TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

76ers vs. Wizards: O/U 240.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$129,485
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$120,482

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $129,485 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 103 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xa8a1…2974backed Under56c64,763$36,119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36,118.8717331.8%55 W · 118 L-8.0wins-0.05per pick36cpaid-19.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Over44c57,369$25,459 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31,909.939,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbedb…3b26backed Under56c9,988$5,593 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,593.3116346.6%76 W · 87 L-0.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x25c2…cd02backed Under56c7,984$4,471 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,470.7712954.3%70 W · 59 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-11.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under55c6,781$3,730 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,729.734,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Over44c5,480$2,416 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,063.721,08450%542 W · 542 L+2.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Over44c5,479$2,417 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,062.0690650.2%455 W · 451 L-0.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Over44c5,476$2,416 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,059.471,28650.8%653 W · 633 L+11.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x033d…fd1ebacked Under56c4,694$2,619 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,619.0110252%53 W · 49 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-6.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x116c…e162backed Over44c3,684$1,621 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,063.0721350.7%108 W · 105 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Under32c3,604$1,143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,142.793,66841.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L-70.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5fea…78b1backed Under21c2,918$604 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$603.6826337.3%98 W · 165 L-1.0wins0.00per pick38cpaid-20.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd809…6542backed Over44c1,275$561 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$713.8671654.1%387 W · 329 L+21.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+2.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2e6c…e09cbacked Over44c1,098$483 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$614.5559250.2%297 W · 295 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x096a…0074backed Over44c1,045$459 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$585.813040%12 W · 18 L-2.8wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-14.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Over44c926.76$407 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$519.656,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6a97…72ebbacked Over44c893.37$393 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$500.295048%24 W · 26 L+0.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2373…a1f3backed Over44c893.37$393 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$500.2956447.9%270 W · 294 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Over44c854.72$380 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$475.191,43347.2%676 W · 757 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x39fc…e2f2backed Under20c789.63$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157.9334255.6%190 W · 152 L+28.2wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+36%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x1030…dd7abacked Over44c783.55$345 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$438.7913349.6%66 W · 67 L+0.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x55ab…4f88backed Under20c696.26$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.2521848.2%105 W · 113 L+11.0wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+0.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Over44c646.53$286 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$360.361,39946.4%649 W · 750 L-13.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Over44c639.96$282 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$357.861,27747.2%603 W · 674 L-3.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Over44c627.48$276 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$351.392,50748.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L+19.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9a6b…d10abacked Over44c603.03$265 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$337.71421.4%3 W · 11 L-4.3wins-0.31per pick52cpaid-60.9%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x363e…ae45backed Under19c580.8$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.165152.9%27 W · 24 L+5.4wins+0.10per pick42cpaid+18.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd51e…ac0cbacked Over44c577.47$254 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$323.3851647.5%245 W · 271 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-10%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7096…7f78backed Over44c557.62$246 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$311.4865349.9%326 W · 327 L+20.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc1b5…c8f8backed Over44c549.09$242 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$307.4939552.2%206 W · 189 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Over44c542.78$239 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$303.834,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x551c…fe91backed Under20c523.6$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.7227463.5%174 W · 100 L+34.8wins+0.13per pick51cpaid+19.1%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x2528…b77dbacked Over45c508.43$228 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$279.961,04851.7%542 W · 506 L+7.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6597…df88backed Under53c507.26$269 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$268.85742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.10per pick53cpaid-21.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0dad…4855backed Under55c500$275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2758951.7%46 W · 43 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d08…2142backed Over78c430.41$338 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.6265872.8%479 W · 179 L+46.1wins+0.07per pick66cpaid+9.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xafaf…1635backed Under19c415.87$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.631,03647.6%493 W · 543 L+6.7wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2c23…9d76backed Under57c389.68$222 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$222.121952.6%10 W · 9 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-15.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x718d…2b46backed Under56c347.71$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.7246346.4%215 W · 248 L-16.8wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-11.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd18b…876dbacked Under56c335.37$188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$187.8111356.6%64 W · 49 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5f39…d603backed Over44c287.77$127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$161.1591746.9%430 W · 487 L-19.9wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3ca4…aa92backed Under56c250$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14011157.7%64 W · 47 L+5.2wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+8.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Over44c250$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1405,84446.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L+32.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Over56c236.78$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.121,11341.6%463 W · 650 L-10.0wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-17.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe6a3…04bebacked Over45c214.89$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.1935052.6%184 W · 166 L+6.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Under27c201.89$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.233,55146.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x40d2…312fbacked Over44c199.98$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.9928852.1%150 W · 138 L+1.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid+2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbf9c…3648backed Over44c186.17$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.2525150.6%127 W · 124 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+7.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa8f3…e544backed Over56c179.99$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.278652.4%412 W · 374 L+14.