MLB · resolved market
Los Angeles Angels vs. New York Yankees: O/U 9.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x61eb251b025ec4d16ceb36eb1faa7ee03725131bef884b8bf2b89902e3b59d63
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $308,986
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $310,185
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $308,986 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 237 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc807…c12bbacked Under | 51c | 109,801$56,280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56,279.71 | 501 | 53.5%268 W · 233 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x777d…5143backed Over | 51c | 67,688$34,256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33,432.65 | 88 | 56.8%50 W · 38 L | +6.6wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +20%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…23c4backed Over | 46c | 37,035$17,002 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,033.14 | 550 | 53.1%292 W · 258 L | +20.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Under | 51c | 19,353$9,843 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,842.96 | 595 | 49.7%296 W · 299 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Over | 48c | 14,686$7,049 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,637.37 | 678 | 49.3%334 W · 344 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8cb3…8ed1backed Over | 49c | 11,035$5,407 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,627.64 | 70 | 48.6%34 W · 36 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Under | 50c | 10,470$5,235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,235.09 | 1,660 | 50.1%832 W · 828 L | -22.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbf1…86b5backed Under | 54c | 10,000$5,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,400 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +2.3wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd100…853dbacked Over | 52c | 9,338$4,856 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,482.46 | 541 | 52.1%282 W · 259 L | +12.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 49c | 7,757$3,804 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,803.53 | 1,355 | 49.8%675 W · 680 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x116c…e162backed Over | 48c | 7,555$3,645 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,910.3 | 366 | 49.2%180 W · 186 L | -10.5wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Over | 50c | 7,440$3,706 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,734.32 | 1,029 | 51.2%527 W · 502 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2f1…2d22backed Under | 54c | 6,300$3,402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,402 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over | 48c | 6,102$2,956 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,145.59 | 323 | 48.9%158 W · 165 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6447…8075backed Under | 54c | 5,524$2,983 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,982.92 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.14per pick | 44cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Over | 48c | 5,445$2,613 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,831.22 | 920 | 54%497 W · 423 L | +23.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb5…a518backed Over | 48c | 4,897$2,362 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,535.03 | 114 | 51.8%59 W · 55 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Over | 48c | 4,383$2,110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,272.73 | 1,106 | 48.7%539 W · 567 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b47…d615backed Under | 52c | 4,000$2,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,079.99 | 203 | 50.7%103 W · 100 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39eb…0e4cbacked Under | 52c | 3,961$2,041 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,040.54 | 73 | 50.7%37 W · 36 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x198f…c419backed Under | 49c | 3,049$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,499.99 | 115 | 40%46 W · 69 L | -7.1wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9870…b9d3backed Under | 53c | 2,940$1,558 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,558.04 | 190 | 53.7%102 W · 88 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8d9…48a6backed Under | 52c | 2,914$1,515 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,515.07 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Under | 49c | 2,823$1,383 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,383.07 | 1,572 | 48.3%759 W · 813 L | -6.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Over | 48c | 2,712$1,302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,410.05 | 1,215 | 47.6%578 W · 637 L | -19.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Under | 53c | 2,486$1,318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,317.6 | 1,345 | 47.7%642 W · 703 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdaef…54e9backed Under | 50c | 2,185$1,096 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,096.34 | 54 | 55.6%30 W · 24 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e7a…1eecbacked Under | 55c | 2,164$1,180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,179.54 | 49 | 55.1%27 W · 22 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Over | 48c | 2,125$1,029 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,096.07 | 1,043 | 49%511 W · 532 L | +3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Over | 48c | 2,125$1,029 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,096.07 | 344 | 52.6%181 W · 163 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Under | 52c | 2,000$1,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,040 | 619 | 47.7%295 W · 324 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2814…2941backed Under | 54c | 2,000$1,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,080 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x629c…6c01backed Under | 51c | 2,000$1,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,019.98 | 81 | 51.9%42 W · 39 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7771…009fbacked Under | 54c | 1,972$1,065 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,065.1 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 51c | 1,969$1,003 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,002.59 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Over | 49c | 1,750$857 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$892.48 | 1,352 | 50.8%687 W · 665 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a77…4fcfbacked Under | 51c | 1,648$847 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$846.76 | 54 | 48.1%26 W · 28 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb2bf…0b30backed Under | 54c | 1,635$883 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$882.76 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Under | 49c | 1,633$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800.17 | 1,909 | 53.5%1,021 W · 888 L | +29.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd27d…a84fbacked Over | 48c | 1,461$703 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$757.57 | 70 | 45.7%32 W · 38 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe802…e465backed Over | 49c | 1,454$713 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$741.59 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bca…0d11backed Over | 48c | 1,413$678 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$734.67 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -2.6wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x047c…3ce4backed Under | 52c | 1,402$728 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$728.4 | 51 | 60.8%31 W · 20 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Over | 48c | 1,356$651 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$705.02 | 1,269 | 51.1%648 W · 621 L | +23.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebe6…9278backed Under | 52c | 1,250$652 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$651.79 | 2,104 | 51.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b44…be1ebacked Under | 54c | 1,222$660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$659.99 | 59 | 50.8%30 W · 29 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Under | 47c | 1,172$553 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$553.18 | 2,389 | 43.4%1,037 W · 1,352 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Under | 55c | 1,143$629 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$628.83 | 1,010 | 48.1%486 W · 524 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 48c | 1,136$549 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$586.67 | 650 | 50.3%327 W · 323 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked Over | 48c | 1,076$517 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$559.7 | 1,119 | 45.5%509 W · 610 L | +16.