TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

76ers vs. Wizards

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
76ersof 76ers, Wizards
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$2,440,471
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$2,647,803

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,440,471 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 383 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x1847…d94abacked Wizards0c115,280$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.281643.8%7 W · 9 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick40cpaid-30.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2a2c…9bc1backed Wizards10c80,821$7,938 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,937.6666248.5%321 W · 341 L-0.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xff12…09f9backed Wizards10c61,657$6,388 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,388.2319388.1%170 W · 23 L+48.6wins+0.25per pick63cpaid+46.2%equal weight75+0.22 edge/pick
0xa710…23c4backed Wizards12c59,704$7,113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,113.2932653.1%173 W · 153 L+19.0wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+11.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xbddf…c684backed Wizards9c51,679$4,651 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,651.1572648.3%351 W · 375 L+30.5wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+11%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf668…5c69backed Wizards9c37,169$3,345 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,345.2236359.8%217 W · 146 L+23.7wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+14.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x84db…aeebbacked Wizards10c35,000$3,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,5001,37450.1%689 W · 685 L+34.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6027…4320backed Wizards10c32,550$3,165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,165.529243.8%128 W · 164 L-5.7wins-0.02per pick46cpaid+2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5be5…5741backed Wizards8c29,414$2,353 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,353.1650%0 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Wizards16c25,560$4,130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,129.891,19032%381 W · 809 L-58.1wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-34.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xacb2…b989backed Wizards10c25,000$2,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,50049244.3%218 W · 274 L+11.8wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Wizards10c24,431$2,333 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,333.14,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2f5b…e747backed Wizards9c24,000$2,190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,189.9965939.5%260 W · 399 L-13.1wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed Wizards7c23,785$1,665 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,664.961,21248.3%586 W · 626 L-20.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9438…ad81backed Wizards1c21,048$169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$169.143179.5%30 W · 287 L-4.0wins-0.01per pick11cpaid-59.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8716…bd57backed Wizards10c20,179$2,018 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,017.9341832.8%137 W · 281 L-10.5wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-18.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9557…7136backed Wizards10c19,999$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,999.881020%2 W · 8 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick27cpaid-65.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x498c…42bfbacked Wizards10c18,234$1,888 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,887.8115349%75 W · 78 L-0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x37de…f512backed Wizards8c18,157$1,453 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,452.61,39026%361 W · 1,029 L-5.6wins0.00per pick26cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x47f8…6699backed Wizards8c17,773$1,422 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,421.883354.5%18 W · 15 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid-2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1520…0ddfbacked Wizards9c16,209$1,459 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,458.811963.2%12 W · 7 L+1.9wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+0.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1418…6fefbacked Wizards7c15,600$1,128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,12843438.5%167 W · 267 L-1.9wins0.00per pick39cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9f05…8937backed Wizards7c15,190$1,061 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,061.4247028.1%132 W · 338 L+27.2wins+0.06per pick22cpaid+13.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x3c15…35aebacked Wizards10c15,000$1,450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,45010236.3%37 W · 65 L-8.6wins-0.08per pick45cpaid-25%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x64e9…eb4cbacked Wizards10c15,000$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,50035251.1%180 W · 172 L+8.7wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8980…d4f4backed Wizards10c15,000$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,50021951.1%112 W · 107 L+7.4wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+9.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe9cb…d096backed Wizards16c14,245$2,344 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,343.831,00334.7%348 W · 655 L-44.7wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-35.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Wizards9c13,848$1,216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,215.82,34648.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L-14.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Wizards15c13,222$1,961 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,960.582,04548.4%990 W · 1,055 L-30.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe4fc…8af7backed Wizards7c12,874$910 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$909.9686641.5%359 W · 507 L-2.2wins0.00per pick42cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee3e…4116backed Wizards0c12,120$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$244721.3%10 W · 37 L-5.8wins-0.12per pick34cpaid-64.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x3c59…3887backed Wizards10c11,864$1,156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,156.016126.2%16 W · 45 L-3.2wins-0.05per pick31cpaid-38.