MLB · resolved market
Baltimore Orioles vs. Cleveland Guardians
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xced021b129bdc4df7770ee538f6fe3c9472d30b4f6accfec1ea34bb22f3f82d5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Cleveland Guardiansof Baltimore Orioles, Cleveland Guardians
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $362,959
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $367,843
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $362,959 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 271 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf152…64aabacked Baltimore Orioles | 44c | 61,000$26,840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26,839.91 | 770 | 53.9%415 W · 355 L | +8.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Cleveland Guardians | 56c | 47,270$26,471 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,798.9 | 920 | 54%497 W · 423 L | +23.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Cleveland Guardians | 53c | 28,807$15,198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,608.42 | 1,041 | 50.1%522 W · 519 L | +17.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed Baltimore Orioles | 45c | 21,489$9,670 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,670 | 981 | 49.9%490 W · 491 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Baltimore Orioles | 45c | 12,485$5,618 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,618.27 | 1,660 | 50.1%832 W · 828 L | -22.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Cleveland Guardians | 56c | 11,456$6,426 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,029.79 | 1,029 | 51.2%527 W · 502 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0370…d000backed Cleveland Guardians | 54c | 10,519$5,701 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,817.94 | 83 | 55.4%46 W · 37 L | +4.7wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0140…9510backed Baltimore Orioles | 46c | 10,439$4,839 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,839.07 | 55 | 50.9%28 W · 27 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Cleveland Guardians | 57c | 9,328$5,361 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,966.82 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Cleveland Guardians | 55c | 9,000$4,950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,049.98 | 5,400 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,674 L | +17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Baltimore Orioles | 38c | 7,293$2,777 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,776.98 | 2,389 | 43.4%1,037 W · 1,352 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Baltimore Orioles | 53c | 7,002$3,676 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,676.28 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Baltimore Orioles | 42c | 6,162$2,587 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,587.18 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b47…d615backed Cleveland Guardians | 55c | 6,000$3,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,700 | 203 | 50.7%103 W · 100 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Cleveland Guardians | 57c | 5,039$2,856 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,183.44 | 650 | 50.3%327 W · 323 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3625…1187backed Cleveland Guardians | 56c | 5,035$2,811 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,223.64 | 379 | 53.6%203 W · 176 L | +18.4wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Cleveland Guardians | 55c | 4,104$2,257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,846.8 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x129f…7b9ebacked Baltimore Orioles | 44c | 3,950$1,738 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,738.19 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.15per pick | 52cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Baltimore Orioles | 37c | 3,900$1,436 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,435.69 | 1,456 | 42.7%622 W · 834 L | -39.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Baltimore Orioles | 50c | 3,589$1,777 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,776.68 | 2,147 | 50.2%1,078 W · 1,069 L | +27.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc50f…3ad3backed Baltimore Orioles | 45c | 3,052$1,373 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,373.33 | 132 | 54.5%72 W · 60 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Cleveland Guardians | 61c | 2,485$1,513 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$971.64 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd1e6…1dc1backed Baltimore Orioles | 45c | 2,418$1,088 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,087.88 | 82 | 47.6%39 W · 43 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5fea…78b1backed Baltimore Orioles | 31c | 2,383$739 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$739.07 | 94 | 31.9%30 W · 64 L | -4.3wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4b49…0397backed Cleveland Guardians | 55c | 2,000$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$900 | 274 | 51.8%142 W · 132 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Baltimore Orioles | 34c | 2,000$688 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$687.98 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc1…b33cbacked Cleveland Guardians | 58c | 1,732$1,005 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$727.53 | 260 | 56.9%148 W · 112 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Cleveland Guardians | 57c | 1,693$958 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$735.42 | 4,381 | 44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L | +77.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Cleveland Guardians | 40c | 1,573$626 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$946.66 | 1,345 | 47.7%642 W · 703 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Baltimore Orioles | 44c | 1,556$689 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$689.38 | 1,010 | 48.1%486 W · 524 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ebb…c199backed Baltimore Orioles | 44c | 1,548$681 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$681 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea30…4e82backed Baltimore Orioles | 44c | 1,541$678 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$678 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Cleveland Guardians | 68c | 1,510$1,028 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$482.27 | 1,499 | 58.9%883 W · 616 L | +75.