MLB · resolved market
San Francisco Giants vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 9.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xda780af97b74edd2a10a1726a71ab500f0d968ad06578585afa79a0dfc8f90c7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $194,715
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $194,162
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $194,715 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 111 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc807…c12bbacked Under | 51c | 108,744$55,258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55,258.01 | 501 | 53.5%268 W · 233 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…23c4backed Over | 49c | 72,203$35,379 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36,823.43 | 550 | 53.1%292 W · 258 L | +20.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x16bb…8492backed Over | 49c | 29,534$14,472 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,062.27 | 865 | 48.7%421 W · 444 L | -8.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 50c | 17,700$8,768 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,932.01 | 650 | 50.3%327 W · 323 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Under | 52c | 16,971$8,772 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,772 | 595 | 49.7%296 W · 299 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Over | 51c | 11,208$5,716 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,492.01 | 1,660 | 50.1%832 W · 828 L | -22.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Under | 49c | 10,299$5,046 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,046.46 | 920 | 54%497 W · 423 L | +23.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Under | 51c | 9,510$4,853 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,853.09 | 1,215 | 47.6%578 W · 637 L | -19.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 48c | 8,354$4,023 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,331.01 | 1,355 | 49.8%675 W · 680 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x198f…c419backed Under | 6c | 5,123$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.2 | 115 | 40%46 W · 69 L | -7.1wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 49c | 3,944$1,923 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,021.21 | 5,400 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,674 L | +17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9870…b9d3backed Under | 52c | 3,885$2,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,020.1 | 190 | 53.7%102 W · 88 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdaef…54e9backed Under | 51c | 3,000$1,530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,530 | 54 | 55.6%30 W · 24 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b47…d615backed Under | 51c | 3,000$1,530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,530 | 203 | 50.7%103 W · 100 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3df…82fabacked Over | 57c | 2,634$1,513 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,120.81 | 488 | 50.2%245 W · 243 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Over | 48c | 2,474$1,188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,286.46 | 1,572 | 48.3%759 W · 813 L | -6.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6001…0457backed Over | 49c | 2,258$1,109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,149.38 | 185 | 53.5%99 W · 86 L | +6.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Under | 50c | 2,198$1,099 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,098.93 | 1,010 | 48.1%486 W · 524 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Over | 48c | 1,582$762 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$820.49 | 678 | 49.3%334 W · 344 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Over | 48c | 1,304$626 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$678.12 | 1,292 | 50.2%648 W · 644 L | +18.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f2e…caf6backed Over | 50c | 1,224$612 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$612 | 53 | 50.9%27 W · 26 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4658…4131backed Over | 48c | 1,060$509 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$551.19 | 491 | 58.9%289 W · 202 L | +30.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7a30…8abdbacked Over | 51c | 1,021$521 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500.32 | 680 | 53.2%362 W · 318 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4dea…5e23backed Over | 50c | 1,005$503 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$502.67 | 425 | 50.1%213 W · 212 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ae4…fc82backed Over | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1a…42d8backed Under | 10c | 822.66$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.3 | 100 | 33%33 W · 67 L | -4.7wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0656…4d9bbacked Under | 1c | 800$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 136 | 5.9%8 W · 128 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 5cpaid | -64.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Under | 52c | 655.47$341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340.84 | 1,106 | 48.7%539 W · 567 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb7c…8eabbacked Over | 48c | 605.5$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$314.86 | 59 | 45.8%27 W · 32 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x047c…3ce4backed Under | 52c | 560.31$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.36 | 51 | 60.8%31 W · 20 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0520…3efdbacked Over | 73c | 505.66$369 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.75 | 532 | 61.8%329 W · 203 L | +20.6wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0dad…4855backed Under | 51c | 500$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255 | 210 | 52.9%111 W · 99 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Under | 53c | 455.55$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243 | 1,708 | 49.9%852 W · 856 L | -17.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 51c | 366.66$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.56 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Under | 51c | 343.6$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.24 | 1,769 | 51.6%912 W · 857 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca4…aa92backed Under | 51c | 300$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153 | 100 | 57%57 W · 43 L | +6.2wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +14%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x246d…c74dbacked Under | 58c | 286.56$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.72 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 48c | 281.5$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.38 | 2,296 | 49.7%1,141 W · 1,155 L | +37.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54a6…7401backed Over | 49c | 258.38$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.83 | 48 | 64.6%31 W · 17 L | +7.3wins | +0.15per pick | 49cpaid | +35.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 48c | 245$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.26 | 283 | 52.3%148 W · 135 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 6c | 225.44$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.54 | 2,545 | 45.9%1,168 W · 1,377 L | -73.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Over | 49c | 199.99$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.05 | 1,435 | 50%717 W · 718 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5de7…5417backed Over | 48c | 193.76$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.76 | 109 | 45.9%50 W · 59 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf874…def4backed Under | 52c | 187.66$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.11 | 296 | 56.1%166 W · 130 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 48c | 187.3$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.75 | 2,389 | 43.4%1,037 W · 1,352 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83ce…835cbacked Under | 54c | 181.74$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.67 | 507 | 48.7%247 W · 260 L | -17.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Over | 48c | 181.65$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.46 | 443 | 48.5%215 W · 228 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked Over | 48c | 160.86$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.99 | 1,630 | 55.2%899 W · 731 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fbd…3d15backed Under | 55c | 160.45$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.25 | 186 | 48.4%90 W · 96 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7192…7000backed Under | 52c | 158.75$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.55 | 57 | 56.1%32 W · 25 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d05…f729backed Over | 45c | 143.58$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.97 | 200 | 44.5%89 W · 111 L | -8.6wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Over | 45c | 115.61$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.16 | 6,302 | 48.3%3,041 W · 3,261 L | +181.