TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spread: 76ers (-14.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
76ersof 76ers, Wizards
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$425,336
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$529,742

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $425,336 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 191 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xbddf…c684backed Wizards50c105,311$52,656 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52,655.5772648.3%351 W · 375 L+30.5wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+11%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8a6c…0b3fbacked 76ers49c98,035$48,484 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49,551.8336549.6%181 W · 184 L-1.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid-3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x93ab…9723backed 76ers50c50,240$25,103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25,137.660351.4%310 W · 293 L+16.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x84db…aeebbacked Wizards50c48,927$24,463 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24,463.441,37450.1%689 W · 685 L+34.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Wizards51c42,988$21,924 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21,9241,91549.3%944 W · 971 L+19.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf11…8399backed 76ers50c29,100$14,550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,55037539.5%148 W · 227 L-1.2wins0.00per pick40cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Wizards50c22,531$11,266 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,265.64,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb6ae…4df8backed Wizards51c14,903$7,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,600.371,04447.5%496 W · 548 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfea3…d227backed Wizards49c14,606$7,157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,157.1515644.9%70 W · 86 L-9.1wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-5.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4924…3782backed 76ers49c14,289$7,001 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,287.2687451.5%450 W · 424 L+15.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb784…61d0backed 76ers49c12,943$6,342 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,600.9129351.5%151 W · 142 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb41…cf30backed 76ers50c11,100$5,536 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,564450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-15.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed 76ers58c9,931$5,773 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,158.582,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Wizards51c8,314$4,211 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,211.039,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Wizards51c8,032$4,088 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,087.61,28243.4%557 W · 725 L-51.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-12.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Wizards51c6,531$3,331 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,330.754,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x816e…b215backed 76ers50c5,820$2,910 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,9102433.3%8 W · 16 L-4.3wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-33.6%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed 76ers50c5,358$2,676 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,681.9390650.2%455 W · 451 L-0.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc51a…a0d9backed 76ers50c4,950$2,475 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,474.9627455.5%152 W · 122 L+15.2wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+9.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed 76ers50c4,850$2,425 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,4251,19448.8%583 W · 611 L-22.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed 76ers50c4,680$2,345 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,335.611,28650.8%653 W · 633 L+11.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x299f…2140backed Wizards50c3,948$1,974 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,973.831,14148%548 W · 593 L+9.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked Wizards52c3,885$2,020 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,020.179549.7%395 W · 400 L-0.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfb51…082dbacked 76ers50c3,247$1,623 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,623.4258953.7%316 W · 273 L+15.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+2.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7b20…62cbbacked 76ers50c2,794$1,397 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,396.819659.7%117 W · 79 L+17.5wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+16.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xafaf…1635backed Wizards19c2,748$517 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$517.461,03647.6%493 W · 543 L+6.7wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe216…7448backed 76ers50c2,298$1,149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,148.9759140.8%241 W · 350 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4880…5626backed 76ers50c1,118$559 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$559.118648.9%91 W · 95 L-5.4wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-8.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf1ad…6979backed 76ers50c970.97$485 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$485.4957650%288 W · 288 L+1.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x94c4…2a41backed 76ers50c957.25$479 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$478.6322953.3%122 W · 107 L+5.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8900…a444backed Wizards51c955.69$487 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$487.247751.9%40 W · 37 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-8.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x30db…44e1backed Wizards51c953.66$486 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$486.3734953%185 W · 164 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb61f…976abacked 76ers68c942.22$639 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$302.8920963.2%132 W · 77 L+5.2wins+0.02per pick61cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd809…6542backed 76ers50c877.4$436 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$441.1171654.1%387 W · 329 L+21.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+2.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbe02…5fb3backed 76ers50c841.48$421 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$420.7442352.5%222 W · 201 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked 76ers49c776.49$380 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$396.016,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x891d…b19fbacked 76ers50c702.28$351 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$351.148251.2%42 W · 40 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+0.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x57e5…e51ebacked 76ers50c591.7$296 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$295.8533360.4%201 W · 132 L+17.6wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+8.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed Wizards51c572.02$289 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$288.9144740.7%182 W · 265 L-27.5wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-9.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xc3e5…697abacked 76ers50c543.2$272 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$271.620650%103 W · 103 L+4.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x82de…1337backed 76ers49c487.68$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$247.2844551.2%228 W · 217 L+11.6wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-1.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xabde…d41fbacked 76ers50c485.9$243 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$242.9541947.7%200 W · 219 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc7e5…2d3abacked 76ers50c485$243 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$242.565339.5%258 W · 395 L-24.6wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-10.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf05d…ac5ebacked 76ers50c485$243 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$242.525155%138 W · 113 L+9.4wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+5.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9510…16dfbacked 76ers50c475.48$238 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$237.7430453.3%162 W · 142 L+8.6wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe5af…f9e3backed 76ers50c471$233 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$237.8323446.2%108 W · 126 L-8.0wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-7.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfcd8…9908backed 76ers50c436.5$218 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$218.2522552.4%118 W · 107 L+5.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1690…8c4dbacked 76ers57c434.66$247 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$187.617064.3%45 W · 25 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick65cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x99be…3622backed 76ers50c417.1$209 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$208.558646.5%40 W · 46 L-3.2wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-11.