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4f85…bd8cbacked Wizards3c10,000$265 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26512957.4%74 W · 55 L+9.4wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+10%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1e10…0cd4backed Wizards10c10,000$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0002740.7%11 W · 16 L+4.0wins+0.15per pick26cpaid-11.4%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x8b9a…5f69backed Wizards0c9,871$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.555213.8%20 W · 501 L+0.6wins0.00per pick4cpaid-36.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4285…cfb5backed Wizards10c9,460$946 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9464658.7%27 W · 19 L+1.8wins+0.04per pick55cpaid-2.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Wizards10c9,460$946 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9462,15351.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L+76.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7595…50ffbacked Wizards8c9,448$756 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$755.8411156.8%63 W · 48 L+8.9wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+18.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x25d8…a71fbacked Wizards8c9,448$756 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$755.8413245.5%60 W · 72 L+3.3wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-22.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Wizards14c9,277$1,289 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,288.513,34153.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L+108.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x35c8…90cbbacked Wizards11c9,163$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,000.145244.2%23 W · 29 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-5.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Wizards15c8,805$1,361 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,361.412,63036.7%966 W · 1,664 L-119.1wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-25.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x67d5…e577backed Wizards10c6,622$662 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$662.2812.5%1 W · 7 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick14cpaid-47.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8768…8b58backed Wizards9c6,294$566 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$566.47333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick27cpaid-14.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Wizards9c6,085$548 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$547.611,90854.5%1,040 W · 868 L+53.7wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Wizards8c5,952$476 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$476.181,78228%499 W · 1,283 L+11.5wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaabb…5554backed Wizards9c5,800$530 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$529.9968944%303 W · 386 L+16.8wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Wizards6c5,557$353 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$353.341,34129.9%401 W · 940 L-53.8wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-35.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x97b1…1f26backed Wizards6c5,489$302 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302.43329.4%3 W · 29 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick13cpaid-72.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1ba2…d212backed Wizards10c5,370$537 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$537.0124841.1%102 W · 146 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-12.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Wizards8c5,255$396 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$395.651,56247.4%741 W · 821 L-6.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4309…7456backed Wizards8c5,085$386 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$385.7361336.1%221 W · 392 L-6.4wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-10%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc34e…a2c4backed Wizards9c5,070$456 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$456.27742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6551…e043backed Wizards11c5,000$550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5504548.9%22 W · 23 L+2.1wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+27%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8f0b…eb6dbacked Wizards10c4,980$498 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$498.0222137.6%83 W · 138 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd287…fe9ebacked Wizards10c4,911$497 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$496.86425%1 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick30cpaid-65.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1df2…89a0backed Wizards7c4,888$332 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$332.1936023.1%83 W · 277 L-15.6wins-0.04per pick27cpaid-49.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4c03…0cc1backed Wizards1c4,861$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.611,60211.8%189 W · 1,413 L-4.8wins0.00per pick12cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbce9…03e9backed Wizards0c4,850$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.28820%0 W · 882 L-6.7wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0258…06d0backed Wizards11c4,763$519 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$518.9911033.6%37 W · 73 L-3.9wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-29.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8000…3a21backed Wizards11c4,733$521 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$520.6325947.5%123 W · 136 L+14.5wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+7.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Wizards7c4,569$324 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$324.451,71544.5%764 W · 951 L-0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid+3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb583…b0b3backed Wizards10c4,375$438 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$437.5223256.9%132 W · 100 L+5.3wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+6.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8285…77c9backed Wizards11c4,360$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$479.640%0 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xda2e…8904backed Wizards10c4,224$422 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$422.399343%40 W · 53 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x26eb…22d0backed Wizards10c4,202$420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$420.1727735%97 W · 180 L-30.7wins-0.11per pick46cpaid-28.4%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xd4da…3175backed Wizards11c4,047$445 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$445.1471547.7%341 W · 374 L-26.9wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-6.