TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Spread: New York Yankees (-1.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Los Angeles Angelsof New York Yankees, Los Angeles Angels
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$38,698
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$38,412

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $38,698 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 80 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x6498…8910backed New York Yankees47c9,682$4,551 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,550.5451756.5%292 W · 225 L+5.2wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Los Angeles Angels53c9,024$4,760 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,263.961,35549.8%675 W · 680 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf57e…bbd6backed Los Angeles Angels54c4,578$2,479 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,099.461040%4 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-18.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2f79…1608backed New York Yankees48c3,875$1,860 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,860.12250%11 W · 11 L-1.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-9.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked New York Yankees47c2,046$959 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$958.711,02951.2%527 W · 502 L-6.2wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked New York Yankees67c1,346$902 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$902.041,86552%970 W · 895 L+50.8wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+9.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Los Angeles Angels52c1,311$686 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$625.316,89950.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L-7.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed New York Yankees46c1,063$486 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$486.095,40150.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L+17.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x22da…2866backed Los Angeles Angels54c1,058$571 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$486.671,72550.1%864 W · 861 L-4.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Los Angeles Angels58c989.73$577 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$412.962,38943.4%1,037 W · 1,352 L-25.4wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-11.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Los Angeles Angels54c798.88$431 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$367.9332348.9%158 W · 165 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid+0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Los Angeles Angels52c779$405 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$373.921,34547.7%642 W · 703 L+10.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x198f…c419backed Los Angeles Angels33c695.5$230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$465.9911540%46 W · 69 L-7.1wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-16.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5f47…da7bbacked New York Yankees46c606.53$279 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed New York Yankees32c440.15$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141.586,11655.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L+344.6wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+8.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xebe6…9278backed Los Angeles Angels54c435.21$233 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$202.052,10451.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L+11.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1a93…c3eabacked New York Yankees48c395.39$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$189.7926545.7%121 W · 144 L-1.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Los Angeles Angels53c379.99$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$180.41,76951.6%912 W · 857 L+16.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc6a1…b1ecbacked Los Angeles Angels54c367.33$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$168.971855.6%10 W · 8 L+0.8wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x87fa…12d0backed Los Angeles Angels53c366.71$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$172.356150.8%31 W · 30 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8351…9bebbacked New York Yankees47c357.38$169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$169.4865248.3%315 W · 337 L+1.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8adc…ceafbacked New York Yankees70c328.07$231 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$230.6622653.1%120 W · 106 L-9.7wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-9.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0fce…63d5backed New York Yankees46c327.26$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.5427345.4%124 W · 149 L-13.7wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-9.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6f2e…9d0bbacked Los Angeles Angels49c309.86$153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.516662.1%41 W · 25 L+2.4wins+0.04per pick59cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x780c…1074backed Los Angeles Angels53c289.6$153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136.111100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6cde…afdebacked New York Yankees48c286.76$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.6510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x45dd…7b56backed New York Yankees45c256.72$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.6616242.6%69 W · 93 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x90c5…534cbacked New York Yankees38c196$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.4834145.2%154 W · 187 L+5.2wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9b97…6084backed New York Yankees48c193.76$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9359150.3%297 W · 294 L+9.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked New York Yankees50c177.69$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.855,23456.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L+130.4wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed New York Yankees46c176$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.9675049.7%373 W · 377 L+7.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2528…b77dbacked Los Angeles Angels54c174.34$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.691,63055.2%899 W · 731 L+2.2wins0.00per pick55cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed New York Yankees46c153.83$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.761,05347.3%498 W · 555 L-14.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf898…e720backed Los Angeles Angels58c149.64$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.56,30348.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L+181.4wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+0.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Los Angeles Angels58c146.34$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.0210,84651.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L+137.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9a77…4fcfbacked New York Yankees13c142.9$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.965448.1%26 W · 28 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1880…a421backed New York Yankees46c138.38$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.173452.9%18 W · 16 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d5c…4f26backed New York Yankees46c135.08$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.143531.4%11 W · 24 L-5.5wins-0.16per pick47cpaid-32.1%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked New York Yankees66c131.46$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.21,91253%1,014 W · 898 L+42.5wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0ec9…2f29backed Los Angeles Angels53c125.19$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.92616.7%1 W · 5 L-2.2wins-0.36per pick53cpaid-68.