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked Baltimore Orioles | 20c | 1,146$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.35 | 1,140 | 43%490 W · 650 L | -37.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x68bf…3e67backed Cleveland Guardians | 55c | 989.88$549 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440.61 | 78 | 52.6%41 W · 37 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f07…9d0fbacked Cleveland Guardians | 55c | 973$535 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$437.85 | 275 | 52.4%144 W · 131 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Cleveland Guardians | 56c | 941.96$527 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$414.46 | 1,515 | 51.1%774 W · 741 L | +7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3df…82fabacked Baltimore Orioles | 20c | 860.9$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.48 | 488 | 50.2%245 W · 243 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd04…a64abacked Baltimore Orioles | 45c | 859.56$387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$386.8 | 323 | 50.5%163 W · 160 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad8…ed62backed Baltimore Orioles | 44c | 842.18$371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370.56 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54d0…8e20backed Cleveland Guardians | 58c | 841.88$487 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$354.51 | 321 | 57%183 W · 138 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x783b…dc4cbacked Baltimore Orioles | 29c | 806.77$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.94 | 609 | 41.4%252 W · 357 L | -22.4wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Baltimore Orioles | 15c | 800$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.67 | 851 | 35.8%305 W · 546 L | -23.3wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c45…f19abacked Cleveland Guardians | 40c | 752.14$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$451.28 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +19%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Cleveland Guardians | 60c | 737.43$443 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294.03 | 555 | 41.4%230 W · 325 L | -26.7wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe33d…9512backed Cleveland Guardians | 77c | 735.46$566 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.16 | 172 | 44.2%76 W · 96 L | -7.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Cleveland Guardians | 54c | 710.09$383 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$326.64 | 1,289 | 47.2%609 W · 680 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa535…9e5ebacked Baltimore Orioles | 45c | 673.03$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.86 | 467 | 49.5%231 W · 236 L | -12.0wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Baltimore Orioles | 43c | 657.74$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285.88 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Cleveland Guardians | 56c | 608.5$341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.74 | 1,708 | 49.9%852 W · 856 L | -17.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf33e…0ab8backed Baltimore Orioles | 10c | 603.51$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.32 | 45 | 57.8%26 W · 19 L | +5.1wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Cleveland Guardians | 55c | 599.97$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.99 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x47cb…dfdabacked Baltimore Orioles | 23c | 595.78$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.51 | 123 | 37.4%46 W · 77 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe292…84b8backed Baltimore Orioles | 44c | 590$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.6 | 1,402 | 43.1%604 W · 798 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c87…2917backed Baltimore Orioles | 5c | 565.8$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.29 | 93 | 37.6%35 W · 58 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…0f9abacked Baltimore Orioles | 45c | 549.26$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.17 | 507 | 51.7%262 W · 245 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d21…abc5backed Baltimore Orioles | 46c | 542.91$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.74 | 124 | 41.1%51 W · 73 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Cleveland Guardians | 70c | 523.12$366 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.82 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfed7…e405backed Cleveland Guardians | 55c | 496.21$273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.59 | 801 | 59.2%474 W · 327 L | +7.2wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Cleveland Guardians | 56c | 486.8$273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.19 | 859 | 52.6%452 W · 407 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1489…9924backed Baltimore Orioles | 45c | 459.33$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.7 | 185 | 53%98 W · 87 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f0…c9e4backed Baltimore Orioles | 45c | 459.33$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.7 | 140 | 47.1%66 W · 74 L | -7.3wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6001…0457backed Cleveland Guardians | 55c | 451.38$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.27 | 185 | 53.5%99 W · 86 L | +6.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x551c…fe91backed Cleveland Guardians | 67c | 420.05$281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.62 | 1,218 | 55.6%677 W · 541 L | +94.9wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x116c…e162backed Cleveland Guardians | 56c | 417.27$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.6 | 366 | 49.2%180 W · 186 L | -10.5wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2185…b40cbacked Baltimore Orioles | 45c | 406.14$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.76 | 262 | 55.7%146 W · 116 L | +9.8wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbffc…1f45backed Cleveland Guardians | 55c | 381.77$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.8 | 132 | 47.7%63 W · 69 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39dc…fc23backed Cleveland Guardians | 58c | 374.99$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.65 | 656 | 51.2%336 W · 320 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Cleveland