NBA · resolved market
Spread: Jazz (-4.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4c5fedf48bf6b2b95108b37afa83734b830f9be68becf9ed9cf995cb161acbb9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Jazzof Jazz, Grizzlies
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $185,375
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $215,752
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $185,375 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 168 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1d2e…896dbacked Grizzlies | 47c | 37,835$17,782 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,782.37 | 60 | 43.3%26 W · 34 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3a…eb9abacked Jazz | 53c | 33,005$17,492 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,512.13 | 114 | 57.9%66 W · 48 L | +6.7wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…23c4backed Jazz | 52c | 23,439$12,162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,277.58 | 326 | 53.1%173 W · 153 L | +19.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9e2f…ec47backed Grizzlies | 52c | 19,999$10,399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,399.25 | 747 | 48.5%362 W · 385 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef27…381bbacked Jazz | 48c | 19,982$9,591 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,390.38 | 84 | 52.4%44 W · 40 L | +5.9wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Jazz | 48c | 11,050$5,304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,746.17 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Grizzlies | 48c | 10,081$4,839 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,838.99 | 1,915 | 49.3%944 W · 971 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0767…36b0backed Grizzlies | 47c | 9,765$4,638 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,638.35 | 81 | 54.3%44 W · 37 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1961…c461backed Jazz | 53c | 8,933$4,735 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,198.58 | 87 | 50.6%44 W · 43 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6323…9feebacked Grizzlies | 52c | 5,763$2,997 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,996.52 | 144 | 41%59 W · 85 L | -12.8wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Grizzlies | 49c | 5,175$2,531 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,530.51 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Grizzlies | 23c | 4,500$1,035 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,035.43 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Grizzlies | 51c | 4,330$2,209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,209.04 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc699…7961backed Jazz | 51c | 3,099$1,582 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,517.11 | 208 | 43.8%91 W · 117 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2e5…ebeabacked Grizzlies | 45c | 3,000$1,360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,359.78 | 119 | 45.4%54 W · 65 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Jazz | 51c | 2,874$1,455 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,419.02 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Jazz | 53c | 2,639$1,398 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,240.11 | 1,194 | 48.8%583 W · 611 L | -22.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Grizzlies | 48c | 2,477$1,182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,181.79 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Grizzlies | 48c | 2,237$1,076 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,075.82 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2b9…c30abacked Grizzlies | 5c | 2,144$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.61 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33a7…e607backed Jazz | 63c | 2,075$1,303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$771.9 | 529 | 51.2%271 W · 258 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d13…92f3backed Grizzlies | 52c | 2,047$1,064 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,064.44 | 702 | 46.4%326 W · 376 L | -20.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b49…0397backed Grizzlies | 52c | 2,000$1,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,040 | 256 | 41.4%106 W · 150 L | -13.6wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc463…9a2fbacked Grizzlies | 51c | 2,000$1,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,019.99 | 310 | 46.8%145 W · 165 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x19d8…1691backed Jazz | 53c | 1,983$1,051 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$931.92 | 722 | 41.4%299 W · 423 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaede…4e26backed Grizzlies | 50c | 1,933$970 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$970.1 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -51%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3d…55b3backed Jazz | 53c | 1,929$1,022 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$906.63 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Jazz | 77c | 1,595$1,236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$359 | 1,226 | 37.4%458 W · 768 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe647…2040backed Jazz | 49c | 1,583$776 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$807.17 | 53 | 54.7%29 W · 24 L | +3.4wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbf16…9c6fbacked Jazz | 49c | 1,567$768 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$799.1 | 56 | 60.7%34 W · 22 L | +5.6wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Grizzlies | 52c | 1,555$805 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$805.5 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Grizzlies | 51c | 1,500$770 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$769.99 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf29…834cbacked Grizzlies | 47c | 1,393$655 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$654.71 | 126 | 46%58 W · 68 L | -6.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…1635backed Grizzlies | 49c | 1,147$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$559.61 | 1,036 | 47.6%493 W · 543 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab2…8fdabacked Grizzlies | 47c | 844$397 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$396.68 | 197 | 45.2%89 W · 108 L | -7.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Grizzlies | 51c | 813.05$417 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$417.45 | 954 | 52.3%499 W · 455 L | -17.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x151e…c6dbbacked Jazz | 49c | 783.43$384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$399.55 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xacb6…e3bbbacked Jazz | 54c | 723.77$389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$334.87 | 62 | 66.1%41 W · 21 L | +9.0wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf592…9872backed Jazz | 49c | 692.43$339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$353.14 | 116 | 51.7%60 W · 56 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a5…c602backed Grizzlies | 52c | 622.12$322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$321.84 | 236 | 30.1%71 W · 165 L | -12.3wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4658…4131backed Grizzlies | 49c | 612.24$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 211 | 47.4%100 W · 111 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9f…ab5abacked Jazz | 49c | 597.47$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304.71 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Grizzlies | 51c | 595.07$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.25 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Grizzlies | 50c | 593.38$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.47 | 1,901 | 48.7%925 W · 976 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb2fe…7558backed Grizzlies | 52c | 551.08$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.56 | 149 | 46.3%69 W · 80 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6551…e043backed Jazz | 52c | 532.95$277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.82 | 45 | 48.9%22 W · 23 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +27%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf20f…3b33backed Grizzlies | 52c | 524.82$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.91 | 183 | 43.7%80 W · 103 L | -11.0wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -12%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1489…9924backed Grizzlies | 47c | 523.8$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.18 | 193 | 48.2%93 W · 100 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc249…8a61backed Grizzlies | 46c | 499.97$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.99 | 796 | 50.9%405 W · 391 L | +63.2wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Grizzlies | 48c | 499.9$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.62 | 2,400 | 43.