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1489…9924backed Over44c178.78$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.1219348.2%93 W · 100 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+7.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1ec4…defabacked Over44c175.71$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.482440.4%333 W · 491 L+6.1wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x186e…3ba3backed Under56c173.86$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.362454.2%13 W · 11 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick58cpaid-4.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7521…c083backed Under58c168.07$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.484734%16 W · 31 L-6.0wins-0.13per pick47cpaid-30.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x5016…ada1backed Over45c164.39$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.4129352.9%155 W · 138 L+0.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6932…6878backed Over44c160$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.622453.1%119 W · 105 L+29.4wins+0.13per pick40cpaid+29.6%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x299f…2140backed Over44c150.14$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.081,14148%548 W · 593 L+9.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed Under55c149.97$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.4944740.7%182 W · 265 L-27.5wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-9.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x26dd…0249backed Over44c138.2$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.3941449.3%204 W · 210 L+5.0wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x82de…1337backed Over44c138.2$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.3944551.2%228 W · 217 L+11.6wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-1.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8632…4696backed Over44c137.52$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.0155347.9%265 W · 288 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa975…42eebacked Under49c122.38$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.9753348.4%258 W · 275 L-8.5wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Under56c110.25$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6293543.6%408 W · 527 L-32.6wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-11.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x06e7…3acabacked Over44c109.82$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.557051.9%296 W · 274 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3cc0…1912backed Over44c109.81$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.497455.4%41 W · 33 L+4.9wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9696…2bc3backed Over44c100$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5633949.9%169 W · 170 L-1.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2b78…c6b5backed Over44c96.39$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.551,19748.9%585 W · 612 L-14.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Over47c92.94$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.262,40043.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L-82.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Over52c91.83$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.083,59150.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L+21.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x97a8…078dbacked Over44c91.37$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.8323048.7%112 W · 118 L-10.4wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-10.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3437…1e5ebacked Over44c87.85$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.213447%63 W · 71 L+0.6wins0.00per pick47cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x227d…8719backed Under57c85.46$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.713863.2%24 W · 14 L-2.6wins-0.07per pick70cpaid-13.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Over61c76.74$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.6957550.3%289 W · 286 L+7.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-6.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x377f…c787backed Over45c75.06$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.593100%3 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+106.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x066f…b576backed Over45c74.31$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.871,63448.1%786 W · 848 L+5.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0044…cb2cbacked Under22c63.83$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.1912227%33 W · 89 L-0.5wins0.00per pick27cpaid-20.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Under21c62$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.771,17050.3%588 W · 582 L+46.8wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+0.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb390…642bbacked Under50c60$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301,66150.3%836 W · 825 L-14.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9b89…99e2backed Over44c55.26$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.9550948.5%247 W · 262 L+2.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x36b3…e421backed Over44c54.13$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.1635546.5%165 W · 190 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9ff7…9ab6backed Over45c53.63$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.5245460.4%274 W · 180 L+21.6wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+8.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5f22…0fb4backed Over44c52.71$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.5237853.4%202 W · 176 L+13.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc55d…405abacked Over44c43.64$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.3115459.7%92 W · 62 L+6.7wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+4.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb5ed…96e1backed Over45c42.98$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.645251.9%27 W · 25 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x387b…fd56backed Over44c42.45$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.66145.9%28 W · 33 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-7.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9e13…b909backed Under57c38.97$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.215048%24 W · 26 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x65af…df77backed Under50c38.8$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.412147.9%58 W · 63 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-8.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc450…2eaabacked Under56c34.9$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.471758.8%10 W · 7 L+1.1wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc7c8…44f7backed Under56c34.48$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.481553.3%8 W · 7 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick50cpaid-8.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0095…42c1backed Under57c34.18$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.4821952.5%115 W · 104 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x16ea…9400backed Under56c33.7$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.871,32249.9%660 W · 662 L+13.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe824…65b4backed Over44c33.63$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.8352552%273 W · 252 L+10.0wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x14e4…eabbbacked Over44c33.51$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.7693145.8%426 W · 505 L-25.4wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe525…2b17backed Under57c33.37$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1920%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xfb95…a5ccbacked Over44c30$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.824442.6%104 W · 140 L-17.8wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-16.1%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x117d…6542backed Under58c28.65$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.5756454.3%306 W · 258 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4acd…66d4backed Over44c27.6$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.466154.1%33 W · 28 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc978…706bbacked Over44c27.16$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.2131953%169 W · 150 L+11.5wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+8.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8fa7…d4febacked Under56c26.08$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.610850.9%55 W · 53 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Over44c25.92$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.561,90148.7%925 W · 976 L+6.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over46c24.48$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.218,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 27 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.