NBA · resolved market
76ers vs. Wizards: O/U 236.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2ba2ba0be2d33e3f52590fc24e645a0f3ca0966b0ed42420064ad62270fc691e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $31,779
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $31,864
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $31,779 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 62 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1e77…8c33backed Over | 53c | 11,997$6,359 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,638.67 | 159 | 52.8%84 W · 75 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 47c | 8,388$3,909 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,909.09 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca40…83f6backed Under | 44c | 4,142$1,823 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,822.56 | 129 | 45.7%59 W · 70 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Under | 47c | 2,519$1,186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,186.4 | 1,286 | 50.8%653 W · 633 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Under | 48c | 2,506$1,196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,196.45 | 1,084 | 50%542 W · 542 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 52c | 2,274$1,182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,091.52 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 56c | 2,120$1,187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$932.94 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Under | 47c | 1,936$910 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$910.11 | 870 | 49.3%429 W · 441 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Over | 55c | 1,302$716 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$585.84 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb22…808abacked Over | 54c | 999.99$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$459.99 | 956 | 41.7%399 W · 557 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x128f…db9dbacked Over | 56c | 872.72$487 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$385.99 | 206 | 51.5%106 W · 100 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 58c | 785.54$452 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.14 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 45c | 524.03$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.05 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Over | 56c | 347.71$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.99 | 954 | 52.3%499 W · 455 L | -17.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Over | 55c | 290.82$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.87 | 662 | 48.5%321 W · 341 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Under | 45c | 228.97$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.38 | 935 | 43.6%408 W · 527 L | -32.6wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x727d…c2e0backed Under | 44c | 222.01$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.61 | 66 | 48.5%32 W · 34 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff79…a52abacked Over | 57c | 200$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcc7…1af9backed Over | 63c | 185.64$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.29 | 57 | 47.4%27 W · 30 L | -4.5wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb870…5a8abacked Under | 45c | 182.65$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.19 | 918 | 46.2%424 W · 494 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x234b…f36dbacked Under | 47c | 152.48$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.67 | 143 | 47.6%68 W · 75 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd0c7…4459backed Over | 72c | 143.77$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.51 | 117 | 53.8%63 W · 54 L | -8.1wins | -0.07per pick | 61cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…1635backed Under | 27c | 138.77$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.83 | 1,036 | 47.6%493 W · 543 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Over | 56c | 129.27$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.88 | 906 | 50.2%455 W · 451 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7096…7f78backed Under | 44c | 109.82$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.32 | 653 | 49.9%326 W · 327 L | +20.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed Over | 56c | 107.99$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.51 | 445 | 51.2%228 W · 217 L | +11.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Under | 33c | 107.6$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.98 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0152…b455backed Under | 45c | 107.44$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.35 | 660 | 46.4%306 W · 354 L | -21.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8632…4696backed Over | 57c | 106.13$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.64 | 553 | 47.9%265 W · 288 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f39…d603backed Under | 45c | 102.66$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.27 | 917 | 46.9%430 W · 487 L | -19.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdddf…d97abacked Under | 45c | 100.91$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.41 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0547…fb35backed Over | 57c | 100$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43 | 633 | 53.1%336 W · 297 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x549d…35b9backed Over | 59c | 99.19$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.67 | 113 | 54.9%62 W · 51 L | +5.