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Serie A · resolved market

Will ACF Fiorentina win on 2026-04-04?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$907,444
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,197,920

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $907,444 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 236 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Serie A
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xab82…abe5backed Yes45c272,460$123,285 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$149,174.76425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.21per pick46cpaid-44.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2a2c…9bc1backed No55c96,847$53,266 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53,265.867160.6%43 W · 28 L+6.4wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+9.7%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No43c82,875$35,625 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35,625.042,57545.6%1,174 W · 1,401 L+12.7wins0.00per pick45cpaid-13.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No33c26,129$8,737 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,736.542,01339.4%794 W · 1,219 L-10.3wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-24%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe524…d34fbacked Yes47c24,883$11,695 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,187.853348.5%16 W · 17 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+9.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1333…173bbacked No52c20,979$10,973 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,973.421822.2%4 W · 14 L-3.3wins-0.18per pick41cpaid-41.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed No54c19,262$10,464 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,463.9232850.6%166 W · 162 L+12.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+15.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x92d8…9762backed No16c18,992$3,039 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,038.724843.8%21 W · 27 L+5.3wins+0.11per pick33cpaid+82.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5351…9b3cbacked No53c14,201$7,527 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,526.512744.4%12 W · 15 L-1.3wins-0.05per pick49cpaid+5.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xadfa…324ebacked No53c13,000$6,890 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,889.974351.2%22 W · 21 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8cdc…b83fbacked No53c12,959$6,868 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,868.191127.3%3 W · 8 L-1.6wins-0.14per pick42cpaid-39.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8a6c…0b3fbacked Yes47c12,020$5,649 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,370.655438.9%21 W · 33 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-7.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xde06…f5bdbacked Yes50c9,499$4,749 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,750.033100%3 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+71.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb6d0…9b55backed Yes46c6,399$2,943 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,455.39771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick65cpaid+14.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked No16c5,379$848 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$848.2347442.8%203 W · 271 L-1.8wins0.00per pick43cpaid-13%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked No55c4,865$2,676 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,675.7516045%72 W · 88 L-4.4wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-7.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes48c4,613$2,214 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,398.533951.6%175 W · 164 L+8.6wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed No14c4,136$559 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$559.1720431.4%64 W · 140 L+0.2wins0.00per pick31cpaid-21.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbe87…6fc0backed No59c3,201$1,878 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,878.133852.6%20 W · 18 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-6.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd8e4…967bbacked Yes45c3,100$1,386 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,713.56955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8fe7…4f20backed Yes48c2,906$1,395 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,511.3325339.5%100 W · 153 L-12.6wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-13.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed No16c2,874$472 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$472.120033%66 W · 134 L-5.5wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-34.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6e70…f06fbacked No53c2,838$1,504 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,504.2120%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No55c2,574$1,411 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,410.9293252%485 W · 447 L+11.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed No54c2,123$1,153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,153.319154.5%104 W · 87 L+0.7wins0.00per pick54cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed No56c2,071$1,159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,159.0615244.1%67 W · 85 L-11.4wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-17.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x69dd…1964backed Yes47c2,060$968 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,091.88052.5%42 W · 38 L-4.4wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-8.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x12b9…3ec2backed Yes45c2,040$918 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,122.28342.2%35 W · 48 L+6.3wins+0.08per pick35cpaid+12.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No55c2,009$1,103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,103.3396942.3%410 W · 559 L-13.0wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-14.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc922…2618backed No53c2,000$1,060 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,06012857%73 W · 55 L+5.6wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+11.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed No54c1,842$1,001 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,000.639650%48 W · 48 L-4.2wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-10%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfb51…082dbacked No54c1,822$985 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$984.8614752.4%77 W · 70 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0a26…1851backed No59c1,653$975 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$975.46245.2%28 W · 34 L-2.4wins-0.04per pick49cpaid+0.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb5bd…b891backed No54c1,519$821 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$820.835162.7%32 W · 19 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick62cpaid-3.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x1b47…d814backed No54c1,374$742 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$741.9911251.8%58 W · 54 L+5.3wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+8.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0ea3…71a1backed No44c1,217$541 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$540.981553.3%8 W · 7 L-0.1wins0.00per pick54cpaid-10.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ca1…aea0backed Yes47c1,080$503 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$576.9910940.4%44 W · 65 L+5.2wins+0.05per pick36cpaid+7.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1c83…6f40backed Yes47c1,030$484 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$545.97147.9%34 W · 37 L+4.0wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+25.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Yes48c1,009$484 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$524.7710650%53 W · 53 L-4.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-5.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1572…7991backed Yes50c1,000$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5001838.9%7 W · 11 L-1.8wins-0.10per pick49cpaid-20.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9a3f…914abacked Yes45c999.93$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$549.961163.6%7 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.06per pick58cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xee09…1199backed Yes46c930.34$429 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$501.66569.2%45 W · 20 L+6.5wins+0.10per pick59cpaid+15.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xaa0f…574cbacked No56c925.99$519 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$518.771376.9%10 W · 3 L+1.5wins+0.12per pick65cpaid+20.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2ee7…4c1abacked No55c895.68$493 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$492.913164.5%20 W · 11 L+1.5wins+0.05per pick60cpaid+0.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2e6c…e09cbacked No54c878.76$475 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$474.857548%36 W · 39 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-9.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed No52c772.85$405 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$405.143854.8%240 W · 198 L+7.6wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9303…0bc7backed Yes47c721$339 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$382.13333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.10per pick44cpaid-29.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd208…29e6backed No54c713.97$389 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$389.083663.9%23 W · 13 L+2.0wins+0.05per pick58cpaid+5.