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5968…3fc4backed Los Angeles Angels53c124.95$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.7328943.3%125 W · 164 L-11.6wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-11.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x55a7…24a0backed New York Yankees47c123.15$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.881346.2%6 W · 7 L+1.1wins+0.08per pick38cpaid+21.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4d16…4e1fbacked New York Yankees16c120.95$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.9912265.6%80 W · 42 L+3.9wins+0.03per pick62cpaid+3.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Los Angeles Angels52c116.3$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.162,94751.9%1,529 W · 1,418 L-34.0wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Los Angeles Angels52c112.24$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.8829752.5%156 W · 141 L+6.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x39fc…e2f2backed Los Angeles Angels39c98.24$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.933,20851.2%1,642 W · 1,566 L+146.6wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+8.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4ed2…0ddabacked Los Angeles Angels54c97.24$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.7357747.7%275 W · 302 L+7.2wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x133a…f9d1backed Los Angeles Angels54c95$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.79745.4%44 W · 53 L-5.5wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-11.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4259…77c1backed Los Angeles Angels41c94$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.462,24357.6%1,293 W · 950 L+37.1wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Los Angeles Angels39c90.18$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.011,72350.3%867 W · 856 L+55.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+3.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7511…582ebacked Los Angeles Angels39c82.04$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.0470154.2%380 W · 321 L+4.8wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7387…ccf1backed New York Yankees32c60.94$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.32633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick39cpaid+0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdf68…ed10backed Los Angeles Angels53c56.84$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.724060%24 W · 16 L+1.6wins+0.04per pick56cpaid-3.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0905…e5c0backed New York Yankees46c55$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.161,66143.5%722 W · 939 L-0.5wins0.00per pick43cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa9a0…c52bbacked New York Yankees38c50.67$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.2623145.5%105 W · 126 L-8.8wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-9.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5bda…17a8backed Los Angeles Angels54c50$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$231,75350.8%890 W · 863 L+29.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfae5…f940backed New York Yankees46c50$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2381651.8%423 W · 393 L-15.3wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x551c…fe91backed Los Angeles Angels39c49.63$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.271,21855.6%677 W · 541 L+94.9wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+13.4%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Los Angeles Angels53c49.5$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.022,29649.7%1,141 W · 1,155 L+37.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x96c1…2c59backed New York Yankees48c49.45$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.741,49845.3%678 W · 820 L-8.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0b52…22cbbacked Los Angeles Angels53c47.86$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.493458.8%20 W · 14 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe33d…9512backed Los Angeles Angels39c44.66$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.2417244.2%76 W · 96 L-7.2wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-12.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb69b…9ce7backed New York Yankees47c41.2$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.369145.1%41 W · 50 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbffb…a60ebacked Los Angeles Angels53c39.45$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.35450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3f98…ec35backed Los Angeles Angels53c38.82$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.2413144.3%58 W · 73 L-5.0wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-10.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x16ea…9400backed Los Angeles Angels52c38.8$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.5525249.6%125 W · 127 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Los Angeles Angels56c38.73$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1787352.7%460 W · 413 L+9.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8dd8…9a1cbacked Los Angeles Angels70c38.01$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.3247743%205 W · 272 L-12.3wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-15.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed New York Yankees45c37.36$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.9584122.7%191 W · 650 L-81.4wins-0.10per pick32cpaid-29.1%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x3565…0b17backed Los Angeles Angels53c36.42$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.9822450.4%113 W · 111 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8811…627cbacked Los Angeles Angels50c36.26$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.255464.1%355 W · 199 L+63.1wins+0.11per pick53cpaid+19.3%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x6691…8a8ebacked New York Yankees47c33.56$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.77966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+36.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked New York Yankees44c31.61$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.0565050.3%327 W · 323 L+0.9wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9bd9…084fbacked Los Angeles Angels61c28$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.8425452%132 W · 122 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4aab…38ccbacked New York Yankees47c28$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.1665359.6%389 W · 264 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Los Angeles Angels48c27.64$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.411,04150.1%522 W · 519 L+17.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5ba9…4fa1backed Los Angeles Angels68c26.48$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.529250%46 W · 46 L-5.8wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-10.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8c58…e330backed Los Angeles Angels71c24.57$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.1288053.8%473 W · 407 L+41.0wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+10.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6d49…e00abacked New York Yankees47c23.4$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1166749.3%329 W · 338 L-22.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-9.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf6c4…df5fbacked Los Angeles Angels52c19.99$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.639850.3%200 W · 198 L+0.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.