TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

76ers vs. Wizards: 1H Moneyline

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
76ersof 76ers, Wizards
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,156
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,493

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,156 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 12 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x1b44…d8debacked 76ers46c100$46 inWon+$5476653.5%410 W · 356 L+65.5wins+0.09per pick45cpaid+15.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Wizards78c90.77$71 inLost-$70.551,75848.7%856 W · 902 L+28.3wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x71bc…5734backed 76ers35c90.08$31 inWon+$58.581330.8%4 W · 9 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-18.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked 76ers66c76$50 inWon+$261,17050.3%588 W · 582 L+46.8wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+0.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3fcb…f5ebbacked Wizards34c66$23 inLost-$22.636248.1%174 W · 188 L+6.8wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x755a…6da6backed Wizards24c57.22$14 inLost-$13.7345542.4%193 W · 262 L-0.7wins0.00per pick43cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Wizards25c48.74$12 inLost-$12.191,27138.3%487 W · 784 L-13.4wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8afa…28f0backed Wizards53c34.01$18 inLost-$17.9340750.6%206 W · 201 L+10.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x55e7…4fb9backed 76ers50c28.17$14 inWon+$14.096261.3%38 W · 24 L+6.9wins+0.11per pick50cpaid+22.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x2920…c86cbacked Wizards64c20$13 inLost-$12.8250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-15.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7baa…03b7backed 76ers60c17.25$10 inWon+$6.9833159.2%196 W · 135 L+10.5wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+4.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0a3a…f788backed 76ers76c16.47$13 inWon+$3.95944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.10per pick54cpaid-23.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 27 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.