TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Grizzlies vs. Jazz: O/U 248.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$83,945
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$85,713

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $83,945 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 126 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc733…851abacked Over0c32,777$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.7820%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Over50c10,585$5,293 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,292.521,91054.3%1,038 W · 872 L+25.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Under51c4,889$2,493 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,395.431,91549.3%944 W · 971 L+19.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under50c3,386$1,693 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,692.373,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xaf29…834cbacked Over50c3,019$1,509 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,509.4612646%58 W · 68 L-6.7wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-10.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x78bb…591fbacked Over50c2,918$1,459 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,45930446.7%142 W · 162 L-8.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-5.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Under50c2,798$1,399 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,399.154,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xec8d…dd71backed Under50c2,611$1,306 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,305.7210256.9%58 W · 44 L+9.1wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+19.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x7083…1937backed Under62c2,093$1,291 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$802.826100%6 W · 0 L+2.6wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+105.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x299f…2140backed Under50c1,500$750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$750.081,14148%548 W · 593 L+9.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0767…36b0backed Under50c1,491$745 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$745.268154.3%44 W · 37 L+3.4wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+19.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Over36c1,424$510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$509.852,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under50c1,234$617 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$616.952,34648.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L-14.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa623…a4febacked Under50c1,077$538 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$538.3545251.1%231 W · 221 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x33a7…e607backed Under49c1,008$494 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$514.0352951.2%271 W · 258 L+13.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x950a…fca5backed Under50c996.08$498 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$498.041936.8%7 W · 12 L-2.4wins-0.12per pick49cpaid-25.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1d08…2142backed Under71c938.21$666 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$272.2165872.8%479 W · 179 L+46.1wins+0.07per pick66cpaid+9.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa557…5e8abacked Over1c900$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.251236.5%8 W · 115 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick8cpaid-89.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0f49…fec0backed Over2c863.08$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.2637848.7%184 W · 194 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3242…0e0bbacked Over49c800.27$392 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$392.2121247.2%100 W · 112 L-5.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe962…663abacked Over48c799.94$384 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$383.9784342.9%362 W · 481 L-39.1wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-11.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7096…7f78backed Over49c791.35$388 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$387.7665349.9%326 W · 327 L+20.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Over49c740.03$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$360.019,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Over49c687.48$337 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$336.8790650.2%455 W · 451 L-0.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4f9b…cdeebacked Over12c642.33$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.178639.2%308 W · 478 L+27.5wins+0.03per pick36cpaid-4.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa222…7d3cbacked Under53c627.34$332 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$294.851338.5%5 W · 8 L-1.9wins-0.15per pick53cpaid-41%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd4e3…d5f4backed Under52c560.31$291 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$268.9513547.4%64 W · 71 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Over39c543.17$214 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$213.881,31747.8%629 W · 688 L+15.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xce9d…3c05backed Over57c514.74$292 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$292.2295452.3%499 W · 455 L-17.4wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Over49c496.65$243 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$243.362,40043.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L-82.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x24bb…3e49backed Over7c441.67$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.4380440.3%324 W · 480 L+27.4wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-0.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Over49c407.16$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.621,15049.5%569 W · 581 L-12.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Over50c400$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001,90148.7%925 W · 976 L+6.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaa04…796bbacked Under52c388.36$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$188.355651.8%29 W · 27 L-0.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7a5d…54dbbacked Under42c344.61$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$199.8768838.5%265 W · 423 L-26.5wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-14%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfb51…082dbacked Over49c343.74$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$168.4358953.7%316 W · 273 L+15.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+2.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6569…7600backed Over49c343.74$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$168.4322047.3%104 W · 116 L-6.1wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Over49c337.4$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$165.331,08450%542 W · 542 L+2.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3982…2befbacked Over50c337.2$169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$168.5437647.3%178 W · 198 L-7.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xade2…8757backed Over50c337.08$169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$168.5419254.7%105 W · 87 L+10.4wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+8.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0fbc…62a3backed Under60c300.16$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.071566.7%10 W · 5 L+1.1wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+15.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1489…9924backed Under51c297$151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$145.5319348.2%93 W · 100 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+7.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x00ce…3f01backed Under50c291$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$145.532151.7%166 W · 155 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d14…ff3ebacked Under50c271.6$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.84052.5%21 W · 19 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x91e0…26a0backed Over11c253$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.5245544.8%204 W · 251 L+21.8wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+8.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe05f…1fe3backed Under50c245.19$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.620040%80 W · 120 L-15.3wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-18.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x3e8f…4374backed Under52c233.76$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.220146.8%94 W · 107 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x533d…ceeebacked Under11c227$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$202.031612.5%2 W · 14 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick12cpaid+13.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4488…579cbacked Under52c207.84$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.7677549.2%381 W · 394 L-2.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x948b…a188backed Over49c197.84$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.9461151.4%314 W · 297 L+17.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+4.