TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spread: 76ers (-13.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
76ersof 76ers, Wizards
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$130,421
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$155,239

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $130,421 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 107 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x0eb7…1f17backed 76ers56c22,968$12,764 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,204.0642348%203 W · 220 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-15%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6a32…0086backed 76ers51c18,204$9,198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,006.11,33251.2%682 W · 650 L+7.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ade…f5b0backed 76ers53c11,997$6,358 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,638.441,55652.8%822 W · 734 L+40.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+10.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xacb2…b989backed Wizards48c10,000$4,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,799.9849244.3%218 W · 274 L+11.8wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Wizards45c9,944$4,469 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,469.312,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfbf3…b218backed Wizards46c9,609$4,420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,420.2529245.5%133 W · 159 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Wizards50c9,430$4,715 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,7151,91054.3%1,038 W · 872 L+25.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbb15…0f02backed 76ers52c9,338$4,856 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,482.4616640.4%67 W · 99 L-14.6wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-18.7%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Wizards44c6,618$2,881 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,880.821,28243.4%557 W · 725 L-51.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-12.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Wizards49c4,193$2,044 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,044.24,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked 76ers52c3,534$1,828 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,705.849,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbb6f…2653backed Wizards48c2,500$1,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,20016249.4%80 W · 82 L-0.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Wizards49c2,278$1,117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,116.931,91549.3%944 W · 971 L+19.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xafaf…1635backed Wizards46c2,216$1,026 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,026.371,03647.6%493 W · 543 L+6.7wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6da6…7d01backed Wizards47c2,060$968 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$968.28647.7%41 W · 45 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9ce0…f955backed Wizards51c1,922$980 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$980.113850%19 W · 19 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf9b5…09eebacked Wizards50c1,830$915 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$915.13847.4%18 W · 20 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-7.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb6ae…4df8backed Wizards49c1,805$884 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$884.451,04447.5%496 W · 548 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x001a…1fb9backed Wizards47c1,523$716 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$715.9831643.4%137 W · 179 L-18.0wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-12%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x387b…fd56backed Wizards1c1,349$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.496145.9%28 W · 33 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-7.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Wizards48c1,242$595 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$594.961,90148.7%925 W · 976 L+6.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5c18…c208backed 76ers53c944.25$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$443.811253.6%60 W · 52 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbd38…99d4backed 76ers52c933.85$486 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$448.2525657%146 W · 110 L+9.3wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+5.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1690…8c4dbacked 76ers64c815.33$522 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$293.527064.3%45 W · 25 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick65cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Wizards58c661.48$381 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$380.538,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc991…abd4backed 76ers32c609.3$197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$412.5548751.7%252 W · 235 L-1.8wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf405…9df2backed 76ers65c607.19$392 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$215.5443269.2%299 W · 133 L+10.7wins+0.02per pick67cpaid+2.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xcd66…664fbacked 76ers55c535$292 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$243.188763.2%55 W · 32 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+6.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Wizards46c500$231 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23193543.6%408 W · 527 L-32.6wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-11.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed Wizards46c499.94$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$229.9744740.7%182 W · 265 L-27.5wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-9.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xd6f6…6d85backed 76ers52c466.92$243 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$224.1215252%79 W · 73 L-5.9wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-12.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xaacb…45d7backed 76ers53c438.01$232 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$205.861010%1 W · 9 L-2.3wins-0.23per pick33cpaid-81.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5741…fb99backed 76ers55c394.45$216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$178.4710945.9%50 W · 59 L-3.5wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-16.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2f1d…7ff3backed 76ers54c393.93$214 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$179.9610753.3%57 W · 50 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Wizards45c350$157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157.51,27747.2%603 W · 674 L-3.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x30db…44e1backed 76ers52c344.78$179 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$165.4934953%185 W · 164 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb442…bed7backed 76ers52c336.18$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$161.3712652.4%66 W · 60 L-0.5wins0.00per pick53cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeab6…d4c6backed Wizards20c294$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.822140.7%90 W · 131 L+0.7wins0.00per pick40cpaid-7.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Wizards49c250.71$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.851,43347.2%676 W · 757 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x06d0…7ee5backed Wizards50c241$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.55040%20 W · 30 L-4.7wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-22.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8521…df10backed 76ers52c208.81$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.2318534.1%63 W · 122 L-4.2wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-18.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0e4c…c962backed 76ers53c200$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$942147.6%10 W · 11 L-2.5wins-0.12per pick60cpaid-19.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Wizards48c197.99$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.552,40043.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L-82.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbca8…2c1abacked 76ers34c197.72$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131.292568%17 W · 8 L+4.0wins+0.16per pick52cpaid+34.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x5a5c…0fc2backed 76ers52c196.99$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.9910255.9%57 W · 45 L+2.9wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xaf0e…3197backed 76ers55c194.6$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.5761957.5%356 W · 263 L+21.6wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+5.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdcc0…6872backed Wizards46c145$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.721743.8%95 W · 122 L-14.2wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-11.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Wizards48c141.8$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.23,55146.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8a3b…5fa5backed 76ers55c141.53$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.6910850%54 W · 54 L-8.6wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-15.