TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

76ers vs. Wizards: O/U 238.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$486,358
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$484,998

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $486,358 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 138 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4924…3782backed Over51c291,459$148,550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142,909.6687451.5%450 W · 424 L+15.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2a2c…9bc1backed Under49c99,833$48,918 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48,918.266248.5%321 W · 341 L-0.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Under50c74,839$37,478 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37,477.79,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under49c47,310$23,173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23,173.354,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Under49c31,238$15,307 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,306.691,91549.3%944 W · 971 L+19.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ade…f5b0backed Over49c29,958$14,680 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,278.51,55652.8%822 W · 734 L+40.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+10.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xafba…e61bbacked Over49c27,103$13,280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,822.2947848.1%230 W · 248 L-9.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb6ae…4df8backed Under49c25,025$12,262 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,262.251,04447.5%496 W · 548 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e77…8c33backed Over50c9,886$4,943 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,942.8815952.8%84 W · 75 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Under52c8,895$4,598 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,597.971,91054.3%1,038 W · 872 L+25.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfea3…d227backed Under48c8,034$3,856 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,856.4215644.9%70 W · 86 L-9.1wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-5.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8aba…4961backed Under50c6,742$3,371 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,370.97150.7%36 W · 35 L+3.6wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+22.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf1ef…8cd6backed Under49c6,000$2,940 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,94043348.5%210 W · 223 L+11.0wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+6.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4244…03a6backed Under50c5,626$2,813 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,81318349.2%90 W · 93 L-0.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Under51c4,784$2,421 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,421.4790650.2%455 W · 451 L-0.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x20d6…3856backed Under49c4,302$2,108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,107.9139842.5%169 W · 229 L-9.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-0.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under50c4,152$2,078 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,077.514,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4108…9e22backed Under49c4,036$1,978 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,977.585036%18 W · 32 L-2.1wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-20.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xca40…83f6backed Under49c4,000$1,960 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,96012945.7%59 W · 70 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-10.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0258…06d0backed Over52c3,989$2,064 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,925.711033.6%37 W · 73 L-3.9wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-29.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Under51c3,986$2,017 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,016.841,08450%542 W · 542 L+2.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Under51c3,986$2,017 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,016.841,28650.8%653 W · 633 L+11.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x61e8…b283backed Under49c3,896$1,909 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,909.1314940.9%61 W · 88 L-11.6wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-16.1%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xd04d…bfc2backed Under49c3,676$1,801 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,801.242,43549.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L+30.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbedb…3b26backed Under51c2,982$1,521 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,520.7516346.6%76 W · 87 L-0.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Under50c2,355$1,180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,179.596,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2ec7…db02backed Under49c2,236$1,095 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,095.421735.3%6 W · 11 L-2.4wins-0.14per pick49cpaid-27.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x78bb…591fbacked Under49c2,194$1,075 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,075.0130446.7%142 W · 162 L-8.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-5.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0bfc…6762backed Under49c2,011$995 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$995.241931.6%6 W · 13 L-2.7wins-0.14per pick46cpaid-35.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5628…abbcbacked Under51c1,969$1,004 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,004.3787049.3%429 W · 441 L+1.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbc37…2f65backed Under49c1,939$950 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$950.0141649.8%207 W · 209 L+1.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x001a…1fb9backed Under49c1,881$922 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$921.5131643.4%137 W · 179 L-18.0wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-12%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xfc38…1e98backed Under50c1,816$902 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$901.815341.5%22 W · 31 L-5.2wins-0.10per pick51cpaid-19.4%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x3673…2d13backed Under50c1,218$603 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$602.957143.7%31 W · 40 L-4.0wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-12.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over50c1,185$593 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$592.192,34648.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L-14.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3704…0e84backed Under50c1,106$553 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55325951.4%133 W · 126 L+3.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under49c1,002$491 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$490.985,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd809…6542backed Under50c956.61$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$480.0271654.1%387 W · 329 L+21.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+2.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf1ad…6979backed Over50c801.57$401 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$400.7857650%288 W · 288 L+1.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x64db…325bbacked Over50c800$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4001,25948.7%613 W · 646 L+1.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x20ea…1b1abacked Under49c791.35$388 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$387.763444.1%15 W · 19 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7096…7f78backed Under50c679.23$340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$340.3565349.9%326 W · 327 L+20.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Under49c571.92$282 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$281.5693543.6%408 W · 527 L-32.6wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-11.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under49c506.3$248 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$248.092,15351.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L+76.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1ab2…8fdabacked Under50c471.51$236 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$235.7119745.2%89 W · 108 L-7.8wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-7.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Under50c456.32$229 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$229.241,43347.2%676 W · 757 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5f39…d603backed Under50c445.51$224 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$224.1791746.9%430 W · 487 L-19.9wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under49c394.4$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192.321,90148.7%925 W · 976 L+6.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2528…b77dbacked Under51c380.54$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.91,04851.7%542 W · 506 L+7.