TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

76ers vs. Wizards: O/U 237.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$639,883
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$639,986

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $639,883 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 196 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4924…3782backed Over53c231,581$122,679 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108,901.1787451.5%450 W · 424 L+15.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfea3…d227backed Under46c200,000$92,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92,00015644.9%70 W · 86 L-9.1wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-5.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2a2c…9bc1backed Over54c103,570$55,835 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47,734.7766248.5%321 W · 341 L-0.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Under47c27,435$12,894 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,894.291,91549.3%944 W · 971 L+19.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x93ab…9723backed Over50c25,000$12,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,50060351.4%310 W · 293 L+16.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1e77…8c33backed Over52c22,382$11,533 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,848.8715952.8%84 W · 75 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb6ae…4df8backed Under47c21,953$10,318 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,317.911,04447.5%496 W · 548 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under47c20,716$9,716 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,716.444,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Under47c20,513$9,728 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,728.419,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xafba…e61bbacked Over51c20,000$10,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,799.9947848.1%230 W · 248 L-9.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Under49c16,551$8,083 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,083.112,04548.4%990 W · 1,055 L-30.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under50c16,431$8,211 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,210.741,28243.4%557 W · 725 L-51.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-12.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3901…d0e2backed Under49c16,241$7,958 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,958.252240.9%9 W · 13 L-2.3wins-0.10per pick51cpaid-27.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x99e0…5052backed Under47c15,000$7,050 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,0508839.8%35 W · 53 L-7.0wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-18.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under40c12,327$4,917 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,916.562,63036.7%966 W · 1,664 L-119.1wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-25.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xacb2…b989backed Under47c10,000$4,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,699.9749244.3%218 W · 274 L+11.8wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under50c9,700$4,850 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,8502,15351.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L+76.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Under45c8,949$4,032 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,031.923,66841.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L-70.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Over59c7,811$4,610 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,201.2383039.4%327 W · 503 L+6.3wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-20.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf1ef…8cd6backed Under47c6,000$2,820 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,82043348.5%210 W · 223 L+11.0wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+6.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under48c4,764$2,304 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,304.184,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x116c…e162backed Under48c4,562$2,190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,189.9821350.7%108 W · 105 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Under48c4,401$2,133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,133.421,08450%542 W · 542 L+2.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Under48c3,916$1,891 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,891.41,28650.8%653 W · 633 L+11.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked Under47c3,623$1,703 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,702.9679549.7%395 W · 400 L-0.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Under47c3,157$1,476 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,475.9490650.2%455 W · 451 L-0.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Over61c3,072$1,875 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,196.622,16940.8%885 W · 1,284 L-8.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-14.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbedb…3b26backed Under48c2,988$1,434 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,434.1616346.6%76 W · 87 L-0.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc51a…a0d9backed Over50c2,400$1,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,20027455.5%152 W · 122 L+15.2wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+9.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xfb51…082dbacked Under41c2,303$940 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$940.2258953.7%316 W · 273 L+15.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+2.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4b49…0397backed Under48c2,000$960 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96025641.4%106 W · 150 L-13.6wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-12.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under45c1,996$899 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$898.715,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5628…abbcbacked Under50c1,940$970 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97087049.3%429 W · 441 L+1.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf7cd…0888backed Under47c1,840$865 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$864.817744.1%78 W · 99 L-7.2wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-3.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Under42c1,783$746 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$745.992,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8753…85adbacked Over52c1,667$867 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$800.1664651.7%334 W · 312 L-14.9wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd809…6542backed Under43c1,539$657 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$656.7271654.1%387 W · 329 L+21.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+2.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Under50c1,176$588 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$587.971,27138.3%487 W · 784 L-13.4wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x360b…982fbacked Over53c1,027$544 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$482.64658.7%27 W · 19 L+1.6wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0258…06d0backed Over53c1,016$534 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$481.9811033.6%37 W · 73 L-3.9wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-29.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1d3a…7b63backed Over56c884.56$495 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$389.876249.5%377 W · 385 L-8.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7096…7f78backed Under42c868.5$367 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$366.6665349.9%326 W · 327 L+20.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x12b9…6312backed Under48c848.33$407 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$407.27236.1%26 W · 46 L-5.1wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-26.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf1ad…6979backed Over52c774.9$402 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$373.3157650%288 W · 288 L+1.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd51e…ac0cbacked Under41c635.09$258 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$258.351647.5%245 W · 271 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-10%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb70d…5925backed Under47c615.67$287 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$286.7817643.2%76 W · 100 L-7.3wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-8.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x889c…e375backed Over56c573.73$321 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$252.4450954.8%279 W · 230 L+14.8wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x354f…95f8backed Over53c550.08$292 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$258.548763.2%55 W · 32 L+5.4wins+0.06per pick57cpaid+11.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5821…7c51backed Over52c491.52$254 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$237.3289048.8%434 W · 456 L-1.