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3edb…aa1ebacked 76ers50c399.64$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$199.824240.5%17 W · 25 L-4.1wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-19.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1733…dc80backed 76ers49c395.67$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$201.7919741.6%82 W · 115 L-4.9wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-10.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc3d8…c0f2backed 76ers50c388$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1947346.6%34 W · 39 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-8.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x51ce…44c1backed 76ers50c388$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19411451.8%59 W · 55 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0efb…016cbacked Wizards51c379.12$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.354852.1%25 W · 23 L0.0wins0.00per pick52cpaid-16.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc991…abd4backed 76ers50c359.34$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$179.6748751.7%252 W · 235 L-1.8wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6b1e…65c1backed 76ers47c353.43$166 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$187.3220856.7%118 W · 90 L+13.7wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+12.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3a51…b2b6backed 76ers50c309.78$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$154.8989853.1%477 W · 421 L+21.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3cc0…1912backed 76ers49c305.88$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1567455.4%41 W · 33 L+4.9wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8bb6…8de2backed 76ers50c298.28$149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$149.146258.1%36 W · 26 L+5.0wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+11.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked 76ers57c275.78$158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.233,34153.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L+108.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdc1c…debbbacked 76ers50c258.99$129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.520443.6%89 W · 115 L-9.2wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-14.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5821…7c51backed 76ers50c243.37$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.6989048.8%434 W · 456 L-1.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2cec…5326backed Wizards50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10068645.5%312 W · 374 L-22.9wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x190f…01f3backed 76ers50c197.01$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.59150.5%46 W · 45 L+0.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0e4a…fcd8backed 76ers50c194$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9725049.6%124 W · 126 L-4.4wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcc30…c8a5backed 76ers50c194$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9725847.3%122 W · 136 L+5.1wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5ba9…4fa1backed 76ers50c190.2$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.115353.6%82 W · 71 L+6.4wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4630…1968backed 76ers50c190.19$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.0912650%63 W · 63 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8510…57e6backed 76ers49c184.8$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.259040%36 W · 54 L-4.3wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-3.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5f39…d603backed 76ers49c183.96$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.8291746.9%430 W · 487 L-19.9wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Wizards51c182.04$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.842,50748.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L+19.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked 76ers44c181.46$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10157550.3%289 W · 286 L+7.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-6.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3e23…9722backed 76ers50c177.03$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.513237.5%12 W · 20 L-4.4wins-0.14per pick51cpaid-25.9%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xc308…c3b9backed 76ers50c175.92$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.9631354.6%171 W · 142 L+10.2wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Wizards51c175.19$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.471,39946.4%649 W · 750 L-13.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf6c4…df5fbacked Wizards51c160$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.848152%250 W · 231 L+13.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+7.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed 76ers36c156.58$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.828,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd226…38b4backed Wizards51c156.19$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.6639448.7%192 W · 202 L-1.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcba6…bb05backed 76ers49c148.72$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.8538853.4%207 W · 181 L+8.8wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Wizards44c147.45$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.085,84446.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L+32.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Wizards51c139.21$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.51,90148.7%925 W · 976 L+6.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Wizards52c136.87$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.13,59150.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L+21.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbc15…3a2ebacked 76ers51c136.85$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.0614144.7%63 W · 78 L-5.3wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-10.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Wizards51c132.09$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.883,55146.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xda29…7907backed 76ers50c124.16$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.0812653.2%67 W · 59 L+0.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Wizards51c124.04$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.641,27747.2%603 W · 674 L-3.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf6c8…a184backed 76ers42c119.48$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.4940440.1%162 W · 242 L+12.4wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-2.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfdc6…b20dbacked 76ers47c118.5$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.2545251.1%231 W · 221 L+1.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa028…0031backed 76ers50c114.71$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.3630654.6%167 W · 139 L+9.6wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0a7c…8964backed 76ers50c113.31$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.6680653.6%432 W · 374 L+16.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x92e1…cec0backed 76ers49c102.01$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.037100%7 W · 0 L+3.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+102.6%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x059b…2e07backed 76ers50c98.94$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.472250%11 W · 11 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-9.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xae1c…3678backed 76ers49c98.92$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.4523840.8%97 W · 141 L-16.0wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-14.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9896…c430backed 76ers50c97.95$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.9817852.2%93 W · 85 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-0.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xd8ef…f7a1backed 76ers50c97$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.510436.5%38 W · 66 L-9.2wins-0.09per pick45cpaid-19.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xbca8…2c1abacked 76ers50c97$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.52568%17 W · 8 L+4.0wins+0.16per pick52cpaid+34.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x0ee1…268bbacked 76ers50c97$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.553453.4%285 W · 249 L+19.0wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x03eb…47b0backed 76ers50c97$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.519851%101 W · 97 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x49dd…a40bbacked Wizards51c95.16$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.5314555.2%80 W · 65 L+9.2wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+9.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x672d…b570backed 76ers50c85.07$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.598746%40 W · 47 L-3.9wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-9.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 27 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.