TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x059b…2e07

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
69
Categories scored
15
Categories below 50
10

Best Category: UFC, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category UFC at 54 out of 100; worst MLB at 37.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 11, 2026, EDT2250%11 W · 11 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-9.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 22 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Clippers vs. Trail Blazersbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$11.63
Spread: Suns (-2.5)backed Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$45.01
Grizzlies vs. Jazzbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+56.8%+$15.28
Spread: Jazz (-4.5)backed Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$15.36
Spread: Heat (-16.5)backed Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$21.6
Hawks vs. Cavaliersbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$66.51
Spread: Warriors (-15.5)backed Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.29
Spread: Warriors (-14.5)backed Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.71
Spread: Celtics (-4.5)backed Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.09
Spread: Spurs (-2.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.86
Spread: Celtics (-17.5)backed Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$12.33
Celtics vs. Bucks: O/U 217.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$22.84
Spread: Pistons (-3.5)backed Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.92
Spread: Spurs (-14.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$44.55
Spurs vs. Warriors: O/U 227.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT+91%+$32.73
Kings vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.08
Spread: Knicks (-13.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$70.68
Spread: 76ers (-14.5)backed 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+100%+$49.47
Timberwolves vs. Mavericksbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$7.51
Spread: Cavaliers (-13.5)backed Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+65.6%+$11.47
Suns vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+65.8%+$6.9
Thunder vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.5
All 22 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 23, 2026, EDT1656.3%9 W · 7 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick58cpaid+5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Stars vs. Wildbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.55
Ducks vs. Oilersbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.75
Utah vs. Golden Knightsbacked Utah · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+133%+$14.93
Canadiens vs. Lightningbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+65.3%+$17.78
Bruins vs. Sabresbacked Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+139.8%+$53.65
Senators vs. Hurricanesbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$8.12
Blues vs. Ducks: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+111.2%+$49.22
Capitals vs. Devils: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$54
Stars vs. Flyersbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.98
Blackhawks vs. Devilsbacked Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$13.99
Bruins vs. Blue Jacketsbacked Blue Jackets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.99
Canadiens vs. Hurricanesbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.99
Flyers vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.46
Panthers vs. Oilersbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.49
Wild vs. Blackhawksbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$6.43
Sharks vs. Oilersbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+65.8%+$6.9
All 16 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jul 3, 2026, EDT80%0 W · 8 L-4.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
MLB — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Apr 7, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.33per pick58cpaid-60.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Champions League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 20, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick62cpaid+6.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Apr 5, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.20per pick53cpaid-34.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Mar 19, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.28per pick61cpaid-45.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick52cpaid+94.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
UFC — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Apr 6, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Serie A — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Atalanta BC win on 2026-04-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$152Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$151.85
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-04-05?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$95.88
All 2 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Mar 18, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+64.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trabzonspor win on 2026-03-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+64.6%+$9.04
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Apr 25, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+63.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Madrid Open: Belinda Bencic vs Diana Shnaiderbacked Belinda Bencic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$7.8
All 1 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Mar 18, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+61.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Game Handicap: BLG (-1.5) vs G2 Esports (+1.5)backed Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$6.43
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Apr 4, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.47
All 1 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Apr 15, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Ipswich Town FC win on 2026-01-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$23
All 1 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Stocks — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$352Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$351.91
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.