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb43e…78bfbacked Over | 47c | 1,067$502 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$565.66 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f2e…9d0bbacked Under | 47c | 1,033$484 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$484.06 | 66 | 62.1%41 W · 25 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc249…8a61backed Under | 49c | 1,029$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.79 | 613 | 52.5%322 W · 291 L | +29.6wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x04a0…a889backed Under | 54c | 1,028$555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$554.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc463…9a2fbacked Under | 50c | 1,027$514 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$513.55 | 338 | 52.7%178 W · 160 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xade2…8757backed Over | 48c | 1,005$484 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520.45 | 126 | 56.3%71 W · 55 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e5c…81b9backed Under | 53c | 1,004$532 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$531.95 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ec9…2f29backed Under | 55c | 1,000$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.2wins | -0.36per pick | 53cpaid | -68.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc03f…249dbacked Under | 54c | 1,000$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x68bf…3e67backed Over | 47c | 1,000$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$530 | 78 | 52.6%41 W · 37 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a91…0776backed Under | 54c | 1,000$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xceed…f8eebacked Under | 51c | 999.96$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$509.98 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Over | 49c | 995.93$485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$511.34 | 393 | 51.9%204 W · 189 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f08…5afbbacked Under | 50c | 994.64$497 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$497.32 | 143 | 40.6%58 W · 85 L | -6.6wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xabf5…cfebbacked Under | 50c | 970$485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$485 | 444 | 51.1%227 W · 217 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf429…969ebacked Under | 50c | 880.69$436 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$436.38 | 198 | 42.9%85 W · 113 L | -10.1wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Over | 53c | 874.54$462 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$412.27 | 4,035 | 57.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L | +72.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc9…05ddbacked Under | 53c | 824.4$437 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$436.93 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1489…9924backed Under | 50c | 776$388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$388 | 185 | 53%98 W · 87 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Over | 52c | 656.35$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$316.06 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6001…0457backed Over | 48c | 627.96$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$327.62 | 185 | 53.5%99 W · 86 L | +6.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6fba…26dcbacked Under | 51c | 597.52$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304.73 | 231 | 52.8%122 W · 109 L | -8.2wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4483…c565backed Under | 54c | 540.22$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.72 | 257 | 51.8%133 W · 124 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Under | 49c | 500$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245 | 859 | 52.6%452 W · 407 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Over | 49c | 493.03$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.66 | 1,708 | 49.9%852 W · 856 L | -17.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56de…bc32backed Under | 52c | 485.6$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.51 | 66 | 53%35 W · 31 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Over | 49c | 480.09$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.03 | 1,769 | 51.6%912 W · 857 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb07e…2b92backed Over | 51c | 475.78$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.13 | 69 | 47.8%33 W · 36 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6498…8910backed Over | 50c | 471.07$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.47 | 517 | 56.5%292 W · 225 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6d8…ac72backed Under | 52c | 448.25$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.09 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9ea…b781backed Under | 49c | 416.97$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.82 | 568 | 51.4%292 W · 276 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6726…542fbacked Under | 51c | 400$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204 | 67 | 62.7%42 W · 25 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked Over | 49c | 399.4$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.59 | 418 | 47.6%199 W · 219 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6495…6cd7backed Under | 49c | 395.67$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.88 | 68 | 55.9%38 W · 30 L | +5.0wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Over | 48c | 351.78$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.58 | 113 | 46.9%53 W · 60 L | -5.5wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 55c | 347.16$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.2 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Under | 26c | 328.37$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.21 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38dc…8bafbacked Under | 53c | 304.41$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.34 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8289…0bf5backed Over | 49c | 296.76$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.35 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8884…3457backed Under | 53c | 295.15$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.43 | 281 | 54.4%153 W · 128 L | +9.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Over | 48c | 288.65$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.35 | 483 | 39.8%192 W · 291 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33fc…dc88backed Under | 51c | 276.04$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.78 | 224 | 57.1%128 W · 96 L | +9.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf4e4…4a19backed Over | 66c | 273.79$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.79 | 66 | 84.8%56 W · 10 L | +15.1wins | +0.23per pick | 62cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 68+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x1aca…9580backed Under | 53c | 264.33$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.09 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4db7…3ae4backed Over | 47c | 261.41$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.55 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +79.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x255a…3435backed Under | 22c | 261.19$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.7 | 1,522 | 34.7%528 W · 994 L | +27.1wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x852f…3aaebacked Over | 49c | 250.76$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.95 | 73 | 41.1%30 W · 43 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Over | 48c | 209.99$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.2 | 1,435 | 50%717 W · 718 L | +25.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa877…2e20backed Under | 49c | 202.61$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.4 | 726 | 48.1%349 W · 377 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b8f…f31bbacked Over | 48c | 201.83$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.95 | 73 | 45.2%33 W · 40 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Los Angeles Angels vs. New York Yankees: O/U 9.5this page
- Los Angeles Angels vs. New York YankeesNew York Yankees won
- Los Angeles Angels vs. New York Yankees: O/U 10.5Over won
- Los Angeles Angels vs. New York Yankees: O/U 11.5Over won
- Los Angeles Angels vs. New York Yankees: O/U 12.5Over won
- Los Angeles Angels vs. New York Yankees: O/U 13.5Over won
- Los Angeles Angels vs. New York Yankees: O/U 14.5Over won
- Los Angeles Angels vs. New York Yankees: O/U 18.5Over won
- Spread: Los Angeles Angels (-1.5)New York Yankees won
- Spread: New York Yankees (-1.5)Los Angeles Angels won
- Spread: New York Yankees (-2.5)Los Angeles Angels won
- Spread: New York Yankees (-4.5)Los Angeles Angels won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Los Angeles Angels vs. New York YankeesYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.