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9086…4d46backed Yes44c658.91$290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$368.994839.6%19 W · 29 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-11.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1f6d…3070backed No15c646.89$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.381833.3%6 W · 12 L0.0wins0.00per pick33cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7c8a…02acbacked No55c637.16$352 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$352.31872.2%13 W · 5 L+2.0wins+0.11per pick61cpaid+13.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3bb9…9dbabacked No15c632.66$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.9450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-29%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7edb…7993backed No21c617.13$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.412044.2%53 W · 67 L-6.2wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-35.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf16d…b7f9backed Yes48c581.92$282 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$300.243141.9%13 W · 18 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick39cpaid+17.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd809…6542backed No54c556.52$301 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300.9511346.9%53 W · 60 L-9.6wins-0.09per pick55cpaid-21.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x8900…a444backed No55c541.72$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300.061136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.7wins-0.15per pick52cpaid-24.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Yes34c500$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33016819.6%33 W · 135 L+0.5wins0.00per pick19cpaid-31%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb21c…3aedbacked Yes47c499.99$235 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$265250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed No51c479.79$244 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$243.8921250%106 W · 106 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-11.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked No17c475.1$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.7731251.9%162 W · 150 L+5.0wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+28.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked No63c470.04$294 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$294.3552748%253 W · 274 L-35.4wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-18.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x52ed…8db7backed No51c469.5$239 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$239.441442.9%6 W · 8 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick47cpaid+12.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1fcd…445ebacked No20c450$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9020%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0b45…ac9fbacked No26c449.63$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.91963.2%12 W · 7 L+2.2wins+0.12per pick52cpaid+32%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2373…a1f3backed No56c429.16$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$239.995450%27 W · 27 L-0.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-6.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0866…a1d5backed Yes45c428.79$193 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$235.835459.3%32 W · 22 L+2.1wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd25e…f458backed Yes47c412$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$218.365242.3%22 W · 30 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf142…57e7backed Yes49c400$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20423051.7%119 W · 111 L+6.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+12.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb442…bed7backed Yes44c395.35$174 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$221.394254.8%23 W · 19 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc58a…b8f8backed No57c393.64$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$225.473268.8%22 W · 10 L+3.1wins+0.10per pick59cpaid+21.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5a54…4e11backed Yes45c393.28$177 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$216.243452.9%18 W · 16 L+3.4wins+0.10per pick43cpaid+18.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x64ad…bde6backed No52c388.48$202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202.0110%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3fb4…d481backed Yes47c387.28$182 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$205.262544%11 W · 14 L-1.5wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x447d…bd4abacked Yes25c382$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$286.53026.7%8 W · 22 L-1.8wins-0.06per pick33cpaid-34%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4920…2ef4backed No64c361.37$231 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$230.791283.3%10 W · 2 L+3.4wins+0.28per pick55cpaid+60.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x1966…da9ebacked No54c360.15$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.484658.7%27 W · 19 L+5.0wins+0.11per pick48cpaid+21.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked No53c329.63$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$174.740853.2%217 W · 191 L+15.6wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+11.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfce1…4f4cbacked Yes35c321.02$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$207.563663.9%23 W · 13 L+2.4wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+6.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4fbe…f9e5backed Yes47c309$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.776848.5%33 W · 35 L+7.4wins+0.11per pick38cpaid+23.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xb4f3…999fbacked Yes44c299.98$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$167.9915844.9%71 W · 87 L+6.0wins+0.04per pick41cpaid-6.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1fc3…72bebacked Yes48c290.64$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151.13955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x13a1…d9bcbacked No18c285.24$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.3411964.7%77 W · 42 L+15.1wins+0.13per pick52cpaid+35.9%equal weight62+0.10 edge/pick
0x85d8…3cbebacked Yes34c283.02$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$186.9913636.8%50 W · 86 L-8.6wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-19.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x30db…44e1backed No55c263.32$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.524365.1%28 W · 15 L+2.6wins+0.06per pick59cpaid+9.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed No13c254.62$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.4814936.2%54 W · 95 L-8.4wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-26.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9f73…667dbacked Yes79c249.83$197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.351145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-32%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xabbf…126cbacked Yes47c243.02$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.8450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x34e8…100fbacked No53c238.09$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.19650%3 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-8.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x37c1…8de1backed No16c237.4$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.981770.6%12 W · 5 L+5.5wins+0.32per pick38cpaid+93.1%equal weight65+0.13 edge/pick
0x8e66…01cbbacked Yes42c230.69$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.611050%5 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd8d7…406dbacked No54c219.21$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.381741.2%7 W · 10 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd708…b9d2backed No65c215.71$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.871330.8%4 W · 9 L-1.2wins-0.09per pick40cpaid-17.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xef5c…6ababacked No55c214.75$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.84955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.08per pick63cpaid-20.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe891…4b25backed Yes46c214.71$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.116850%34 W · 34 L+3.3wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0e4a…fcd8backed No54c210.45$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1141553.3%8 W · 7 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick59cpaid-14.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4a8b…88cbbacked Yes46c210.35$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.59650%3 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-16.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc33d…0d40backed No14c207.83$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.422642.3%11 W · 15 L-1.6wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-29.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfec2…08afbacked Yes47c206.61$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.515543.6%24 W · 31 L+0.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-7.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xefa5…b417backed No53c205.05$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.683754.1%20 W · 17 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-11.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3ac2…f949backed Yes48c201.83$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.954060%24 W · 16 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.