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Over | 48c | 105.74$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.63 | 1,725 | 50.1%864 W · 861 L | -4.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c2f…cddbbacked Over | 48c | 100.92$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.48 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…1c75backed Over | 47c | 100$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53 | 217 | 48.4%105 W · 112 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaab0…6364backed Over | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +3.4wins | +0.26per pick | 51cpaid | +48.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5782…8ce5backed Over | 49c | 98.92$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.45 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9f2a…3706backed Under | 48c | 97.08$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.6 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -2.0wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf5aa…4464backed Over | 49c | 95.97$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.95 | 288 | 50.3%145 W · 143 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36f9…5445backed Under | 51c | 94.31$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.39 | 158 | 58.2%92 W · 66 L | +8.2wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca0…d153backed Under | 52c | 93.56$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.56 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c69…2b8dbacked Over | 50c | 85.9$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.99 | 307 | 50.2%154 W · 153 L | -7.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2551…217cbacked Under | 51c | 83.85$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.76 | 50 | 54%27 W · 23 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46d2…6805backed Over | 76c | 80.92$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.33 | 50 | 54%27 W · 23 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8968…c3c1backed Over | 48c | 79.89$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.44 | 228 | 49.6%113 W · 115 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 48c | 79.51$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.16 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d72…c356backed Under | 52c | 77.7$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.4 | 156 | 48.7%76 W · 80 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc42c…42a1backed Under | 49c | 76.58$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.53 | 243 | 50.2%122 W · 121 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a4d…4c76backed Over | 48c | 74.6$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.42 | 135 | 52.6%71 W · 64 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3565…0b17backed Over | 49c | 69.24$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.31 | 224 | 50.4%113 W · 111 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Under | 21c | 68.46$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.19 | 1,269 | 47.4%602 W · 667 L | -31.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fad…a796backed Over | 51c | 65.03$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.86 | 94 | 48.9%46 W · 48 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50e9…5efebacked Under | 52c | 58.27$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.3 | 225 | 54.7%123 W · 102 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10cf…1cfbbacked Over | 48c | 57.45$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.87 | 335 | 47.5%159 W · 176 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf30a…61fbbacked Under | 25c | 53.41$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.16 | 558 | 47.7%266 W · 292 L | -11.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbaf9…3a59backed Under | 51c | 51$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.01 | 165 | 44.8%74 W · 91 L | -6.7wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb5fd…b476backed Over | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 113 | 42.5%48 W · 65 L | -8.5wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x96c1…2c59backed Over | 48c | 49.45$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.71 | 1,498 | 45.3%678 W · 820 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbaff…eaf6backed Over | 50c | 48.69$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.45 | 140 | 47.1%66 W · 74 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc978…706bbacked Over | 50c | 47.93$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.97 | 310 | 46.5%144 W · 166 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x961a…e91cbacked Under | 52c | 46.69$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.28 | 69 | 56.5%39 W · 30 L | +3.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa21b…9e94backed Under | 53c | 45.84$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.3 | 486 | 51%248 W · 238 L | -18.0wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x938e…9b66backed Under | 53c | 45.84$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.3 | 481 | 50.7%244 W · 237 L | -19.3wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbbd8…d936backed Over | 48c | 40.37$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.99 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.12per pick | 47cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdba8…5d91backed Under | 52c | 40$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.8 | 226 | 50.4%114 W · 112 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ce…8945backed Over | 48c | 39.97$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.59 | 50 | 48%24 W · 26 L | -3.1wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ba6…cd3ebacked Under | 32c | 39.03$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.62 | 273 | 54.6%149 W · 124 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc1c…debbbacked Under | 51c | 39$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.89 | 89 | 40.4%36 W · 53 L | -6.8wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9fe5…7936backed Under | 50c | 38.8$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.4 | 192 | 48.4%93 W · 99 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x927f…b921backed Under | 51c | 38.06$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.41 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc798…a8e9backed Under | 55c | 34.44$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.94 | 106 | 49.1%52 W · 54 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29b0…3f3cbacked Under | 48c | 33.83$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.24 | 192 | 48.4%93 W · 99 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa80f…eea8backed Under | 52c | 31.49$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.37 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe964…6519backed Over | 48c | 30.86$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.05 | 103 | 44.7%46 W · 57 L | -6.7wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb1…cddbbacked Under | 50c | 30.62$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.33 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f31…e2b6backed Over | 49c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.3 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6cac…7c50backed Under | 52c | 29.92$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.54 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4add…8f36backed Over | 49c | 29.68$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.13 | 118 | 55.9%66 W · 52 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ddc…7b90backed Over | 49c | 29.68$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.13 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c9e…8e90backed Under | 52c | 29.14$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.15 | 141 | 46.1%65 W · 76 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- San Francisco Giants vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 9.5this page
- San Francisco Giants vs. Washington NationalsSan Francisco Giants won
- San Francisco Giants vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 11.5Over won
- San Francisco Giants vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 13.5Under won
- San Francisco Giants vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 14.5Under won
- San Francisco Giants vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 15.5Under won
- San Francisco Giants vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 8.5Over won
- Spread: San Francisco Giants (-1.5)Washington Nationals won
- Spread: Washington Nationals (-1.5)San Francisco Giants won
- Spread: Washington Nationals (-2.5)San Francisco Giants won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.