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Under46c484.01$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$224.9193543.6%408 W · 527 L-32.6wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-11.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe6a3…04bebacked Under43c457.93$197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$197.2835052.6%184 W · 166 L+6.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc41…dd7ebacked Over56c421.57$236 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$185.496547.7%31 W · 34 L+0.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid-8.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3a15…52d6backed Under34c418.33$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141.1617651.7%91 W · 85 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under47c403.85$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$189.821,90148.7%925 W · 976 L+6.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2630…e941backed Over56c399.18$224 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$175.6442845.1%193 W · 235 L-15.7wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-8.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbe02…5fb3backed Under41c387.88$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157.7442352.5%222 W · 201 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Under47c380.07$177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$177.332,50748.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L+19.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1b44…d8debacked Over60c352.62$213 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14076653.5%410 W · 356 L+65.5wins+0.09per pick45cpaid+15.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x816e…b215backed Over50c335.06$168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$167.532433.3%8 W · 16 L-4.3wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-33.6%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Under47c326.55$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153.726,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xedf7…8f79backed Under47c319.14$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1501,39348.3%673 W · 720 L+19.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x82de…1337backed Under40c304.43$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.4444551.2%228 W · 217 L+11.6wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-1.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Over59c291.04$173 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.511,17050.3%588 W · 582 L+46.8wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+0.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Under45c287.02$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.992,40043.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L-82.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Under48c251.21$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.723,59150.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L+21.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed Under47c250$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.5244740.7%182 W · 265 L-27.5wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-9.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Over54c245$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.494,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xabde…d41fbacked Over52c242.8$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.4241947.7%200 W · 219 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9510…16dfbacked Over51c239.76$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.4830453.3%162 W · 142 L+8.6wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0e4a…fcd8backed Under40c238.94$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.425049.6%124 W · 126 L-4.4wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfcd8…9908backed Over50c221.8$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.922552.4%118 W · 107 L+5.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3b14…5301backed Under40c219.22$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.765520%11 W · 44 L-8.8wins-0.16per pick36cpaid-61.7%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x55ab…4f88backed Over60c219.09$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.0821848.2%105 W · 113 L+11.0wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+0.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under47c216.3$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.571,39946.4%649 W · 750 L-13.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Over57c213.85$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$911,11341.6%463 W · 650 L-10.0wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-17.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8632…4696backed Under47c210.44$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.9155347.9%265 W · 288 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2cec…5326backed Under48c207.27$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.5468645.5%312 W · 374 L-22.9wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x743a…ddcdbacked Under47c200$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$946043.3%26 W · 34 L-2.9wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-10.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0152…b455backed Under48c199.84$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.9166046.4%306 W · 354 L-21.9wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdae4…f1fcbacked Over52c186.79$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.6819054.7%104 W · 86 L+7.6wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0eca…c56abacked Over60c186.21$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.2752053.3%277 W · 243 L+29.6wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+3.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc58a…b8f8backed Over56c185.77$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.7421550.2%108 W · 107 L-0.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6a97…72ebbacked Over57c183.5$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.075048%24 W · 26 L+0.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1b8f…f31bbacked Over53c183.22$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.0414640.4%59 W · 87 L-9.5wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-20.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xf30a…61fbbacked Over60c179.05$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.8636154.8%198 W · 163 L+17.7wins+0.05per pick50cpaid-0.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xafaf…1635backed Over67c178.57$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.941,03647.6%493 W · 543 L+6.7wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc991…abd4backed Over52c176.63$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.948751.7%252 W · 235 L-1.8wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1030…dd7abacked Over57c175.7$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.6613349.6%66 W · 67 L+0.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2986…763bbacked Under47c172.82$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.2333748.1%162 W · 175 L-1.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid+3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb870…5a8abacked Under41c172.73$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.8291846.2%424 W · 494 L+1.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3a51…b2b6backed Over52c154.44$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.489853.1%477 W · 421 L+21.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd96a…d8cebacked Under31c153.58$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.3410718.7%20 W · 87 L+0.4wins0.00per pick18cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xadb9…ef55backed Under38c151.52$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.95250%26 W · 26 L-0.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x299f…2140backed Under47c140.13$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.861,14148%548 W · 593 L+9.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb61f…976abacked Over71c138.82$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.5720963.2%132 W · 77 L+5.2wins+0.02per pick61cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc1c…debbbacked Over51c128.15$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.7920443.6%89 W · 115 L-9.2wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-14.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4880…5626backed Under41c126.94$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.6318648.9%91 W · 95 L-5.4wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-8.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0a7c…8964backed Over56c123.62$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.3980653.6%432 W · 374 L+16.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xda29…7907backed Over52c121.75$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.9712653.2%67 W · 59 L+0.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x02fd…c162backed Under40c120.5$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.22352.2%12 W · 11 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-12.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 27 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.