TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

76ers vs. Wizards: O/U 239.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$154,401
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$152,571

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $154,401 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 119 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4924…3782backed Over48c42,961$20,620 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22,340.7687451.5%450 W · 424 L+15.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xba38…e406backed Over52c41,260$21,455 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19,804.761457.1%8 W · 6 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+10.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x99e0…5052backed Under52c15,000$7,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,8008839.8%35 W · 53 L-7.0wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-18.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Under51c8,725$4,420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,419.649,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1d3a…7b63backed Under48c8,505$4,083 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,082.5476249.5%377 W · 385 L-8.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa8a1…2974backed Under54c8,013$4,327 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,327.0617331.8%55 W · 118 L-8.0wins-0.05per pick36cpaid-19.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0c84…a8edbacked Under48c8,003$3,841 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,841.2934854%188 W · 160 L+15.4wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under52c7,972$4,146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,145.574,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6323…9feebacked Under48c5,351$2,569 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,568.6614441%59 W · 85 L-12.8wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-15.9%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xbc37…2f65backed Under48c4,473$2,147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,146.8641649.8%207 W · 209 L+1.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Under49c4,081$2,001 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,001.451,91549.3%944 W · 971 L+19.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x78bb…591fbacked Under48c4,015$1,927 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,927.0630446.7%142 W · 162 L-8.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-5.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x412f…ff77backed Under48c3,308$1,588 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,588.061553.3%8 W · 7 L+1.0wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+20.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb6ae…4df8backed Under49c3,145$1,541 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,541.021,04447.5%496 W · 548 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbedb…3b26backed Under53c2,985$1,582 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,581.8116346.6%76 W · 87 L-0.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Over50c2,913$1,468 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,444.422,50748.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L+19.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc95b…f819backed Under48c2,422$1,163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,162.562638.5%10 W · 16 L-3.1wins-0.12per pick50cpaid-23.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1fe7…b777backed Under48c2,410$1,157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,156.8920%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1733…1e15backed Over52c2,238$1,164 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,074.191,15747.9%554 W · 603 L-19.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfea3…d227backed Under50c2,017$1,008 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,008.4315644.9%70 W · 86 L-9.1wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-5.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Over52c1,500$777 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$722.9984150.3%423 W · 418 L+0.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xab2a…30edbacked Under48c1,413$678 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$678.166737.3%25 W · 42 L-9.5wins-0.14per pick51cpaid-27.2%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Over50c1,413$704 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$709.041,90148.7%925 W · 976 L+6.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Over51c1,410$720 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$689.690650.2%455 W · 451 L-0.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Under51c1,083$549 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$549.331,08450%542 W · 542 L+2.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Under51c1,082$550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$549.631,28650.8%653 W · 633 L+11.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x77e8…6854backed Under50c1,044$519 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$519.325635.7%20 W · 36 L-7.3wins-0.13per pick49cpaid-26.8%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xea48…c596backed Over48c1,009$484 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$524.7618444.6%82 W · 102 L-6.3wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x76b4…ca9bbacked Under48c1,000$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48044252.3%231 W · 211 L+12.1wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Under51c952.27$481 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$481.226,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Under51c885.19$451 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$451.451,90854.5%1,040 W · 868 L+53.7wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under51c825.18$423 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$422.984,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe53c…ee05backed Under49c803.22$394 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$393.584032.5%13 W · 27 L-6.9wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-34.7%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x3704…0e84backed Under48c794.15$381 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$381.1925951.4%133 W · 126 L+3.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xfcf4…66bbbacked Over47c770.25$362 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$408.235538.2%21 W · 34 L-5.7wins-0.10per pick48cpaid-27.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe414…c341backed Over51c707.54$363 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$344.8581349.4%402 W · 411 L+5.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under49c586.42$288 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$288.372,34648.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L-14.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2373…a1f3backed Under50c574.48$287 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$287.2456447.9%270 W · 294 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under52c553.93$288 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$288.041,27747.2%603 W · 674 L-3.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over60c527.88$315 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$212.988,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Under51c500.16$257 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$256.8693543.6%408 W · 527 L-32.6wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-11.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8314…0f1ebacked Under53c497.91$264 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$263.8933150.8%168 W · 163 L+1.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6a97…72ebbacked Under49c450.34$222 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$222.335048%24 W · 26 L+0.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Over48c433.4$208 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$225.171,43347.2%676 W · 757 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb68b…9b23backed Under45c384.55$173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$173.056556.9%37 W · 28 L+4.0wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+14.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9348…8cfbbacked Over53c366.7$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$172.4514243%61 W · 81 L-7.8wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-16.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x09f4…dac0backed Under48c357.49$172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$171.5916946.7%79 W · 90 L-3.9wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1030…dd7abacked Under49c351.42$174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$173.8513349.6%66 W · 67 L+0.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Under48c302.75$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.322,73646.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L-67.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3dd1…2812backed Under54c291.72$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157.536339.7%25 W · 38 L-2.8wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-23.