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x52f2…5a5dbacked 76ers55c137.49$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.8717547.4%83 W · 92 L-13.3wins-0.08per pick55cpaid-14.8%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x60fe…f286backed Wizards51c125.91$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.2110745.8%49 W · 58 L-4.5wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-8.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa900…5acebacked Wizards26c119.96$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.1911538.3%44 W · 71 L+3.1wins+0.03per pick36cpaid-9.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb870…5a8abacked Wizards43c114.47$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.2291846.2%424 W · 494 L+1.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2528…b77dbacked 76ers53c104.01$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$491,04851.7%542 W · 506 L+7.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd71a…67f5backed 76ers26c100$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7414959.7%89 W · 60 L+6.1wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+22%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd1f1…3fd9backed 76ers49c99.88$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.425147.1%24 W · 27 L+0.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x61af…aa01backed 76ers54c97.24$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.7338464.3%247 W · 137 L+5.5wins+0.01per pick63cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdd4e…1483backed 76ers52c93.38$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.822860.7%17 W · 11 L+2.4wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+17.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x480e…90c7backed 76ers55c91.67$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.5715446.8%72 W · 82 L-12.0wins-0.08per pick55cpaid-15.8%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x263f…c744backed 76ers52c85.77$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.1710357.3%59 W · 44 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9013…e7e0backed 76ers64c82.08$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.5540344.4%179 W · 224 L-23.9wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-13.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xedf7…8f79backed Wizards46c79.74$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.681,39348.3%673 W · 720 L+19.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc61a…9544backed 76ers62c78.48$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.6230358.7%178 W · 125 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Wizards48c77.62$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.615,84446.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L+32.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb3cf…0ebdbacked 76ers36c67.18$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$431,27138.3%487 W · 784 L-13.4wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5825…4ffbbacked 76ers36c67.18$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4320349.3%100 W · 103 L-0.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8afa…28f0backed Wizards50c62.33$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.1740750.6%206 W · 201 L+10.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0fde…0258backed Wizards50c61.79$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.1749247.2%232 W · 260 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8632…4696backed 76ers49c61.74$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.4955347.9%265 W · 288 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb390…642bbacked 76ers51c59.97$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.391,66150.3%836 W · 825 L-14.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x75dc…4f82backed Wizards55c59.87$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.9355751.9%289 W · 268 L+1.8wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6fbd…b8d3backed 76ers53c54.18$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.3767248.8%328 W · 344 L-10.0wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0bc4…07e7backed 76ers37c52.01$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.774742.6%20 W · 27 L0.0wins0.00per pick43cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa877…2e20backed 76ers54c50.56$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.2649852.6%262 W · 236 L+15.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe50b…c2a8backed 76ers52c50$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2465855.6%366 W · 292 L+27.0wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+11.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2a9e…f670backed 76ers53c48.59$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.8411345.1%51 W · 62 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x26a8…9a6cbacked 76ers54c46.92$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.73250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.20per pick30cpaid-6.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7096…7f78backed Wizards52c45.4$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.4565349.9%326 W · 327 L+20.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3cc0…1912backed 76ers51c42.85$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.997455.4%41 W · 33 L+4.9wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed 76ers50c42.47$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.281,08450%542 W · 542 L+2.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed 76ers50c42.47$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.281,28650.8%653 W · 633 L+11.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4f19…db92backed Wizards51c38.06$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.417460.8%45 W · 29 L+4.9wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+12%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x71df…0e22backed Wizards56c35.96$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.9760%0 W · 6 L-2.7wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xa8a4…78a2backed Wizards48c35.54$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.065152.9%27 W · 24 L+3.1wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+9.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd809…6542backed Wizards61c33.5$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.5671654.1%387 W · 329 L+21.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+2.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4624…ec09backed 76ers39c33.41$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.471662.5%10 W · 6 L+1.9wins+0.12per pick51cpaid+27.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xec56…1259backed Wizards51c33.15$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.919345.2%42 W · 51 L-2.7wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-12.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Wizards36c31.5$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.3432654.6%178 W · 148 L+22.0wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+5.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9bd9…084fbacked Wizards43c30.75$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.2237753.8%203 W · 174 L+12.0wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+3.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x117d…6542backed 76ers54c30.61$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.0856454.3%306 W · 258 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9dbf…3ef8backed Wizards46c30$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.84936.7%18 W · 31 L-5.7wins-0.12per pick48cpaid-23.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x23cc…4f5abacked Wizards47c29.99$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.118157.5%104 W · 77 L+21.1wins+0.12per pick46cpaid+24.3%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x46d3…2c20backed 76ers53c27.68$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.1133251.2%170 W · 162 L-0.5wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6075…2f82backed Wizards65c27.41$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.821963.2%12 W · 7 L+2.2wins+0.12per pick52cpaid+26.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf68b…385fbacked 76ers52c24.99$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122055%11 W · 9 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x835c…8e3bbacked Wizards51c24.84$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.676040%24 W · 36 L-6.7wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-24.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x6d63…0b78backed 76ers54c24.35$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.213253.8%71 W · 61 L+0.5wins0.00per pick53cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x89b9…118ebacked 76ers64c23.48$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.4571752%373 W · 344 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x239d…daebbacked Wizards50c23.26$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.6311242.9%48 W · 64 L-7.0wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-13.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Wizards46c23.19$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.581,28323.4%300 W · 983 L-178.2wins-0.14per pick37cpaid-40.2%equal weight35-0.14 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 27 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.