Serie A · resolved market
Will Hellas Verona FC vs. ACF Fiorentina end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x687921a46647eb9452041201b03bd7d82fc7c114ecf118d499bc68a0f06c83df
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,470
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,678
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,470 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 81 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 41c | 3,455$1,399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,055.55 | 969 | 42.3%410 W · 559 L | -13.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 62c | 1,648$1,021 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$626.91 | 1,981 | 39.8%788 W · 1,193 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf78…7736backed Yes | 45c | 966.88$433 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$433.23 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd3be…c163backed Yes | 69c | 894.6$617 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$617.22 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c19…859cbacked Yes | 32c | 846.39$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271.37 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb87…0335backed Yes | 16c | 717.14$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.94 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.11per pick | 30cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbed9…bbd3backed No | 67c | 638.99$428 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.87 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3c…a835backed No | 35c | 500$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325 | 154 | 50%77 W · 77 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Yes | 13c | 391.08$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.03 | 143 | 47.6%68 W · 75 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -15%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Yes | 38c | 358.95$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.6 | 527 | 48%253 W · 274 L | -35.4wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Yes | 9c | 242.6$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.83 | 200 | 33%66 W · 134 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42df…bb2fbacked Yes | 22c | 216.27$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.34 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 21cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…860fbacked No | 47c | 206$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.18 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -2.9wins | -0.19per pick | 59cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed No | 46c | 173.93$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.57 | 326 | 50.6%165 W · 161 L | +12.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 71c | 161.3$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.08 | 418 | 54.8%229 W · 189 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a47…cfbbbacked Yes | 31c | 154.61$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.93 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +1.9wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Yes | 16c | 147.12$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.93 | 162 | 19.1%31 W · 131 L | -10.6wins | -0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Yes | 66c | 134.05$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.88 | 173 | 54.3%94 W · 79 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76c8…68ecbacked Yes | 36c | 133.56$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.08 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a3…04bebacked Yes | 66c | 128.21$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.07 | 62 | 58.1%36 W · 26 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6c…e09cbacked Yes | 66c | 124.33$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.76 | 75 | 48%36 W · 39 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1968…8c66backed Yes | 66c | 123.72$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.36 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb5bd…b891backed Yes | 66c | 122.18$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.09 | 51 | 62.7%32 W · 19 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…a1f3backed Yes | 66c | 120.89$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.25 | 54 | 50%27 W · 27 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x91f0…c57abacked No | 71c | 118.38$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.62 | 65 | 60%39 W · 26 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Yes | 66c | 117.27$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.87 | 96 | 50%48 W · 48 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd51e…ac0cbacked Yes | 66c | 116.96$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.67 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | -3.3wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b8f…f31bbacked Yes | 66c | 113.99$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.23 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -41.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Yes | 66c | 113.96$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.71 | 147 | 52.4%77 W · 70 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26dd…0249backed Yes | 66c | 108.08$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.33 | 57 | 57.9%33 W · 24 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 73c | 106.03$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.11 | 207 | 49.3%102 W · 105 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ddd…73b2backed Yes | 66c | 104.7$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.63 | 44 | 72.7%32 W · 12 L | +7.3wins | +0.17per pick | 56cpaid | +37.6%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xd208…cbcdbacked Yes | 56c | 97.57$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.79 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0040…9eb8backed No | 40c | 96.4$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.84 | 111 | 61.3%68 W · 43 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ee7…4c1abacked Yes | 56c | 95.96$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.84 | 31 | 64.5%20 W · 11 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Yes | 66c | 94.05$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.65 | 113 | 46.9%53 W · 60 L | -9.6wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed Yes | 66c | 93.91$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.56 | 84 | 53.6%45 W · 39 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a39…1a00backed Yes | 17c | 86.64$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.73 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfce1…4f4cbacked Yes | 55c | 82.62$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.29 | 36 | 63.9%23 W · 13 L | +2.4wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa975…42eebacked Yes | 65c | 75.07$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.95 | 51 | 54.9%28 W · 23 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x231f…254bbacked Yes | 66c | 