.71$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.21 | 320 | 50%160 W · 160 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…0f9abacked Alexandre Muller | 53c | 342.89$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.16 | 475 | 52.4%249 W · 226 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42c9…9623backed Matteo Arnaldi | 23c | 304.06$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.55 | 4,703 | 49.4%2,323 W · 2,380 L | +166.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfce1…4f4cbacked Alexandre Muller | 73c | 301.63$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.41 | 176 | 56.3%99 W · 77 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebf3…ce52backed Matteo Arnaldi | 56c | 300.77$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.43 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | -3.4wins | -0.13per pick | 44cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7c8a…02acbacked Alexandre Muller | 69c | 298.24$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.7 | 84 | 59.5%50 W · 34 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x521c…f4aabacked Alexandre Muller | 53c | 275.04$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.27 | 368 | 48.4%178 W · 190 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d2a…d5d0backed Alexandre Muller | 68c | 271.21$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.79 | 247 | 62.3%154 W · 93 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4248…50febacked Matteo Arnaldi | 20c | 266.69$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.43 | 354 | 36.4%129 W · 225 L | -16.8wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcee7…2417backed Matteo Arnaldi | 7c | 260.68$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.25 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -67.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58f4…764ebacked Alexandre Muller | 30c | 256.74$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.72 | 287 | 26.8%77 W · 210 L | -14.4wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x06ff…8d60backed Alexandre Muller | 78c | 249.42$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.5 | 35 | 17.1%6 W · 29 L | -5.8wins | -0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -68%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xea47…2131backed Matteo Arnaldi | 40c | 248.7$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.07 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5865…696abacked Alexandre Muller | 56c | 248.59$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.38 | 21 | 76.2%16 W · 5 L | +2.5wins | +0.12per pick | 64cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed Matteo Arnaldi | 35c | 244.5$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.66 | 958 | 46.6%446 W · 512 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f0…c9e4backed Alexandre Muller | 53c | 243.92$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.64 | 116 | 59.5%69 W · 47 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd516…8185backed Alexandre Muller | 67c | 242.11$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.9 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.31per pick | 49cpaid | +77.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Matteo Arnaldi | 48c | 241$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.64 | 7,139 | 49.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L | +109.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20ba…6c27backed Alexandre Muller | 59c | 236.41$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.93 | 1,186 | 62.8%745 W · 441 L | -16.1wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0324…fdbcbacked Alexandre Muller | 56c | 235.09$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.65 | 23 | 73.9%17 W · 6 L | +3.5wins | +0.15per pick | 59cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7a73…a9c8backed Alexandre Muller | 37c | 234.05$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.45 | 625 | 34.4%215 W · 410 L | -20.1wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0676…f0f0backed Matteo Arnaldi | 42c | 229.17$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.25 | 205 | 52.7%108 W · 97 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x588b…8593backed Alexandre Muller | 44c | 221.69$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.07 | 1,107 | 43.5%481 W · 626 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef86…5afcbacked Alexandre Muller | 52c | 218.49$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.88 | 62 | 46.8%29 W · 33 L | -5.6wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x36d8…c7c7backed Matteo Arnaldi | 61c | 216.19$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.38 | 1,228 | 41.1%505 W · 723 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x87a8…2dedbacked Alexandre Muller | 45c | 214.89$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.19 | 46 | 52.2%24 W · 22 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70f9…f25bbacked Matteo Arnaldi | 46c | 209$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.14 | 990 | 56%554 W · 436 L | +32.1wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf4…66bbbacked Matteo Arnaldi | 42c | 208.54$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.55 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -2.6wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0828…5cfebacked Alexandre Muller | 45c | 208.53$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.69 | 151 | 47.7%72 W · 79 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ea8…077dbacked Alexandre Muller | 45c | 208.53$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.69 | 81 | 48.1%39 W · 42 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f5c…9e02backed Alexandre Muller | 45c | 208.53$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.69 | 118 | 51.7%61 W · 57 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab9f…75f1backed Alexandre Muller | 44c | 199.97$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.98 | 514 | 45.5%234 W · 280 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e4a…fcd8backed Alexandre Muller | 33c | 191.09$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.03 | 244 | 60.7%148 W · 96 L | +13.3wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.