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over | 55c | 90.3$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.64 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe239…14eabacked Under | 40c | 89$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.6 | 108 | 46.3%50 W · 58 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc0b…4db0backed Over | 56c | 64.76$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.56 | 184 | 59.2%109 W · 75 L | +10.7wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa975…42eebacked Under | 44c | 61.61$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.11 | 533 | 48.4%258 W · 275 L | -8.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a97…72ebbacked Under | 44c | 61.61$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.11 | 50 | 48%24 W · 26 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd51e…ac0cbacked Under | 44c | 61.61$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.11 | 516 | 47.5%245 W · 271 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1030…dd7abacked Under | 44c | 61.61$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.11 | 133 | 49.6%66 W · 67 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b8c…31c3backed Under | 44c | 61.61$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.11 | 135 | 41.5%56 W · 79 L | -7.3wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked Under | 47c | 59.97$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.29 | 1,048 | 51.7%542 W · 506 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06e7…3acabacked Under | 44c | 54.91$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.16 | 570 | 51.9%296 W · 274 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe414…c341backed Over | 56c | 52.5$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.1 | 813 | 49.4%402 W · 411 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fa7…d4febacked Over | 58c | 50.84$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.38 | 108 | 50.9%55 W · 53 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6c…e09cbacked Over | 56c | 50.19$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.08 | 592 | 50.2%297 W · 295 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16ea…9400backed Over | 55c | 44.9$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.21 | 1,322 | 49.9%660 W · 662 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0258…06d0backed Over | 56c | 40.08$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.64 | 110 | 33.6%37 W · 73 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2502…7899backed Under | 35c | 39.91$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.97 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…a1f3backed Under | 44c | 37.7$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.59 | 564 | 47.9%270 W · 294 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x299f…2140backed Under | 44c | 35.09$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.44 | 1,141 | 48%548 W · 593 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e4a…eee7backed Under | 43c | 31.87$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.7 | 327 | 52.9%173 W · 154 L | +11.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +11%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd2d…d7f8backed Over | 54c | 30.93$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.23 | 193 | 57.5%111 W · 82 L | +11.6wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Under | 44c | 30.92$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.61 | 355 | 46.5%165 W · 190 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc978…706bbacked Under | 45c | 28.48$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.82 | 319 | 53%169 W · 150 L | +11.5wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Over | 71c | 28.06$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 575 | 50.3%289 W · 286 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f22…0fb4backed Under | 44c | 26.36$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 378 | 53.4%202 W · 176 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Under | 45c | 25.97$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.66 | 1,399 | 46.4%649 W · 750 L | -13.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Over | 56c | 23.91$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.52 | 611 | 51.4%314 W · 297 L | +17.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6855…ba24backed Over | 56c | 20.86$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.18 | 62 | 48.4%30 W · 32 L | -3.5wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeed1…0d39backed Over | 58c | 20.32$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.53 | 76 | 50%38 W · 38 L | -5.3wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b54…ea13backed Over | 56c | 19.47$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.57 | 379 | 59.4%225 W · 154 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 27 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- 76ers vs. Wizards: O/U 236.5this page
- 76ers vs. Wizards76ers won
- 76ers vs. Wizards: 1H Moneyline76ers won
- 76ers vs. Wizards: 1H O/U 122.5Over won
- 76ers vs. Wizards: O/U 237.5Over won
- 76ers vs. Wizards: O/U 238.5Over won
- 76ers vs. Wizards: O/U 239.5Over won
- 76ers vs. Wizards: O/U 240.5Over won
- 76ers vs. Wizards: O/U 245.5Over won
- Alexandre Sarr: Assists O/U 2.5No won
- Alexandre Sarr: Points O/U 13.5No won
- Alexandre Sarr: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
- Bilal Coulibaly: Assists O/U 2.5No won
- Bilal Coulibaly: Points O/U 12.5No won
- Joel Embiid: Assists O/U 4.5No won
- Joel Embiid: Points O/U 26.5No won
- Joel Embiid: Points O/U 28.5No won
- Joel Embiid: Rebounds O/U 8.5No won
- Quentin Grimes: Points O/U 11.5Yes won
- Spread: 76ers (-10.5)76ers won
- Spread: 76ers (-13.5)76ers won
- Spread: 76ers (-14.5)76ers won
- Spread: 76ers (-15.5)76ers won
- Spread: 76ers (-18.5)76ers won
- Spread: 76ers (-23.5)Wizards won
- Spread: 76ers (-9.5)76ers won
- Tyrese Maxey: Points O/U 25.5Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.