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd809…6542backed Over51c257.57$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.0871654.1%387 W · 329 L+21.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+2.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xff79…a52abacked Over50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1004445.5%20 W · 24 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick47cpaid+2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4efc…6391backed Over50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1005853.4%31 W · 27 L+2.8wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+7.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x450b…11d7backed Under49c197.84$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.9452146.6%243 W · 278 L-14.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x292e…172cbacked Under49c197.84$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.9443447.5%206 W · 228 L-8.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Under48c197.61$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.172,40043.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L-82.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3ac2…e183backed Under50c194$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$974057.5%23 W · 17 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe193…466ebacked Over50c191.83$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.912646.2%12 W · 14 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-10.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under52c186.41$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.781,39946.4%649 W · 750 L-13.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x59ce…6f07backed Under48c180$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.421347.9%102 W · 111 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Over59c163.05$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.1657550.3%289 W · 286 L+7.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-6.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd51e…ac0cbacked Under50c155.45$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.7251647.5%245 W · 271 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-10%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Under48c146$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.082,75350.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L+47.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5f39…d603backed Under51c145.02$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.7491746.9%430 W · 487 L-19.9wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Under36c144.49$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.763,55146.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd17a…0373backed Under51c131.03$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.8342853%227 W · 201 L+7.8wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf433…2464backed Under49c118.7$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.1614444.4%64 W · 80 L-10.5wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-14.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb50d…81debacked Over49c118.7$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.542259.1%13 W · 9 L+1.9wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+16.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8632…4696backed Over51c118.48$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.0555347.9%265 W · 288 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x04b7…7491backed Over52c105$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.410955%60 W · 49 L+6.2wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+11.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0547…fb35backed Under48c100$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4863353.1%336 W · 297 L-2.7wins0.00per pick54cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0ee1…268bbacked Over49c98.92$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.4553453.4%285 W · 249 L+19.0wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf91a…4ea7backed Over48c98.9$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.432231.8%7 W · 15 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-20.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7096…7f78backed Over50c95.16$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.1165349.9%326 W · 327 L+20.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd121…50c8backed Under51c95.16$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.5318552.4%97 W · 88 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe964…6519backed Under53c90.74$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.0913052.3%68 W · 62 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6203…5544backed Over50c86.93$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.47250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3cc0…1912backed Over49c77.97$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.647455.4%41 W · 33 L+4.9wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x28ad…9805backed Under47c68.77$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.3222942.8%98 W · 131 L-9.4wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-11.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Over56c68.15$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.992,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8f8d…1a96backed Over49c64.07$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.959445.7%43 W · 51 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x86bc…efbcbacked Under54c58.34$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.513046.7%14 W · 16 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-25.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x387b…fd56backed Under49c55.87$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.426145.9%28 W · 33 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-7.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x73d6…09edbacked Under53c55.01$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.1510047%47 W · 53 L-8.4wins-0.08per pick55cpaid-16.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Under48c53$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.273,59150.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L+21.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x622b…5a4abacked Over46c52.2$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.1910940.4%44 W · 65 L-4.9wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-10.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2cec…5326backed Under47c50$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.568645.5%312 W · 374 L-22.9wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x02bc…1fd2backed Under53c50$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.516141.6%67 W · 94 L-11.3wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-18.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf8f3…8279backed Over48c49.98$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.991625%4 W · 12 L-2.7wins-0.17per pick42cpaid-12.7%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x3b96…7701backed Under53c48.59$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.755343.4%23 W · 30 L-3.9wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-14.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x06e7…3acabacked Under50c48.5$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.2557051.9%296 W · 274 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee5c…2775backed Under53c48.46$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.691520%3 W · 12 L-3.5wins-0.23per pick43cpaid-68.5%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x6313…a6bdbacked Over48c48.44$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.195457.4%31 W · 23 L+3.8wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+13.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9816…8ff4backed Under49c45.5$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.36558.5%38 W · 27 L+3.2wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+10.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x523e…3128backed Under55c44.23$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.333948.7%19 W · 20 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-15.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2528…b77dbacked Under53c43.78$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.361,04851.7%542 W · 506 L+7.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x066f…b576backed Over48c42.04$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.051,63448.1%786 W · 848 L+5.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7239…4389backed Over47c41.57$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.0343750.1%219 W · 218 L-1.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xad9d…9b95backed Under51c41.48$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.1527548.7%134 W · 141 L+1.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid+5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x86da…401cbacked Under51c38.9$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.756544.6%29 W · 36 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-9.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 27 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.