Guardians | 56c | 347.71$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.99 | 940 | 34.3%322 W · 618 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf984…5098backed Cleveland Guardians | 56c | 347.71$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.99 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0833…bc88backed Cleveland Guardians | 67c | 345.03$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.86 | 61 | 57.4%35 W · 26 L | +5.3wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed Baltimore Orioles | 43c | 334.83$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.29 | 80 | 32.5%26 W · 54 L | -5.2wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Cleveland Guardians | 63c | 333.17$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.97 | 515 | 55%283 W · 232 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60c…d2e2backed Baltimore Orioles | 45c | 322.33$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.05 | 171 | 51.5%88 W · 83 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x691a…d113backed Baltimore Orioles | 44c | 318$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.92 | 280 | 49.6%139 W · 141 L | +8.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Baltimore Orioles | 44c | 311.82$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.31 | 1,769 | 51.6%912 W · 857 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e0…457fbacked Baltimore Orioles | 45c | 307.51$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.38 | 319 | 49.5%158 W · 161 L | -7.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe05f…1fe3backed Baltimore Orioles | 45c | 307.51$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.38 | 203 | 51.7%105 W · 98 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4523…7adebacked Baltimore Orioles | 45c | 307.51$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.38 | 114 | 48.2%55 W · 59 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8db2…f8a2backed Baltimore Orioles | 33c | 305.98$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.8 | 46 | 47.8%22 W · 24 L | +4.5wins | +0.10per pick | 38cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed Baltimore Orioles | 45c | 290.1$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.92 | 346 | 48.6%168 W · 178 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b97…6084backed Baltimore Orioles | 45c | 290.1$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.55 | 591 | 50.3%297 W · 294 L | +9.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda74…2dd7backed Baltimore Orioles | 44c | 290$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.6 | 1,277 | 43.1%550 W · 727 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32de…ce27backed Baltimore Orioles | 44c | 260$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.4 | 636 | 44.7%284 W · 352 L | +13.8wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2add…0cfdbacked Baltimore Orioles | 6c | 259.49$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.57 | 99 | 28.3%28 W · 71 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -49.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8217…4936backed Cleveland Guardians | 76c | 253.77$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.66 | 211 | 53.6%113 W · 98 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfa…324ebacked Cleveland Guardians | 56c | 247.74$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.01 | 151 | 48.3%73 W · 78 L | -5.4wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0373…4057backed Baltimore Orioles | 44c | 246$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.24 | 406 | 45.1%183 W · 223 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x18c6…a4dbbacked Baltimore Orioles | 45c | 245.62$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.53 | 210 | 57.6%121 W · 89 L | +13.1wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6888…4c79backed Baltimore Orioles | 45c | 245.62$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.53 | 267 | 51.7%138 W · 129 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09ee…90a4backed Cleveland Guardians | 55c | 244.57$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.16 | 1,569 | 51.1%801 W · 768 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x59b6…307fbacked Cleveland Guardians | 56c | 243.4$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.1 | 812 | 57.3%465 W · 347 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcda3…36cfbacked Baltimore Orioles | 44c | 240$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.6 | 1,310 | 43.6%571 W · 739 L | +13.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05c4…78c6backed Baltimore Orioles | 10c | 236.5$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.65 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc463…9a2fbacked Baltimore Orioles | 43c | 228.11$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.09 | 338 | 52.7%178 W · 160 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Baltimore Orioles | 44c | 227$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.88 | 750 | 49.7%373 W · 377 L | +7.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a5…e95dbacked Baltimore Orioles | 43c | 224.6$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.58 | 280 | 45.7%128 W · 152 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6df…588cbacked Baltimore Orioles | 45c | 215.64$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.04 | 406 | 48.5%197 W · 209 L | -13.8wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf4d9…c125backed Baltimore Orioles | 45c | 214.89$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.7 | 218 | 56%122 W · 96 L | +9.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Baltimore Orioles | 46c | 207.61$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.39 | 946 | 48.9%463 W · 483 L | +4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Baltimore Orioles vs. Cleveland Guardiansthis page
- Baltimore Orioles vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 4.5Over won
- Baltimore Orioles vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 5.5Over won
- Baltimore Orioles vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 6.5Under won
- Baltimore Orioles vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 7.5Under won
- Spread: Cleveland Guardians (-1.5)Cleveland Guardians won
- Spread: Cleveland Guardians (-2.5)Baltimore Orioles won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Baltimore Orioles vs. Cleveland GuardiansNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.