TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Serie A · resolved market

Will Hellas Verona FC win on 2026-04-04?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$83,487
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$102,233

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $83,487 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 126 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Serie A
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x56c9…0d9ebacked No76c12,465$9,470 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,994.53666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick64cpaid+7.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No77c10,904$8,396 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,507.8468750.8%349 W · 338 L+3.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Yes23c6,664$1,546 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,545.5796942.3%410 W · 559 L-13.0wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-14.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No77c5,298$4,079 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,218.5598544.9%442 W · 543 L-17.3wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1333…173bbacked Yes23c3,587$825 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$825.071822.2%4 W · 14 L-3.3wins-0.18per pick41cpaid-41.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes22c3,287$739 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$739.232,53845.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L+13.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-12.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0542…e195backed Yes2c1,798$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.7950%0 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Yes25c1,465$366 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$366.1432650.6%165 W · 161 L+12.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+15.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf16d…b7f9backed Yes25c1,041$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$260.183141.9%13 W · 18 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick39cpaid+17.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed No74c896.91$667 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$229.897763.6%49 W · 28 L+3.6wins+0.05per pick59cpaid+9.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xaa0f…574cbacked No78c722.93$564 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$158.481376.9%10 W · 3 L+1.5wins+0.12per pick65cpaid+20.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x72d7…1b97backed Yes25c573$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.2512731.5%40 W · 87 L+4.6wins+0.04per pick28cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc6b6…c061backed Yes23c559.84$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.7610%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed No77c543.11$418 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.9226040%104 W · 156 L-13.4wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-12.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Yes22c501.03$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.2893252%485 W · 447 L+11.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x82de…1337backed Yes23c488.84$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.438453.6%45 W · 39 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-5.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8900…a444backed Yes22c472.93$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.61136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.7wins-0.15per pick52cpaid-24.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked No79c470.96$373 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.9352748%253 W · 274 L-35.4wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-18.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed No76c464.75$353 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.7520749.3%102 W · 105 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-12.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked No80c459.23$367 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.0816819.6%33 W · 135 L+0.5wins0.00per pick19cpaid-31%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2373…a1f3backed Yes23c447.34$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.895450%27 W · 27 L-0.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-6.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x948b…a188backed Yes23c414.7$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.3817354.3%94 W · 79 L-4.8wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-7.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7edb…7993backed Yes25c410$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.1312044.2%53 W · 67 L-6.2wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-35.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x02d4…d26cbacked Yes23c398.26$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.6212920.2%26 W · 103 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick22cpaid-10.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed No78c395.72$308 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.99650%48 W · 48 L-4.2wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-10%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb5bd…b891backed No78c387.93$302 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.185162.7%32 W · 19 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick62cpaid-3.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xe6a3…04bebacked Yes23c381.36$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.716258.1%36 W · 26 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick60cpaid-8.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd51e…ac0cbacked Yes23c381.36$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.714942.9%21 W · 28 L-3.3wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-20.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8fdc…47a4backed Yes23c380.5$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.851225%3 W · 9 L-2.2wins-0.18per pick43cpaid-34.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x2ee7…4c1abacked No79c361.07$286 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.463164.5%20 W · 11 L+1.5wins+0.05per pick60cpaid+0.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x81b0…6592backed Yes23c317.62$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.05616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.21per pick38cpaid-65.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5cb4…4576backed No77c315.59$243 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.5912351.2%63 W · 60 L+3.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa35f…b58fbacked Yes16c293.71$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.999937.4%37 W · 62 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick35cpaid+8.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfa92…15f4backed Yes17c280.36$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.516735.8%24 W · 43 L-2.5wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-24.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Yes27c279.1$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.614347.6%68 W · 75 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-15%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7c8a…02acbacked No77c278.35$214 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.111872.2%13 W · 5 L+2.0wins+0.11per pick61cpaid+13.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xbc15…ae53backed Yes24c270.12$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.64850%4 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc9b7…93ebbacked Yes22c268.37$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.812857.1%16 W · 12 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick54cpaid-9.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd208…29e6backed No77c250.21$193 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.553663.9%23 W · 13 L+2.0wins+0.05per pick58cpaid+5.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xef6f…a9b2backed Yes25c241.35$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.3410%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa85b…eb0ebacked Yes23c234.72$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.995754.4%31 W · 26 L+4.3wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+3.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x26f7…225dbacked Yes22c216.85$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.6610%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbf2d…8452backed Yes22c216.64$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.661822.2%4 W · 14 L-3.8wins-0.21per pick43cpaid-58%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xfb51…082dbacked Yes23c215.69$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.5714752.4%77 W · 70 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1002…1ef5backed Yes25c200$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502339.1%9 W · 14 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-22.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9a6e…35b4backed No77c200$154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4613040%52 W · 78 L-5.0wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-9.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfbb5…2b6abacked Yes25c198.64$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.6616526.1%43 W · 122 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick28cpaid-26.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8549…41f8backed Yes24c186.66$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.85726.3%15 W · 42 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick28cpaid-6.