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Over50c360.48$179 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$181.371,27747.2%603 W · 674 L-3.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xec56…dd09backed Under49c300$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14728348.8%138 W · 145 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb307…be4abacked Over49c300$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15318842.6%80 W · 108 L-4.9wins-0.03per pick45cpaid+2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc58a…b8f8backed Under51c280.03$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.6721550.2%108 W · 107 L-0.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Under46c266.64$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.652,73646.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L-67.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xcc30…c8a5backed Over51c266.44$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130.5625847.3%122 W · 136 L+5.1wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Under47c243.66$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.972,40043.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L-82.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5316…1d07backed Under49c200$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9819435.1%68 W · 126 L-10.4wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-13.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x85a7…d9f3backed Under49c197.84$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.9413345.9%61 W · 72 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x412f…30fabacked Over50c196.95$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.4735744.3%158 W · 199 L+1.5wins0.00per pick44cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9b97…6084backed Over55c194.6$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.5744345.1%200 W · 243 L+2.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid-5.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x0152…b455backed Under50c194.08$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9766046.4%306 W · 354 L-21.9wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe6a3…04bebacked Under50c194$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9735052.6%184 W · 166 L+6.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8632…4696backed Under49c190.87$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.5355347.9%265 W · 288 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7b8c…31c3backed Under49c188.92$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.5713541.5%56 W · 79 L-7.3wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-16.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xafaf…1635backed Under49c187.7$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.661,03647.6%493 W · 543 L+6.7wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd51e…ac0cbacked Under51c181.81$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.5951647.5%245 W · 271 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-10%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Over49c175.31$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.571,39946.4%649 W · 750 L-13.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Over52c159.97$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.622,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Over49c145.45$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.184,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x92cf…8b35backed Over50c135.8$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.91,11052%577 W · 533 L+8.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6fbd…b8d3backed Over49c132.2$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.9367248.8%328 W · 344 L-10.0wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0a7c…8964backed Over52c123.69$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.3780653.6%432 W · 374 L+16.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2b78…c6b5backed Under50c121.74$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.331,19748.9%585 W · 612 L-14.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0056…a7f7backed Under49c109.41$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.6160945.8%279 W · 330 L-17.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2d87…4e0dbacked Under50c107.67$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.8434247.7%163 W · 179 L-8.5wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf8f3…8279backed Under49c100$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$491625%4 W · 12 L-2.7wins-0.17per pick42cpaid-12.7%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xea74…cf99backed Under47c99.92$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.9653339.6%211 W · 322 L-39.9wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-17.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe11c…c7f7backed Over51c98.96$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.499260.9%56 W · 36 L+10.3wins+0.11per pick50cpaid+22.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xd1f1…3fd9backed Under50c97$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.55147.1%24 W · 27 L+0.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0ee1…268bbacked Over50c96.85$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.3553453.4%285 W · 249 L+19.0wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x92e1…cec0backed Over51c95.16$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.637100%7 W · 0 L+3.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+102.6%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xb988…f50fbacked Over52c93.67$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.136960.9%42 W · 27 L+6.1wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+15.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xae1c…3678backed Over50c88.1$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.0523840.8%97 W · 141 L-16.0wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-14.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1030…dd7abacked Under52c82.11$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.713349.6%66 W · 67 L+0.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9ff7…9ab6backed Under50c75.97$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.3645460.4%274 W · 180 L+21.6wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+8.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd155…8250backed Under49c75$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.7548852%254 W · 234 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x62ff…ec56backed Under49c75$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.7525245.2%114 W · 138 L-11.7wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-15.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x015d…7bc7backed Over54c70.71$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.536553.8%35 W · 30 L+2.7wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xee62…bc6abacked Over50c69$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.526745.3%121 W · 146 L-7.8wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-5.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x993b…ecfbbacked Over49c68.92$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.367142.3%30 W · 41 L-3.0wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-9.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x46d3…2c20backed Over49c68.67$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.7333251.2%170 W · 162 L-0.5wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Under45c63$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.543,59150.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L+21.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x30ab…f338backed Over50c62.62$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.3127350.2%137 W · 136 L-0.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid+3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe626…839ebacked Over50c61.77$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.882744.4%12 W · 15 L-1.2wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-11.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x16ea…9400backed Over50c60.11$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.171,32249.9%660 W · 662 L+13.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Over51c56.29$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.62,50748.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L+19.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd589…27c2backed Over52c55.51$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.6517637.5%66 W · 110 L-16.3wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-20.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x05d3…c06abacked Over53c55.48$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.081,57353.4%840 W · 733 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xefcb…f64abacked Under47c51.33$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.364332.6%14 W · 29 L-7.2wins-0.17per pick49cpaid-35.9%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xedf7…8f79backed Under49c51.02$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251,39348.3%673 W · 720 L+19.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 27 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.