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L | -82.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Grizzlies | 48c | 428.47$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.44 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Grizzlies | 48c | 420.64$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.91 | 688 | 38.5%265 W · 423 L | -26.5wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -14%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x49ec…ac1cbacked Jazz | 49c | 411.06$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.04 | 240 | 44.6%107 W · 133 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2cec…5326backed Grizzlies | 48c | 400$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192 | 686 | 45.5%312 W · 374 L | -22.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5821…7c51backed Jazz | 51c | 399.06$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.05 | 890 | 48.8%434 W · 456 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6334…1a91backed Jazz | 49c | 395.67$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.79 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c1d…1f8fbacked Grizzlies | 49c | 395.01$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.75 | 492 | 49.8%245 W · 247 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c17…3844backed Jazz | 53c | 366.72$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.36 | 49 | 53.1%26 W · 23 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2d9…0092backed Jazz | 53c | 366.71$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.35 | 762 | 50.4%384 W · 378 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe414…c341backed Grizzlies | 52c | 346.15$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 813 | 49.4%402 W · 411 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Grizzlies | 51c | 310$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.1 | 935 | 43.6%408 W · 527 L | -32.6wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec56…dd09backed Grizzlies | 47c | 300$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141 | 283 | 48.8%138 W · 145 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Jazz | 54c | 296.13$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.22 | 2,208 | 46.6%1,030 W · 1,178 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1b…7768backed Grizzlies | 52c | 295.61$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.03 | 276 | 45.3%125 W · 151 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8fb4…d080backed Grizzlies | 16c | 294.33$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.72 | 162 | 42.6%69 W · 93 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Jazz | 49c | 293.56$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.72 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Jazz | 52c | 291.3$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.79 | 1,282 | 43.4%557 W · 725 L | -51.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x83ce…835cbacked Jazz | 53c | 287.64$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.19 | 274 | 50%137 W · 137 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Grizzlies | 49c | 285.02$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.66 | 1,277 | 47.2%603 W · 674 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa85b…eb0ebacked Grizzlies | 47c | 280.78$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.97 | 160 | 48.8%78 W · 82 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Grizzlies | 48c | 261.9$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.91 | 1,758 | 48.7%856 W · 902 L | +28.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcba6…bb05backed Jazz | 53c | 253.79$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.28 | 388 | 53.4%207 W · 181 L | +8.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x938e…9b66backed Grizzlies | 53c | 229.2$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.48 | 267 | 55.1%147 W · 120 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed Grizzlies | 49c | 228.69$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.73 | 369 | 49.6%183 W · 186 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeba1…838bbacked Jazz | 48c | 210$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.2 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…c00abacked Grizzlies | 48c | 208.29$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.98 | 188 | 39.9%75 W · 113 L | -10.3wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Jazz | 69c | 207.4$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.01 | 1,317 | 47.8%629 W · 688 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec56…1259backed Jazz | 53c | 207.31$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.43 | 93 | 45.2%42 W · 51 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd154…9c74backed Jazz | 53c | 205.65$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.07 | 57 | 40.4%23 W · 34 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x299f…2140backed Grizzlies | 46c | 205.42$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.49 | 1,141 | 48%548 W · 593 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Grizzlies | 49c | 200$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 1,399 | 46.4%649 W · 750 L | -13.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Grizzlies | 48c | 198.28$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.09 | 898 | 50.9%457 W · 441 L | +19.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f73…6d1cbacked Jazz | 49c | 197.84$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.9 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x42f2…fdb4backed Jazz | 49c | 197.84$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.9 | 115 | 58.3%67 W · 48 L | +8.0wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Grizzlies | 49c | 195.09$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.64 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16ea…9400backed Jazz | 51c | 184.6$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.13 | 1,322 | 49.9%660 W · 662 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c0d…a97dbacked Jazz | 50c | 182.46$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.23 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Jazz | 49c | 178.86$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.22 | 2,657 | 49.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L | +42.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2db1…45e5backed Grizzlies | 52c | 173.7$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.32 | 248 | 49.6%123 W · 125 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ecd…ea91backed Jazz | 53c | 172.57$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.63 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +2.8wins | +0.12per pick | 49cpaid | +31.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbc75…88acbacked Jazz | 53c | 171$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.37 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeba1…44dfbacked Jazz | 54c | 165.67$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.21 | 46 | 41.3%19 W · 27 L | -4.4wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -20%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Grizzlies | 47c | 153.77$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.65 | 1,286 | 50.8%653 W · 633 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Grizzlies | 47c | 153.02$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.47 | 589 | 53.7%316 W · 273 L | +15.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b97…6084backed Jazz | 54c | 149.59$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.81 | 443 | 45.1%200 W · 243 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa04…796bbacked Jazz | 49c | 148.38$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.67 | 56 | 51.8%29 W · 27 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0178…cfa6backed Grizzlies | 48c | 148.31$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.19 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 34cpaid | -69.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa21b…9e94backed Grizzlies | 53c | 137.52$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.89 | 150 | 55.3%83 W · 67 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaced…e23abacked Jazz | 54c | 133.71$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.5 | 45 | 35.6%16 W · 29 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Grizzlies | 47c | 115.16$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.12 | 1,084 | 50%542 W · 542 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Jazz (-4.5)this page
- Grizzlies vs. JazzJazz won
- Grizzlies vs. Jazz: O/U 246.5Over won
- Grizzlies vs. Jazz: O/U 247.5Over won
- Grizzlies vs. Jazz: O/U 248.5Under won
- Grizzlies vs. Jazz: O/U 249.5Under won
- Spread: Jazz (-3.5)Jazz won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.