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2862…78dcbacked No77c183.39$141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.831100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+30.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf69c…44dbbacked Yes26c178.6$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.44837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.12per pick50cpaid-36.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1dcc…c9a8backed No77c174.25$134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.083100%3 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+27.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2fca…819abacked Yes22c169.59$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.141346.2%6 W · 7 L+1.2wins+0.09per pick37cpaid+13.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed No77c168.64$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.796567.7%44 W · 21 L+6.3wins+0.10per pick58cpaid+16.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1c70…b25ebacked No77c166.37$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.271866.7%12 W · 6 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick63cpaid-4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x42df…bb2fbacked Yes24c165.32$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.181612.5%2 W · 14 L-1.4wins-0.09per pick21cpaid-50.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1608…eeb8backed No78c143.09$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.481471.4%10 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick74cpaid-3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a53…074abacked No79c134.82$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.962166.7%14 W · 7 L+1.3wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2097…8b03backed No76c130.1$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.22966.7%6 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.10per pick77cpaid-14.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5465…ba43backed No77c128.08$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.464374.4%32 W · 11 L+4.2wins+0.10per pick65cpaid+16.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd809…6542backed Yes23c127.57$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.3411346.9%53 W · 60 L-9.6wins-0.09per pick55cpaid-21.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xaed7…73d2backed Yes23c127.35$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.29616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.11per pick28cpaid-70.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x26dd…0249backed No79c125.09$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.355757.9%33 W · 24 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9aaf…8298backed No77c100$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2323245.3%105 W · 127 L-12.7wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-12.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7028…711bbacked No76c99.86$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.971100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa958…43b3backed No76c99.86$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.971100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd257…d215backed Yes23c99.53$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.8911619%22 W · 94 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick20cpaid-9.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa24f…b9a3backed No77c98.62$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.681100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x39c2…59e5backed No77c98.62$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.681100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No77c98.14$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.5741854.8%229 W · 189 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf342…a5e9backed Yes25c95.5$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.8820%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3a72…c2a0backed Yes22c95.32$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.979124.2%22 W · 69 L-3.4wins-0.04per pick28cpaid-11.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed No79c92.67$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.0320452%106 W · 98 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc20c…fdb5backed Yes22c89.68$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.724660.9%28 W · 18 L+2.6wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+17.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xed5d…2668backed Yes22c86.65$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.064037.5%15 W · 25 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick35cpaid-1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd094…271bbacked Yes23c82.94$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.084825%12 W · 36 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick27cpaid-18.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5d21…abc5backed Yes18c81$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.581250%6 W · 6 L+1.5wins+0.13per pick37cpaid+41.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf6c4…df5fbacked No76c80$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.210549.5%52 W · 53 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+9.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x569b…c66ebacked Yes24c79.53$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.094337.2%16 W · 27 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick34cpaid+19.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2cb8…9a46backed Yes24c79.53$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.0910%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xadb9…ef55backed No79c74.32$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.721369.2%9 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.07per pick62cpaid+12.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5470…7685backed Yes24c73.98$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.76757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick53cpaid-3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbed0…3c7dbacked Yes25c73.95$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.4315635.9%56 W · 100 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick35cpaid+4.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xfdc7…b45abacked Yes27c70$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.9425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.22per pick47cpaid-28.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4be6…b010backed Yes25c68.76$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.195135.3%18 W · 33 L-6.8wins-0.13per pick49cpaid-27.9%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xa178…11a2backed Yes25c68.76$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.1919353.9%104 W · 89 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x014c…39e7backed Yes25c68.76$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.19633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick26cpaid-4.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xbb64…bfdcbacked Yes23c68.12$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.671435.7%5 W · 9 L+1.2wins+0.09per pick27cpaid+19.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb1cc…1958backed No80c66.42$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.48862.5%5 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick62cpaid-5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x56e6…45e9backed No77c61.3$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.15839.7%23 W · 35 L-8.9wins-0.15per pick55cpaid-35.5%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed Yes25c58.8$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.9418253.8%98 W · 84 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-6.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x76f1…f655backed Yes18c57.75$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.662544%11 W · 14 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-24.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0b45…ac9fbacked Yes22c57.19$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.31963.2%12 W · 7 L+2.2wins+0.12per pick52cpaid+32%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd208…cbcdbacked No78c56.04$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.352552%13 W · 12 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-13.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe196…0ab5backed Yes23c55.7$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.813534.3%12 W · 23 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-13.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x660c…13f9backed Yes23c55.03$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.6620%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7a3d…4d49backed Yes24c52.7$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.65666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.8wins+0.30per pick37cpaid+51.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x94d4…18f9backed No79c52.32$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.04540%2 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.20per pick60cpaid-40%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1246…9fbdbacked No77c51.13$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.621291.7%11 W · 1 L+2.1wins+0.18per pick74cpaid+22.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed No77c49.41$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.4141954.7%229 W · 190 L+7.7wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Yes23c48.48$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.0516219.1%31 W · 131 L-10.6wins-0.07per pick26cpaid-33.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.