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3dd1…9a1fbacked Wizards7c4,047$283 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$283.262352.2%12 W · 11 L+1.2wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1847…75f0backed Wizards9c4,020$362 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$361.79425%1 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick22cpaid+78.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4924…f328backed Wizards10c3,943$394 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$394.2738143%164 W · 217 L+13.4wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0659…0f2bbacked Wizards9c3,782$340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$340.346440.6%26 W · 38 L+3.0wins+0.05per pick36cpaid+0.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3354…5042backed 76ers79c3,652$2,874 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$777.1716959.8%101 W · 68 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick58cpaid-2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb45d…a406backed Wizards1c3,530$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.1927917.9%50 W · 229 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick19cpaid-44.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa1b3…0329backed Wizards14c3,500$490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49013534.1%46 W · 89 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-12.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbf2b…2cd8backed 76ers80c3,474$2,768 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$706.288560%51 W · 34 L+3.0wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+8.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Wizards20c3,310$659 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$658.992,16940.8%885 W · 1,284 L-8.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-14.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcacf…35ffbacked Wizards1c3,260$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.67211%7 W · 714 L-2.6wins0.00per pick1cpaid-32.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5471…a236backed Wizards16c3,187$516 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$515.518942.7%38 W · 51 L+3.1wins+0.03per pick39cpaid-2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Wizards14c3,166$430 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$429.572,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x01f5…5cfbbacked Wizards9c3,073$284 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$283.6816421.3%35 W · 129 L-10.7wins-0.07per pick28cpaid-30.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x4137…586cbacked Wizards7c3,000$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21047043.8%206 W · 264 L-22.2wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-12.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7eb1…fdb2backed Wizards7c3,000$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2101266.7%8 W · 4 L+2.7wins+0.23per pick44cpaid+45.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x9ad1…96cdbacked Wizards7c3,000$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209.991225%3 W · 9 L-1.5wins-0.13per pick38cpaid-57.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2c08…3704backed Wizards10c2,838$284 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$283.84431.8%14 W · 30 L-2.7wins-0.06per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x79cb…331ebacked Wizards1c2,837$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.028783%26 W · 852 L-22.3wins-0.03per pick5cpaid-62%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x21f5…c161backed Wizards11c2,814$307 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$307.3711440.4%46 W · 68 L+5.5wins+0.05per pick36cpaid+21.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x89bd…3f72backed Wizards10c2,804$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$280.4111243.8%49 W · 63 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe156…134bbacked Wizards12c2,763$332 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$331.5211235.7%40 W · 72 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-17.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1f09…9312backed Wizards15c2,531$380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$379.69547.4%45 W · 50 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7b7e…ef88backed Wizards8c2,362$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$188.963423.5%8 W · 26 L-4.0wins-0.12per pick35cpaid-33.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x6076…b218backed Wizards10c2,280$226 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$225.765928.8%17 W · 42 L-3.2wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-24.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4ad3…fb0fbacked Wizards10c2,270$227 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$227.043324.2%8 W · 25 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick27cpaid-45.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Wizards18c2,255$416 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$416.281,75848.7%856 W · 902 L+28.3wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9d72…02d0backed Wizards10c2,250$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$224.99714.3%1 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.08per pick22cpaid-70.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0b45…ac9fbacked Wizards18c2,208$406 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$406.111040%44 W · 66 L+0.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid-15.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3a68…7b56backed 76ers74c2,167$1,603 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$563.348055%44 W · 36 L+0.1wins0.00per pick55cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1acc…8fe0backed Wizards10c2,090$209 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209.0118043.9%79 W · 101 L-9.8wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-19.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x26e9…cd29backed Wizards1c2,082$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.35137.7%1 W · 12 L-0.8wins-0.06per pick14cpaid-86.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4b49…0397backed Wizards7c2,000$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14025641.4%106 W · 150 L-13.6wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-12.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xfcd0…865fbacked Wizards9c2,000$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1802050%10 W · 10 L-1.9wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-22.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 27 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.