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x90df…a209backed Over49c197.84$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.9429848%143 W · 155 L+6.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6617…29bdbacked Over21c195.34$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.3512637.3%47 W · 79 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick35cpaid-8.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Under61c195.32$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.172,20846.6%1,030 W · 1,178 L+42.7wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe105…1efbbacked Under52c194.24$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.243135.5%11 W · 20 L-4.6wins-0.15per pick50cpaid-28.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x878c…2f83backed Under51c190.59$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.533056.7%17 W · 13 L+2.2wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+17.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1bdc…0c38backed Under55c181.67$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.867057.1%40 W · 30 L+5.0wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+10.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe414…c341backed Under50c176.78$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.3981349.4%402 W · 411 L+5.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd55c…d703backed Under56c175.11$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.7810840.7%44 W · 64 L-3.4wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-13.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xab30…379fbacked Over9c161.68$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.5530224.8%75 W · 227 L+15.5wins+0.05per pick20cpaid+43.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa2f1…2d22backed Over49c161.59$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.188350.6%42 W · 41 L+6.4wins+0.08per pick43cpaid+4.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf433…2464backed Under52c149.42$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.7214444.4%64 W · 80 L-10.5wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-14.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed Over50c145$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.556843.8%249 W · 319 L-25.1wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-8.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Under50c130.95$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.522,46850.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L+38.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb3f0…c8a6backed Under51c121.8$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.6813138.2%50 W · 81 L-9.3wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-12.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8044…358ebacked Under63c121.73$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.4454951.9%285 W · 264 L-2.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8dd4…7401backed Over9c120$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.5824936.9%92 W · 157 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6510…36d1backed Over33c120$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.65334%18 W · 35 L+2.1wins+0.04per pick30cpaid-5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbf4f…f538backed Over33c100$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$337339.7%29 W · 44 L+3.0wins+0.04per pick36cpaid+0.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbb0f…b652backed Over33c100$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3326639.8%106 W · 160 L+13.0wins+0.05per pick35cpaid+6.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xce5f…ab17backed Over33c100$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3317748%85 W · 92 L+16.4wins+0.09per pick39cpaid+18.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x27e9…f09ebacked Over33c100$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$337839.7%31 W · 47 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick36cpaid-0.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0bf8…03b2backed Under49c99.04$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.5827549.5%136 W · 139 L-6.4wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdd82…4068backed Under51c98.03$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.033743.2%16 W · 21 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-5.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3c32…7156backed Under51c98.03$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.0336153.5%193 W · 168 L+8.3wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6683…f5f4backed Under50c97$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.514649.3%72 W · 74 L+0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x255a…3435backed Over46c96.76$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.5161638.5%237 W · 379 L-8.1wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under49c94.03$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.961,28243.4%557 W · 725 L-51.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-12.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8f47…6397backed Under49c91.07$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.837248.6%35 W · 37 L-3.4wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-11%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf885…aac5backed Under54c90.04$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.42955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.10per pick46cpaid+52%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc63b…6e4ebacked Over35c87$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.3931238.5%120 W · 192 L+15.3wins+0.05per pick34cpaid+5.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7793…33a6backed Over49c81.9$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.2329344.4%130 W · 163 L-7.5wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-5.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Under46c80.57$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.25,84446.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L+32.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5cdf…8666backed Over33c80$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.413837.7%52 W · 86 L+5.6wins+0.04per pick34cpaid-3.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x70f9…f25bbacked Under48c79.44$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.3111451.8%59 W · 55 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+14.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4167…f99abacked Under49c76.18$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.527642.1%32 W · 44 L-4.3wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-12.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x62d5…8f10backed Under53c73.87$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.722552%13 W · 12 L-2.1wins-0.08per pick60cpaid-20.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2d87…4e0dbacked Under49c72.71$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.0834247.7%163 W · 179 L-8.5wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Over49c71.95$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.051,39946.4%649 W · 750 L-13.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9bfd…f319backed Over49c62.05$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.4111143.2%48 W · 63 L-9.7wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-21%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under50c57.2$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.61,27747.2%603 W · 674 L-3.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Over47c54.22$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.4889850.9%457 W · 441 L+19.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xae31…7fa1backed Under50c50$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$256543.1%28 W · 37 L-0.3wins0.00per pick43cpaid-10.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcbbc…2b70backed Over33c50$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.514449.3%71 W · 73 L+12.7wins+0.09per pick40cpaid+17.1%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x1b2c…5e10backed Under52c46.69$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.4125752.5%135 W · 122 L-9.3wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-8.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xafaf…1635backed Over44c46.44$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.431,03647.6%493 W · 543 L+6.7wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under50c43.8$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.94,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x55e7…4fb9backed Under50c43.63$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.816261.3%38 W · 24 L+6.9wins+0.11per pick50cpaid+22.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x4676…b720backed Under61c43.37$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.9414264.8%92 W · 50 L+9.6wins+0.07per pick58cpaid+10.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xc978…706bbacked Over50c42.53$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.2731953%169 W · 150 L+11.5wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+8.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc74d…9690backed Over33c40$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.223649.2%116 W · 120 L+28.6wins+0.12per pick37cpaid+27.6%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.