74.62$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.96 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30db…44e1backed Yes | 57c | 72.56$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.53 | 43 | 65.1%28 W · 15 L | +2.6wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Yes | 17c | 70.44$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.01 | 310 | 51.6%160 W · 150 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5471…a236backed No | 71c | 70.26$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.6 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x569b…c66ebacked No | 70c | 70.14$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.04 | 43 | 37.2%16 W · 27 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0bec…c707backed Yes | 55c | 68.1$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.43 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +2.5wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8900…a444backed Yes | 54c | 66.98$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.17 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.15per pick | 52cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6832…831fbacked Yes | 16c | 65.37$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.3 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | +3.8wins | +0.10per pick | 37cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaa0f…574cbacked No | 63c | 61.51$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.9 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.12per pick | 65cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc9b7…93ebbacked Yes | 54c | 60.68$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.87 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe562…4fa9backed No | 47c | 58.09$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.79 | 43 | 34.9%15 W · 28 L | -3.1wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -20%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked No | 40c | 56.32$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.79 | 168 | 19.6%33 W · 135 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 19cpaid | -31%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x967f…a5d9backed No | 68c | 56.03$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.93 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe196…0ab5backed Yes | 29c | 55.96$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.23 | 35 | 34.3%12 W · 23 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x660c…13f9backed Yes | 29c | 55.23$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.02 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed No | 31c | 53.2$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.71 | 319 | 58.3%186 W · 133 L | +26.1wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed No | 69c | 51.48$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.91 | 419 | 54.7%229 W · 190 L | +7.7wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 72c | 51$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.28 | 233 | 45.1%105 W · 128 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68d5…e05dbacked No | 68c | 50.26$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.08 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea74…cf99backed No | 70c | 49.98$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.99 | 46 | 50%23 W · 23 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadb9…ef55backed Yes | 48c | 49.57$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.92 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 62cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 71c | 49.09$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.24 | 687 | 50.8%349 W · 338 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e41…b875backed Yes | 61c | 48.03$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.3 | 63 | 58.7%37 W · 26 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67d2…a008backed Yes | 41c | 47.05$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.29 | 69 | 55.1%38 W · 31 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38c4…7c65backed No | 51c | 45.33$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.09 | 60 | 70%42 W · 18 L | +5.4wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb1cc…1958backed Yes | 49c | 44.57$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.02 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 61c | 44.29$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.15 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Yes | 28c | 44.01$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.32 | 267 | 47.2%126 W · 141 L | +7.7wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes | 34c | 43.94$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.14 | 423 | 47.8%202 W · 221 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdba6…13a3backed Yes | 63c | 43.63$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.49 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 64cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed No | 70c | 43$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.9 | 233 | 53.6%125 W · 108 L | -7.3wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x06e7…3acabacked Yes | 64c | 37.96$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.46 | 55 | 56.4%31 W · 24 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef5c…6ababacked Yes | 49c | 37.07$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.32 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 63cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57a6…44edbacked No | 70c | 36.28$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.89 | 59 | 55.9%33 W · 26 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a53…074abacked Yes | 59c | 34.1$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.99 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd42…9588backed Yes | 31c | 34.01$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.54 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd0dc…ffadbacked No | 71c | 29$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.41 | 46 | 69.6%32 W · 14 L | +3.3wins | +0.07per pick | 62cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3dda…8799backed No | 68c | 28.85$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.23 | 17 | 76.5%13 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 69cpaid | +10%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51af…8720backed No | 61c | 27.54$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.74 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1246…9fbdbacked Yes | 60c | 26.08$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.65 | 12 | 91.7%11 W · 1 L | +2.1wins | +0.18per pick | 74cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x450f…9479backed No | 70c | 19.91$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.97 | 40 | 70%28 W · 12 L | +4.7wins | +0.12per pick | 58cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Hellas Verona FC vs. ACF Fiorentina end in a draw?this page
- Will ACF Fiorentina win on 2026-04-04?Yes won
- Will Hellas Verona FC win on 2026-04-04?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.